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Amanda mulls over five reasons to buy a house in over-priced Auckland. Your view, should she or shouldn't she?

Personal Finance
Amanda mulls over five reasons to buy a house in over-priced Auckland. Your view, should she or shouldn't she?

By Amanda Morrall (email)

I'm not one to get caught up in trends easily. Okay, there was a brief childhood infatuation with the J. Geils band in the '70s (I was 7) and a spiral perm in the '80s, (sorry no pix but it was a good afro even with shoulder length hair), I've disdained top 40 music, mainstream fashion, food trends, Disney pix and gone against popular culture in just about every way possible. But living in Auckland I feel myself slowly succumbing to the mother of all trends; that insidious, unavoidable disease better known as the property bug.

Apparently, it's quite catchy. I was reminded of just how much when I caught a glimpse of the New Zealand Herald's front page this morning broadcasting the latest outbreak, this one affecting first-time home buyers. Auckland house prices, the article states, have climbed to their highest rates since 2007, driven by the scores of first-time home buyers jumping on the ladder. The average price has leapt to $529,508.00.

Believe me, I have been fighting this fever hard. The glossy property magazines and flyers I find in my postbox every week move swiftly from my coffee table to the recycling bin after a quiet thumb threw and coffee splat when I choke on the prices.  I work in an environment where property related stories, even the most banal ones, are consumed with as much exuberance as a bone thrown to my dog. I watch with amazement as the traffic numbers jump off the charts, put my head down and carry on.

Well, it's been 15 months now since I moved to Auckland (more than five years since I moved to New Zealand), and my resistance or immunity seems to be breaking down for I am entertaining previously unimaginable thoughts. Perhaps it's a function of age, and the need to put down roots, something I have resisted doing my whole life.

I joke about moving to Gisborne or Whangarei, as economically it's a sensible move and one that doesn't make me feel like I have invisible hands around my neck. However, realistically I am embedded here for a while. My job, shared-child care with the ex, schools the kids are settled and happy at and a new network of friends. Starting fresh somewhere else to save money on a house doesn't make sense. Well, it does on many levels but I think I've finally run out of puff after 25 plus moves.

Here's five reasons I came up with that might push me off the fence I've been straddling for sometime. What do you think. Should I, or shouldn't I?

1) Interest rates

I don't often agree with the little big boss BH, however I tend to agree on his call about interest rates staying low for a while. How can they not given the state of affairs internationally? Relative to interest rates back home in Canada, they're shockingly high here but maybe as good as they're going to get for a while? I know quite a few of our readers believe the sky is falling and the world economy is going to go bust. I don't for a minute minimise the challenges we're facing but refuse to believe that the world, as we know it, is going to end tomorrow, or even the next day, or the day after that.

2) Ownership

I'm no fool. I'm under no illusion that property (that is the place where you hang your handbag) is an investment. It's a home and for that reason considerations, other than financial ones necessarily come into play. Also, as I'm staunchly independent and don't like being at someone else's mercy, being a long-term renter and paying off someone else's mortgage doesn't really appeal. I appreciate that, barring the fantasy windfall, I will have to exchange one master for another; landlord for banker. Doesn't thrill me but I have come to accept that life is a series of trade-offs.

3) Stock market uncertainty

I still have faith in the markets but I believe the environment to be much changed. The gravy days of 7% returns are in all likelihood over. When you factor in the fees and expenses you'll pay for someone else to manage your money, the returns (at least for the foreseeable future) are going to be thin I reckon. If I thought my discretionary savings, invested in the market, would yield something significant, I'd be more gung ho.

4) A starting point

Until the Government introduces a capital gains tax or else strips away all the landlord subsidies that come in the form of accommodation allowances and Working for Families tax credits, or more land is freed up for development, I can't see property prices falling dramatically in Auckland, however bubbly the market may be. I don't much like the idea of going into debt but it's a fanciful notion, on my part, to think I can slap down $400-$500K in cash in the next 10 years to avoid that reality.

5) Fortune favours the brave

I don't know if following the herd and taking on a mortgage is necessarily brave. Maybe more practical than anything else. At some point, provided you're able to service a mortgage and have saved up 10% for a deposit (as well as being able to cover the inevitable incidentals), it's about taking charge of your own destiny. Nothing is certain in this life, save the two obvious things (death and taxes) so perhaps at some point you (rather I) need to take the plunge.

