By Chris Trotter*
Dr Bryce Edwards, of Victoria University, has proclaimed New Zealand’s Prime Minister, Jacinda Ardern, a “conservative”. Writing in The Guardian, Edwards declares: “Ardern’s instincts have been to protect and conserve. She has trodden cautiously throughout the pandemic, providing reassurance and the promise of normality to those in fear of the worst.”
The key concepts in Edwards’ first sentence are, of course, “protect” and “conserve”. He bolsters these, in the next, with “caution”, “reassurance” and “normality”. Though he does not say so explicitly, Edwards clearly regards these concepts as irreconcilable with any genuinely radical purpose.
Radicalism and left-wing politics are generally held to be inseparable: to describe someone as a left-winger presupposes their possession of a radical disposition – and programme. It is not, however, permissible to argue that the reverse is true: one can be a radical and yet have not the slightest respect for left-wing ideas. Indeed, these days there are arguably many more radicals on the Right, than on the Left.
That being the case, Edwards’ generally negative framing of Ardern’s “conservatism” is more than a little problematic. To be a radical, or, to use Edwards’ own words, “a pioneering progressive or socialist” is not always to be, more-or-less by definition, on the side of the angels. (Or, for that matter, the Proletariat!)
In honour of the season, let us take as our example the “radical” measures adopted by the puritan supporters of the “Commonwealth” – the republican political arrangement held in place by Oliver Cromwell’s New Model Army (think: the Taliban in breastplates!) between 1649 and 1660.
By the puritans’ radical reading of Christianity, festivals such as Christmas were altogether too close to pagan revelry for the comfort of God-fearing men and women. Even before the execution of King Charles I in 1649, the radical protestants who dominated the House of Commons had thought it best to encourage his subjects to treat the mid-winter period “with the more solemn humiliation because it may call to remembrance our sins, and the sins of our forefathers, who have turned this feast, pretending the memory of Christ, into an extreme forgetfulness of him, by giving liberty to carnal and sensual delights’.”
Legislation confirming this puritanical rejection of the sinfully joyous yuletide season soon followed. The feasts of Christmas, Easter and Whitsun were simply removed from the Christian calendar. From 1644 until the Restoration in 1660, celebrating Christmas was illegal. As C.S. Lewis, that devout Christian, keen royalist, Oxford scholar and children’s author puts it in The Lion, The Witch, & The Wardrobe: “Always winter and never Christmas; think of that!”
Leaving Narnia behind, and returning to this considerably less enchanting world, we might further consider the actions of other radical puritans – like those belonging to the now thankfully defunct Islamic State. Or, the radical “Tea Party” Republicans, who saw moderation as treason and prepared the way for the radically disruptive Donald J. Trump. Thirty years on, a great many New Zealanders still resent deeply the radical reforms of Roger Douglas and Ruth Richardson. Even more Kiwis, in 2020, are profoundly grateful that their Prime Minister did not adopt the radically unsuccessful Swedish approach to fighting the Covid-19 pandemic.
Perhaps the strangest observation in Edwards’ Guardian article argues that Ardern’s “self-declared ‘politics of kindness’ isn’t particularly revolutionary, nor very tangible”. In a world where the very idea of kindness has been out of fashion for so long, the Prime Minister’s use of the word generated a public response that was as physical in its consequences as it was revolutionary in its intent. It was kindness that bound together “The Team of Five Million”, and it was their unforced solidarity and unity of purpose that made New Zealand the envy of the world. Tell all those young New Zealanders dancing at this summer’s music festivals; tell all the grandparents who hugged their grandchildren on Christmas Day; that the “politics of kindness” has produced no tangible effect!
Edwards also notes that: “The political left is […] increasingly bristling at the conservatism of Ardern.” To many New Zealanders, however, that will not be interpreted as a bad thing – quite the reverse, in fact. When they think of the political left, the images called to mind are not of Cabinet ministers carrying furniture into the first state house. No, their thoughts are all about the excoriating tweets, outlandish claims and bitter recriminations of “Cancel Culture”; and the equally distressing diatribes against “colonisation”, “hate speech” and “white privilege”. If the Prime Minister has made it her mission to “protect” people like themselves – ordinary Kiwis – from such excesses, and to “conserve” a measure of decency in their country’s political discourse, then they won’t be “bristling” – they’ll be cheering.
