This article was first published on AUT's Briefing Papers series. It is here with permission.
By Philip Morrison*
Not only were we less inclined to favour greater equality than similar countries (Australia, Canada, Great Britain) in this international survey but we were also more heterogeneous in our views than most of the other sixteen countries in the comparison.
As we see from Table 1, the 900 who responded to the World Values Survey question in 2004 were dispersed across the range of responses to the income distribution question. There was some clustering around the median (6) and at the two extremes (1 and 10). Almost half of the respondents placed themselves between 3 and 7.
In this Briefing Paper I explore possible correlates of this distribution – in particular how age, gender and income affect where people position themselves when asked about income distribution in New Zealand.
Age and (in)equality preferences
Is it the young, middle or older age groups who most favour (in)equality? An apparent answer lies in the boxplots of Figure 1. The box captures the middle half of the distribution with the horizontal line within the box depicting the median. The medians are highest among the young, they plateau in middle age then fall successively in the older age groups. The young are much more like each other than the older respondents (their boxes are shorter). Like most other indicators, our attitudes towards (in)equality become more diverse as we age.
But Figure 1 is also a little misleading. The reason is that it combines the effect of two populations who behave differently when it comes to (in)equality preferences: men and women. As a generalisation, women prefer greater income equality than men; they return a mean of 5.14 on the (in) equality scale compared to 5.84 for men. But that is not the only difference. As Figure 2 shows, women’s median preference for (in)equality decline to a plateau at higher age groups. By contrast, men’s mean preference for (in)equality remains high as they age, until their 50’s, after which their inequality preferences decline with age.
But it is not quite as simple as that, because income also plays a role. Preferences for inequality rise with income among women as well as men. However, while incomes at older age sustain men’s preference for greater inequality, from Figure 3 we see that women actually become more averse to income inequality as they age, regardless of their income group.
However, perhaps the most surprising result occurs at the other end of the age spectrum, among the young. Not only do the young express unusually high preferences for inequality but it is the young in the lowest income group who most favour inequality, a feature which is equally true of both men and women.
Some interim conclusions
Young people seem to be more comfortable with inequality than older people. However, the story is more complicated than that, particularly when we add income into the mix. The fact that older people value equality more, perhaps because they understand how unstable life can be, is partly counteracted by the fact that they tend to have more income, and people with higher incomes are less concerned about inequality (or are less willing to see greater redistribution). When we include gender however, the picture becomes more complicated still. While income tends to counteract the effects of age among men, women appear to become more concerned about inequality as they age, regardless of income.
The fact that our preference for greater income equality falls with age raises two questions. Is this a cohort effect or an age effect? Does it reflect the much lower levels of inequality experienced by the older age groups when they were young or is it simply that as we age we develop a stronger preference for equality?
The answer to these questions are important both socially and politically. If the negative relationship between equality preferences and age is a cohort effect then its impact will diminish as the generation who grew up during the low inequality era die out. By contrast, if our preference for greater equality rises as we age, regardless of when we were born, then we will see a gradual rise in New Zealander’s preference for income equality as the population as a whole ages.
One way of identifying the presence of cohort effects is to construct synthetic cohorts from the available surveys over the last twenty years but even then the limited time period will be constraining. Even if cohort effects could be discerned we would still have to confront the fact that there is an interaction effect between age, income and gender. None of these interrelationships are likely to be stable over time and therefore predicting the likely distribution of preferences for income equality as the population ages will be challenging.
Finally, I have only considered three likely influences on income distribution preferences: age, income and gender. There are likely to be other personal attributes which play a role, particularly education, which I will consider in due course.
Acknowledgements
I wish to thank Max Rashbrooke and Michael Fletcher for their helpful suggestions on an earlier draft. What remains is my responsibility.
[1] Histograms of income distributions for 1998, 2004 and 2011 may be viewed as Figure 2 in my Policy Quarterly paper.
Philip Morrison is Professor of Human Geography at Victoria University of Wellington. He holds degrees from the University of Toronto and Victoria University of Wellington, and has been an Urban Studies Fellow at the Centre for Urban Studies, University of Glasgow, Visiting Fellow at the University of Cambridge and the University of Melbourne, among others. Philip has held the Henry Lang Fellowship at the Institute of Policy Studies, VUW and in 2013 he was awarded New Zealand Geographical Society Distinguished Geographer medal. He has published extensively in the field of urban geography. His work on labour markets and housing markets is internationally recognised as ground breaking and important not just in geography, but across the social sciences. More recently he has developed an interest in the geography of happiness.
This article was first published on AUT's Briefing Papers series. It is here with permission.
4 Comments
It is interesting that younger people, including those from lower socio backgrounds, seem to welcome income inequality more than older people do. I suspect this is a cohort thing. I've heard the Young Nats now do well on campus, where in the 70s when I was there I recall Muldoon being the least favourite person among my peers. I have to concede that it is their future, and if that's what they want, it may not be for me to suggest otherwise. Even if I think it may not end well.
Fear not Stephen L for the end is not nigh .
Competition and the free market is not about to affect your lifestyle badly in any way, anytime soon
I have worked in a pseudo communist country , where the Government of the day wanted a truly egalitarian Marxist state . Everyone became so poor so quickly they abandoned the idea , it took from 1980 to 1985 before the IMF had to implement as structural program to unwind the mess they got themselves into
Quite simply , if we were all equal , we would all be poor , and frankly , I am not too keen on being poor again , I started out poor and don't want to go back there .
And National has done an excellent job for us over the past few years
I'm not sure many/any try to advocate communism, as for many reasons that has been proven not to work in many ways. Nevertheless some parts of the world are seeing the share of income and wealth become distorted to a very large extent to the top say 1%, where the ultimate outcome for those with at best common global skills, is a kind of serfdom.
I actually accept that National has continued reasonable wealth/income sharing policies such as WFF, relatively free education, free healthcare, accommodation supplements, universal pension and so on, such that NZ does not apparently have the same issues that some other countries have. American Republicans would be aghast if some of these were proposed in the US. So the balance here may not be all that bad at all, but needs some watching. The exit plan for super high house price multiples is the obvious challenge to address. It will be interesting to see how it ends.
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