What do you think? Should I or shouldn't I?

To read other Take Fives by Amanda Morrall click here. You can also follow Amanda on Twitter@amandamorrall

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83 Comments

True, but also consider how much you're paying for said property.  Compared to incomes, housing in Auckland has never been more expensive.

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Traditionally, rents had to be similar to what a mortgage would cost you. When rents have not increased like house prices, thanks to capital gains expectations on the part of investors, it becomes even more rational to rent while waiting for house price falls.

The higher prices go, the less rational it becomes to expect further rises in the future and the more rational it becomes to expect decreases. Once the decrease starts........

Especially given the state of the national economy and the world economy.

Bear in mind that low interest rates/high house prices are a trap. The cost over a lifetime is far higher than with low house prices and high interest rates. Furthermore, when inflation is high and interest rates are high and house prices are still OK relative to incomes, inflation reduces your debt load relative to income as time goes on. Even better for the baby boomer generation, the high interest rates did not last past a decade, and they refinanced their low mortgage at low interest rates.

In the boomer's day, you could expect 1) your debt to be inflated away

2) future interest rate movements to be "downward".

This AIN'T GONNA HAPPEN for TODAY's generation.

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Under today's conditions, a mortgage is just renting from a banker landlord. The house ain't yours, the risk of losing everything is high, and the amount you will lose in that case, is very much higher.

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LOL, just because people are bearish on some things doesn't mean they are bearish on everything. I suggest you take emotion out of the equation when thinking about something that concerns money Ivan.

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100% incorrect. I do not buy stocks based on emotion, I buy them based on their price, their future earnings potential and facts and figures that are documented.

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Warren Buffett would be proud of you ! ........ he saved himself & his investors a mega fortune by not letting emotion drag him into tech stocks during the dot.com bubble a decade ago ....

 

...... nerves of steel , to stand as a contrarian against the hordes clamouring for the latest fad company ........

 

Which is why his face is on many a book , nowadays ......

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Also PB I think you make a good point there, the baby boomers have pretty much milked this country dry. When an honest man who works an honest days work on an honest wage can't afford to buy a home in his own country, theres a problem there. A BIG problem

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haha, save us your cute little utopian ideals - someone who works in a supermarket would claim themselves to being an honest guy who works an honest days toil right?  How come my mate who has never done anything but supermarket work has just got a property?

 

The fact that 70% of NZ have SKY subscriptions, along with the 7 million mobile phones, and all the other unecessary monthly expenses such as internet and lotto tickets in this country are the reason why people claim to not have enough money to live or buy properties.

 

If someone works and is sensible then there is no reason why they can't afford a place to live.  Look around South Auckland, there are heaps of places going for low 200's - buy there and use it as a stepping stone to upgrade to something better in 5 years time.  Even better, set it up through a company and get a friend to rent one of the bedrooms out - use their rental income to pay off the interest and use your income to pay off the principal.  

 

When I hear someone complaining about it not being fair and that it is not possible for an ordinary person to own their home all I see is a defeatist looking for an excuse to blame because they are too scared to do a bit of hard work.

 

 

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I could pay rent of $665 per week or $635 per week (just interest) to own the same place. You tell me which money is more dead money, rent or interest? They are dead in exactly the same way.

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...

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Better than paying a loan created from NOTHING with interest & fees attached created from nothing that only pushes up the real cost of living. Either way (if you knew anything about the monetary supply) YOU LOSE, BANKS WIN

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Property bubbles have been bursting all round the world; USA, Europe.  It looks like Australia is faltering as we speak.  New Zealand hasn't experienced the pop yet.  Auckland is the most over-priced part of New Zealand.  Maybe ask yourself this question, if prices dropped significantly, and perhaps your income too, then would that would that significantly impact you?  Just my 2c...

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no.........my 2cents....

regards

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It would put me at significant risk and I guess anybody else who has any savings - every mortgage debt is represented by a deposit..

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and you think you are not at risk now?  I hope you have 2 bank accounts at least and can transfer via the Internet if one looks like its about to default.

regards

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3 cents Steven....royalty commission my boy....see your making already..!

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Do you want to live in your own debt free home in your retirement?

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I look forward to it Mortbelt...brewing and tripping...what more can a bloke ask.

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A Lava lamp.....?

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Not bad for a Friday Count. Heck I still can't believe Gummy didn't slaughter you for the Pontius Pilot comment the other day.