Just like the hundreds-of-thousands of Englishmen and women who lined country roads and filled city streets from Dover to London to welcome home Charles Stuart – King Charles II – in the very merry month of May 1660.
The dour regime of the Commonwealth; of Cromwell’s “Protectorate”; may have been radical (certainly they were the only successful republicans in 1,500 years of English history) but they were also dictatorial and joyless. For centuries after the rule of the New Model Army’s “Major-Generals”, Englishmen resisted the idea of a large standing army as a threat to their “ancient liberties”. The restoration of the monarchy (and Christmas!) was indisputably the wish and will of the overwhelming majority of the English people. If they had been given a vote on it in 1660, Charles would have won by a landslide.
If its “conservative” to give the people what they want, then Jacinda Ardern is a conservative. If protecting them from Covid-19 and political extremism is “conservative” then she stands guilty-as-charged. If offering people caution, reassurance, and a semblance of normality as the rest of the world plunges deeper into chaos, makes our Prime Minister a “conservative”, then that’s a badge-of-honour she can wear with pride.
Dr Edwards favours radical change, but he does not appear to be aware of what motivates people to seek change.
Throughout history, the popular call for change has been motivated overwhelmingly by a fervent desire to restore the status-quo ante: to make things the way they were before they went wrong. Only very seldom are masses of human-beings moved to demand a shift towards an entirely new and unfamiliar order of things. Certainly, history is studded with minorities who were absolutely certain about the proper ordering of paradise. Most people, however, hanker after the good times they remember – and not for H.G. Wells’ “Things To Come”. Radicals would do well to remember that the winning slogan in the 2016 Brexit Referendum was “Take Back Control”. It was the back wot won it!
Which leaves me wondering whether, in these peculiar times, the only true radicals are conservatives. If the only way to ensure that the voters’ lives remain the same, is for everything to be changed, then I strongly suspect that Jacinda Ardern is the ideal politician for the job.
*Chris Trotter has been writing and commenting professionally about New Zealand politics for more than 30 years. He writes a weekly column for interest.co.nz. His work may also be found at http://bowalleyroad.blogspot.com.
64 Comments
History teaches us that allowing an ever widening gap between the haves and have-nots always ends badly with some sort of convulsion. No sane person wants that.
How to solve it is above my pay grade, but solving it is definitely expected within the Prime Minister's pay grade.
How to solve it is easy - well easy to identify policies but very difficult politically. Start with generous universal child benefit - easy to administer and would kill WFF and our random anti-savings accommodation benefit. Then tax breaks for cohabiting couples. Get housing cheaper by restricting immigration until supply increases and encouraging developers rather than putting obstacles in their way. Increase rates as a form of wealth tax on all properties over $1m. Capital gains tax on all properties including owner occupied. Massive increase in pre-school subsidies. Would require increase in income taxes: political suicide?
I agree that there should be support for children. But not all couples have children, and not all people with children are in a couple. So shouldn't we target the support directly at children (I.e child benefit) rather than indirectly by providing tax breaks for couples?
Incidentally, a lower cost of housing (being able to afford a house on one income) would benefit both couples with children and singles.
More couples = fewer single dwellings so helps solve housing shortage. All evidence indicates having two parents at home is the single best factor in long term development of children and thus reduces social ills such as drugs, crime, mental health. You are correct about couples with no children having economies of scale and that would apply to communes too. Having a partner reduces most of the expensive social costs of old age.
Well, to an extent- but the biggest saving for couples at pretty much every stage of life is that they only need one bedroom. Unless you want your elderly Nan to share a set of bunk beds, then single people are always going to miss out on that economy of scale unless they opt for a living situation most people would find unacceptable. Would you be happy to share a bedroom with a flatmate in your fifties?
Edited to add: very few people are single because they actively prefer to be. So punishing people financially for a circumstance they didn't choose and already makes them comparatively worse off financially seems cruel to me. I think to justify it we'd need stronger reasons than have been given so far.
You make a good argument. My suggestion as written wold merely encourage owners of 3 bedroom houses to take in lodgers and call them partners just for the tax benefit. I suppose I was mainly thinking about families or to be more precise the opportunity to start a family. When incomes are about $60k and basic houses are about $600k it is difficult to start and maintain a family - except for single mothers who then leap to the top of the queue for social housing.
The alternative hypothesis, and one that predicts the future far more effectively is that the Ardern Governments are mirroring directly the Clinton Democrats. A copy of Hilary. Hilary and the Californian & New York Governors.
