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Although BNZ's latest home loan rate moves are not to especially unique levels, their raising of rates at the long end signal a different shape in the rate curves

Personal Finance / news
Although BNZ's latest home loan rate moves are not to especially unique levels, their raising of rates at the long end signal a different shape in the rate curves
rates up and down

BNZ is the next to move fixed home loan rates.

But while its changes are not market-leading for rates two years and shorter, they are pushing out the boat at the long end.

They have raised 4 and 5 year fixed rates, reflecting the shift in interest rate curves. It seems that others will follow.

International benchmark rate curves have been steepening recently, although that has so far been more of an unwind of the rate inversions we have had since mid-2022.

Wholesale swap rates have followed the same pattern and now one and five year wholesale rates are very similar.

So it perhaps should be no surprise that BNZ's one and five year fixed rates are little-different too, after this change.

The New Zealand 1-5 mortgage rate inversion has been around since April 2023. The availability of lower long rates is coming to an end.

It is just a guess of course, but the new uncertainties in the American economy seem likely to extend the trend of rising long rates if only because of the volatility expected in the US Federal budget. Benchmark UST 10 year yields fell over a long period from the early 1980s until the first Trump Administration. Since then they have turned higher. In fact recently they have risen from the pre-election low of 3.70% to today's 4.20%.

And locally, the focus of using only short rates for home loans will continue, especially if the RBNZ makes another outsized OCR rate cut at their February 19, 2025. That will build back the 'normal' rate curve back too.

BNZ's new four and five year fixed rates are now among the highest from most banks.

BNZ did not announce any matching term deposit rate changes 

The comparison rate summaries below are for carded rates. But carded rates are one thing. Actual off-card rates are often lower.

The reader-reported mortgage rates are fluid so we need you to record them in the comment section below, which helps us stay on top of this fast-changing corner of the home loan rates market

Almost all banks will have some flexibility in their rate offers. So the carded rates are just the start. Negotiate. How flexible they may be will depend on the strength of your financials.

One useful way to make sense of the changed home loan rates is to use our full-function mortgage calculator which is below.

And if you already have a fixed term mortgage that is not up for renewal at this time, our break fee calculator may help you assess your options. Break fees will be minimal in a rising market. But they become important in a falling market, like now.

Here is the updated snapshot of the lowest advertised fixed-term mortgage rates on offer from the key retail banks at the moment. 

 Fixed, below 80% LVR 6 mths   1 yr   18 mth  2 yrs   3 yrs  4 yrs  5 yrs 
as at December 3. 2024 % % % % % % %
               
ANZ 6.24 5.79 5.59 5.59 5.59 6.19 6.19
current reader-reported rates   5.59 5.39 5.39      
ASB  6.19 5.79 5.59 5.49 5.59 5.79 5.79
current reader-reported rates 5.99 5.79 5.59 5.49 5.59 5.69 5.69
5.99 5.79
-0.16
5.59
-0.30
5.59
-0.10
5.69 5.79
+0.20
5.89
+0.30
current reader-reported rates              
Kiwibank 6.49 5.79   5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69
current reader-reported rates              
Westpac 6.19 5.79 5.69 5.49 5.59 5.59 5.59
current reader-reported rates              
               
Bank of China  6.65 5.99 5.79 5.69 5.69 5.49 5.49
China Construction Bank 6.50 5.99 5.79 5.69 5.69 6.40 6.40
Co-operative Bank  6.19 5.79 5.69 5.59 5.69 5.69 5.69
Heartland Bank   5.65 5.59 5.55 5.55    
ICBC  6.39 5.99 5.79 5.65 5.59 5.49 5.49
  SBS Bank 6.60 6.15 5.79 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69
  6.45 5.69 5.89 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69

Fixed mortgage rates

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Daily swap rates

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Source: NZFMA
Source: NZFMA
Source: NZFMA
Source: NZFMA
Source: NZFMA
Source: NZFMA
Source: NZFMA

Comprehensive Mortgage Calculator

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15 Comments

Seems to just be straightening out

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Why isn't BNZ in the table?

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Oh. I see. It's the line with no bank name. (Chrome & Edge)

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they will be hidden if you have adblock on.

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The BNZ rates are missing from the table.  

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asb - not much difference from their carded rates

6m-5.99

12m-5.79

18m-5.59

24m-5.49

36m-5.59

48m-5.69

60m-5.69

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The yield curve is normalising. They could lower the OCR, but the NZ10Y on the long end remains elevated and above where it was when they first cut. Meanwhile, Australia’s looking worse, with both their 2Y and 10Y sitting higher than ours.

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Does anyone know what BNZ is offering to customers for 6 months fixed? Presumably it's lower than the carded rate

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I fixed on Friday, 6months and BNZ flat refused to go any lower than 5.99% for that term. They said they've got the leading rate and they will not go lower. That's for over a mil of refix and over 20% equity. First time I've ever had to take the carded rate. But they wouldn't budge. Annoying, but what can you do, still was what I chose. You've got 5 bus. days though to take a new deal, if a better one arises. Not looking like it will so far this week.

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Awesome, thanks for the insight. I've got a similar loan to you and just asked ASB to lock in 6 months at 5.99. Good to know there might be 5 days' wiggle room if the market moves. Cheers 

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Where is that in the fine print?

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We refixed 20 sept at 5.59. DTIs need to be reduced. My grad’s landlord is being crushed under his massive mortgage, and is now panicked. He always believed he could just pass on the costs. He once told her he’d rather young people not be able to buy houses, cos it meant he was always guaranteed a good income stream. Rent seeking at its finest.

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Not many spruikers on here celebrating the rising long end.......

The MAGA steepener is paying off

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paying off for who?

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Kiwibank offered to match the 6-month rate of 5.99% offered by the competitors.

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