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shhhh!

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Pontius Pilot ? ....... is he with Air NZ ??? .......

 

..... not that I'd dream of advising someone else wot to do ( ahem ! ) but there's no way in hell I'd buy accomodation in Auckland ......

 

Put the deposit into some commercial property , and get a decent rental yield , meebee .....

 

........ but the " gravy days of 7 % " returns are far from over in the stockmarket .... indeed , some fabbo stocks on the NZX pay a fully franked dividend greater than that ......

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But you aren't paying anyone else to manage your money, correct? So more gravy for Gummy Bear at the end of the day. And out of curosity, where would Gummy buy, if Gummy was held down with a 9-5? 

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Warren Buffett said that any person with an average IQ could successfully manage their own munny . And that folks with an IQ over 140 were notoriously bad at munny management ....

 

..... personally I would rent , if working full time in Auckland . It's not a city I'd imagine living in long term ........

 

The investment markets favour the owners of the means of production ...... whether investments in  industry , or in commercial property , ..... you'll have a more secure future than those who's soul asset is an expensive house ......

 

....... wot's Bernard paying in rates now , $ 3400 didn't he say !

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I read an alternative take on your comment recently Gummy. Control of the means of production was more important than the ownership. It talked about this change happening over the duration of the 20thC and the use of boards of directors being a key factor.

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... we're splitting heirs over this , Mr Scarfie : Whether you have direct control over your business , or you've purchased a share of ownership in someone else's business , the principal is the same : You're in business !

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"ception to Buffett's rule huh Gummy? Soul asset, that's a good one. I have two soul assets. My children, 

Here's a proposal for ya Gummy: money management for yoga? Quid pro quo. Only condition, no wise cracks or lewd comments allowed.

 

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Here's two questions for you Amanda :

 

1 : Do you really want to live in Auckland , long term . Regardless of the ex , or of the job , do you really prefer Auckland to any other part of the world ?

 

and B : Do you envisgae staying in your current employment long term ( OK , 10 years or beyond ) ...... or do you hanker after fresh challenges , a posting to Singapore , Hong Kong , Parnassus , or somesuch ?

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I bought an overpriced, rotting dung heap at the 2007 peak for $295000, and have since poured enough time and money into it to ensure a return of nothing. On the balance though I now love the place and have 3 kids who have 800sqm to play in and call their own. It's this emotional side of things that square the ledger.

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I didn't know that Parliament was for sale fenderbender!...did you strip out the native wood and flog it...?

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Mortgage repayments are now 26% cheaper than in 2008. This allows you to set your repayments on a 10 or 15 year term rather than 20-30 year term.  Forget market conditions etc,  you don't buy a home for an investment-for-income/capital appreciation - you buy for increasing power over your accommodation, location, & positioning in the market, and a debt-free (free) accommodation. 

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I appreciate your reasoned views MB. Cheers, Amanda

 

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Well, it's an interesting dilemna - no doubt faced by many atm. We were in the same boat two years ago. Sold house for good price - i wanted to rent for a while, pay down all debt. However, after not much luck finding decent rental for 3 kids & dog we ended u buying again. Thanks to dropping int rates have probable repaid more debt tjan would have saved renting.

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Here is an offshore take on the topic Amanda. I posted it on Alex's thread also.

 

Biderman states the crumbling house prices in Australia, New Zealand and Canada have removed them as safe haven currencies for him.

 

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With all due respect to that guy, who looks like he hasn't sleep in a year, home prices are only "crumbling" in selective spots in said nations. That sweeping statement just doesn't hold true in many places and there are underlying economic reasons why they won't impode as dramatically as predicted by gold bugs such as Biderman. Listen to me, I must really have the fever, I better go see a witch doctor.

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I know the bug you have Amanda so I know what you mean, the difference is that I didn't succumb. People around me at the time were raving on about getting rich in property and leveraging themselves to the hilt. Thing was that was in 1996, and by 1997 the town had 25% wiped of the value of its real estate. I have the registered valuations to prove that. The people who succumbed then either sold at a lost or sat on negative equity for about seven years.

 

If they were still holding those properties they would be worth around 170% of their purchase price, but over that same sixteen years, inflation has increased 270%.