Governance by way of a mixture of opportunist statecraft, crony capitalism, 'divide and rule' identity politics, and populist manipulation.
The latest example on display this morning. A truly disgraceful fact and if true makes everyone look like Garbage
https://i.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/123809851/oranga-tamariki-is-leavi…
Children are being abused and dying because Oranga Tamariki is reluctant to remove them from homes where parents are using methamphetamine, former social welfare boss Christine Rankin says.
Fits the Clinton Ardern playbook.
Fits as a socialist left tell (Europe or South America) too - prioritizing issues in the wrong way.
Thank you GPM. Labour Christmas Meaasge.
What did you expect
Dame Tariana Turia and her followers Dame Naida Glavish, Lady Tureiti Moxon, Dame Iritana Tawhiwhirangi and Whānau Ora commissioning chair Merepeka Raukawa-Tait spent the last 5 years dragging down and destroying Oranga Tamariki in a brazen power and money grab. OT is hobbled. The effect of their crusade is now evident. It has effectively stopped the uplifts in the face of Turia's destruction. Turia claimed Whanau Ora would do it better.
That hasn't happened. They've gone quiet. Now the complaint is Oranga Tamariki is not uplifting
Thats the point, using the lense of ClintonDemocrat politics, outcomes like these, identity based or racist are likely.
She claimed that the agency was “too scared” to remove children now because of publicity around uplifts of Māori babies.
The real question is: Do you accept this?
Answer no! Children's lives must be preserved, doesn't matter what colour their skin is.
The buck stops with Cabinet.
Cabinet and the PM.
Blaming middle management, is not the fix.
Read that article yesterday on RNZ. OT's response was woeful but insightful. To me it could be boiled down to one factor - fear. They have been deservedly flayed alive for mismanagement and missteps. As a result they are now at a point where indecision and fear of recrimination now rules. The OT saga has been well reported by the likes of Newsroom and RNZ and all failures seem to lie with middle management. As you say - what a disgrace
OT staff are human Hook. You can't blame them for being affected by all the viscious attacks. And they work in an environment where there is a real downside for children with every option they have. So it's so easy to find fault.
The blame lies with the likes of Turia. It's been disgraceful how that band have destroyed people in a grab for the money for their crap organisations.
They say it's about "their people' - but it sure isn't. It's money. They barely mention the children.
KH I'm not denigrating the frontline workers by any means - quite the opposite in fact. I've been following the OT saga for some time and have reached the conclusion it IS middle/upper management where the fault lies. The quotes in the article referenced attributed to the manager are indicative of this and the Neveah case is symptomatic of the dysfunction. Report after report has been written and little seems to have changed within OT other than now they seem to have become "gun shy"
Read some of Newsrooms indepth articles by Melanie Reid and Espinar - they are sobering. Turia, Raukawa-Tait et al and accounts from foster families and care workers all point the same way.
While some may have enjoyed the Clinton era it was a period where the culling of US manufacture and jobs really speed up. We are where we are now because of periods like that. Trump would never have been elected if someone like Ross Perot was elected instead of Clinton. The effects of someone’s term in power is so much more than just what happens while they are in power.
Key 2.0 - she'll smile, laugh and be kind. She'll use speeches created by spin doctors & PR staff combined. She'll talk alot about doing but have nothing planned. She'll sit on her hands and take in the grands. She'll satisfy the voter masses, the boomers and the rich. She'll be empathetic but kick the poor & young into the ditch. She'll make sure housing doesn't go down. She'll act concerned and ensure a frown. Unfortunately alot if us didn't forsee, Adern would simply be another Key.
All due respect plutocracy, housing and accommodation issues is nothing new. I have heard all the stories about 1950s and later.
Here's one from Michael Yardney, listen from around 9 mins in
Watch "[PODCAST] Methods, Mindset and Masterstrokes of a 45 Year Investor with Peter Fritz" on YouTube
https://youtu.be/iLzP_3Ofi1s
Reserve judgement yes. Decide how to vote in 3 years time yes. But policies that will change NZ - they need announcing now. Not PR wishful thinking but concrete proposals - stuff that by its nature will get opposition but must be forced through because it is right. So far we have no evidence that our govt would do anything as extreme as 'Votes for women', a national health service, build public housing - all would have had powerful lobby groups against them and have lost some votes before they were implemented but some politicians back then had guts and conviction.
