Liz Kendall
RBNZ plans to hike its bond-buying by about 10% this week, as it comes up against tightening financial conditions and higher bond yields
8th Mar 21, 4:11pm
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RBNZ plans to hike its bond-buying by about 10% this week, as it comes up against tightening financial conditions and higher bond yields
No changes to the country's monetary policy settings are expected when the Reserve Bank has its first review of the year next week - but everybody will be looking for clues as to what comes next
20th Feb 21, 12:27pm
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No changes to the country's monetary policy settings are expected when the Reserve Bank has its first review of the year next week - but everybody will be looking for clues as to what comes next
Never mind OCR hikes just yet - ANZ strategist looks for RBNZ guidance on how it'll slow the pace at which it creates money to buy government debt
15th Feb 21, 8:00am
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Never mind OCR hikes just yet - ANZ strategist looks for RBNZ guidance on how it'll slow the pace at which it creates money to buy government debt
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
3rd Feb 21, 3:24pm
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The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
Economists are picking a December quarter 2020 unemployment rate of around 5.6%, higher than the 5.3% rate in September; unemployment likely to peak later this year
2nd Feb 21, 9:51am
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Economists are picking a December quarter 2020 unemployment rate of around 5.6%, higher than the 5.3% rate in September; unemployment likely to peak later this year
ANZ economists expect the housing market will cool 'in time', but exactly when is highly uncertain, given that momentum in the market can be slow to moderate
20th Jan 21, 1:26pm
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ANZ economists expect the housing market will cool 'in time', but exactly when is highly uncertain, given that momentum in the market can be slow to moderate
Economists see the longer term outlook for inflation as more stable, therefore reducing pressure on the Reserve Bank to keep lowering interest rates
18th Jan 21, 2:40pm
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Economists see the longer term outlook for inflation as more stable, therefore reducing pressure on the Reserve Bank to keep lowering interest rates
ANZ economists say the fear of missing out dynamic has the potential to contribute to frothiness in the housing market that ultimately cannot be sustained
2nd Nov 20, 11:58am
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ANZ economists say the fear of missing out dynamic has the potential to contribute to frothiness in the housing market that ultimately cannot be sustained
Economists think the unemployment rate will show a discernible lift for the September quarter, but the figures are not likely to be as bad as was being forecast earlier in the year
2nd Nov 20, 10:16am
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Economists think the unemployment rate will show a discernible lift for the September quarter, but the figures are not likely to be as bad as was being forecast earlier in the year
Why banks believe a Funding for Lending Programme wouldn't do enough to protect their profits in the face of a negative Official Cash Rate
30th Oct 20, 10:58am
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Why banks believe a Funding for Lending Programme wouldn't do enough to protect their profits in the face of a negative Official Cash Rate
Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
23rd Oct 20, 11:11am
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Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
ANZ economists expect the Reserve Bank to unveil the new funding for lending programme (FLP) next month and say it will need to involve a considerable amount to ensure maximum impact
22nd Oct 20, 12:50pm
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ANZ economists expect the Reserve Bank to unveil the new funding for lending programme (FLP) next month and say it will need to involve a considerable amount to ensure maximum impact
Latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows rise in confidence ahead of election - firms much more upbeat about hiring staff
20th Oct 20, 10:36am
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Latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows rise in confidence ahead of election - firms much more upbeat about hiring staff
Economists see short term volatility in inflation before the impact of Covid holds prices down
19th Oct 20, 11:12am
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Economists see short term volatility in inflation before the impact of Covid holds prices down
ANZ economists say housing credit growth is being supported by falling mortgage rates, but any future downturn in the housing market would be expected to suppress spending and deepen the economic downturn
9th Oct 20, 10:16am
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ANZ economists say housing credit growth is being supported by falling mortgage rates, but any future downturn in the housing market would be expected to suppress spending and deepen the economic downturn
ANZ economists say negative interest rates won't be without potential costs and they believe the Reserve Bank will have to weigh these against perceived benefits when deciding whether to drop the Official Cash Rate below zero
22nd Sep 20, 2:03pm
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ANZ economists say negative interest rates won't be without potential costs and they believe the Reserve Bank will have to weigh these against perceived benefits when deciding whether to drop the Official Cash Rate below zero
Those both pro and anti the way the RBNZ has done its QE programme acknowledge it had no choice but to intervene to calm the bond market back in March
13th Sep 20, 6:02am
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Those both pro and anti the way the RBNZ has done its QE programme acknowledge it had no choice but to intervene to calm the bond market back in March
Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
11th Aug 20, 5:00am
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Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment rate actually FELL to 4%, but the 'underutilisation' rate had a record climb, up to 12%, employment fell by 11,000 jobs and 37,000 people left the workforce
5th Aug 20, 11:13am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment rate actually FELL to 4%, but the 'underutilisation' rate had a record climb, up to 12%, employment fell by 11,000 jobs and 37,000 people left the workforce
Economists on average are picking unemployment to surge up from 4.2% to 5.7% for the June quarter - but they stress that the impact of the lockdown is going to make it difficult to get a clear picture
3rd Aug 20, 12:10pm
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Economists on average are picking unemployment to surge up from 4.2% to 5.7% for the June quarter - but they stress that the impact of the lockdown is going to make it difficult to get a clear picture
ANZ economists now say the downturn in the housing market will come later - at the end of this year and into next
21st Jul 20, 2:56pm
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ANZ economists now say the downturn in the housing market will come later - at the end of this year and into next
ANZ economists say it is 'possible but unlikely' a negative Official Cash Rate might be employed next year if the economic outlook became bad enough
9th Jul 20, 2:51pm
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ANZ economists say it is 'possible but unlikely' a negative Official Cash Rate might be employed next year if the economic outlook became bad enough
Latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows businesses still very downbeat, with 25% of them expecting weaker demand in the next quarter; construction sector most pessimistic
7th Jul 20, 10:15am
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Latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows businesses still very downbeat, with 25% of them expecting weaker demand in the next quarter; construction sector most pessimistic
Statistics New Zealand says there was a 'widespread drop in economic activity' in the March quarter; the fall was bigger than economists' estimates; worse is to come in the June quarter
18th Jun 20, 10:57am
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Statistics New Zealand says there was a 'widespread drop in economic activity' in the March quarter; the fall was bigger than economists' estimates; worse is to come in the June quarter
GDP figures out this week for the March quarter will show a fall in economic activity - but this will just be a taste of what is to come in the June quarter
15th Jun 20, 11:11am
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GDP figures out this week for the March quarter will show a fall in economic activity - but this will just be a taste of what is to come in the June quarter