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My partner and I finally pulled the trigger and brought in Burwood, ChCh April 2010.  Our house was written off in the Sept 2010 quake.  The red zone offer worked out OK for us fortunately, and now we're back to square one, facing the same decision, but with added dimensions, such as build new, or buy existing?  Which earthquake-affected suburb to buy in?  What is an acceptable level of risk regarding dwelling style, land classifications, insurability, demographic changes etc?  It's a complex decision, and we're happy to rent for a bit longer, although the rental price increases down here are scary, and only going to get scarrier.  Yikes.

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...if you think prices will go on up, then I guess there is some logic to getting in now.  But will they continue upwards, hold or decline? 

All very well and good paying big bucks when both ma and pa are earning a couple hundy each.  How many have budgeted for one loosing job or at least a sizeable pay cut?

Wages are going nowhere fast....I'd be waiting till the midst of winter when we are well into job cuts, business failures, rates  & insurance increses ... all topped with some winter depression......then we might see some reality setting in.

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I know someone in that exact position, high paying job out the window and now underwater with the mortgage payments. To think they were talking about buying an investment property last time we had dinner. That is in Auckland so be interesting to see how many under the table distressed properties like that about.

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Factor in that the banks are ready, willing and able to do some very sharp deals - ignore their published rates as they are flush with cash, making huge profits and are prepared to negotiate excellent floating or fixed rates!

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and when rates finally do rise on that 90%+ mortgage at its very smart rate today, there will be a few stomachs  with the 'bottomless' feeling

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Shouldn't - on a financial basis

  • Rentings cheaper, easier and flexible 
  • NZ and global credit crunch issue has not been resolved but bandaged and supressed
  • Banks over loan on housing relative to incomes
  • Interest rates will go up
  • Affordability is affecting Aucklands economic growth and quality of labour
  • A major financial commitment well leave one with vulnerable - employment, health, natural disasters, chnge of personal circumstance. Worry
  • Its so very easy to buy but hard to sell

 

Should - non financial basis

  • Emotional basis - Shelter, home, nest, security
  • Longterm commitment 10 - 20 years

 

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Agree with this.

 

Thinking of quitting the job, moving down-country and contracting back to my existing employer since I could own a far better property in a nicer area outside of Auckland. Prices here are at comedy levels, ant there's zero choice on the market.... every day there's less keeping me here. I'm the alternative first home buyer who's just decided that Auckland's too rich for my blood.... I suspect I won't be the last.

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IF everybody in Amanda's position formed a "first home buyers society" and boycotted the market, prices definitely would come down.

Young 1st home buyers are the subject of financial abuse, pure and simple, at the hands of the older generation. They are like the cannon fodder in wartime, only in this case they are the foreclosure fodder for the coming crash.

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I read an interesting comment today. Fiat money, with interest attached, is the tool that is used to accumulate wealth to the top, but gold is what the top used to secure that wealth when that get it.

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SO TRUE

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Owning a home can be a lovely experience if you want to put roots down.

And if it's not an investment - why use investment measures to decide?

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Conversely, if you are a person who worries about money or finds it a burden I'd be extra careful to stay within budget.

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Much appreciated everyone. Stay tuned....

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DON'T BE FOOLED. IT'S A GAME THAT WILL MAKE YOU A SLAVE FOR LIFE

"The word mortgage is a Law French term meaning "death contract," meaning that the pledge ends (dies) when either the obligation is fulfilled or the property is taken throughforeclosure.[1]"

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Open homes tomorrow then. Once you see your kids racing around on a property, it's all over..

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If you go house shopping do it on dreary days, cold ones if possible and after or during a lot of rain. Good way to see all sorts of issues. Be prepared to poke, prod and crawl and that's all on the initial foray.

Personally I bought for nesting not investment but yeah, make sure you can afford it when or if rates go back up.

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Dont Buy, you will only be supporting the Ponzi poperty scheme for longer.  Look at your income and see if where you are in the NZ income bracket matches the level of property you could buy.  I bet it doenst, i.e If you are in the top 10% income earners in this country can you buy the top 10% of poperty, I doubt it.  Its all out of wack, it has to correct its just the speed of the correction that is frustrating.  Wait it out, but make sure you are saving the diff between renting and buying.  Your time will come.

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That's what the doomers have been saying for last 4 years. Meanwhile one could have paid 1/3rd of your house off by now. Kiwis love houses, immigrants love houses, banks sort of love houses, - it's unlikely the 400,000 to 650,000 family home in reasonable areas will drop drastically.
So what if they do drop 10%,? You've done your conservative serviceability sums ... eventually property will catchup or overtake..