Not really - she was only ever going to be PM in term one with NZ First as a partner, so I find the 'NZ First were holding us back!" argument to be pretty flawed given they were only in power in the first place by the grace of NZ First. If she couldn't manage it and her government was thus ineffective to that extent, she should have called for a snap election or resigned. She didn't. Change on any meaningful timeline has never been on the agenda.
She has enabled this radical via the cooperation agreement into parliament who advocates for beneficiaries to “do crime”
https://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2020/12/the_marxist_maligning_mp.html
Don't know what that list pick by the Greens has to do with JA enabling it?
I watched that maiden speech in full. Contradictions and non-sensical statements galore. I think by the looks of it, no one in the Party had any idea what he was planning to say. I really struggled to figure out how in the world he got PR (and thereafter citizenship) - I wondered whether it was on a refugee-status basis?
Labour formed a cooperation agreement with the Greens giving them licence to operate with more influence.
He’s from a well-off Mexican family apparently so fits the champagne socialist operations well - CT was arguing that there is no radicalism in the JA-led govt, well the greens list has plenty of them.
"no one in the Party had any idea what he was planning to say."
What is your basis for saying this ?
He has been openly expressing those views for years ; the party placed him on the list and in Parliament.
Truth is he represents a large proportion of Green party members ( although not quite the majority I am guessing ).
He is ( one of ) true faces of the Greens - one the leadership would dearly love to keep hidden - but far from unaware of.
I've voted green for many years - but did not in this year's election after I had a look at their list. They've always had an uncomfortable mix of beliefs within the party - but this year's list seems to have sacrificed diversity of opinion in favour of 'diversity'...
Watching JAG's expressions as she sat behind him. The statement about beneficiaries need-to-do-crime was one of the doozies, but she also grimaced when he did the i-used-to-be-a-projectionist story. I think most of those in the gallery were a bit taken aback as well (a number of hushed spells) - I suspect they were those who knew him from AAAP work - which, by the way, does a necessary job in advocacy for beneficiaries.
An interesting exercise in historical comparison. While history does not always repeat exactly there are enough enough points of similarity in comparing an historical situation with current ones to take useful pointers. In this case, comparing the 17th century joyless Puritans with modern woke warriors might be a useful wake up call for those engaged in fighting modern culture wars. Chris’s point about people wanting the status quo ante reflects the desire of many people to reject the worse aspects of neoliberalism and get back to a better version of what New Zealand used to be before it was ruined by the Douglas-Richardson zealots. Unfortunately this site often reflects the views of the beneficiaries of neoliberal zealotry without the sense of positive collectivism that characterised pre-neoliberal New Zealand. Current concern about firms rorting wage subsidies and excessive executive salaries reflects Chris’s point about the desire for restoring things to the way they were.
To quote your last sentence CT:
'If the only way to ensure that the voters’ lives remain the same, is for everything to be changed, then I strongly suspect that Jacinda Ardern is the ideal politician for the job.'
You might as well paraphrase H L Mencken: https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/27042-as-democracy-is-perfected-the-of…
“As democracy is perfected, the office of Prime Minister represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last and the Beehive will be adorned by a downright moron.”
For all that was said during campaign about poverty, homelessness, immigration, house prices, social houses etc etc etc I for one really fell for the spin. I genuinely thought it was all Winston that was holding Labour back from fulfilling their promises last term.
New Zealand listened, was hopeful and lifted Jacinda up the ladder. I agree she did a very good job at the border. Much better than many other countries. On the social issues though, I have seen her reach the top of the ladder and rather than lean over to pull her voter base up, she really kicked us all down that very same ladder. What a bloody shame. The trust is absolutely lost. She has just become another power hungry politician. Govern with kindness my @&$* more like greed.
Winston was the only reason they were in power in the first place. "NZ First holding them back" ignores the fact that they had disasters like Twyford running flagship policies to the extent they collapsed, and a highly partisan TWG process that was only ever going to produce politically unacceptable outcomes - and Ardern ruling out a CGT as long as she was leader. None of that has anything to do with NZ First - it's all on Labour.
