Michael Gordon
ANZ economists are optimistic the Reserve Bank will be in a position to cut the Official Cash Rate 'considerably earlier' than August next year as the RBNZ currently expects
27th Jun 24, 1:28pm
26
ANZ economists are optimistic the Reserve Bank will be in a position to cut the Official Cash Rate 'considerably earlier' than August next year as the RBNZ currently expects
Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Survey shows a marked fall in the latest three months
25th Jun 24, 10:23am
31
Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Survey shows a marked fall in the latest three months
Economy flatlines for sixth quarter as sharp construction slowdown is partly offset by record kiwifruit harvest
20th Jun 24, 10:51am
99
Economy flatlines for sixth quarter as sharp construction slowdown is partly offset by record kiwifruit harvest
It's a line ball call whether GDP figures out in the coming week will reveal the country still to be in recession or not. But whatever the outcome, economists don't see a particularly rosy path for the economy in the immediate future
16th Jun 24, 6:30am
85
It's a line ball call whether GDP figures out in the coming week will reveal the country still to be in recession or not. But whatever the outcome, economists don't see a particularly rosy path for the economy in the immediate future
It's official: The wallets are being slammed shut. Electronic card transactions data from Statistics NZ shows that retail sales figures - which are not adjusted for inflation - are below the levels of a year ago
13th Jun 24, 11:53am
89
It's official: The wallets are being slammed shut. Electronic card transactions data from Statistics NZ shows that retail sales figures - which are not adjusted for inflation - are below the levels of a year ago
Softer labour market data won’t be enough to make the RBNZ cut the OCR before late 2024 or 2025, bank economists say
1st May 24, 3:56pm
7
Softer labour market data won’t be enough to make the RBNZ cut the OCR before late 2024 or 2025, bank economists say
Bank economists anticipate the unemployment rate will edge up when Statistics NZ releases March quarter labour market data
28th Apr 24, 6:01am
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Bank economists anticipate the unemployment rate will edge up when Statistics NZ releases March quarter labour market data
Pricing intentions in NZIER’s quarterly survey are falling closer to the long-run average as demand weakens and firms let staff go
9th Apr 24, 4:56pm
6
Pricing intentions in NZIER’s quarterly survey are falling closer to the long-run average as demand weakens and firms let staff go
GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome
17th Mar 24, 6:01am
59
GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome
[updated]
There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
12th Feb 24, 12:22pm
36
There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
Stronger employment data could spook the Reserve Bank into raising the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%, economists say
7th Feb 24, 2:04pm
58
Stronger employment data could spook the Reserve Bank into raising the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%, economists say
Kiwibank economists say all three key drivers of the housing market point to a stronger market and house price gains; Westpac economists say housing market one of the key things they will be watching
19th Jun 23, 1:53pm
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Kiwibank economists say all three key drivers of the housing market point to a stronger market and house price gains; Westpac economists say housing market one of the key things they will be watching
Wellington records largest fall in jobs advertised, as Gisborne bucks the national trend, Seek employment report shows
19th Jun 23, 5:00am
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Wellington records largest fall in jobs advertised, as Gisborne bucks the national trend, Seek employment report shows
A high rate of migration has offset a steeper decline in New Zealand’s GDP per capita
16th Jun 23, 6:39am
50
A high rate of migration has offset a steeper decline in New Zealand’s GDP per capita
What recession? New Zealand is still adding jobs, Statistics NZ's March employment indicator shows
28th Apr 23, 1:29pm
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What recession? New Zealand is still adding jobs, Statistics NZ's March employment indicator shows
The Reserve Bank of NZ will likely lift the Official Cash Rate 25 basis points on Wednesday and give little else away
2nd Apr 23, 6:00am
102
The Reserve Bank of NZ will likely lift the Official Cash Rate 25 basis points on Wednesday and give little else away
Employers complain about too much demand and not enough workers as employment indicators stay steady
30th Mar 23, 2:36pm
27
Employers complain about too much demand and not enough workers as employment indicators stay steady
Bank economists are now suggesting the Reserve Bank should dial back its intentions on how far and high the Official Cash Rate will go
25th Jan 23, 4:12pm
55
Bank economists are now suggesting the Reserve Bank should dial back its intentions on how far and high the Official Cash Rate will go
[updated]
REINZ says December's sales plummeted nationally to the lowest in years at 4,336; national median price slipped over 12% for the year. In Auckland the fall was 18%. In Wellington 20%. House prices now down around 15% from November 2021 peak
18th Jan 23, 9:00am
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REINZ says December's sales plummeted nationally to the lowest in years at 4,336; national median price slipped over 12% for the year. In Auckland the fall was 18%. In Wellington 20%. House prices now down around 15% from November 2021 peak
[updated]
Statistics New Zealand reports that the country's deficit between what we received for exports and what we spent on imports was a record $29.7 billion in the year to September
14th Dec 22, 11:07am
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Statistics New Zealand reports that the country's deficit between what we received for exports and what we spent on imports was a record $29.7 billion in the year to September
Westpac NZ's Michael Gordon expecting OCR cuts from early 2024 given RBNZ forecast for GFC-style downturn
24th Nov 22, 9:27am
100
Westpac NZ's Michael Gordon expecting OCR cuts from early 2024 given RBNZ forecast for GFC-style downturn
Reserve Bank has raised the Official Cash Rate to 3.5% - but gave serious consideration to a bigger hike
5th Oct 22, 2:03pm
122
Reserve Bank has raised the Official Cash Rate to 3.5% - but gave serious consideration to a bigger hike
BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
12th Sep 22, 3:10pm
6
BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
Figures to be released in the coming week will likely show the country stayed well clear of recession in the June quarter - but the outlook for the economy is looking, as the Reserve Bank has indicated, pretty anaemic
11th Sep 22, 6:00am
81
Figures to be released in the coming week will likely show the country stayed well clear of recession in the June quarter - but the outlook for the economy is looking, as the Reserve Bank has indicated, pretty anaemic
With financial markets increasingly expecting interest rates might ease next year, the Reserve Bank may well deliver a strongly 'hawkish' message next week to the effect that now is not the time to ease up on inflation
14th Aug 22, 8:02am
96
With financial markets increasingly expecting interest rates might ease next year, the Reserve Bank may well deliver a strongly 'hawkish' message next week to the effect that now is not the time to ease up on inflation