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You think its unlikely, look at the USA m, drops of 30% and it isnt finished yet..........NZ is as badly over-priced. I think its very likely myself....worst case scenario is a 2nd great depression, which would take 60~75% off the value.......

regards

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MB, you amuse me, paying 1/3 off in 4 years, most people have 25year plus loans?? Why are people so ready to accept that while propertys went up 100% in 8 years and believe they will do the same in the next 10years inflation and your wages lagged by more than half that.  Yet when someone suggests they could fall 15-30% thats crazy??  Are your wages going to double in the next 10years?? Opps I forgot its just house prices that go up regardless of what happens in the real economy.  The two have to reconcile at some stage, I guess the  issue in NZ is that the economy is the housing market so we are stuffed.  No worries though the solution seems to be - sell everything to forgieners, we will see how long that works before there are riots in the streets.

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If you set your repayments at the $$ level of, say, 8.5% (old normal rates) then you should be able to repay a $300,000 15 year table mortgage in 12-15 years no trouble. If you had bought in 2008, then you would be 1/3rd of the way there (time-wise).

Noone is arguing that prices will keep rising -  only that they are unlikely to suddenly drop (by the 30% etc).  

My argument is to ignore potential price rises or falls and just focus on achieving the goal (made easier by historically low interest rates) of actually paying your house off.  

Time is the killer -  not the global fluctuations and threats.  In the same way that if we had saved 10% of our income from age 18.  Buy your home as early as possible and pay it off.  Then you can focus on more interesting diverse investment options.

The last 4 years has been fantastic for home-owners who have retained a good job/income.  Their housing cost outgoings have dropped 26%.   Maybe it was one last free gift given to the BabyBoomers!  Those who have stubbornly stayed renting, waiting for the "drop" - well, they have missed out so far for four good years. On bad advice.

Who cares what happens to house prices once you have it paid for?  Rents will never decrease below a %age of the avergae wage -  they keep benchmarked to incomes (as well as the current spike).

 

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1) Interest rates: Any amount of interest on a loan created from nothing is STILL a con and rip-off. BH should know better

2) Ownership: You don't own a thing until the loan PLUS interest is paid in full. 

"Doesn't thrill me but I have come to accept that life is a series of trade-offs." Only because we tolerate corruption! On a global and governmental scale 

3) Stock market uncertainty: When has the stockmarket EVER been a dead cert? That's how markets work, sometimes you win, sometimes you lose   4) A starting point: A starting point into voluntary slavery!   5) Fortune favours the brave: Madoff use to say this I believe. Don't be a fool. Fortune favours the 'smart' 
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In Auckland where Amanda is talking of buying having a 300,000 mortgage means you will need a deposit of $300K.  I don’t many people who can save that sort of money, and before you say she should buy in the 300-400K house price bracket, have a look at what you get for that and see if a middle to upper income person should  be living in it.

 Besides all that I get your point about buying being an enforced way of ensuring you have something in 20 years’ time, however if you are disciplined and save the diff between renting and buying I maintain you will still be better off in the long run.  There is a much greater chance that properties will increase less than inflation over the next 5-10 years along with a good probability they will decrease in real terms as well.  The affordability issue cannot go on forever, something has to give soon.

 

Like I said are our wages going to double or are prices going to drop away?  Could be a bit of both.

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Why when you can get trhis in a country made for them, we did and it was alot of fun, the v10 isn't such a great motor try and get a 460 ford.

http://cgi.ebay.com/ebaymotors/2000-Fleetwood-Pace-Arrow-35N-Motorhome-…

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Forget buying a house in Auckland Amanda, come shopping with me instead.  I will show you how to spend your money. 

 

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I put this on the wrong thread Amanda, it should have been here.

 

Amanda there is also a moral and ethical question over the use of leveraged money. If you read that article in sent you on the quantity theory of money again, you will see that interest on money created from nothing consumes an incrementally greater portion of the money available. That is why houses are becoming increasingly unaffordable, that trend won't stop until the money system fails or debts are forgiven. It is simple maths.
 
