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The Opening Bell: Where currencies start on Wednesday, October 5, 2016

Currencies
The Opening Bell: Where currencies start on Wednesday, October 5, 2016

By Dan Bell

The NZDUSD opens at 0.7212 (mid-rate) this morning.

The NZDUSD has retreated from yesterday’s high of 0.7305 following a disappointing Global Dairy Trade auction and further hawkish comments from Fed officials.

The latest GDT auction held overnight declined 3% following a 1.7% increase at the previous auction a fortnight ago. Following four consecutive gains whole milk powder declined by 3.8% its steepest fall in the current 2016/17 season. This latest downturn will no doubt have dealt a blow to Fonterra’s forecast payout, which following the previous auction was increased from NZ$4.75 per kg to NZ$5.25 per kg.

Overnight several Federal Reserve officials including non-voting representatives Jeffrey Lacker and Loretta Mester admitted they would have voted to raise rates in September adding to the case for a hike at the next meeting in November.

Global equity markets remain mixed - Dow -0.59%, S&P 500 -0.54%, FTSE +1.30%, DAX +1.03%, CAC +1.11%, Nikkei +0.83%, Shanghai +0.21%.

Gold prices are down 3% from yesterday currently trading at $1,273 an ounce, WTI Crude Oil continues to rise up 0.6% overnight  currently trading at  $48.94 a barrel

Current indicative rates:

NZDUSD       0.7212     -0.7%
NZDEUR       0.6439     -0.6%
NZDGBP       0.5665      0.1%
NZDJPY         74.14       0.3%
NZDAUD       0.9465     -0.1%
NZDCAD       0.9521     -0.1%

Upcoming Data releases (NZST):

  • 13:00 ANZ Commodity Prices m/m

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Dan Bell is the senior currency strategist at HiFX in Auckland. You can contact him here »

Daily exchange rates

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Source: RBNZ
Source: RBNZ
Source: RBNZ
Source: RBNZ
Source: RBNZ
Source: RBNZ
Source: RBNZ
Source: CoinDesk

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