Maybe it's time to look at where the economy's going instead of trying to bring it back to where it was
When left unconstrained Prime Minister Ardern has been personally exceptional. Unfortunately the government (the Prime Minister being first among equals) have been shown to be powerless against the inertia of vested interests within New Zealand society and politics, they have so far been defeated on implementing any substantial policy changes. On the up-side New Zealand loves centre right parties and now it has two to choose from!
I will miss the old Labour party though. Remember this was once a movement of great principal, both revolutionary through the Marxist movement and gradual reformist of the Fabian society in founding. Actually in the UK you've started to see that start to be rejuvenated through Momentum so perhaps a similar movement will start in New Zealand post-Ardern.
No excuses for PM as has been given full power but power corrupts and absolute power....
NZ has lost an opportunity to reset / futuristic vision was required but unfortunately NZ is run by bureaucrats and so called advisors as many in government, including...lacks vision and boldness to bring about necessary change.
I might be a bit weird but I think the centre left parties have been the best over the last few years whether it be Clinton, Obama, Blair, Clark, Ardern, etc. They all ran very strong economies (Obama less so but he inherited a mess and turned it around). But they also made society more inclusive, more happy, more friendly, less aggressive, less confronting.
Jacinda has used her considerable leadership skills to guide us through the Covid pandemic, more successfully than any other democratic country, and the Labour party was rightly rewarded handsomely for doing so.
Now, with a thumping majority she, and Labour, need to turn those skills to tackle the obscenity that is the housing market. As with Covid, there are armies of naysayers out there with vested interests that will scream and shout. However, there is very little benefit, to the majority of the "team of 5 million", in having house prices in the stratosphere. To the contrary, this damages the social fabric, misdirects valuable capital and sets us up for a catastrophic collapse.
This is Labour's achiles heel and unless they very quickly start to address it, now they have a majority government, they will pay dearly in the future. Jacinda has to demonstrate the same leadership she did with Covid and convince the majority of New Zealanders something they secretly already know - "lower house prices are good for the team".
Also from the Guardian.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/dec/31/new-zealands-year-of-styl…
We have now learned that Ardern’s “Year of Delivery” promise was only ever a slick catchphrase dreamed up by a speechwriter, not Ardern herself.
In fact no one will be surprised that New Zealand now has many more public relations practitioners than journalists. The latest census results show about 8,000 people work in PR, greatly overshadowing the roughly 1,600 journalists working in print and broadcasting.
Other calculations have put the ratio of PR to journalists at 10:1.
In the list of unintended consequences of government policy, reflect on the consequences of the Bright Line Test. This was intended i believe to scare off investors who wanted to make a quick dollar and turn around properties for capital gains. Hoping to stem the price rises. But these investors came anyway due to other circumstances like ultra cheap loans and no-where else to park your money. The consequence being that a large number of the properties purchased in the last 3 years will now be locked up, removed from circulation, reducing the available stock and the combined effect being that we are now in a rapid price escalation phase that will take years to unwind because those properties will not come back to the market in less than 5 years to avoid the CGT.
Policy needs to change with circumstances much faster than it is currently, this bright line test should be reduced to 2 years again to release properties back into circulation.
The bright-line test wasn't intended to scare investors away. It was introduced by John Key in 2015 when he was coming under unrelenting pressure over the unaffordability of house prices. He wanted to be seen to be doing something and chose the easiest path ... a tax that was easily avoided by simply holding a property for more than two years.
In a rising house market, that is no hardship. It was a sop to silence his critics.
Agree but is JA different.
Just like JK introduced BLT under pressure so did JA banned foreign buyers immediately and if had not done immediately would have found reasons to avoid introduction of foreign buyer ban as have done nothing after that and in fact are now on the same page as National party that housing crisis is a Good crisis.
No politicans can be trusted and side affect of democracy as not much choice, specially after for 3 years before politicians come out again begging for votes and false promise.
Oliver Cromwell didn't get everything right but he made some significant positive impacts on England. He created the model army where advancement was based on merit as well as overseeing the creation of the Royal Navy. He actually promoted a degree of religious tolerance that allowed Catholics to openly practice their faith and reintroduced Jews who had previously been banished from the country. He reformed the legal system and of course won the civil war, giving power to parliament, which led to the democratic state that exists today. I'd argue that although he may have died unpopular, his achievements well surpassed that of Charles II and certainly Jacinda Ardern.
What is the function of a leader? To be the most popular? Or to get sufficient support to make the necessary changes required to benefit the country they serve. Ardern has earned the support but where are the necessary changes?
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