The other problem is the criminal aspect to this. You know the money supply grows each year as new money is introduced to cater for the interest from the previous year. So prices in general are going to go up on average by the increase in the inflated money supply. But when you take money that isn't yours (a loan or mortgage) then you also get an inflationary gain in value in your home on the money that isn't yours. So for simplicity say you start with $100K and were able to buy freehold, at 10% inflation then the chances are your house will be worth $110K the next year If you borrow $900,000 loan and buy a million dollar house with the $100K down, then the next year your house is worth $1.1Million and you have doubled the value of your initial investment. It seems like a smart thing to do but you are getting a capital gain for something you didn't actually earn. Ask yourself where this money for nothing actually comes from. Was this money introduced to match an increase in the production of goods? No it wasn't, it is pure artifice. That is how bubbles form, as real estate is one of the few outlets that permits this crooked money.
 
It is actually criminal fraud in intent, as you are taking a pecuniary advantage for something you didn't rightfully earn. This is why I level the accusation at property investors that they are behaving in a criminal manner, this still stands unrefuted. 
 
Don't forget that the bank created the money for nothing, and leverged it 9 to 1 before you get your hands on it. So if you leverage at further 9 to 1 then your overall leverage is 81 to 1. All very nice for those morally bankrupt enough to take advantage of it, but think of the consequences of the leverage in reverse.

 

I will add the the crime of property investment keeps getting perpetuated because there doesn't appear to be a victim, but victims there most certainly are.

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A crime is a transgression of an actual law.  Borrowing $$ to purchase a house is legal in NZ.

You may argue on your 'explanation of created money' that this action is immoral or unethical. But not criminal.  

It is impossible for you to completely cut yourself off from the 'criminal' economic system.  Have you read the book on the guy & family who lived 2 days walk out on the SI West coast? Maybe that's your style.

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That is why I started off calling it a moral and ethical question.

 

However why do we have criminal law? Something to do with protecting people from the harm caused by behaviour of others? So it is the reasons behind the law that are important, defining the actions and intent of those undertaking harmful behaviour. It is the protection from harm that is the underlies civilisation, that and the collective benefits that accrue. When it is no longer beneficial for the individual to exist within the group then yes they will isolate themselves. The funny thing is that the very housing the most people are so defensive about on these threads is designed exactly for that, isolation from the neighbours. All internally focussed with walls, windows and fences. It is happening all around you MB and has been getting progressively worse for a generation, progressively less civilised.

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But Bernard and others predicted house prices would fall 30 %.......

 

Dec 21st 2008 "Since February, I have been expecting house prices to fall 30 per cent over the next couple of years from their peaks of last November and to take another decade to recover to those peaks." - Bernard Hickey

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=105…

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=106…

If you followed that advice, sold in Auckland in 2009 then became a renter you would have missed out on some significant capital gain over the last two years. Quotable Value say house prices in many Auckland suburbs have increased over 25% in the last two years!

Gareth Morgan also got it wrong and was still sure prices would drop when interviewed in June 2011:

http://www.gmi.co.nz/news/1199/why-gareth-is-thrilled-about-falling-pro…

Rodney Dickens was also way off the mark:

http://www.interest.co.nz/news/40732/opinion-why-real-house-prices-are-…

Looks like Olly Newland is the man to follow!

 

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In 1999 at the peak of the dot-com bubble, this financial advisor told me that measures such as P/E ratio are irrelevant. Economic fundamentals will always matter in the end.

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So what exactly is a "capital gain". Where does this seemingly free money come from? And who is on the opposite (losing)side of the deal?

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I think you alreay know the answer scarfie. It's a zero sum game and fuelled almost solely by new debt.

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Bernard ( and a few others ) also twittered on endlessly about a " double dip " recession , post the GFC ...

 

...... day after  day , weeks and months , years drifted by , ....... and still no double-dip recession to be seen ......

 

Hence the sobriquet : Chicken Little Hickey . ...... but I think that the big guy prefers to be called " Captain Calamity " ...........

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Some observations:

  • Auckland is more than its central isthmus, even though you might wonder reading Granny H or the Star Times
  • eschew table mortgages, opt for reducing mortgages; that way you are paying off principal from the first fortnight's mortgage payment and you have a built in buffer; take the mortgage for 25 years and aim to pay it off in 10; my rule of thumb is: if you can't afford the high initial repayment of a reducing mortgage, you can't afford the mortgage
  • irrespective of what you can borrow from the banks, don't borrow more than 80% of valuation and don't spend, on interest & principal repayments, more than 30% of your income
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AM, its all round the wrong way.

Its not what should I buy.....

Its what can I afford ....

