By Gareth Vaughan
BNZ chief financial officer Adrienne Duarte says she's keen to see the bank, which has borrowed more money through covered bonds than any other New Zealand bank, create more covered bond capacity to hold up its sleeve for use in any potential future crisis.
She also says BNZ's "funding independence" helps it avoid an Australia versus New Zealand funding debate with its parent National Australia Bank (NAB).
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6 Comments
Q, who is more liquid however?
The depositor?
the shareholder?
or the bond holder?
ie a depositor can withdraw or move money in minutes, hours? while the covered bond holder cannot? however the bond holder has some sort of guarantee.
The shareholder takes days if not weeks to sell shares?
Whos really left hanging out to dry? assuming the depositor isnt asleep?
Lets say things start to go pear shaped, it would take some weeks if not months for a trend to become obvious? ie house prices dropping, plus other leading data?
So a switched on depositor has the opportunity to bail surely?
Either way, the depositor is taking a profit and hence is an interested aprty and should indeed bear some risk and cost, unlike the tax payer IMHO.
regards
Steven , Im more worried about the 190 billion of overseas debt. If our banks are still dependent on short term foreign debt, we could go like Turkey, Brazil or India where interest rates were lifted to %10 to stop foreign investors fleeing. In that situation the shock could be short, sharp and lethal.
Steven's point would be valid except that many depositors will be fixed term deposits of 1, 2, 3 year duration and so cannot withdraw their cash on demand. Also these credit events happen slowly at first but then rapidly accelerate out of control.
I'm with you Andrew, I think the RBNZ is derelict in its duty in allowing covered bonds. However, it probably makes no difference in a real credit event as all the money will already have been taken by the derivative counterparties anyway. I assume the RBNZ have actually looked at what really happens in the real world when something like MF Global collapses. They have haven't they? Er, I hope so. Surely.....
You forgot, farm,business debt and student debt. The 120 billion in household saving is simply misleading.
http://www.johnpemberton.co.nz/html/total_debt_.html
Shifting the focus to the asset side
Nonetheless, while New Zealand compares quite well in terms of the magnitude and composition of our gross external debt, our position as a net international debtor instead highlights our weak international asset position. This is illustrated by our comparatively high leverage ratio (ie, ratio of gross external liabilities to gross external assets) which, at close to two, is amongst the highest in the OECD
http://www.treasury.govt.nz/economy/mei/jan13/03.htm
We shouldn't be on this graph, we are not a big enough hitter
http://www.businessinsider.com/g10-countries-by-total-debt-to-gdp-2011-…
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