
Parliament’s Finance and Expenditure Committee has decided to recall the leadership of the four largest banks for a second round of inquiry hearings, this time for 90 minutes with a structured agenda.
The decision comes after hearing submissions from banking reform activists on Wednesday, who told the committee banks were earning up to $10 million a day in excess profits and creating a $6 billion to $10 billion drag on the annual economy.
In a statement, committee chair Cameron Brewer said having the bank leadership back for another set of hearings would allow members to scrutinise specific issues that have been raised during the inquiry.
This could include excessive profitability, competition pressures, debanking, and service in rural communities. A structured agenda will be created prior to the hearings and banks will also be asked to answer about 50 questions in writing before appearing.
Barbara Edmonds, the senior Labour MP on the committee, said another set of hearings were needed because government members botched their attempts at questioning.
“The previous focus on chief executive pay and benefits—instead of economic rents, climate reporting obligations, and how banks price for small business and farm lending versus residential housing—is proving this inquiry to be a waste of time, when the government should just act on the Commerce Commission's report,” she said.
Go hard, or go home
Kent Duston, an economic consultant and convenor of The Banking Reform Coalition, said on Wednesday that the Commission's recommendations should all be implemented, but they were not sufficient to deliver structural reform.
Additionally, Payments NZ should be shifted away from bank ownership into an independent entity and the banks should be split into retail and wholesale businesses. These are both fairly radical proposals which were not included in the Commission's report.
Separating banks could create a structure like in Germany, where local savings banks focus on consumer and business lending but don’t raise funds from global markets. Instead, regional wholesale banks secure capital and provide funding to support their lending.
Sam Stubbs, the chief executive of Simplicity which competes with the banks in KiwiSaver, agreed that Payments NZ needed much more supervision if it were to stay under bank control. It was currently too incentivised to protect the interests of its funders, which are mostly the big banks.
Both Stubbs and Duston agreed the Reserve Bank’s capital requirements were too strict and needed to be relaxed to enable competition and more business lending.
Duston said the risk-adverse regulation had entrenched profitability, incentivised home lending over everything else, and dug a deep moat around big banks. This had made them “fat, dumb, and lazy”.
“In theory, the risk-return based on the actual risk profile of banks is 5.5%, they are typically making between 11% and 12%, so they are twice as profitable as they should be,” he said.
“The big four banks are producing about $7 billion of profit, and roughly half, $3.5 billion of it is unjustified. In other words, it is not being earned by a fair rate of return in the market; it is being earned by abuse of market power”.
Deadweight drag
He said unearned profits, pay wave fees and the ability for businesses to access capital, were a serious burden on New Zealand’s growth.
“These things are essentially the sand in the gears of our economy. By our independent calculations, they inflict somewhere between another $6 billion to $10 billion in deadweight drag effects through the economy”.
Stubbs agreed the banks were slow and unwilling to innovate, as demonstrated by incredibly slow progress in getting open banking operational.
Over the past decade, he has had many fintech startups approach him for capital saying they only need the banks to do XYZ and then they can be a disruptor. But the banks never let it happen, and why would they? None of that wave of startups still exist today, he said.
Stubbs also told the committee not to listen to threats or fear-mongering from the big banks who will oppose any meaningful reform that might threaten their excess profits.
Banks were trading on fear, by saying the sector needs big profits to maintain stability, and on threats, when suggesting capital will flee the country if returns dip below current levels.
On Thursday, ASB chief executive Vittoria Shortt told Interest.co.nz that international investors could be scared off by an excess profit tax or NZ First’s “Woke Bank” Bill.
"I think the important thing for me is what signal is the New Zealand Government sending around windfall tax? Again ... at a time when New Zealand really needs international investors, you know, what signal is this going to send?"
Stubbs said he opposed a windfall tax as it wouldn’t do anything to improve competition and the cost would eventually flow through to consumers. But the Australian banks would keep operating in New Zealand, as it would still be more profitable than their other markets.
23 Comments
A very interesting and informative article thanks Dan. Very important stuff revealed here with large possible changes to improve our economy. But will they happen?
by ChrisOfNoFame | 12th Feb 25, 5:20pm 1739334027
To understand a bank's "yeilds", or "margins", in NZ requires you understand just how fat and lazy our banks are.
Strewth, for a minute there I thought Kent Duston was CoNF.
Get em.
...the sector needs big profits to maintain stability...
Other way around. Big profits are a result of an excess emphasis on stability. RBNZ has kept new competitors out of the market for banking services and allowed consolidation to make it easier to regulate. What I would say is that in most businesses, including banking, the optimum rate of failure is not 0%. Competitive markets that create price efficiency do so by sending underperformers to the wall.
The banks are too big to fail and sending any of them to the wall will end a government.
Which is why opposition parties are always keen on banking reforms to make the market more efficient and the government is not, preferring to harangue against executive pay and things like wokeness.
"A reminder- crypto is an unregulated, untaxed industry. So it is not ‘investing’ - it is more like unregulated gambling."
"The reason we don’t invest in crypto or tokens of any description is not because they are used for criminal activities (all currencies are), or because they are largely in unlimited supply (as is the USD, effectively), but because in the advent of fraud there is no effective redress under law. If not, it really is un-regulated gambling. If people want to do that with their own money, good luck to them. But don’t call it investing. Warren Buffet tends to get these things right."
- Sam Stubbs
Where do you get your money back from fraud with FIAT currency? Last I checked banks were fighting tooth and nail to not be responsible, and you can't chase down a foreign phone scammer for your funds there to any great success.
