Employment
The latest quarterly Household Expectations Survey for the Reserve Bank finds households still expect inflation to be above the RBNZ's 1% to 3% target in two years' time
20th May 24, 3:40pm
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The latest quarterly Household Expectations Survey for the Reserve Bank finds households still expect inflation to be above the RBNZ's 1% to 3% target in two years' time
Influential RBNZ survey shows another decisive drop in the expectation of future levels of inflation in a result that will give the RBNZ comfort ahead of its Official Cash Rate decision next week
13th May 24, 3:41pm
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Influential RBNZ survey shows another decisive drop in the expectation of future levels of inflation in a result that will give the RBNZ comfort ahead of its Official Cash Rate decision next week
Softer labour market data won’t be enough to make the RBNZ cut the OCR before late 2024 or 2025, bank economists say
1st May 24, 3:56pm
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Softer labour market data won’t be enough to make the RBNZ cut the OCR before late 2024 or 2025, bank economists say
Unemployment rate climbed to 4.3% in the March quarter from 4%, just exceeding the Reserve Bank’s expectations
1st May 24, 10:56am
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Unemployment rate climbed to 4.3% in the March quarter from 4%, just exceeding the Reserve Bank’s expectations
Bank economists anticipate the unemployment rate will edge up when Statistics NZ releases March quarter labour market data
28th Apr 24, 6:01am
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Bank economists anticipate the unemployment rate will edge up when Statistics NZ releases March quarter labour market data
Patrick Watson reckons the potential for mass unemployment is lower than it used to be, so wonders if the US can have a recession if unemployment can’t rise
20th Apr 24, 9:12am
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Patrick Watson reckons the potential for mass unemployment is lower than it used to be, so wonders if the US can have a recession if unemployment can’t rise
Former MPC member Peter Harris says employment hasn’t been removed from the RBNZ’s mandate and the committee is still required to target a ‘soft landing’
5th Apr 24, 10:17am
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Former MPC member Peter Harris says employment hasn’t been removed from the RBNZ’s mandate and the committee is still required to target a ‘soft landing’
ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence survey shows a sharp fall with sentiment 'likely affected by recession headlines'
28th Mar 24, 10:46am
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ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence survey shows a sharp fall with sentiment 'likely affected by recession headlines'
David Hargreaves suggests it's time we looked purely at the number of migrant arrivals - rather than 'netting off' the figures against departures
27th Mar 24, 7:41am
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David Hargreaves suggests it's time we looked purely at the number of migrant arrivals - rather than 'netting off' the figures against departures
GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome
17th Mar 24, 6:01am
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GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
13th Mar 24, 9:34am
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Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
4th Mar 24, 11:41am
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Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
28th Feb 24, 2:13pm
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Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
As US Modern Monetary Theory advocates make their case in Australia, Gareth Vaughan explains the world through their lens and how it might go down in New Zealand
24th Feb 24, 9:50am
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As US Modern Monetary Theory advocates make their case in Australia, Gareth Vaughan explains the world through their lens and how it might go down in New Zealand
Householders' views of future inflation have risen sharply in a development that goes very much against what the Reserve Bank is looking for as it seeks to dampen down inflation
22nd Feb 24, 3:34pm
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Householders' views of future inflation have risen sharply in a development that goes very much against what the Reserve Bank is looking for as it seeks to dampen down inflation
The National-led government has been left with a right royal migration mess to clean up. But what happens after the immediate salvage job?
21st Feb 24, 3:49pm
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The National-led government has been left with a right royal migration mess to clean up. But what happens after the immediate salvage job?
[updated]
Influential RBNZ survey shows a decisive drop in the expectation of future levels of inflation in a result that will give the RBNZ comfort ahead of its next Official Cash Rate decision
13th Feb 24, 3:35pm
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Influential RBNZ survey shows a decisive drop in the expectation of future levels of inflation in a result that will give the RBNZ comfort ahead of its next Official Cash Rate decision
[updated]
There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
12th Feb 24, 12:22pm
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There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
Labour market remains resilient even as unemployment rate rises to 4% in the December quarter and other employment metrics also soften
7th Feb 24, 10:53am
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Labour market remains resilient even as unemployment rate rises to 4% in the December quarter and other employment metrics also soften
David Hargreaves looks at the 'inevitable' discussion we are about to have as to whether it's still the right economic approach to just target low inflation at all costs
6th Feb 24, 6:00am
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David Hargreaves looks at the 'inevitable' discussion we are about to have as to whether it's still the right economic approach to just target low inflation at all costs
Labour market figures out in the coming week tipped to show unemployment rising from the last recorded 3.9% rate to 4.2% or higher
4th Feb 24, 6:01am
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Labour market figures out in the coming week tipped to show unemployment rising from the last recorded 3.9% rate to 4.2% or higher
Adrian Orr will give a keynote speech to a high-powered economic forum ahead of the Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate decision of the year
31st Jan 24, 2:27pm
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Adrian Orr will give a keynote speech to a high-powered economic forum ahead of the Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate decision of the year
ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
18th Jan 24, 4:08pm
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ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
AI will affect almost 40 percent of jobs around the world, replacing some and complementing others. We need a careful balance of policies to tap its potential, says Kristalina Georgieva
16th Jan 24, 10:26am
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AI will affect almost 40 percent of jobs around the world, replacing some and complementing others. We need a careful balance of policies to tap its potential, says Kristalina Georgieva
The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
16th Jan 24, 9:54am
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The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall