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Knowing that the Reserve Bank is moving to reinstate loan-to-value ratios (LVRs) has the main banks keen to fall into line.
The first bank to announce it will do so is ASB.
It says it is moving immediately to increase the minimum deposit required from investors in the wake of the Reserve Bank’s Wednesday announcement that LVRs are coming back in March 2021.
ASB’s Chief Executive Officer Vittoria Shortt said: “ASB believes a balanced and sustainable housing market is in the best interests of all New Zealanders. While we appreciate the RBNZ taking the time to consult, this is about helping Kiwis build their financial futures during exceptionally challenging times so we are choosing to take this step now.”
Shortt said the lending market has improved markedly since New Zealand went into its first lockdown. COVID-19 hasn’t impacted the property market as anticipated and ASB is now witnessing rapid growth in lending volumes.
“The number of applications we’re receiving is at an all-time high, up 70% on this time last year, and while the proportion of first home lending is up, we have observed since COVID-19 a rapid increase in lending for investors. If this increase in investor demand continues it could lead the country down a potentially unsustainable path," she said.
“Our focus at ASB is on working with the Government on offering first home buyers opportunities to get onto the property ladder. That’s why we’re immediately committing to requiring investors to have a 30% deposit rather than the current 20%. Pre-approvals already in place are unaffected."
33 Comments
Well, the PM is powerless to restrain house prices with any policy settings.
PM Jacinda Ardern on house prices: 'It just cannot keep increasing at the rate that is'
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/430441/pm-jacinda-ardern-on-house-…
She sounds like she’s in the Opposition ‘this should not be happening’.
1) She dodged CGT so kept the incentive to invest in property over other assets -> increase investment demand and therefore house prices in constrained market.
2) She ignored Treasury's advice in the last term that the problem is supply not demand - gave FHB extra $$ - effect predicted by Treasury (and what has occurred) is inflation at the bottom of the market.
3) Ignored evidence that problem isn't market not wanting to build houses, just that they are unable to with the planning rules in place - result is kiwibuild failure and no increase in supply...
What does she expect?
Tbh wondering if she listens to expert advisors less than Trump (except the reelection ones of course)
Too little too late. In real terms, still won’t have much effect for 2-3 months since existing pre-approvals are exempt.
Also, do they really think investors will lessen with a 30% LVR? Seriously? Make it 40-50% - then you might see some impact.
If they really want to help FHB, they need a tiered approach. I’m betting that this won’t impact people trading their nice 2-3 year capital investment for another house at all. The prices will continue to rise unless some drastic happens
As I said in another thread, Orr and the RBNZ are full of s..t. and utterly incompetent.
They declared that they could not reimpose LVR restrictions before March, and a few hours later ASB declared that they will re-impose LVR restrictions immediately on all speculators:
"ASB says it won't wait for the Reserve Bank to bring back Loan to Value Ratio (LVR) restrictions for investors in March. It is doing it now. ASB will move immediately to increase the minimum deposit required from investors to 30 per cent"(NZ Herald).
It is high time to sack these clowns at the RBNZ and put somebody in charge who knows what he is doing.
By the way, I would put at least 50% for speculators, right now - 30% is way too loose, I agree with Dago's comment above..
WHat I don't really uderstand is that these LVRs are supposed to prevent risky mortgages to investors. But if investors are't buying houses as a result of LVRs being reintroduced, then 1st home buyers or other NZers will be buying those same houses at those same prices. So aren't they then taking a big risk themselves, or the banks still taking big risks, with lending money to buying at these current very high house prices. I mean what happens if house pries drop 20-30 % due to a huge number of job losses. Apparently things are calculated to get a lot worse within the next few years.
There is so much FOMO now out there, with the media going on and on about how house prices are increasing every week, and if you don't buy yesterday you will just be paying more. It is a mess.
Someone needs to take control to calm the situation, because it could all go pop.
I'd wager there is very little loss to ASB. This change they are pushing will only impact customers who are buying a rental property and the 10% difference to LVR would exclude them. Only a small number of customers who already have their current property portfolio with ASB are likely to switch banks over this, as most customers with home loans are fairly loyal. There are property investors who will move, but compared to their total lending portfolio, it will be minor. ASB are making the gamble that other banks will also follow suit, or that RBNZ will instate this measure in the future anyway.
Given the extremely high volumes of home lending/approvals recently, I'd also hazard a guess that ASB has a LOT of preapprovals in place, so they feel fairly comfortable in this slight restriction of additional lending.
They may have quantified some underlying risk to property investors that their competitors have not yet seen, and they are keen to divest from them before they tip over. By being first they may encourage those unwanted (risky) customers and go to their competitors while they are still on the good book.
Never thought I would see the day when the trading banks have to start pushing regulations the Reserve Bank should be imposing. This shows how absolutely out of control the RBNZ is, again the top management needs to be held to account for their atrocious decision and should resign or fired. This should be severely damaging for them as it makes a mockery of their "need to consult" bulls$%t which is clearly not needed while at the same time highlighting their horrific decision to remove the LVRs in March.
If ASB is setting LVRs at 30%, it probably means it should be a lot higher and/or other rules (like DTI's) should be there as well.
LVR at 30 % may be ineffective if they allow the 30% deposit to come from some unrealised equity gain from another property. Just loading up the borrower with even greater debt . A more sensible move would be to couple LVR with DTI. But, that may not be resorted if the underlying aim is to keep the Ponzi alive!
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