This is a really silly argument. If it was guaranteed you'd get back your (fiat, legal tender, banked) money from fraudsters, there wouldn't be fraud.
"A reminder- crypto is an unregulated, untaxed industry. So it is not ‘investing’ - it is more like unregulated gambling."
Hardly untaxed, IRD treats crypto as property: Taxing cryptoasset income
Let me examing the facts pertaining to the denigrate outlook on crypto:
- the likes blackrock and fidelity have successfully applied for bitcoin etfs that have grown significantly in the last few months.
- ElSalvador has grown its reserves through investing in btc
- Rich money has flown into crypto entities like coinbase, circle, binance etc..
- Japan is ready to use xrp as a bridge currency in its banking system
- Xrp and litecoin etfs have been acknowledged by the sec
- Tokenization of real world assets is happening on blockchains as confirmed by larry fink
- Jamie dimon of jp morgan and larry fink of blackrock once claimed btc and crypto as fraud but have since heavily invested in the asset class through their respective institutions
- Stablecoin usage has seen record growth and regulations are on their way
- Trump has proposed to make America the capital of blockchain technology
- The likes iso certified coins of xrp, xlm xdc hbar , iota are all adding volume and transactions onto their blockchains
- The likes xrp and xlm have been present in wef meetings regularly. Just for fun?
I can continue on but will stop to say that by 2030 cryptocurrency will be a 30 trillion dollar asset class. Institutions will adopt it first followed by mass adoption from retail. Banks will always want to secure their interest before allowing retail in. But those who have done their due diligence can get in early in what is the biggest opportunity for investors from all walks of life.
By the way warren buffet has invested in nu holdings a digital banking service. He also has a stake in bank of america which is one of the many banks heavily linked with xrp
Of course there are lot of pump and dumps/ illegitimate cryptos out there but that is normal for any nascent asset class. By the time all the dust settles the likes of bitcoin, xrp, xlm, hbar, xdc and various other tokens will emerge as significant players in this economic transition/4th industrial revolution/global reset or whatever you want to call it.
"Both Stubbs and Duston agreed the Reserve Bank’s capital requirements were too strict" They would wouldn't they. If weakening capital requirement occurs something needs to balance this out. Deposit scheme maybe the answer. Big jail time for directors of a failed bank or specific financial institution would help focus directors minds. This has the consequence of becoming very risk averse in lending so almost back at square one.
"what signal is the New Zealand Government sending around windfall tax? Again ... at a time when New Zealand really needs international investors,"
So international investors will only invest in NZ if they can make windfall profit?
If our banks became less profitable, they could still be profitable compared to other countries, but not by as much as currently. This is fat that can be trimmed without investors pulling out on a large scale.
I think perhaps, given Resi is 70% of the total NZ lending book, and its highly profitable compared with business or agri from a capital basis, you may find if you look overseas that overall profits are slightly low. As a bigger part of their offshore books is in "productive" but lower profit loans?
It seems banks have configured themselves to be as profitable as possible WITHIN the RBNZs rules...
Is that not what businesses do?
If RBNZ lifted the required capital for resi and dropped it for Productive growth growth growth lending, maybe banks profits would drop back to offshore levels.... it is likely that mortgages would get more expensive however, and perhaps business lending cheaper?
So if we make our “fat, dumb, and lazy” banks more efficient, and competitive, we lose $3.5 billion of unjustified profits ... And our GDP takes a $3.5 billion hit? Can't have that now, can we? (Another example of why GDP is a pretty crap measure ... in case you were wondering.)
Well no, because we'd have that $6b - $10b of deadweight drag removed, lifting total GDP by more than the $3.5b of profit 'lost'....
The $3.5b of excess profit would otherwise be in people's pockets, spending and investing elsewhere in the economy.
Since these are banks and not supermarkets, they become less profitable by reducing retail interest rates. More borrowing at lower cost and the total private debt holdings of Kiwis will swell much more than $3.5 billion.
Indeed! And both I and C increase in the GDP equation! :)
The silly thing is that we have known for years that GDP is a dumb measure, especially how we use it, but we keep on doing it?!
The regulatory moat is too great for smaller startup banks, perhaps we could adopt the Bank Of England model, where different levels of capital and regulation could be defined to allow challenger banks to operate, and Fintechs.
That said, its impossible for smaller operators to access offshore funding in the way the big guys do.
NAct could technically fund a Freddy Mac / Fannie Mae type operation , where that entity had Gov backing and smaller players could write a mortgage security and then sell it to them, allowing them to reuse that capital again. This is the ONLY way to level the playing field.
What exactly does Freddie Mac do?
The primary business of Freddie Mac is to purchase loans from lenders to replenish their supply of funds so they can make more mortgage loans to other bor- rowers. Freddie Mac then issues securities backed by pools of these mortgages that it sells to the capital markets.
The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, commonly known as Freddie Mac, is an American publicly traded, government-sponsored enterprise, headquartered in Tysons, Virginia. The FHLMC was created in 1970 to expand the secondary market for mortgages in the US.
So basically securitization. Which most of the finance companies in NZ do already
"Additionally, Payments NZ should be shifted away from bank ownership into an independent entity and the banks should be split into retail and wholesale businesses. These are both fairly radical proposals which were not included in the Commission's report."
If the finance minister is serious about implementing more competition in the supermarket trade, this is the kind of that needs to happen.
There's a huge big win for National here if they can increase banking competition and reduce bank profits. Because almost certainly Labour would support them, meaning long term change is definitely possible.
But I almost guarantee, its all lip service from National. As they will have large donors who own shares or are directly involved in bank profits, or their members will want to land lucrative board positions post politics (John Key anyone?).
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