Inflation
Roger J Kerr looks forward into the remainder of 2025 to project what the likely forces will be on the Kiwi dollar
24th Mar 25, 9:26am
Roger J Kerr looks forward into the remainder of 2025 to project what the likely forces will be on the Kiwi dollar
Patrick Watson of Mauldin Economics says talk of a US recession is now everywhere having seemed unlikely three months ago
19th Mar 25, 9:59am
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Patrick Watson of Mauldin Economics says talk of a US recession is now everywhere having seemed unlikely three months ago
Roger J Kerr says the reign of the US dollar is now teetering
Roger J Kerr examines some of the factors behind the US dollar selling
As Adrian Orr abruptly departs the Reserve Bank, it's a good time to think about what type of central bank we want
9th Mar 25, 8:49am
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As Adrian Orr abruptly departs the Reserve Bank, it's a good time to think about what type of central bank we want
Roger J Kerr says markets quickly move on to the next economic development and the knee-jerk response to a non-economic shock or risk event is nearly always temporary
3rd Mar 25, 8:40am
Roger J Kerr says markets quickly move on to the next economic development and the knee-jerk response to a non-economic shock or risk event is nearly always temporary
The Reserve Bank is clearing the way for further interest rate falls, which should spark the economy again. But when and how quickly? David Hargreaves has a look at how things are tracking
2nd Mar 25, 6:30am
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The Reserve Bank is clearing the way for further interest rate falls, which should spark the economy again. But when and how quickly? David Hargreaves has a look at how things are tracking
Labour's Arena Williams argues if the Government was serious about tackling high prices, big corporates would already be changing their behaviour
1st Mar 25, 9:24am
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Labour's Arena Williams argues if the Government was serious about tackling high prices, big corporates would already be changing their behaviour
Roger J Kerr says many key US economic indicators are expected to print on the softer side as a result of financial pressures, as well as the Trump regime’s chainsaw attack on Federal Government institutions and jobs
24th Feb 25, 8:39am
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Roger J Kerr says many key US economic indicators are expected to print on the softer side as a result of financial pressures, as well as the Trump regime’s chainsaw attack on Federal Government institutions and jobs
[updated]
Reserve Bank cuts OCR to 3.75% and indicates room for more cuts than earlier forecast this year; economists say 'we are all on the same page now'
19th Feb 25, 2:14pm
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Reserve Bank cuts OCR to 3.75% and indicates room for more cuts than earlier forecast this year; economists say 'we are all on the same page now'
Reserve Bank of Australia cuts its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1% citing progress on getting inflation down towards its target range
18th Feb 25, 4:32pm
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Reserve Bank of Australia cuts its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1% citing progress on getting inflation down towards its target range
The latest quarterly Household Expectations Survey for the Reserve Bank finds that households reckon the inflation rate will be 4.9% in a year and they don't see it being within the 1% to 3% target range over the next five years
18th Feb 25, 3:43pm
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The latest quarterly Household Expectations Survey for the Reserve Bank finds that households reckon the inflation rate will be 4.9% in a year and they don't see it being within the 1% to 3% target range over the next five years
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate strongly agree the OCR will be cut 50 basis points this week - but there's a diversity of views on what should come next
17th Feb 25, 11:47am
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Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate strongly agree the OCR will be cut 50 basis points this week - but there's a diversity of views on what should come next
Roger J Kerr says a series of softer economic data prints, similar to the retail sales numbers last week, will lead to a rapid shift in interest rate market pricing for Fed rate cuts this year
17th Feb 25, 8:57am
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Roger J Kerr says a series of softer economic data prints, similar to the retail sales numbers last week, will lead to a rapid shift in interest rate market pricing for Fed rate cuts this year
A 50-point cut to the Official Cash Rate is a near certainty in the coming week, so attention will quickly turn to whatever signals the Reserve Bank may give about further cuts
16th Feb 25, 6:30am
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A 50-point cut to the Official Cash Rate is a near certainty in the coming week, so attention will quickly turn to whatever signals the Reserve Bank may give about further cuts
Dean Attewell suggests managing interest rates, mandatory retirement deductions and immigration in tandem to create a more balanced and sustainable housing market
15th Feb 25, 9:25am
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Dean Attewell suggests managing interest rates, mandatory retirement deductions and immigration in tandem to create a more balanced and sustainable housing market
The IMF says banking systems are largely insulated from inflation, but vulnerabilities at some banks could lead to tradeoffs between containing inflation and protecting financial stability
14th Feb 25, 10:23am
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The IMF says banking systems are largely insulated from inflation, but vulnerabilities at some banks could lead to tradeoffs between containing inflation and protecting financial stability
[updated]
Influential RBNZ survey has shown drops in the expectations of the future levels of inflation in a move that will give the central bank comfort ahead of its first Official Cash Rate decision of the year next week
13th Feb 25, 3:24pm
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Influential RBNZ survey has shown drops in the expectations of the future levels of inflation in a move that will give the central bank comfort ahead of its first Official Cash Rate decision of the year next week
[updated]
The Reserve Bank will have to deliver more interest rate cuts than it has signalled this year, or the risk of further job losses will only grow, Kiwibank economists say
10th Feb 25, 1:35pm
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The Reserve Bank will have to deliver more interest rate cuts than it has signalled this year, or the risk of further job losses will only grow, Kiwibank economists say
Roger J Kerr says there are a number of US economic data releases that have the potential to cause more USD selling than buying
10th Feb 25, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr says there are a number of US economic data releases that have the potential to cause more USD selling than buying
Stats NZ says high interest payments on mortgages continue to contribute 'significantly' to living costs
3rd Feb 25, 11:36am
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Stats NZ says high interest payments on mortgages continue to contribute 'significantly' to living costs
Capital Economics says the resulting surge in US inflation from the announced tariffs is going to 'come faster and be larger than we initially expected'
3rd Feb 25, 9:32am
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Capital Economics says the resulting surge in US inflation from the announced tariffs is going to 'come faster and be larger than we initially expected'
Roger J Kerr says the tariffs failed to achieve the objective last time, and the chances are that this time will be no different
3rd Feb 25, 8:32am
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Roger J Kerr says the tariffs failed to achieve the objective last time, and the chances are that this time will be no different
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway sees dominance of the 'traditional drivers of growth' in the New Zealand economy coming to an end
30th Jan 25, 10:01am
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway sees dominance of the 'traditional drivers of growth' in the New Zealand economy coming to an end
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the central bank will have to 'feel its way' as the OCR gets closer to its estimate of neutral and he doesn't see a return to 'ultra-low' rates seen during the early stages of the pandemic any time soon
29th Jan 25, 12:26pm
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the central bank will have to 'feel its way' as the OCR gets closer to its estimate of neutral and he doesn't see a return to 'ultra-low' rates seen during the early stages of the pandemic any time soon