About
Stephen Roach
Latest articles
Stephen Roach laments that facts - especially about China - are in short supply as the US presidential race tightens
29th Oct 24, 9:50am
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Stephen Roach laments that facts - especially about China - are in short supply as the US presidential race tightens
Stephen Roach reminds Western observers that the Chinese government's real priorities are very different from their own
15th Jul 24, 11:05am
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Stephen Roach reminds Western observers that the Chinese government's real priorities are very different from their own
Stephen Roach warns that America's tariffs against some Chinese goods raise the risk of a catastrophic superpower conflict
2nd Jun 24, 12:02pm
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Stephen Roach warns that America's tariffs against some Chinese goods raise the risk of a catastrophic superpower conflict
Stephen Roach explains why the Chinese authorities should switch to a consumption- and productivity-led growth model
25th Apr 24, 1:06pm
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Stephen Roach explains why the Chinese authorities should switch to a consumption- and productivity-led growth model
Stephen Roach bemoans the transformation of China's most important platform for open debate into a schooze-fest
14th Apr 24, 8:37am
Stephen Roach bemoans the transformation of China's most important platform for open debate into a schooze-fest
Stephen Roach warns that fear has drive US policymakers to level a litany of unsubstantiated charges against China
30th Mar 24, 9:19am
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Stephen Roach warns that fear has drive US policymakers to level a litany of unsubstantiated charges against China
Stephen Roach worries that irrational Sinophobia has become America's new bipartisan political orthodoxy
28th Feb 24, 12:09pm
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Stephen Roach worries that irrational Sinophobia has become America's new bipartisan political orthodoxy
Stephen Roach looks back on his 50 years of forecasting and finds that 'exceptional' crises have been the norm
24th Dec 23, 7:30am
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Stephen Roach looks back on his 50 years of forecasting and finds that 'exceptional' crises have been the norm
Stephen Roach explains why the US and Chinese presidents managed to make progress on the key issues they did in San Francisco
18th Nov 23, 10:29am
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Stephen Roach explains why the US and Chinese presidents managed to make progress on the key issues they did in San Francisco
Stephen Roach proposes three objectives to pursue at a possible meeting between the Chinese and US presidents in November
27th Oct 23, 12:27pm
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Stephen Roach proposes three objectives to pursue at a possible meeting between the Chinese and US presidents in November
Stephen Roach warns that short-termism will never be enough to offset the long-term benefits of strategic thinking
28th Sep 23, 10:06am
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Stephen Roach warns that short-termism will never be enough to offset the long-term benefits of strategic thinking
Stephen Roach argues that the Chinese government's muted stimulus is an attempt to wean itself off debt-intensive economic growth
25th Aug 23, 10:08am
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Stephen Roach argues that the Chinese government's muted stimulus is an attempt to wean itself off debt-intensive economic growth
Stephen Roach warns that targeted bilateral actions will not resolve, and could worsen, America's outsize trade deficit
29th Jul 23, 9:16am
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Stephen Roach warns that targeted bilateral actions will not resolve, and could worsen, America's outsize trade deficit
Stephen Roach warns that relying on a personalised approach to diplomacy will undermine efforts at conflict resolution
28th Jun 23, 2:08pm
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Stephen Roach warns that relying on a personalised approach to diplomacy will undermine efforts at conflict resolution
Stephen Roach thinks China is poorly positioned to capitalise on recent advances with large language AI models
25th May 23, 10:56am
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Stephen Roach thinks China is poorly positioned to capitalise on recent advances with large language AI models
Stephen Roach says the economic interests of saving-short America are tightly aligned with its outsize imbalances of trade and capital flows
26th Apr 23, 7:53am
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Stephen Roach says the economic interests of saving-short America are tightly aligned with its outsize imbalances of trade and capital flows
Stephen Roach thinks America's latest financial trouble will reinforce China's narrative of terminal national decline
25th Mar 23, 9:21am
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Stephen Roach thinks America's latest financial trouble will reinforce China's narrative of terminal national decline
Stephen Roach compares current geopolitical conditions in Europe and Asia to the run-up to World War I
2nd Mar 23, 11:24am
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Stephen Roach compares current geopolitical conditions in Europe and Asia to the run-up to World War I
Stephen Roach used to tout the world's greatest growth story in China - until the political economy of autocracy spoiled the plot
23rd Dec 22, 12:16pm
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Stephen Roach used to tout the world's greatest growth story in China - until the political economy of autocracy spoiled the plot
Stephen Roach on US monetary tightening, China's growth sacrifice, the Sino-American rivalry, and more
10th Nov 22, 12:27pm
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Stephen Roach on US monetary tightening, China's growth sacrifice, the Sino-American rivalry, and more
Stephen Roach says the CCP's 20th Party Congress in Beijing confirmed national security will take precedence over economic growth
25th Oct 22, 11:32am
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Stephen Roach says the CCP's 20th Party Congress in Beijing confirmed national security will take precedence over economic growth
Stephen Roach thinks the US central bank and Chinese governance share a conceptual weakness leading to major policy blunders
28th Sep 22, 9:11am
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Stephen Roach thinks the US central bank and Chinese governance share a conceptual weakness leading to major policy blunders
Stephen Roach says that three factors have shaved nearly 3.5 percentage points from China's output gains since 2012
24th Aug 22, 11:54am
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Stephen Roach says that three factors have shaved nearly 3.5 percentage points from China's output gains since 2012
Stephen Roach thinks China, who benefited the most from global trade growth, could now lose the most
26th Jul 22, 9:26am
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Stephen Roach thinks China, who benefited the most from global trade growth, could now lose the most
Stephen Roach revisits his 2020 prediction of a dollar crash and explains why he got it perfectly wrong
28th Jun 22, 10:03am
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Stephen Roach revisits his 2020 prediction of a dollar crash and explains why he got it perfectly wrong