Mike Jones
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says longer term mortgage rates are already reflecting anticipated cuts to the Official Cash Rate, but shorter term mortgage rates have more 'downside'
23rd Oct 24, 9:23am
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BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says longer term mortgage rates are already reflecting anticipated cuts to the Official Cash Rate, but shorter term mortgage rates have more 'downside'
'We see recent falls in mortgage rates as more about preventing a deeper correction in house prices than providing the fuel for an immediate lurch higher'
28th Aug 24, 8:50am
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'We see recent falls in mortgage rates as more about preventing a deeper correction in house prices than providing the fuel for an immediate lurch higher'
BNZ's chief economist says mortgage holders have shortened up the terms of their fixed-rate borrowing 'much more so' than before previous Official Cash Rate easing cycles
1st Aug 24, 10:54am
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BNZ's chief economist says mortgage holders have shortened up the terms of their fixed-rate borrowing 'much more so' than before previous Official Cash Rate easing cycles
Activity in the service sector has dropped sharply again in June to once again be at the lowest level in 17 years apart from during lockdowns
15th Jul 24, 11:43am
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Activity in the service sector has dropped sharply again in June to once again be at the lowest level in 17 years apart from during lockdowns
BNZ says falling job ads are ‘symptomatic’ of ailing demand for labour as June job ads tumble 8.2% – the biggest monthly fall in almost three years
10th Jul 24, 12:02pm
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BNZ says falling job ads are ‘symptomatic’ of ailing demand for labour as June job ads tumble 8.2% – the biggest monthly fall in almost three years
Housing is too expensive and average prices need to fall even if it scares existing homeowners, Minister for Housing Chris Bishop says
17th Jun 24, 6:10pm
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Housing is too expensive and average prices need to fall even if it scares existing homeowners, Minister for Housing Chris Bishop says
BNZ economists now expect house prices to rise just 2% in 2024, down from an earlier forecast of 5% and say even the latest lower forecast has 'downside risk'
23rd May 24, 11:16am
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BNZ economists now expect house prices to rise just 2% in 2024, down from an earlier forecast of 5% and say even the latest lower forecast has 'downside risk'
The full force of monetary policy has yet to be felt in the New Zealand economy and will arrive alongside a pull-back in public spending later this year
8th May 24, 7:50am
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The full force of monetary policy has yet to be felt in the New Zealand economy and will arrive alongside a pull-back in public spending later this year
BNZ's Chief Economist expects the housing market to remain flattish in the first half of this year then pick up in the second half
11th Mar 24, 3:15pm
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BNZ's Chief Economist expects the housing market to remain flattish in the first half of this year then pick up in the second half
A gaping infrastructure deficit and a growing population will pose a challenge to the incoming National-led government
16th Nov 23, 5:00am
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A gaping infrastructure deficit and a growing population will pose a challenge to the incoming National-led government
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says the currently wide cost gap between building and buying a house should reduce, but much of this is expected to come via higher house prices
30th Oct 23, 1:50pm
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BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says the currently wide cost gap between building and buying a house should reduce, but much of this is expected to come via higher house prices
We asked twenty economists how they would define a recession in New Zealand
BNZ chief economist estimates the average annual expense associated with buying the median NZ home currently exceeds the cost of renting by just over $38,000 a year
19th Sep 23, 11:46am
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BNZ chief economist estimates the average annual expense associated with buying the median NZ home currently exceeds the cost of renting by just over $38,000 a year
BNZ economists had expected continued improvement in housing affordability but now say any improvement next year will be 'glacial' and affordability will start to deteriorate again in 2025
5th Sep 23, 9:52am
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BNZ economists had expected continued improvement in housing affordability but now say any improvement next year will be 'glacial' and affordability will start to deteriorate again in 2025
China's economic slowdown could put added pressure on New Zealand's regional economies
22nd Aug 23, 6:14pm
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China's economic slowdown could put added pressure on New Zealand's regional economies
If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
22nd Aug 23, 11:34am
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If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
BNZ economists say if they are right about the housing market having bottomed then prices will be levelling out around 20% above pre-pandemic levels
7th Jun 23, 10:51am
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BNZ economists say if they are right about the housing market having bottomed then prices will be levelling out around 20% above pre-pandemic levels
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones thinks the RBNZ has made progress bringing the runaway economy back under control
28th Apr 23, 12:36pm
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BNZ chief economist Mike Jones thinks the RBNZ has made progress bringing the runaway economy back under control
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says significant mortgage rate relief is unlikely this year and he's 'not confident' the housing market can 'right itself' till it is clear mortgage rates have stopped rising
6th Mar 23, 10:05am
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BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says significant mortgage rate relief is unlikely this year and he's 'not confident' the housing market can 'right itself' till it is clear mortgage rates have stopped rising
[updated]
The downbeat results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey suggest that the RBNZ may have to rethink its OCR hiking plan, according to BNZ economists
31st May 22, 1:24pm
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The downbeat results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey suggest that the RBNZ may have to rethink its OCR hiking plan, according to BNZ economists
[updated]
Reserve Bank sees OCR being as high as 3.9% by June next year
Bank economists agree the RBNZ will lift the OCR by 50 basis points to 2% on Wednesday, so what else are they focusing on?
21st May 22, 9:05am
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Bank economists agree the RBNZ will lift the OCR by 50 basis points to 2% on Wednesday, so what else are they focusing on?
ASB economists say last week's 'big lift' in wholesale interest rates added to the upside pressure on mortgage rates
11th Apr 22, 2:21pm
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ASB economists say last week's 'big lift' in wholesale interest rates added to the upside pressure on mortgage rates
Latest ASB Housing Confidence Survey shows respondents at odds with ASB's economists over the direction of house prices
6th Dec 21, 5:00am
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Latest ASB Housing Confidence Survey shows respondents at odds with ASB's economists over the direction of house prices
Economists at three of the four largest banks now see house prices dropping in 2022
1st Dec 21, 1:49pm
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Economists at three of the four largest banks now see house prices dropping in 2022