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Speaking to MPs at a rare appearance at a select committee, the Finance Minister defends his Government’s debt track as Amy Adams goes on a familiar offensive

Speaking to MPs at a rare appearance at a select committee, the Finance Minister defends his Government’s debt track as Amy Adams goes on a familiar offensive

National’s Finance Spokeswoman Amy Adams’ attack playbook appeared to be mostly unchanged at a select committee briefing, again criticising the Government over its debt track.  

But Finance Minister Grant Robertson has been quick to hit back, questioning if Adams has become confused around what her party’s fiscal stance even is.

Robertson appeared before the Finance and Expenditure Select Committee to brief MPs on the Budget outcomes and matters of economic and financial significance on Wednesday.

Ministers don’t usually attend select committees but do on occasion to discuss certain areas, such as the Budget.

Without the watchful eye of the Speaker of the House, Opposition MPs have more freedom and time to probe Ministers for answers.

Adams wasted no time getting stuck into Robertson on Wednesday and, much like many of her questions in the House, decided to focus on debt.

She pointed out that over the next 15 years, as a nominal figure the Government’s debt was going to increase in every year, bar two.

But Robertson warned against looking too closely at the dollar amount of debt when looking that far in the future, as “a number of significant policy works that will impact on that.”

One such area is the outcome of the Tax Working Group and its recommendation to Government, he says.

Robertson admits that debt, as a dollar amount, is forecast to increase by roughly 14% over that 15-year period while GDP is expected to increase by 28%.

“The goal the Government has set itself is getting debt below 20% [of GDP]– that’s the focus,” he says, adding that National also measured debt as a percentage of GDP when it was in Government.

Speaking to reporters after the briefing, Robertson said he would be interested to know if Adams had abandoned National’s approach around debt, given her line of questioning during the select committee.

“In fact, I would be interested to know what National’s fiscal stance overall is, because it seems to criticise us for borrowing but also for not spending enough.”

Oil and gas attack

Meanwhile, Robertson revealed that the Treasury had done no analysis of the future economic impact of the Government’s decision to ban oil and gas exploration.

“The advice I have received from Treasury is that the uncertain nature of revenue associated with oil and gas exploration means they don’t include that in forecast revenue, they never have, and they don’t know, because it is such an uncertain sector.”

Adams says it is “staggering” that the Government has commissioned no analysis on such an important economic issue.

“It appears Robertson simply doesn’t want to know how his Government’s political decision will impact on workers and Kiwi families.”

But Robertson says it’s impossible to factor in something where you simply don’t know the outcome of the exploration – “Treasury would never do that.”

“They don’t know the fiscal implications of not developing an unknown oil and gas reserve.

“If you think about that, it’s actually a pretty difficult piece of work to be able to do, looking out across a long period of time.”

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11 Comments

Absurd that the government should ban oil and gas exploration with no analysis - this is horrendous politics and unworthy of being part of NZ democracy.

The government should simply let the carbon price determine whether exploration is viable.

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The Climate change analysis says so, simple really. Also this clearly suggests investing in oil and gas carries great risk,

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jun/04/carbon-bubble-could…

Then add that it seems the majority (and growing) of voters want CC action, well this is one action.

Meanwhile even the GOP seems want to exit its rabid CC denier stance as it sees that voter shift.

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The case is not that there's no need to address climate change.

The case is that there is need to address climate change - but no evidence or analysis has been provided to show that this action will achieve anything at all in that direction. On the contrary, it seems most likely that it will impose substantial economic and social cost for no benefit.

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Exactly.

Whimsical types like Steven cherish the idea of an eradication of fossil fuel dependence. However have a blatant lack of understanding for the economic effects of such removal of their usage without an appropriate substitute.

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NYMAD. The likes of you short sighted whimsical types do not realise that the immense forces that WILL be released by climate changes will have absolutely zero regard for your petty economic issues.

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The quickest path to the eradication of fossil fuel dependence is to drain all the presently uneconomic-to-extract sources of it.

Seems a totally stupid thing to do - having no regard whatsoever for future generations potential need.

A bit like burning all your firewood to maintain the internal temperature of your house at 22degC so you can wear just a t-shirt inside and then finding you can't afford any heating for the coldest months of the winter.

Labour did good to push pause on the profligacy.

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Foreign buyer ban too. That single bit of legislation has the potential to tip the country into recession.

Yet they can’t produce any work to say how many foreign buyers there are?

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If we're dependent on foreigners to buy our houses our economy is already stuffed.

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To be frank, National got the nod a decade ago to get stuck in and extract. Extract oil, gas, gold, wood, milk, etc in order to generate seed money for a high tech economy - fail!

The Christchurch earthquake happened, again National got a nod. A nod to spend what was necessary and train up young people into trades. That was an exceptional - fail!! Even though immigration hit records highs, there is still a huge skill shortage and young people were NOT trained. To top it off Fletcher Building, despite being awarded the majority of construction contracts in ChCh and having a monopoly during a housing crisis, well .. it's going down the tubes.

Oh, and the the EQC has been unmasked .. meth contamination which wasn't, etc, etc. The idea Amy Adams or any National MP could legitimately speak to sensible spending should invoke an eye-roll at least. Not saying people should jump on the Labour bandwagon, but this ongoing rose-tinted, public naivety about National's time in office is stale.

Oh and let us not forget the fan favorites, 'There is no housing crisis' and 'Sheep-gate'.

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And let's not forget closing the gaps and the knowledge economy/wave.

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How convenient of Treasury, (though there is some truth in this)

Meanwhile coming from the world they do not like to look at (and that incl the MBIE)

https://climatecrocks.com/2018/06/06/thats-why-they-call-them-bubbles-c…

So building a gas export terminal? import terminal? really? stranded asset anyone?

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