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Seek reports NZ's labour market is ‘incredibly tough’ as job ad volumes fall for the fourth time this year, down 30% from a year ago

Economy / news
Seek reports NZ's labour market is ‘incredibly tough’ as job ad volumes fall for the fourth time this year, down 30% from a year ago
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Jobs portal Seek says job advertisements fell 5% in May, making it the fourth month in a row of job ad declines.

Ad volumes are 30% lower than a year ago and down 25% compared with May 2019, according to Seek’s latest employment data report for the month of May.

Over the 12 months leading up to May, most regions in New Zealand saw a decrease in job advertisements. 

Gisborne and Marlborough experienced the largest declines, with job ads falling 10% and 14%, respectively.

Taranaki and the West Coast were the only regions to record a monthly rise in job ads, with Taranaki seeing a 3% increase and the West Coast experiencing a 39% bounce.

Seek New Zealand manager Rob Clark said there were declining ad volumes in most regions and across all sectors, and Seek's data reflected that the labour market was currently “incredibly tough.”

“Construction jobs fell the most in May, and have recorded the greatest decline this quarter, with jobs in engineering and construction some of the industries most impacted,” he said.

“We know there have been major cuts to the public sector and in May this was mostly felt outside the major metro regions, with a 7% decline in regional public sector roles month-on-month.”

Public sector hardest hit

Seek found the public sector led the job ad decline in March.

Seek’s report found the decline in job advertisements for engineering and construction, which fell by 12% and 8% respectively in May, was the biggest contributor to the overall drop in job postings that month.

Statistics New Zealand’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data revealed last week that the goods-producing industries had a challenging quarter. 

Production fell by 1.3% over the three-month period and was down 2% from a year earlier. Construction was particularly affected and experienced a 3.1% decline during the quarter.

Seek noted that after NZ Post announced a restructuring of its postal services in March, ad volumes for these roles fell 18% in May.

Seek also tracks applications per job ad, but there’s a one-month lag in the data they’ve recorded. 

Applications per job ad increased slightly across most industries but rose the most in hospitality & tourism with applications up by 27% in May. 

There was also a 9% increase in applications per job ad for roles in manufacturing, transport & logistics.

In May, the official unemployment rate climbed to 4.3% in the March quarter from 4%, just exceeding the Reserve Bank’s expectations.

According to Statistics NZ, unemployment had risen by 31,000 to 134,000 over the March year, while total underutilisation rose 75,000 to 355,000.

Unemployment has slowly risen since its record lows of 3.2% in the December 2021 and March 2022 quarters. 

The total employment rate was 68.4% in March which has edged down from 69% in the December quarter and down from 69.7% in March 2023. The employment rate last peaked at 69.8% in June 2023.

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12 Comments

Imagine another 4 months from now..... got a classic phrase to use GG.

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Hey RBNZ, we are there now. Please look forwards for once, or even at the here and now. Looking backwards means you can say you were doing your job, but you are doing it badly.  

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Still not bad enough.

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Maybe they are just hedging their bets on what might continue to happen with immigration?

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With unemployment rising and job vacancies crashing I think inwards migration is going to slow very quickly.

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Isn't there another article today saying that record numbers of old people are coming in. Doubt they are in paid employment, they're probably here for childcare so that both parents can work 80 hr weeks for a pittance. 

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Part of the Deny deny deny......   Cut    strategy

Me thinks the first cut may actually be Nov, by then jobs, housing, business, etc will all be in the sh*tter

  • 27th November – Monetary Policy Statement & OCR

most likely to occur on an MPS as well

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Next MPS ... 10th July 
Next CPI ... 17th July
Next MPS ... 14th August

Could be August. But I suspect the ghouls will still want to see what effect those wonderful tax cuts have (or will at least use that as an excuse to do nothing).

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"Before the tax cuts we couldn't even afford to cover our mortgage, my wife lost her job, the kids went to school in two-sizes-too-small shoes, we've had to cancel our car and contents insurance, and we're paying off a penalty on our late council rates bill, but now we have an extra $20 per week our worries are over! We're off to buy a new Ranger, fly to Queenstown for a skiing holiday, and add a new ensuite to the house! Happy days are back, baby!"

I'm pretty sure this is how the RBNZ thinks this will play out..

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hahahahahahaha

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A big chunk of the tax cuts went to landlord's and they're tax cut is much more than $20 a week. 

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I'm picking a November 50 basis cut and none until then. Call it the christmas present from Orr

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