In February, Chinese food prices went up by 6.0% year-on-year, representing a 2 percentage points increase in the overall price rise of 3.2% in their CPI.
And most of that increase was for beef and lamb.
For New Zealand exporters this represents a significant opportunity.
Beef prices have risen 34% in a year; prices for sheepmeats are up 13% according to February price data published by the Chinese statistics authority yesterday.
At the same time, the NZ dollar has actually depreciated by 0.5% against the Chinese yuan, although it appreciated by 0.5% against the US dollar, according to RBNZ average monthly exchange rate data. These are tiny movements on a year-on-year basis (Feb-on-Feb) although the intervening period has seen greater variability.
New Zealand's meat trade with China has started to grow very strongly in recent years, although off a fairly modest base. It is not so modest anymore.
Beef products accounted for NZ$62.1 million in exports in the year to January 2013, up NZ$50 million or almost 400% on the previous year. Sheep meat products are worth considerably more, achieving $364 million in the year to January 2013, and these grew $161 million or 78%, in that annual period.
Both beef and sheep meat exports have been growing strongly for a number of years and the rate of increase is rising.
The growth in the China market more than offset falling lamb demand in the traditional UK markets where we exported $30 million less in the year to January 2013. The fall was even greater in the US where the decline exceeded NZ$60 million.
Sheep meat exports to | UK | USA | China |
year to | $ mil | $ mil | $ mil |
January 2011 | 593.3 | 267.8 | 124.1 |
January 2012 | 571.3 | 301.7 | 204.0 |
January 2013 | 542.6 | 240.0 | 364.2 |
Beef exports to | UK | USA | China |
year to | $ mil | $ mil | $ mil |
January 2011 | 28.6 | 768.3 | 8.7 |
January 2012 | 38.0 | 781.3 | 12.8 |
January 2013 | 29.5 | 944.1 | 62.1 |
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