Here is the statement from Glenn Stevens, the governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia on today's monetary policy decision to cut their cash rate.
You can stay up to date with how our currency reacts to this news by checking the live charts on this page.
At its meeting today, the Board decided to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.25 per cent, effective4 February 2015.
Growth in the global economy continued at a moderate pace in 2014. China's growth was in line with policymakers' objectives. The US economy continued to strengthen, but the euro area and Japanese economies were both weaker than expected. Forecasts for global growth in 2015 envisage continued moderate growth.
Commodity prices have continued to decline, in some cases sharply. The price of oil in particular has fallen significantly over the past few months. These trends appear to reflect a combination of lower growth in demand and, more importantly, significant increases in supply. The much lower levels of energy prices will act to strengthen global output and temporarily to lower CPI inflation rates.
Financial conditions are very accommodative globally, with long-term borrowing rates for several major sovereigns reaching new all-time lows over recent months. Some risk spreads have widened a little but overall financing costs for creditworthy borrowers remain remarkably low.
In Australia the available information suggests that growth is continuing at a below-trend pace, with domestic demand growth overall quite weak. As a result, the unemployment rate has gradually moved higher over the past year. The fall in energy prices can be expected to offer significant support to consumer spending, but at the same time the decline in the terms of trade is reducing income growth. Overall, the Bank's assessment is that output growth will probably remain a little below trend for somewhat longer, and the rate of unemployment peak a little higher, than earlier expected. The economy is likely to be operating with a degree of spare capacity for some time yet.
The CPI recorded the lowest increase for several years in 2014. This was affected by the sharp decline in oil prices at the end of the year and the removal of the price on carbon. Measures of underlying inflation also declined a little, to around 2¼ per cent over the year. With growth in labour costs subdued, it appears likely that inflation will remain consistent with the target over the next one to two years, even with a lower exchange rate.
Credit growth picked up to moderate rates in 2014, with stronger growth in lending to investors in housing assets. Dwelling prices have continued to rise strongly in Sydney, though trends have been more varied in a number of other cities over recent months. The Bank is working with other regulators to assess and contain economic risks that may arise from the housing market.
The Australian dollar has declined noticeably against a rising US dollar over recent months, though less so against a basket of currencies. It remains above most estimates of its fundamental value, particularly given the significant declines in key commodity prices. A lower exchange rate is likely to be needed to achieve balanced growth in the economy.
For the past year and a half, the cash rate has been stable, as the Board has taken time to assess the effects of the substantial easing in policy that had already been put in place and monitored developments in Australia and abroad. At today's meeting, taking into account the flow of recent information and updated forecasts, the Board judged that, on balance, a further reduction in the cash rate was appropriate. This action is expected to add some further support to demand, so as to foster sustainable growth and inflation outcomes consistent with the target.
19 Comments
That rate cut is equivalent to a 10% reduction in mortgage costs
Concerns about house prices have been submerged by concerns about consumerism and what is now a consumer driven economy
House prices are out of control - the RBA has given up trying
You can't have unfettered immigration, unlimited foreign investment, increasing numbers of International students, 2nd generation immigrant/residents buying property with extended family access to cheap money/off shore investments, and then expect to control Sydney or Auckland house prices via the OCR. The OCR is now having negligible effect on house prices : An OCR of 4.5 or 2.5 will not dampen/inflate prices.
In 2007 the OCR was 8.25% or so and house prices were still rocketing up.
Spottie, The post Brash RBNZ , to this very day, has been wilfully derelict in its duty pursuant to s.8 RBNZ Act 1989. Betwixt 2003 and 2010 the bank doubled the money supply in NZ, to facilitate inflation. They exist to feed the nations parasites - not what Roger Douglas and Ruth Richardson had in mind, I'm sure.
We have people here blaming these factors
"You can't have unfettered immigration, unlimited foreign investment, increasing numbers of International students, 2nd generation immigrant/residents buying property with extended family access to cheap money/off shore investments,"
These are Govt policies...not a result of RBNZ actions.
Regardless of causation, the RBNZ always cites Auckland prices as cause for concern, & as a reason for OCR settings.
Unless the OCR was hiked up 200 or 300 points or more, it is not going to suppress prices in Auckland. Ostensibly the RBNZ operates separately from Govt policy.
Not a question of blame, just need to look at all the factors.
The Govt has outsourced all decisions to 3rd parties and events outside its control so can't be held accountable. Also the PM cannot recall any decisions/discussions/policy - & he's comfortable with foreign investment at all levels & streams. He also thinks most kiwi homeowners are comfortable with rising equity. Nothing to see here, move on.
I agree with you, but what the central banks are bricking themselves about are the mid-t to long-term consequences of this. If you have constructed high-cost economies in a global environment of moving towards low cost and deflation, you're going to face challenges.
None of what you've mentioned describes ANY of the well healed property investors I know. You've left out colonist inheritance monies & capital accumulation, unfettered leveraging, negative gearing & favourable tax treatment, low deposit requirements (compared to yesteryear). It bemuses me that these most material items are left out,
Investors are laughing at the misdirected efforts. 1) Attention diverted, 5%-ish foreign investment gets greatest scrutiy. Check. 2) Introduce LVRS that on average look good 1st home buyers out, NZ investors in Check. 3) Buy up and wait till the LVRs come off and the youngies go nuts - about to Check. 4) Hold in Trust and provide to kids. Check.5) Family/Trust name perpetual landlord, long live the legacy. Check.
John Key has stated he will monitor Australian moves to contain foreign property buyers, and the establishment of a foreign owners database
Here is latest progress - expect some news soon
Foreign property buyers under microscope
http://www.businessspectator.com.au/news/2015/2/4/property/foreign-property-buyers-under-microscope
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