OCR
[updated]
ASB matches the new lower ANZ two year mortgage rates, and launches a low one year fixed rate (although not as low as Kiwibank). Now Westpac has cut too
24th Feb 25, 8:46am
35
ASB matches the new lower ANZ two year mortgage rates, and launches a low one year fixed rate (although not as low as Kiwibank). Now Westpac has cut too
Weak US services PMI contributed to a rise in risk aversion and a sharp fall in US equities. US treasury yields tumble. Brent crude prices drop 3% to near US$74 per barrel
24th Feb 25, 7:30am
Weak US services PMI contributed to a rise in risk aversion and a sharp fall in US equities. US treasury yields tumble. Brent crude prices drop 3% to near US$74 per barrel
Kiwibank has jumped to the head of the queue with its latest fixed home loan offers, targeting the most popular terms at the short end
21st Feb 25, 10:31am
23
Kiwibank has jumped to the head of the queue with its latest fixed home loan offers, targeting the most popular terms at the short end
Equity markets are weaker, retreating from recent record highs. UST yields slip. USD broadly weaker. Commodity currencies get a boost on trade deal talk. JPY outperforms as JGB yields rise to fresh highs
21st Feb 25, 7:49am
Equity markets are weaker, retreating from recent record highs. UST yields slip. USD broadly weaker. Commodity currencies get a boost on trade deal talk. JPY outperforms as JGB yields rise to fresh highs
The Reserve Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate more quickly than expected as it predicts a rapid return to economic equilibrium
20th Feb 25, 8:00am
48
The Reserve Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate more quickly than expected as it predicts a rapid return to economic equilibrium
European equities retraced from record high after hawkish comments by an ECB official. European bond yields move higher. Trade tensions stay in focus. Trump said he would impose tariffs on cars, semi-conductors and pharmaceutical imports
20th Feb 25, 7:46am
European equities retraced from record high after hawkish comments by an ECB official. European bond yields move higher. Trade tensions stay in focus. Trump said he would impose tariffs on cars, semi-conductors and pharmaceutical imports
The Red Bank pulls away from its sub 5% rate offer, but ANZ then jumped in with a 4.99% two year fixed carded offer
19th Feb 25, 3:07pm
48
The Red Bank pulls away from its sub 5% rate offer, but ANZ then jumped in with a 4.99% two year fixed carded offer
[updated]
Reserve Bank cuts OCR to 3.75% and indicates room for more cuts than earlier forecast this year; economists say 'we are all on the same page now'
19th Feb 25, 2:14pm
90
Reserve Bank cuts OCR to 3.75% and indicates room for more cuts than earlier forecast this year; economists say 'we are all on the same page now'
Weaker US homebuilder sentiment, an uplift in UK wage inflation, and an upward surprise in core Canadian CPI inflation. RBA kicks off easing cycle with 25bps cut. The cautious policy outlook was also not particularly surprising
19th Feb 25, 7:42am
2
Weaker US homebuilder sentiment, an uplift in UK wage inflation, and an upward surprise in core Canadian CPI inflation. RBA kicks off easing cycle with 25bps cut. The cautious policy outlook was also not particularly surprising
Reserve Bank of Australia cuts its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1% citing progress on getting inflation down towards its target range
18th Feb 25, 4:32pm
9
Reserve Bank of Australia cuts its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1% citing progress on getting inflation down towards its target range
The latest quarterly Household Expectations Survey for the Reserve Bank finds that households reckon the inflation rate will be 4.9% in a year and they don't see it being within the 1% to 3% target range over the next five years
18th Feb 25, 3:43pm
43
The latest quarterly Household Expectations Survey for the Reserve Bank finds that households reckon the inflation rate will be 4.9% in a year and they don't see it being within the 1% to 3% target range over the next five years
[updated]
TSB shines with a pre-RBNZ rate drop for fixed home loan rates, with their one year rate at a market leading level not seen since May 2023 from any other bank
18th Feb 25, 8:43am
13
TSB shines with a pre-RBNZ rate drop for fixed home loan rates, with their one year rate at a market leading level not seen since May 2023 from any other bank
European equities rise to a fresh record highs. President Xi meets with Chinese IT leaders, a strong signal of a turnaround from his crackdown on the sector. RBA widely expected to kick-start easing cycle later this afternoon
18th Feb 25, 7:19am
European equities rise to a fresh record highs. President Xi meets with Chinese IT leaders, a strong signal of a turnaround from his crackdown on the sector. RBA widely expected to kick-start easing cycle later this afternoon