 

You have the opportunity to be known for your deeds, not your mortgages.

 

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Interestingly Amanda, I was faced with exactly the same conundrum a few years ago.  We'd been in NZ for 6 years or so (coming from the UK) and had never found a property that we liked and felt represented "value for money". 

We weren't looking for an investment, just a family home - whilst we looked we simply lived in low cost rental property so as not to unneccesarily burn cash on somebody else's mortgage.  I never rented in the UK, I always owned my own home.

A few years ago we finally found a place that we liked - reasonable size, on a full section and built in the 60's, it looked like the ideal family home for us.  Simple weatherboard construction, native hardwood flooring and frame, it looked ideal.  Out in West Auckland (but not too far) we purchased for $480K which was exactly what we were looking to spend.

It was lovely to have a family home that we could make our own.  We enjoyed the sense of stability that owning your own property gives you.  However, we had underestimated the amount of work and cost involved in maintaining a NZ home.

The first thing we did was insulate the property, top and bottom, taking advantage of the governmental grant available that certainly took the sting out of the overall cost.  We also installed an HRV unit that cut out all the "morning moisture" on the windows and mould on the sills/curtains.  Most NZ properties don't seem to have these features, despite desperately needing them. 

We then discovered that the roof had rusted through - it had been repainted days before sale to look new and our builders report had not picked up any problems.  No liability there, of course.  New roof's are not cheap, we discovered.  It also became evident after 6 months or so that the property had been given a very "quick & dirty" lick of white paint prior to sale that was now peeling off.  We had to re-paint the house.  Also not cheap.

Then we noticed that the front, concrete "deck" by the front door was sagging.  A crawl under the house confirmed that the timber framing was rotting and on the verge of collapse.  We had the place fully re-braced with marine-grade timber to ensure that it was solid - again, not cheap. 

There were other problems with wiring, plumbing, fencing etc... that I won't bore you with, but the upshot was that the property (which was one of the nicer ones we viewed) cost us a lot to "get right".

2 and a half years later, I was made redundant for the first time in my life.  No problem, I'm highly skilled, I'm very good at what I do and there is a skills shortage.  We had savings and a contigency plan.  After 4 months the savings ran out and there was still absolutely no work out there.  We decided to sell the house and move back into low-cost rental accomodation - we sold the house for $540K, which basically covered the cost of the maintenance we'd had to undertake.

Several months after selling the house (ourselves, very easy, highly recommended), I re-entered the work-force on a contract basis for 7 months, before finding a permanent position with a reputable firm.  I am now once again enjoying an extremely succesful secular career.  However, we are still in the low-cost rental! 

Once again, I cannot find a property that I am willing to spend money on - anything that looks reasonable and appears to be well maintained is now ridiculously expensive. 

I believe that if you are committed to an area here in Auckland, it probably makes sense to simply "suck it up" and go for it as long as you can afford it.  Be prepared to spend a lot more money than you want to, but I only see prices continuing to rise, particularly if you get a well presented home.

Personally, we will be moving to Australia in 18 months or so.  We're lucky enough to have secured very low cost rental accomodation and are consistently saving 70% of our monthly income.  We will ultimately be spending our cash on an undoubtedly overpriced house in Melbourne instead.

The difference for me is that there is some level of job and salary security over there.  We'll be building a new, environmentally sustainable home so as to enjoy some level of certainty around ongoing costs and quality of construction.  We have done our homework, we have counted the cost and we feel that we have to do it. 

I hope our experience provides you with some insights Amanda and helps you decide what to do!  At the very least, I hope that it perhaps helps you to avoid some pitfalls - believe me, there are many, many properties out there that are not what they appear.

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That's why I said be prepared to poke, crawl etc. and go on a rainy day or after a heavy rain. Lots of houses that LOOK ok aren't. It's amazing how many have surface water issues too. Good to go on cold, windy days to check out drafts.

When we first looked at our house I took along a screw driver to thump and poke and find any rot, etc. that paint might be hiding, crawled under the house to check the pilings (remember to check the sewerage pipes and so on under there too), pulled up rugs to see what the floor was made of and so on.  Remember to run the water to check pressure, talk to the neighbours, check the roof cavity for signs of leaks, look carefully at heating systems and water tanks.

We ended up buying the house I poked to death but we went into it with our eyes open.

Also don't be put off by ratty looking property ie. overgrown gardens or a bad paint job. Those kinds of things can be fixed easily and help keep the price lower.

