Inflation
Roger J Kerr says the long USD speculative positioning on the Trump Trades has become extremely crowded and has lasted for longer than anticipated
20th Jan 25, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the long USD speculative positioning on the Trump Trades has become extremely crowded and has lasted for longer than anticipated
David Hargreaves says the December quarter inflation figures to be released in the coming week should paint a 'so-far-so-good' picture, but further out the view looks rather more murky
19th Jan 25, 6:30am
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David Hargreaves says the December quarter inflation figures to be released in the coming week should paint a 'so-far-so-good' picture, but further out the view looks rather more murky
[updated]
Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show moderate price pressures over December, indicating few likely nasty surprises in next week's December quarter inflation figures
16th Jan 25, 11:25am
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Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show moderate price pressures over December, indicating few likely nasty surprises in next week's December quarter inflation figures
Economists see latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion as clearing the way for a further substantial cut to the Official Cash Rate next month
15th Jan 25, 9:34am
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Economists see latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion as clearing the way for a further substantial cut to the Official Cash Rate next month
Roger J Kerr says current financial market sentiment, positioning and commentary would not suggest that the US dollar is about to do an “about turn” and fall away over coming months
13th Jan 25, 8:27am
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Roger J Kerr says current financial market sentiment, positioning and commentary would not suggest that the US dollar is about to do an “about turn” and fall away over coming months
Roger J Kerr sees the US Fed continuing to change its dot-plots in 2025. He also thinks most local analysts are missing the importance of our much better terms of trade
6th Jan 25, 8:30am
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Roger J Kerr sees the US Fed continuing to change its dot-plots in 2025. He also thinks most local analysts are missing the importance of our much better terms of trade
Nouriel Roubini considers what the US president-elect's promised policy agenda will mean for growth, and inflation
2nd Jan 25, 9:36am
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Nouriel Roubini considers what the US president-elect's promised policy agenda will mean for growth, and inflation
[updated]
Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show continuing subdued pricing pressures - other than a spike in air fare and accommodation costs that 'coincided' with performances around the country by several global overseas artists
16th Dec 24, 11:38am
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Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show continuing subdued pricing pressures - other than a spike in air fare and accommodation costs that 'coincided' with performances around the country by several global overseas artists
Roger J Kerr looks at the rollercoaster ride the New Zealand dollar has been on since it was unshackled after the 1984 election
16th Dec 24, 8:25am
Roger J Kerr looks at the rollercoaster ride the New Zealand dollar has been on since it was unshackled after the 1984 election
Inflation almost disappearing from residential and commercial construction costs
12th Dec 24, 4:16pm
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Inflation almost disappearing from residential and commercial construction costs
Roger J Kerr offers an 'alternative' view of how the New Zealand economy will fare over the coming year
9th Dec 24, 8:59am
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Roger J Kerr offers an 'alternative' view of how the New Zealand economy will fare over the coming year
Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr is forecasting that the OCR will be cut to 3% next year and says rates were too high for too long
3rd Dec 24, 8:25am
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Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr is forecasting that the OCR will be cut to 3% next year and says rates were too high for too long
Westpac chief economist Kelly Eckhold sees the possibility the Reserve Bank may start to raise the Official Cash Rate again as soon as 2026
2nd Dec 24, 11:49am
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Westpac chief economist Kelly Eckhold sees the possibility the Reserve Bank may start to raise the Official Cash Rate again as soon as 2026
Roger J Kerr says the one-way hurtle up the hill for the US dollar on the Trump election euphoria is displaying distinct signs of spluttering and stalling
2nd Dec 24, 8:55am
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Roger J Kerr says the one-way hurtle up the hill for the US dollar on the Trump election euphoria is displaying distinct signs of spluttering and stalling
[updated]
The Reserve Bank cut rates as expected but surprised the markets with a relatively 'hawkish' view of any future reductions in the OCR
27th Nov 24, 2:09pm
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The Reserve Bank cut rates as expected but surprised the markets with a relatively 'hawkish' view of any future reductions in the OCR
Roger J Kerr expects the US Fed will continue to cut interest rates by 0.25% at each meeting over coming months as the US annual inflation rate (PCE measure) slides below 2.00%
25th Nov 24, 8:46am
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Roger J Kerr expects the US Fed will continue to cut interest rates by 0.25% at each meeting over coming months as the US annual inflation rate (PCE measure) slides below 2.00%
David Hargreaves says we should see another decent-sized cut to the Official Cash Rate in the coming week, but beyond that, all eyes will be on how the Reserve Bank sees things developing next year
24th Nov 24, 6:00am
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David Hargreaves says we should see another decent-sized cut to the Official Cash Rate in the coming week, but beyond that, all eyes will be on how the Reserve Bank sees things developing next year
[updated]
Commerce Commission says higher electricity bills needed to help fund maintenance and upgrade of electricity network
20th Nov 24, 10:22am
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Commerce Commission says higher electricity bills needed to help fund maintenance and upgrade of electricity network
Latest quarterly Household Expectations Survey for RBNZ finds households reckon the inflation rate will be 4.1% in a year and they're getting progressively less optimistic about their chances of finding new jobs
19th Nov 24, 3:35pm
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Latest quarterly Household Expectations Survey for RBNZ finds households reckon the inflation rate will be 4.1% in a year and they're getting progressively less optimistic about their chances of finding new jobs
Roger J Kerr says speculators are sitting on large profits and he wonders when they will cash up
18th Nov 24, 8:14am
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Roger J Kerr says speculators are sitting on large profits and he wonders when they will cash up
The World Gold Council explains what has been happening with gold since the US election, and what its prospects are from here
14th Nov 24, 12:25pm
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The World Gold Council explains what has been happening with gold since the US election, and what its prospects are from here
[updated]
Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show inflationary pressures are continuing to look subdued following the big rises of the past few years
14th Nov 24, 11:21am
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Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show inflationary pressures are continuing to look subdued following the big rises of the past few years
Economists see the Reserve Bank being wary on inflation and taking a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts next year
12th Nov 24, 10:05am
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Economists see the Reserve Bank being wary on inflation and taking a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts next year
Influential RBNZ survey has perhaps surprisingly shown a small rise in the expectations of future inflation though most picks are still somewhere around the desired 2% level
11th Nov 24, 3:29pm
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Influential RBNZ survey has perhaps surprisingly shown a small rise in the expectations of future inflation though most picks are still somewhere around the desired 2% level
Roger J Kerr examines some of the questions posed in the aftermath of the US election
11th Nov 24, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr examines some of the questions posed in the aftermath of the US election