Kiwibank has become the first 'main' bank to offer 4% per annum for a one-year term deposit in this interest rate cycle.
The last time a main bank had a 4% one-year rate was July 2015, seven years ago.
Kiwibank is itself following a range of challenger banks, and is very likely to be followed by the big Aussie-owned banks, although they may hold out for a while yet.
A one-year term deposit is about as far out as most Kiwi savers are prepared to go. All banks, including those big Aussie ones, offer rates above 4% for terms of two-years and longer.
At the very long-term, rate offers of 5% or more are now within range. China Construction Bank is the top offeror at 4.70% for five years. They are just the latest of many raising rates for the longer terms.
The top rate for six months is from both ICBC and China Construction Bank at 3.50%.
These rises will likely put pressure on other challenger banks, and that pressure will eventually flow through to the main banks. The immediate pressure on the main banks will now come from this latest Kiwibank move.
Kiwibank hasn't changed any other term deposit rates at this time.
Generally, banks will be holding back on rate changes ahead of Wednesday's Reserve Bank (RBNZ) Official Cash Rate (OCR) review. There will be no surprise if a 50 basis points rise is confirmed, and in fact this increase is now well priced in. Another 50 basis points is also priced in to the next RBNZ OCR review in August.
But what economists and analysts will be keenly following are any signals about the future rate track in the RBNZ commentary on Wednesday.
Internationally, the weekend's strong US jobs report locks in more US Federal Reserve rate hikes, likely to be 75 basis points at the end of the month, with more of the same priced in for their subsequent review as well. But changes in economic activity levels will be being closely watched by regulators and markets, and these could change wholesale interest rate market attitudes. After the US jobs data, markets resumed their bullish views on rising rates. And that may flow into local wholesale swap rate markets later Monday.
An easy way to work out how much extra you can earn is to use our full function deposit calculator. We have included it at the foot of this article. That will not only give you an after-tax result, you can tweak it for the added benefits of Term PIEs as well. It is better you have that extra interest than the bank (and especially if you are in the 39% tax bracket - PIEs are taxes at 28% flat).
The latest headline rate offers are in this table after the recent increases.
for a $25,000 deposit July 11, 2022 |
Rating | 3/4 mths |
5 / 6 / 7 mths |
8 - 11 mths |
1 yr | 18mth | 2 yrs | 3 yrs |
Main banks | ||||||||
ANZ | AA- | 1.80 | 2.75 | 2.90 | 3.65 | 3.70 | 4.05 | 4.10 |
AA- | 1.80 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 3.65 | 3.75 | 4.05 | 4.30 | |
AA- | 1.80 | 2.75 | 2.90 | 3.65 | 3.70 | 4.05 | 4.10 | |
A | 1.85 | 2.85 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 4.20 | ||
AA- | 1.80 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 3.65 | 3.80 | 4.10 | 4.30 | |
Other banks | ||||||||
China Constr. Bank | A | 2.60 | 3.50 | 3.85 | 4.05 | 4.10 | 4.35 | 4.35 |
Co-operative Bank | BBB | 1.50 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 4.10 | 4.30 |
Heartland Bank | BBB | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.45 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
HSBC | AA- | 1.80 | 2.75 | 2.90 | 3.65 | 4.05 | 4.10 | |
ICBC | A | 2.50 | 3.50 | 3.85 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 4.30 | 4.40 |
A | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 4.25 | 4.45 | |
BBB | 1.65 | 2.65 | 2.90 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 4.05 | 4.30 | |
A- | 1.80 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 3.65 | 3.80 | 4.10 | 4.30 |
Term deposit rates
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33 Comments
Great to see Term Deposit interest rates trending upward!
Those with term deposits (including many elderly people) have suffered a lean time over the past 7 years - while property owners/investors have enjoyed huge capital appreciation and buoyant rental returns.
TTP
If i was nearing the end of my working life and had an investment decision to make between real estate or TDs, I know which one I would choose. Would hate to have my retirement fund tied up in real estate at the moment. Smart people will be diversified, but how many of those are in NZ?
This rising interest rates are not only good for savers. But also good for first home buyers, as they are causing house prices to drop and they will need a lower deposit as a result. Low interest rates mainly benefit those who already have a mortgage and own a house. Not those that don't.
Much too simplistic a comment. Low rates helped me in the first year of home ownership but didn’t act as a barrier to purchasing. Conversely, rising rates are not a 100% sold good thing for FHB at all - the rises we’ve watched happen in the last year have effectively doubled the servicing costs of a mortgage. Prices have not and are unlikely to halve in order to balance out that doubling of interest rates right now. The net outcome is harder to purchase now relative to any time previously - in the last two years prices have risen too much and not tapered as much. Before that though rates were similar to now prices were lower then too. Rates at where they are now are much closer to the long-term average. Your name on here is indicative.
As the general rule, low rates help blow bubbles bigger and bigger as money is funnelled into unproductive assets and existing stock put up against each other.
Depends on ones definition of servicing costs. I would say the interest is the "servicing costs" of a mortgage.
Someone with a $500k mortgage @ 2.5% over 30 years will pay $11k principal and $12k interest in their first year. By year 2 $478k remains. They fix at 5.5% and suddenly their P = $6k and I = $26k. Effectively half the principal payments, and more than double the interest costs.
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