Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today (or if you already work from home, before you shutdown your laptop).
MORTGAGE/LOAN RATE CHANGES (ALL CUTS)
Kiwibank has cut its fixed rates today, but only to where its main rivals have already settled to. SBS Bank also cut all its fixed rates, with their 2 year down to a market-leading 5.89%. In addition, they announced their floating rate reduction. ICBC cut all its fixed rates today All rates are here.
TERM DEPOSIT/SAVINGS RATE CHANGES (ALL CUTS)
Kiwibank also cut its term deposit rates hard as well, but again, only matching the cuts from its main rivals. ICBC also cut its term deposit rates for terms 4-18 months. SBS Bank cut its TDs and savings account rates. Rabobank cut all TD rate for terms 1 year and longer. They also reduced their savings and Notice Saver rates. All updated rates less than 1 year are here, for 1-5 years, they are here.
BRIGHTER OUTLOOK FOR DAIRY INDUSTRY
Dairy prices rose +5.5% in USD terms. Even though this just takes us back to levels just a few weeks ago, it has changed the view of many analysts who now see upside potential to their farmgate payout forecasts. In fact BNZ nudged their up slightly today. The NZX's seasonal calculator is now running higher than all the analyst forecast levels. Maybe one aspect encouraging analysts is the strength of the return of Chinese demand in today's auction.
UNCHANGED
Fitch Ratings said it has affirmed New Zealand's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'AA+' with a Stable Outlook. That remains just one notch below AAA.
RBNZ CONSULTING ON DEPOSITOR STANDARDS & CRISIS MANAGEMENT
The Reserve Bank is consulting on policy proposals for a range of standards under the Deposit Takers Act, and has released an issues paper on the crisis management framework in the Act. The RBNZ notes the DTA, passed last year, modernises NZ's crisis management framework by formalising the RBNZ's role as the resolution authority, establishing a Depositor Compensation Scheme, and providing additional powers and tools to deal with entities in distress. Both consultations are open until Friday, November 22.
CREDIT CARD INDICATORS TAME
Credit card transaction and balance data for July reinforce the stunded nature of consumer demand, but also that this data isn't going backwards. And the stress indicator - the proportion of credit card debt incurring interest - isn't worsening materially either.
DOMINANCE HAS ITS REWARDS
IAG NZ's annual gross written premium surged +15% to $4 bln and their insurance profit jumped to $500 mln. in the year to June 2024. Defensively, their local CEO says insurers need to ‘balance out the bad years with the good’. IAG is a dominant general insurer. Based on ICNZ data, IAG's local; $4 bln premium income means it has at least two-thirds of the market, possibly more.
A WEALTH ADVANTAGE
The Sam Knowles-chaired Wellington fintech Adminis has signed up with BNZ to use their API on their platform, one that focuses on wealth managers, fund managers, self-directed investment platforms, and wealthy private individuals as clients. This FX dealing API allows Adminis clients 24 hours a day, 5½ days a week - from the opening of the NZ market to the close of New York - to trade currencies and manage risks even when local markets, such as those in New Zealand, are closed overnight. This access spans major FX markets across the USA, Europe, and Asia. Adminis main shareholder is Somers Ltd, a Bermuda investor in financials and one of these is Resimac.
EARNINGS SEASON UPDATES
Our NZX50 profiles have been updated today with the recent release of full year results to June 30, 2024 for EBOS (EBO, #8), SkyTV (SKT, #46), and Fletcher Building (FBU, #17).
NEW FEATURE
Check out our new quick update of how the NZX is faring today, as at 3pm. We welcome comments on that update story.
STRESS MEANS HIVING OFF THE GOOD BITS
Construction giant Fletcher Building (FBU, #17) said it is seeking 'capital partnership' options for its residential development business. It has retained Jarden to look at options for this business division as the group reports a larger-than-expected -$227 mln loss for the June financial year. FBU shares were down as much as -7.6% and one point but are now down -3.9% near the end of trade. So far in 2024 they are down -31% with most of that big fall happening by May.
SWAP RATES HOLD
Wholesale swap rates are probably little-changed today. Our chart below will record the final positions. The 90 day bank bill rate is unchanged at 5.25%. The Australian 10 year bond yield is down -4 bps at 3.92%. The China 10 year bond rate is down -3 bps at 2.13% and Beijing can't seem to halt the rally. The NZ Government 10 year bond rate is down -4 bps at 4.22% and the earlier RBNZ fix was at 4.16% and down -5 bps from yesterday. The UST 10yr yield is down -6 bps from yesterday at 3.82%. Their 2yr is now at 4.00%, so that curve is now inverted by -18 bps.
EQUITIES ALL EASE LOWER
The NZX50 is down another -0.4% in Wednesday trade. The ASX200 is also down -0.4% in afternoon trade. Tokyo has opened down -0.7%. Hong Kong is down -0.8% at its open. Shanghai is down -0.2%. Singapore is down -0.3% at its open. The S&P500 ended its Tuesday session Wall Street down -0.2%.
OIL EASES
The oil price is down -50 USc from yesterday at just under US$73/bbl in the US, and at just over US$76.50/bbl for the international Brent price.
CARBON PRICE STAYS UP
Today the carbon price is still up at $60/NZU today in reaction to the Government announcement that future NZU releases will be sharply trimmed back. See our new daily chart tracker of the NZU price for carbon, courtesy of emsTradepoint.
GOLD FIRMER
In early Asian trade, gold is up +US$19 from yesterday, now at US$2518/oz and a new high.
NZD FIRMER AGAIN
The Kiwi dollar is up another +40 bps from this time yesterday, now at 61.5 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +20 bps at 91.2 AUc. Against the euro we are also up +10 bps at 55.3 euro cents. This all means the TWI-5 is up +20 bps from yesterday at 69.4.
BITCOIN SLIPS
The bitcoin price has fallen -1.8% from this time yesterday, now at US$59,408. Volatility of the past 24 hours has been moderate at just on +/- 2.3%.
USE OF AI
No articles on this news service are produced with AI. Occasionally we use AI to derive images. They are always identified in the attribution.
Daily exchange rates
Select chart tabs
Daily swap rates
Select chart tabs
This soil moisture chart is animated here.
Keep abreast of upcoming events by following our Economic Calendar here ».
We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment
Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.