ASB has cut its fixed home loan rate card further, the second cut from them in two weeks.
There is just a hint of desperation in this move, by trumpeting just a -5 bps reduction for some key terms and claiming a market-low by the minimum amount.
Their moves mean their 5.54% one year rate beats its rivals by a mere -1 bp, and it is hard to see the point of this other than claiming the "lowest rate".
Their move also puts their eighteen month fixed rate at 5.34%, and that is also the lowest carded rate of any bank for that fixed term, and by 5 bps.
And ASB has cut -20 bps from their two year rate, taking it down to 5.29% which matches BNZ.
ASB matched these cuts with -5 and -10 bps cuts to their key term deposit rates
Wholesale rates eased slightly last week in line with global moves, but these shifts are not major and unlikely to be the basis of retail carded rate reductions. We won't get the full money market view on the US tariff ructions until Wall Street opens tomorrow.
A feature of the current home loan market is that the difference of carded rates from actual offers has nearly vanished.
The reader-reported mortgage rates are fluid but may be less frequent now, so please record them if you have them. We need you to record them in the comment section below, which helps us stay on top of this fast-changing corner of the home loan rates market.
And still negotiate. How flexible they may be will depend on the strength of your financials.
One indication of how competitive the current mortgage market is came recently in RBNZ-released data for December, where a near-record level of bank switching in home loan activity was revealed. It seems that banks are much more vulnerable to customer migration, and rate pressures (and a slow reaction to that) can have a sharp effect. We won't know who are the winners and who are the losers from this elevated switching until the next release of the RBNZ Dashboard mid February.
One useful way to make sense of the changed home loan rates is to use our full-function mortgage calculator which is below.
And if you already have a fixed term mortgage that is not up for renewal at this time, our break fee calculator may help you assess your options. Break fees will be minimal in a rising market. But they become important in a falling market, like now.
Here is the updated snapshot of the lowest advertised fixed-term mortgage rates on offer from the key retail banks at the moment.
Fixed, below 80% LVR | 6 mths | 1 yr | 18 mth | 2 yrs | 3 yrs | 4 yrs | 5 yrs |
as at February 3, 2025 | % | % | % | % | % | % | % |
ANZ | 5.99 | 5.57 | 5.39 | 5.44 | 5.59 | 6.19 | 6.19 |
current reader-reported rates | 5.85 | 5.49 | 5.35 | 5.29 | 5.55 | 5.59 | 5.59 |
5.99 | 5.54 -0.05 |
5.34 -0.05 |
5.29 -0.20 |
5.59 | 5.79 | 5.79 | |
current reader-reported rates | |||||||
5.99 | 5.55 | 5.39 | 5.29 | 5.59 | 5.69 | 5.79 | |
current reader-reported rates | |||||||
5.99 | 5.55 | 5.45 | 5.69 | 5.79 | 5.89 | ||
current reader-reported rates | |||||||
5.99 | 5.79 | 5.69 | 5.49 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 5.59 | |
current reader-reported rates | |||||||
Bank of China | 5.95 | 5.55 | 5.35 | 5.39 | 5.49 | 5.49 | 5.49 |
China Construction Bank | 6.24 | 5.79 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 6.40 | 6.40 |
Co-operative Bank (*=FHB only) | 5.99 | 5.49* | 5.49 | 5.49 | 5.69 | 5.79 | 5.79 |
Heartland Bank | 5.49 | 5.39 | 5.39 | 5.45 | |||
ICBC | 5.99 | 5.79 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 5.59 |
6.09 | 5.79 | 5.49 | 5.49 | 5.59 | 5.79 | 5.79 | |
5.99 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 5.45 | 5.59 | 5.79 | 5.89 |
Fixed mortgage rates
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Comprehensive Mortgage Calculator
45 Comments
Reality is that if the interest rates do not drop significantly then there are going go be a lot of people looking for rentals or they will be living in motels again.
Nothing surer than rents will be increasing and dont say people will not pay them.
If they do not pay them then they will need to be joining the state housing queue.
Yeah another 15-20% drop is possible despite ‘the bottom’ being in and ‘the recovery’ being just around the corner.
I see 2025 being similar to 2024 just with more supply on the market, more business failures, more job losses and weak immigration. Ie not any real tailwinds to justify current market prices which historically are still very high by any fundamental metric.
Rates might have to drop significantly more to justify current prices - but looking what is happening around the world it appears we could be near the bottom for this rate dropping cycle.
Yeah you can say what you want about “Interest rates falling = house prices rising” however in my travels and conversations there is a lot of pain out there, some very well established companies closing, costs rising etc. Most are hunkering down, the last thing they want is more debt hanging around their neck.
But peole will just ‘inflate the debt away’.. this is what perma bulls on property were saying back in 2021 to justify anyone and everyone to load up with as much debt as possible. I disagreed but got called a doom gloom merchant and a negative person by vested interests in return for advising extreme caution at the time.
Ah people are either DGMs or they are envious of the riches other people have made in the housing market if they disagree with a perma bull on housing. It isn’t possible that they just have their own view point (which could turn out to be correct) and are neither doom or gloomy nor are they envious of others.
We had about 3-4 decades of normal house price appreciation occur in about 15 years post GFC.
ie house prices consistently rising at multiples of general CPI and wage appreciation - that is completely unsustainable over the long term unless rates keep dropping. But now if you look at yields we have now broken out of a 4 decade downward cycle of interest rates (early 1980’s - 2020’s). What this means for asset prices like housing and bonds is highly significant. Those who are bullish on housing should see what has happened to bonds prices which in quick time can re-price the current value of future discounted cash flows in this new higher interest rate environment (its around a 40% drop). So it’s quite possible we are only halfway through this period of repricing housing here in Nz.
Works if you purchased your first properties 10+ years ago..but it’s the new entrants they are enticing to play their game that are being used as cannon fodder. Eg those encouraging others to buy around 2021 with their ‘be quick’ and ‘you’ll miss out’ FOMO mind games they were playing. Those people potentially purchased their homes at the worst moment in the past 100 years of the NZ housing market - purely in terms of an investment decision and future ROI.
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