David Croy
A 50-point cut to the Official Cash Rate is a near certainty in the coming week, so attention will quickly turn to whatever signals the Reserve Bank may give about further cuts
16th Feb 25, 6:30am
92
A 50-point cut to the Official Cash Rate is a near certainty in the coming week, so attention will quickly turn to whatever signals the Reserve Bank may give about further cuts
Labour market figures to be released in the coming week, could show unemployment hitting 5% for the first time since a brief spike during the pandemic, but David Hargreaves says with interest rates now coming down employment levels may start to settle
2nd Feb 25, 6:30am
123
Labour market figures to be released in the coming week, could show unemployment hitting 5% for the first time since a brief spike during the pandemic, but David Hargreaves says with interest rates now coming down employment levels may start to settle
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming Official Cash Rate review in which all the discussion centres around whether the RBNZ will be looking to use a pistol or a bazooka to bring down rates
6th Oct 24, 6:00am
203
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming Official Cash Rate review in which all the discussion centres around whether the RBNZ will be looking to use a pistol or a bazooka to bring down rates
ANZ's economists pick house prices to remain flat in the first half of this year and then rise by 2% in the second half
31st Jan 24, 7:21am
51
ANZ's economists pick house prices to remain flat in the first half of this year and then rise by 2% in the second half
Wholesale interest rates drop sharply after Statistics NZ reports soft economic data and the US Federal Reserve signals it could cut interest rates soon
15th Dec 23, 12:25pm
43
Wholesale interest rates drop sharply after Statistics NZ reports soft economic data and the US Federal Reserve signals it could cut interest rates soon
Wholesale interest rates have fallen since Wednesday when the RBNZ warned of another rate hike
1st Dec 23, 2:52pm
26
Wholesale interest rates have fallen since Wednesday when the RBNZ warned of another rate hike
[updated]
Stats NZ says food prices 'fell across the board in October'; Stats NZ has also released a new monthly series of pricing data to give more timely inflation information; airfares now dropping quickly, rents still rising, tobacco up sharply
14th Nov 23, 11:07am
23
Stats NZ says food prices 'fell across the board in October'; Stats NZ has also released a new monthly series of pricing data to give more timely inflation information; airfares now dropping quickly, rents still rising, tobacco up sharply
Market expectations of Official Cash Rate settings leaning towards cuts after the increase in unemployment this week
2nd Nov 23, 2:11pm
19
Market expectations of Official Cash Rate settings leaning towards cuts after the increase in unemployment this week
The ANZ economics team looks at how the global interest rate shifts up impact our economic policymaking and economic prospects
28th Oct 23, 9:15am
7
The ANZ economics team looks at how the global interest rate shifts up impact our economic policymaking and economic prospects
ANZ economists have raised their forecast of house price growth and now see a 4% rise for the second half of this year
25th Sep 23, 2:36pm
116
ANZ economists have raised their forecast of house price growth and now see a 4% rise for the second half of this year
'While there are risks on both sides of our house price forecast, we think the near-term skew is to the upside'
29th Aug 23, 2:50pm
62
'While there are risks on both sides of our house price forecast, we think the near-term skew is to the upside'
Finance Minister Grant Robertson says the Budget will focus on fiscal sustainability and delivering core services
11th May 23, 10:12am
37
Finance Minister Grant Robertson says the Budget will focus on fiscal sustainability and delivering core services
Another migration-fuelled housing boom had seemed like it might be a story for three-to-five years time, but the speed of the comeback of large-scale inbound migration means we need to be thinking hard about the issue right now
4th May 23, 5:00am
128
Another migration-fuelled housing boom had seemed like it might be a story for three-to-five years time, but the speed of the comeback of large-scale inbound migration means we need to be thinking hard about the issue right now
[updated]
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
22nd Feb 23, 2:11pm
138
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
Reserve Bank makes it three in a row for 50 point OCR hikes; says it is 'resolute' in commitment to getting inflation down
13th Jul 22, 2:05pm
166
Reserve Bank makes it three in a row for 50 point OCR hikes; says it is 'resolute' in commitment to getting inflation down
RBNZ needs 'to inflict some damage on the labour market' in order to cool inflation, bank economists say
26th May 22, 10:03am
61
RBNZ needs 'to inflict some damage on the labour market' in order to cool inflation, bank economists say
Economists are tentatively suggesting the 6.9% annual inflation rate might be somewhere near the peak, but they don't see high prices subsiding any time soon
21st Apr 22, 2:22pm
65
Economists are tentatively suggesting the 6.9% annual inflation rate might be somewhere near the peak, but they don't see high prices subsiding any time soon
ANZ economists say the Reserve Bank will need to 'move aggressively' to defend its inflation target from people's rising expectations - and that won't be good for economic growth
23rd Mar 22, 8:30am
112
ANZ economists say the Reserve Bank will need to 'move aggressively' to defend its inflation target from people's rising expectations - and that won't be good for economic growth
Inflation has so much strength and persistence that the RBNZ will likely need to keep raising interest rates despite softening house prices, ANZ economists say
22nd Mar 22, 10:37am
178
Inflation has so much strength and persistence that the RBNZ will likely need to keep raising interest rates despite softening house prices, ANZ economists say
ANZ economists revise their inflation and interest rate forecasts up, as they now see the OCR hitting 2% by May
8th Mar 22, 11:39am
130
ANZ economists revise their inflation and interest rate forecasts up, as they now see the OCR hitting 2% by May
Treasury will likely need to borrow more to help the Reserve Bank reduce the size of its bond holdings. This could put upward pressure on interest rates
23rd Feb 22, 8:16pm
28
Treasury will likely need to borrow more to help the Reserve Bank reduce the size of its bond holdings. This could put upward pressure on interest rates
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
15th Dec 21, 9:01am
128
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
RBNZ Chief Economist says Omicron hasn't changed the Bank's outlook; Points out that if the RBNZ decides to sell its NZ Government Bonds, the Government will need to be the buyer
29th Nov 21, 8:03pm
17
RBNZ Chief Economist says Omicron hasn't changed the Bank's outlook; Points out that if the RBNZ decides to sell its NZ Government Bonds, the Government will need to be the buyer
Views mixed on whether investor demand for sustainable debt will be high enough for the Government to charge a 'greemium' when it issues green bonds next year
17th Nov 21, 7:46am
10
Views mixed on whether investor demand for sustainable debt will be high enough for the Government to charge a 'greemium' when it issues green bonds next year
A reassessment of the likely average cost of borrowing over the next few years poses a challenge to asset valuations that underpin household wealth, ANZ economists say
20th Oct 21, 8:42am
112
A reassessment of the likely average cost of borrowing over the next few years poses a challenge to asset valuations that underpin household wealth, ANZ economists say