Craig Ebert
Core inflation has barely budged in the past nine months and may stick around until unemployment begins to rise, economists suggest
19th Jul 23, 4:48pm
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Core inflation has barely budged in the past nine months and may stick around until unemployment begins to rise, economists suggest
Economists at the country's biggest banks are neatly divided as to whether the economy has or has not gone into recession, but there's great consensus that things are slowing and that our current account deficit's very big
12th Jun 23, 3:22pm
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Economists at the country's biggest banks are neatly divided as to whether the economy has or has not gone into recession, but there's great consensus that things are slowing and that our current account deficit's very big
Labour market figures to be released this week will likely show unemployment levels largely unchanged, but economists and the Reserve Bank are still expecting 'slack' to start emerging in the labour force as the year goes on
1st May 23, 2:31pm
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Labour market figures to be released this week will likely show unemployment levels largely unchanged, but economists and the Reserve Bank are still expecting 'slack' to start emerging in the labour force as the year goes on
Mortgage rates were unmoved by the RBNZ’s big hike as traders bet any increase now will be matched with a cut later
12th Apr 23, 9:54am
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Mortgage rates were unmoved by the RBNZ’s big hike as traders bet any increase now will be matched with a cut later
The Reserve Bank of NZ will likely lift the Official Cash Rate 25 basis points on Wednesday and give little else away
2nd Apr 23, 6:00am
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The Reserve Bank of NZ will likely lift the Official Cash Rate 25 basis points on Wednesday and give little else away
The Reserve Bank will be looking for any signs that the jobs market is cooling when new figures are released in the coming week. David Hargreaves says it might not get these signs. Not yet, anyway
29th Jan 23, 6:00am
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The Reserve Bank will be looking for any signs that the jobs market is cooling when new figures are released in the coming week. David Hargreaves says it might not get these signs. Not yet, anyway
BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
12th Sep 22, 3:10pm
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BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
'It’s the biggest real house price downturn we’ve had since the 1970s'
Sharp falls in job ads in property-related industries see BNZ/SEEK Employment Report record 2.7% fall in overall job adverts last month, down from the record high level in May
6th Jul 22, 11:42am
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Sharp falls in job ads in property-related industries see BNZ/SEEK Employment Report record 2.7% fall in overall job adverts last month, down from the record high level in May
Job adverts continue to rise - but the number of people applying for each job continues to fall
7th Jun 22, 11:15am
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Job adverts continue to rise - but the number of people applying for each job continues to fall
RBNZ needs 'to inflict some damage on the labour market' in order to cool inflation, bank economists say
26th May 22, 10:03am
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RBNZ needs 'to inflict some damage on the labour market' in order to cool inflation, bank economists say
ASB economists now see NZ inflation driving up over 7% in the first half of this year, mainly on the back of surging oil prices
7th Mar 22, 3:45pm
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ASB economists now see NZ inflation driving up over 7% in the first half of this year, mainly on the back of surging oil prices
BNZ economists now see inflation hitting 6.6% in the first quarter of this year
14th Feb 22, 2:24pm
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BNZ economists now see inflation hitting 6.6% in the first quarter of this year
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
13th Dec 21, 10:18am
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This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
The level 4 lockdown last year was followed by a 30% rocketing of house prices. This year's won't be
31st Aug 21, 2:27pm
The level 4 lockdown last year was followed by a 30% rocketing of house prices. This year's won't be
BNZ economists raise the possibility that the Reserve Bank might hike the Official Cash Rate by half a percentage point in one go - something that last happened over 21 years ago
20th Jul 21, 2:09pm
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BNZ economists raise the possibility that the Reserve Bank might hike the Official Cash Rate by half a percentage point in one go - something that last happened over 21 years ago
BNZ economists now expect a 0.8% rise in GDP for the March quarter against the Reserve Bank's expectation of a -0.6% fall. They currently forecast inflation of 3% 'but evidence is gathering to move this higher'
10th Jun 21, 11:27am
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BNZ economists now expect a 0.8% rise in GDP for the March quarter against the Reserve Bank's expectation of a -0.6% fall. They currently forecast inflation of 3% 'but evidence is gathering to move this higher'
Latest BNZ/SEEK employment report shows job ads at a fresh record high in May
BNZ economists see inflation getting close to 3% by the end of the year and say it will take a 'determinedly dovish' RBNZ to 'look through' the rise
10th May 21, 3:06pm
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BNZ economists see inflation getting close to 3% by the end of the year and say it will take a 'determinedly dovish' RBNZ to 'look through' the rise
BNZ economists describe Govt plans to influence bank lending as a "surprise" but say judgement will have to wait until further details are revealed
27th Apr 21, 2:55pm
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BNZ economists describe Govt plans to influence bank lending as a "surprise" but say judgement will have to wait until further details are revealed
Economists expect the RBNZ to respond to government pressure over house prices by restricting bank lending; Financial markets now see lower odds of a negative OCR in 2021
25th Nov 20, 6:58am
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Economists expect the RBNZ to respond to government pressure over house prices by restricting bank lending; Financial markets now see lower odds of a negative OCR in 2021
Economists forecast that GDP figures out this week will show growth in the September quarter came in above Reserve Bank expectations
16th Dec 19, 1:02pm
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Economists forecast that GDP figures out this week will show growth in the September quarter came in above Reserve Bank expectations
The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
11th Nov 19, 11:28am
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The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's latest messages inject uncertainty about what the central bank will say and do at its next interest rate review next month
29th Oct 19, 3:00pm
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BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's latest messages inject uncertainty about what the central bank will say and do at its next interest rate review next month
Finance Minister Grant Robertson's presided over another strong financial year for the Crown - but he's still not expected as yet to provide the fiscal kick many are seeking for the economy
7th Oct 19, 3:00pm
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Finance Minister Grant Robertson's presided over another strong financial year for the Crown - but he's still not expected as yet to provide the fiscal kick many are seeking for the economy