Monetary Policy Review
[updated]
The Reserve Bank will have to deliver more interest rate cuts than it has signalled this year, or the risk of further job losses will only grow, Kiwibank economists say
10th Feb 25, 1:35pm
65
The Reserve Bank will have to deliver more interest rate cuts than it has signalled this year, or the risk of further job losses will only grow, Kiwibank economists say
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway sees dominance of the 'traditional drivers of growth' in the New Zealand economy coming to an end
30th Jan 25, 10:01am
108
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway sees dominance of the 'traditional drivers of growth' in the New Zealand economy coming to an end
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the central bank will have to 'feel its way' as the OCR gets closer to its estimate of neutral and he doesn't see a return to 'ultra-low' rates seen during the early stages of the pandemic any time soon
29th Jan 25, 12:26pm
96
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the central bank will have to 'feel its way' as the OCR gets closer to its estimate of neutral and he doesn't see a return to 'ultra-low' rates seen during the early stages of the pandemic any time soon
HSBC economists expect the Official Cash Rate to be down to 3% by the third quarter of this year and see the economy growing 1.8% in 2025 and 2.5% next year
28th Jan 25, 10:25am
25
HSBC economists expect the Official Cash Rate to be down to 3% by the third quarter of this year and see the economy growing 1.8% in 2025 and 2.5% next year
Economists see latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion as clearing the way for a further substantial cut to the Official Cash Rate next month
15th Jan 25, 9:34am
132
Economists see latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion as clearing the way for a further substantial cut to the Official Cash Rate next month
Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr is forecasting that the OCR will be cut to 3% next year and says rates were too high for too long
3rd Dec 24, 8:25am
64
Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr is forecasting that the OCR will be cut to 3% next year and says rates were too high for too long
Westpac chief economist Kelly Eckhold sees the possibility the Reserve Bank may start to raise the Official Cash Rate again as soon as 2026
2nd Dec 24, 11:49am
15
Westpac chief economist Kelly Eckhold sees the possibility the Reserve Bank may start to raise the Official Cash Rate again as soon as 2026
[updated]
The Reserve Bank cut rates as expected but surprised the markets with a relatively 'hawkish' view of any future reductions in the OCR
27th Nov 24, 2:09pm
170
The Reserve Bank cut rates as expected but surprised the markets with a relatively 'hawkish' view of any future reductions in the OCR
David Hargreaves says we should see another decent-sized cut to the Official Cash Rate in the coming week, but beyond that, all eyes will be on how the Reserve Bank sees things developing next year
24th Nov 24, 6:00am
88
David Hargreaves says we should see another decent-sized cut to the Official Cash Rate in the coming week, but beyond that, all eyes will be on how the Reserve Bank sees things developing next year
[updated]
Reserve Bank declares victory on inflation and delivers double whammy rate cut
9th Oct 24, 2:01pm
248
Reserve Bank declares victory on inflation and delivers double whammy rate cut
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate agree the OCR will be cut this week, but are mixed over whether it should be a 25-point or 50-point cut
7th Oct 24, 11:04am
58
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate agree the OCR will be cut this week, but are mixed over whether it should be a 25-point or 50-point cut
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming Official Cash Rate review in which all the discussion centres around whether the RBNZ will be looking to use a pistol or a bazooka to bring down rates
6th Oct 24, 6:00am
203
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming Official Cash Rate review in which all the discussion centres around whether the RBNZ will be looking to use a pistol or a bazooka to bring down rates
David Hargreaves examines the apparently set path we are on to a series of interest rate reductions and wonders if there could yet be some potholes along the way
8th Sep 24, 6:30am
47
David Hargreaves examines the apparently set path we are on to a series of interest rate reductions and wonders if there could yet be some potholes along the way
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
3rd Sep 24, 1:15pm
43
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham is suggesting ways New Zealand could reclaim the former superstar status he bestowed upon us
28th Aug 24, 2:48pm
22
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham is suggesting ways New Zealand could reclaim the former superstar status he bestowed upon us
Reserve Bank starts long awaited interest rate cuts, and is forecasting further cuts before the end of the year. It also now sees annual inflation falling to just 2.3% by the end of this quarter
14th Aug 24, 2:11pm
289
Reserve Bank starts long awaited interest rate cuts, and is forecasting further cuts before the end of the year. It also now sees annual inflation falling to just 2.3% by the end of this quarter
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
12th Aug 24, 2:20pm
33
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming OCR review in which all attention revolves around whether the Reserve Bank will stick to its own script - or acquiesce to the urgings of financial markets for cuts, not so much now, as YESTERDAY, please
11th Aug 24, 6:30am
138
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming OCR review in which all attention revolves around whether the Reserve Bank will stick to its own script - or acquiesce to the urgings of financial markets for cuts, not so much now, as YESTERDAY, please
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
8th Jul 24, 1:45pm
23
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
The Reserve Bank's likely to cheerfully ignore the growing clamour for some public indication of when the Official Cash Rate will be cut when it has its next review of the OCR in the coming week
7th Jul 24, 6:30am
100
The Reserve Bank's likely to cheerfully ignore the growing clamour for some public indication of when the Official Cash Rate will be cut when it has its next review of the OCR in the coming week
BNZ economists say they hope the Reserve Bank will 'eventually accept' there are a number of relative price increases such as insurance and rates that can be 'looked through'
2nd Jul 24, 10:55am
28
BNZ economists say they hope the Reserve Bank will 'eventually accept' there are a number of relative price increases such as insurance and rates that can be 'looked through'
[updated]
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the country is in a 'slow-to-no-to-negative' growth environment, but the outlook is slightly more positive for the future and the outlook is also for continued declines in inflation
19th Jun 24, 9:49am
130
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the country is in a 'slow-to-no-to-negative' growth environment, but the outlook is slightly more positive for the future and the outlook is also for continued declines in inflation
[updated]
RBNZ leaves Official Cash Rate at 5.5%, but says domestic inflation is slow to fall and now puts a 60% chance of a further OCR hike by the end of this year; now doesn't see inflation getting back under 3% till the fourth quarter of the year
22nd May 24, 2:20pm
280
RBNZ leaves Official Cash Rate at 5.5%, but says domestic inflation is slow to fall and now puts a 60% chance of a further OCR hike by the end of this year; now doesn't see inflation getting back under 3% till the fourth quarter of the year
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
13th Mar 24, 9:34am
46
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
4th Mar 24, 11:41am
23
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'