 

 

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You're absolutely right, it's ideal if you can do all those things - I had a look around the place and to my untrained eye everything looked ok, largely because a lot of superficial cosmetic stuff had been done to hide the problems.  

 

This is common - people painting over bora holes in woodwork, hiding poor wiring installations up underneath the house where you'll never spot it, boxing in terrible plumbing so you don't notice it, laying turf over the manhole cover smack in the middle of the lawn etc...  There are heaps of tricks that I didn't know about.

 

Unfortunately I largely relied on the building inspector that the bank insisted I obtain a report from, and he completely failed to pick up any of the real problems too!  Hopeless.  The general consensus seemed to be "ah yes, a good solid weathboard property, she'll be sweet, none of that monolithic-cladding rubbish, this'll be fine."

 

You're right about untidy gardens and bad paint jobs possibly representing opportunities, but there are 2 considerations - if the garden has been left to grow wild and the paint has been left to flake and peel, you can bet your bottom dollar that there are other less obvious problems.  The boiler won't have been serviced in years etc.... It's a sign that no maintenance has been done, so be careful.

 

The other consideration is that not many people have heaps of cash left after putting a deposit down and paying a mortgage to start doing home renovations.  Re-painting a house can cost thousands and takes time, even if you do it yourself.  Getting somebody to sort it for you is 10 thousand plus.  

 

That is why well maintained properties are selling at a premium - the purchaser can just fold the whole cost into a single mortgage and hope that everything is done.  They haven't got to worry about finding 5 grand in 6 months to re-paint the house, 20 grand in a years time to put a new roof on etc, etc, etc....  It gives them time to build up a maintenance fund that probably won't need to be tapped for a good few years.

 

That's the theory, anyway!

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Mozart:  used a "building inspector that the bank insisted I obtain a report from"

 

Wasn't that a red flag?

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Not really, it is standard practise when obtaining a mortgage.

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I interpreted your statement to mean the bank insisted you use an inspector of their choosing. That should have been a red-flag.

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Unknown to many.

 

If you are ever buying a house and want an expert building inspector, try this. The "Law Society" has an independent panel of experts in various professions, reputable experts who are of such standing that other people sit up and take a lot of notice of when they appear on the scene. Contact either your solicitor, or, the Law Society directly.

 

Similarly, if building a "new build" use their inspection services prior to making progress payments. They are not cheap. But then what price peace of mind?

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Good tip. Cheers. A lot of this advice wil be good value for first time buyers. Most of us have learnt the hard way about how to go about the business of buying a house and getting the best mortgage but ideally you shouldn't have to pick your way thru the mindfield blind. You pay too high a price for your mistake or ignorance. A

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In the interests of accuracy, and further to my invitation above to Speckles - how do you find the right people, I'll re-phrase my earlier comment. The Law Society doesn't have a Panel of Experts. These experts advertise their services in the Law Society Journal.

 

There are some rogue inspectors around

http://www.theage.com.au/business/property/developer-awarded-22m-damages-in-shonky-building-dispute-20120417-1x5oe.html

 

"revealed last week the Building Commission had been warned that thousands of homes were being approved by unregistered inspectors. Thirty commission officials and consultants are also being investigated for alleged corruption, misconduct and harassment"

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The company I used were actually referred to me by the bank and were registered. Transpired to be no guarantee of a decent service and building report.

By contrast, the building inspector who came round on the purchasers behalf when we sold was meticulous. It seems like a bit of a lottery!

Ask for references, I guess is the lesson.

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My husband and I bought our first house a year and a half ago in sunny Whangarei for 250k. An amazing opportunity with the house pricing here and especially attainable and affordable for a newly married couple (I'm 24). We plan to pay it off fully within 10 years. There is NO way we could do that in Auckland - I went to uni down there and even rent for a single person was beyond expensive.

What I wanted to get across is well I think Whangarei will be the next Tauranga with many new developments unfolding in Whangarei such as the multi-million dolllar Port and Marsden Point expansion, industrial and business centre in Ruakaka the upcoming yacht racing leader Oracle team coming to Whangarei this year.

I would encourage anyone seriously looking for alternatives to give Whangarei a chance, I've lived here for most of my life and from talking with friends of ours still currently living in Auckland they see home- ownership as unattainable, with a lifetime of renting.

I find that seriously wrong don't other people? 

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