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate strongly agree the OCR will be cut 50 basis points this week - but there's a diversity of views on what should come next
17th Feb 25, 11:47am
16
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate strongly agree the OCR will be cut 50 basis points this week - but there's a diversity of views on what should come next
US retail sales significantly weaker than expected. This data contributed to lower US Treasury yields and weighed on the US dollar. NZD/USD traded back above 57 USc and to its highest level since December
17th Feb 25, 7:22am
1
US retail sales significantly weaker than expected. This data contributed to lower US Treasury yields and weighed on the US dollar. NZD/USD traded back above 57 USc and to its highest level since December
A 50-point cut to the Official Cash Rate is a near certainty in the coming week, so attention will quickly turn to whatever signals the Reserve Bank may give about further cuts
16th Feb 25, 6:30am
92
A 50-point cut to the Official Cash Rate is a near certainty in the coming week, so attention will quickly turn to whatever signals the Reserve Bank may give about further cuts
Ukraine war negotiation talk supports risk sentiment. Higher than expected US PPI data but weak components that feed into PCE deflator; US Treasuries rally, reversing some of previous day's move
14th Feb 25, 7:44am
Ukraine war negotiation talk supports risk sentiment. Higher than expected US PPI data but weak components that feed into PCE deflator; US Treasuries rally, reversing some of previous day's move
[updated]
Influential RBNZ survey has shown drops in the expectations of the future levels of inflation in a move that will give the central bank comfort ahead of its first Official Cash Rate decision of the year next week
13th Feb 25, 3:24pm
40
Influential RBNZ survey has shown drops in the expectations of the future levels of inflation in a move that will give the central bank comfort ahead of its first Official Cash Rate decision of the year next week
Much stronger US CPI data drive US rates up; just one Fed rate cut this year now priced in. Stronger USD post CPI reverse course. NZD recovers
13th Feb 25, 7:50am
3
Much stronger US CPI data drive US rates up; just one Fed rate cut this year now priced in. Stronger USD post CPI reverse course. NZD recovers
ASB cuts its fixed mortgage rates to market lows, and cuts term deposit rates even harder, in moves much larger than wholesale rate changes
12th Feb 25, 8:29am
109
ASB cuts its fixed mortgage rates to market lows, and cuts term deposit rates even harder, in moves much larger than wholesale rate changes
Powell reiterates the Fed in no hurry to cut interest rates in his semi-annual Senate Testimony. Little impact on market pricing for Fed policy. EU says it will respond to any tariffs the US might impose on it
12th Feb 25, 7:55am
Powell reiterates the Fed in no hurry to cut interest rates in his semi-annual Senate Testimony. Little impact on market pricing for Fed policy. EU says it will respond to any tariffs the US might impose on it
Global equity markets advanced in the absence of economic data or other catalysts. Investors look ahead to key US inflation data and Powell’s Congress testimony. Gold prices hit a record high above US$2900 per troy ounce
11th Feb 25, 9:13am
Global equity markets advanced in the absence of economic data or other catalysts. Investors look ahead to key US inflation data and Powell’s Congress testimony. Gold prices hit a record high above US$2900 per troy ounce
[updated]
The Reserve Bank will have to deliver more interest rate cuts than it has signalled this year, or the risk of further job losses will only grow, Kiwibank economists say
10th Feb 25, 1:35pm
65
The Reserve Bank will have to deliver more interest rate cuts than it has signalled this year, or the risk of further job losses will only grow, Kiwibank economists say
Resilient US labour market data support the Fed's caution on further policy easing. US consumer inflation expectations rise to highest level since 2008. Fed easing expectations pared. US treasury yields higher supporting the USD
10th Feb 25, 7:32am
Resilient US labour market data support the Fed's caution on further policy easing. US consumer inflation expectations rise to highest level since 2008. Fed easing expectations pared. US treasury yields higher supporting the USD
BoE cuts policy rate by 25bps to 4.5%. US 10-year rate up modestly overnight but down from NZ close pre-Waitangi Day. Treasury Secretary Bessent targets lower 10-year rate; US ISM services survey underwhelms
7th Feb 25, 7:47am
BoE cuts policy rate by 25bps to 4.5%. US 10-year rate up modestly overnight but down from NZ close pre-Waitangi Day. Treasury Secretary Bessent targets lower 10-year rate; US ISM services survey underwhelms