OCR
Trade war intensifies after Trump orders 25% tariffs on imports of foreign-made cars, bringing retaliation threats from the EU, Canada, Japan and South Korea
28th Mar 25, 8:34am
Trade war intensifies after Trump orders 25% tariffs on imports of foreign-made cars, bringing retaliation threats from the EU, Canada, Japan and South Korea
Kiwibank the slowest major bank to cut floating mortgage rates as the OCR falls, while ASB takes first place for the fastest bank to hike those rates when the OCR rose
27th Mar 25, 9:48am
Kiwibank the slowest major bank to cut floating mortgage rates as the OCR falls, while ASB takes first place for the fastest bank to hike those rates when the OCR rose
Soft risk tone overnight as uncertainty about US trade policy weighs on investor sentiment. US traded copper futures reach a record high after a 25% plus gain since the start of the year
27th Mar 25, 7:46am
Soft risk tone overnight as uncertainty about US trade policy weighs on investor sentiment. US traded copper futures reach a record high after a 25% plus gain since the start of the year
With the first quarter of the year nearly gone, and with GDP having returned to growth, David Hargreaves has a quick check on the economy's pulse
26th Mar 25, 1:08pm
6
With the first quarter of the year nearly gone, and with GDP having returned to growth, David Hargreaves has a quick check on the economy's pulse
Progress in Russia-Ukraine peace deal. White House conflict on tariff basis. US Conference Board consumer confidence plunges, as per the University of Michigan survey
26th Mar 25, 7:51am
Progress in Russia-Ukraine peace deal. White House conflict on tariff basis. US Conference Board consumer confidence plunges, as per the University of Michigan survey
Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Survey shows lowest levels of confidence since the immediate aftermath of the first Covid lockdown in 2020
25th Mar 25, 9:03am
4
Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Survey shows lowest levels of confidence since the immediate aftermath of the first Covid lockdown in 2020
Risk appetite higher as market embraces view that 'Liberation Day' will see narrower scope of tariffs than previously thought. US services PMI stronger than expected, allaying recession fears. US Treasury yields up towards top of recent trading range
25th Mar 25, 7:48am
Risk appetite higher as market embraces view that 'Liberation Day' will see narrower scope of tariffs than previously thought. US services PMI stronger than expected, allaying recession fears. US Treasury yields up towards top of recent trading range
Economists don't see the upside surprise to the latest quarterly GDP figures as derailing likely Official Cash Rate cuts in each of the next two RBNZ reviews - but beyond that there's question marks over what comes next
24th Mar 25, 2:42pm
1
Economists don't see the upside surprise to the latest quarterly GDP figures as derailing likely Official Cash Rate cuts in each of the next two RBNZ reviews - but beyond that there's question marks over what comes next
US equities slightly higher, US Treasuries in a tight trading range, USD slightly stronger. Nine more sleeps until "Liberation Day", when Trump's reciprocal tariffs take effect; speculation that they will be narrower than previously threatened
24th Mar 25, 7:22am
US equities slightly higher, US Treasuries in a tight trading range, USD slightly stronger. Nine more sleeps until "Liberation Day", when Trump's reciprocal tariffs take effect; speculation that they will be narrower than previously threatened
US Treasuries well supported in the wake of yesterday's Fed policy update; 10-year rate extends fall to 4.17% overnight before reversing. BoE leaves rates unchanged
21st Mar 25, 7:53am
US Treasuries well supported in the wake of yesterday's Fed policy update; 10-year rate extends fall to 4.17% overnight before reversing. BoE leaves rates unchanged
ASB trims some home loan rates but these aren't significant or competitive. They also cut most key term deposit rates. The net effect is a margin gain
20th Mar 25, 8:50am
5
ASB trims some home loan rates but these aren't significant or competitive. They also cut most key term deposit rates. The net effect is a margin gain
The US Fed left rates on hold as expected. Policy makers continue to signal 50bp of cuts for this year. Plan slower balance sheet runoff. BofJ left rates on a cautious hold. NZ consumer confidence slumps
20th Mar 25, 7:55am
The US Fed left rates on hold as expected. Policy makers continue to signal 50bp of cuts for this year. Plan slower balance sheet runoff. BofJ left rates on a cautious hold. NZ consumer confidence slumps
Trump and Putin talk but make little progress. Germany's lower house approves massive fiscal plan to boost defence and infrastructure spending. US equities weaker, US Treasuries continue to consolidate
19th Mar 25, 8:13am
Trump and Putin talk but make little progress. Germany's lower house approves massive fiscal plan to boost defence and infrastructure spending. US equities weaker, US Treasuries continue to consolidate
