Jarrod Kerr
Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr is forecasting that the OCR will be cut to 3% next year and says rates were too high for too long
3rd Dec 24, 8:25am
64
Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr is forecasting that the OCR will be cut to 3% next year and says rates were too high for too long
[updated]
The Reserve Bank cut rates as expected but surprised the markets with a relatively 'hawkish' view of any future reductions in the OCR
27th Nov 24, 2:09pm
170
The Reserve Bank cut rates as expected but surprised the markets with a relatively 'hawkish' view of any future reductions in the OCR
David Hargreaves says we should see another decent-sized cut to the Official Cash Rate in the coming week, but beyond that, all eyes will be on how the Reserve Bank sees things developing next year
24th Nov 24, 6:00am
88
David Hargreaves says we should see another decent-sized cut to the Official Cash Rate in the coming week, but beyond that, all eyes will be on how the Reserve Bank sees things developing next year
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate agree the OCR will be cut this week, but are mixed over whether it should be a 25-point or 50-point cut
7th Oct 24, 11:04am
58
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate agree the OCR will be cut this week, but are mixed over whether it should be a 25-point or 50-point cut
Kiwibank economists say they would 'advocate' that the Reserve Bank cuts the OCR by 50 basis points both next month and again in November
23rd Sep 24, 3:09pm
78
Kiwibank economists say they would 'advocate' that the Reserve Bank cuts the OCR by 50 basis points both next month and again in November
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
3rd Sep 24, 1:15pm
43
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
BNZ head of research Stephen Toplis says it will take till 2029 for per capita GDP to return to previous levels
19th Aug 24, 2:36pm
75
BNZ head of research Stephen Toplis says it will take till 2029 for per capita GDP to return to previous levels
[updated]
'We strongly believe the Reserve Bank should be easing monetary policy as soon as possible. Indeed, we are on record as having said that it should already have done so'
6th Aug 24, 10:05am
125
'We strongly believe the Reserve Bank should be easing monetary policy as soon as possible. Indeed, we are on record as having said that it should already have done so'
September rate cuts in the United States could make it easier for the Reserve Bank to lower interest rates as well
1st Aug 24, 1:56pm
29
September rate cuts in the United States could make it easier for the Reserve Bank to lower interest rates as well
Kiwibank economists believe the Reserve Bank is set to do a big about-face with its Official Cash Rate forecasts
29th Jul 24, 2:06pm
66
Kiwibank economists believe the Reserve Bank is set to do a big about-face with its Official Cash Rate forecasts
'We are hitting the point where the RBNZ’s worries should switch from the risks from cutting the OCR too soon to the risks of keeping it too high for too long'
22nd Jul 24, 2:50pm
28
'We are hitting the point where the RBNZ’s worries should switch from the risks from cutting the OCR too soon to the risks of keeping it too high for too long'
The drop in the annual inflation rate to 3.3% sees economists adopt a near-consensus view that the Reserve Bank will begin interest rate cuts in November. But an earlier start is seen as possible
18th Jul 24, 5:00am
30
The drop in the annual inflation rate to 3.3% sees economists adopt a near-consensus view that the Reserve Bank will begin interest rate cuts in November. But an earlier start is seen as possible
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
8th Jul 24, 1:45pm
23
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
With the economy in a tailspin and the RBNZ stubbornly holding the OCR, Gareth Vaughan takes a look at the non-tradable inflation dilemma
6th Jul 24, 9:10am
38
With the economy in a tailspin and the RBNZ stubbornly holding the OCR, Gareth Vaughan takes a look at the non-tradable inflation dilemma
Kiwibank economists say as migrants send some portion of their wages back to their home countries this suggests weaker local consumption than otherwise
6th May 24, 12:23pm
41
Kiwibank economists say as migrants send some portion of their wages back to their home countries this suggests weaker local consumption than otherwise
There weren't too many surprises in the new inflation figures out of Statistics NZ, but there’s enough in the data to keep the RBNZ nervous
17th Apr 24, 4:01pm
18
There weren't too many surprises in the new inflation figures out of Statistics NZ, but there’s enough in the data to keep the RBNZ nervous
[updated]
RBNZ holds OCR at 5.50%, says restrictive OCR for sustained time will return CPI inflation to 1% to 3% target in 2024
10th Apr 24, 2:36pm
129
RBNZ holds OCR at 5.50%, says restrictive OCR for sustained time will return CPI inflation to 1% to 3% target in 2024
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
13th Mar 24, 9:34am
46
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
4th Mar 24, 11:41am
23
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
[updated]
There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
12th Feb 24, 12:22pm
36
There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
8th Feb 24, 5:00am
47
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
26th Jan 24, 10:01am
69
Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
22nd Jan 24, 3:05pm
4
With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
New Zealand's economy has been slowing faster than forecasters expected
Kiwibank's chief economist Jarrod Kerr fires up the summer BBQ chat by saying everything wrong with the kiwi property market can be put down to supply and a lack of it - but most policy makers focus on demand because it's what they can influence
11th Dec 23, 2:07pm
50
Kiwibank's chief economist Jarrod Kerr fires up the summer BBQ chat by saying everything wrong with the kiwi property market can be put down to supply and a lack of it - but most policy makers focus on demand because it's what they can influence