Weak US retail sales weighed by cars, but stronger control group sales that feed into GDP came as a relief. US equities in positive territory. Stronger than expected China data, while government outlines plan to boost domestic consumption
18th Mar 25, 7:49am
Weak US retail sales weighed by cars, but stronger control group sales that feed into GDP came as a relief. US equities in positive territory. Stronger than expected China data, while government outlines plan to boost domestic consumption
Strong rebound for US equities. But US consumers' long term inflation expectations reached the highest level since 1993 while sentiment slumped. Euro gains after after a deal for massive German fiscal expansion
17th Mar 25, 7:29am
Strong rebound for US equities. But US consumers' long term inflation expectations reached the highest level since 1993 while sentiment slumped. Euro gains after after a deal for massive German fiscal expansion
More tariff headlines with Trump proposing 200% retaliatory tariffs on the EU after its retaliatory tariffs on the US. Risk appetite weaker, with US equities showing chunky falls again and US Treasuries well supported
14th Mar 25, 7:46am
1
More tariff headlines with Trump proposing 200% retaliatory tariffs on the EU after its retaliatory tariffs on the US. Risk appetite weaker, with US equities showing chunky falls again and US Treasuries well supported
US 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium take effect prompting retaliatory actions from the EU. US CPI weaker than expected though tariffs create uncertainty looking forward. Bank of Canada cuts rates by 25bp to 2.75% as expected
13th Mar 25, 7:42am
US 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium take effect prompting retaliatory actions from the EU. US CPI weaker than expected though tariffs create uncertainty looking forward. Bank of Canada cuts rates by 25bp to 2.75% as expected
International Monetary Fund says given the 'propensity' in New Zealand for rapid housing credit growth, the RBNZ should monitor the effect of its OCR easing and 'make full use' of its macroprudential toolbox to control the emergence of risks
12th Mar 25, 2:30pm
4
International Monetary Fund says given the 'propensity' in New Zealand for rapid housing credit growth, the RBNZ should monitor the effect of its OCR easing and 'make full use' of its macroprudential toolbox to control the emergence of risks
US-Canada trade war escalates; US to impose higher tariffs on steel, aluminium and cars from Canada. US equities tumble further; US Treasuries yields push higher
12th Mar 25, 7:53am
1
US-Canada trade war escalates; US to impose higher tariffs on steel, aluminium and cars from Canada. US equities tumble further; US Treasuries yields push higher
Market anxiety rises after Trump dodges question on recession. US equities tumble, led by the mega cap stocks; Nasdaq index down over 4%. Weaker risk sentiment supports US Treasuries and JPY
11th Mar 25, 7:41am
Market anxiety rises after Trump dodges question on recession. US equities tumble, led by the mega cap stocks; Nasdaq index down over 4%. Weaker risk sentiment supports US Treasuries and JPY
US labour market data in line with consensus expectations. The S&P rebounded from earlier losses to close higher. Fed chair Powell reiterated the central bank doesn’t need to hurry to cut rates
10th Mar 25, 7:37am
US labour market data in line with consensus expectations. The S&P rebounded from earlier losses to close higher. Fed chair Powell reiterated the central bank doesn’t need to hurry to cut rates
As Adrian Orr abruptly departs the Reserve Bank, it's a good time to think about what type of central bank we want
9th Mar 25, 8:49am
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As Adrian Orr abruptly departs the Reserve Bank, it's a good time to think about what type of central bank we want
Nobel Prize winner Ben Bernanke believes central banks should provide alternative economic forecasts and explain how they might react if those scenarios were to happen
7th Mar 25, 8:30am
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Nobel Prize winner Ben Bernanke believes central banks should provide alternative economic forecasts and explain how they might react if those scenarios were to happen
Choppy markets on uncertainty over US import tariffs. US equities fall 2%. ECB cuts 25bps as expected. German rates continue to push higher in the wake of the move to ease the debt brake and ramp up defence and infrastructure spending
7th Mar 25, 7:50am
Choppy markets on uncertainty over US import tariffs. US equities fall 2%. ECB cuts 25bps as expected. German rates continue to push higher in the wake of the move to ease the debt brake and ramp up defence and infrastructure spending
A surge in non-performing mortgage loans is a reminder that even though interest rates are now falling, this is not necessarily going to lift the economy as quickly as we would hope
7th Mar 25, 5:00am
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A surge in non-performing mortgage loans is a reminder that even though interest rates are now falling, this is not necessarily going to lift the economy as quickly as we would hope