Gareth Kiernan
Economists say interest rates could be cut as soon as August after the Reserve Bank performs ‘dovish pivot’ at July meeting
10th Jul 24, 6:37pm
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Economists say interest rates could be cut as soon as August after the Reserve Bank performs ‘dovish pivot’ at July meeting
[updated]
ANZ economists say 'meaningful progress' in inflation war around the corner, meaning the OCR could be cut earlier than they previously forecast
7th Jun 24, 11:17am
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ANZ economists say 'meaningful progress' in inflation war around the corner, meaning the OCR could be cut earlier than they previously forecast
Reserve Bank considered lifting interest rates to offset a decline in productivity which is making inflation worse
23rd May 24, 6:00am
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Reserve Bank considered lifting interest rates to offset a decline in productivity which is making inflation worse
Stronger employment data could spook the Reserve Bank into raising the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%, economists say
7th Feb 24, 2:04pm
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Stronger employment data could spook the Reserve Bank into raising the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%, economists say
The rebalancing of the economy could have been a lot more 'harrowing', Infometrics’ chief forecaster Gareth Kiernan says
20th Oct 23, 5:00am
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The rebalancing of the economy could have been a lot more 'harrowing', Infometrics’ chief forecaster Gareth Kiernan says
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan takes a look at where mortgage interest rates are headed in light of the recent changed signals from the RBNZ
31st May 23, 1:10pm
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Infometric's Gareth Kiernan takes a look at where mortgage interest rates are headed in light of the recent changed signals from the RBNZ
Infometrics says millennial first home buyers are signing up for a lifetime of debt and are likely to be much worse off than the baby boomers
23rd Jun 22, 5:00am
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Infometrics says millennial first home buyers are signing up for a lifetime of debt and are likely to be much worse off than the baby boomers
Economics forecaster Infometrics says renewed house price rises are a side-effect of the Reserve Bank's efforts to stimulate the economy
15th Oct 20, 6:00pm
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Economics forecaster Infometrics says renewed house price rises are a side-effect of the Reserve Bank's efforts to stimulate the economy
Infometrics says we should look to the 1930s for a solution to help the economy recover from a COVID-19 recession by building more state houses
7th May 20, 10:29am
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Infometrics says we should look to the 1930s for a solution to help the economy recover from a COVID-19 recession by building more state houses
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan sees a massive hit to growth, then some sort of recovery and reasons for cautious optimism
28th Mar 20, 9:50am
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Infometric's Gareth Kiernan sees a massive hit to growth, then some sort of recovery and reasons for cautious optimism
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan warns our public policy managers that Japan's malaise is the result of doing 'whatever is necessary' to keep economic pain away from voters, and shying away from essential reforms in the face of an ageing population
22nd Jan 20, 12:44pm
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Infometric's Gareth Kiernan warns our public policy managers that Japan's malaise is the result of doing 'whatever is necessary' to keep economic pain away from voters, and shying away from essential reforms in the face of an ageing population
Gareth Kiernan says the housing market failure has caused a large undersupply in some regions, especially Auckland, but a surplus in others, especially Christchurch, and the surplus regions are vulnerable to a sharp price correction
24th Oct 19, 6:28am
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Gareth Kiernan says the housing market failure has caused a large undersupply in some regions, especially Auckland, but a surplus in others, especially Christchurch, and the surplus regions are vulnerable to a sharp price correction
Gareth Kiernan says a strong services sector in Auckland helps the region grab the top growth spot. South Canterbury's Waimate suddenly jumps into contention too with a dairy boost
31st Jan 19, 11:51am
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Gareth Kiernan says a strong services sector in Auckland helps the region grab the top growth spot. South Canterbury's Waimate suddenly jumps into contention too with a dairy boost
Infometrics' Gareth Kiernan sees enough speed bumps on the horizon to slow economic growth more than the market expects; says it's time for LVRs to be eased
12th Oct 18, 5:02am
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Infometrics' Gareth Kiernan sees enough speed bumps on the horizon to slow economic growth more than the market expects; says it's time for LVRs to be eased
As the economy shifts down a gear, the Finance Minister has been talking up the ‘fiscal stimulus’ the Government has at its disposal, but what is ‘fiscal stimulus’ and how will it help the economy?
8th Aug 18, 1:48pm
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As the economy shifts down a gear, the Finance Minister has been talking up the ‘fiscal stimulus’ the Government has at its disposal, but what is ‘fiscal stimulus’ and how will it help the economy?
Infometrics is expecting GDP growth of roughly 2% a year until 2021 – 1% under Treasury’s forecast – and the regions are expected to do the economic heavy lifting
19th Jul 18, 9:17am
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Infometrics is expecting GDP growth of roughly 2% a year until 2021 – 1% under Treasury’s forecast – and the regions are expected to do the economic heavy lifting
A raft of economic issues, such as low business confidence and less govt roading investment, will see GDP growth begin to taper off early next year, according to Infometrics
2nd Feb 18, 5:02am
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A raft of economic issues, such as low business confidence and less govt roading investment, will see GDP growth begin to taper off early next year, according to Infometrics
Gareth Kiernan looks at what the New Year will bring for migration, education, foreign house buyers, KiwiBuild, the RBNZ, the minimum wage, and infrastructure
24th Jan 18, 3:54pm
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Gareth Kiernan looks at what the New Year will bring for migration, education, foreign house buyers, KiwiBuild, the RBNZ, the minimum wage, and infrastructure
Economics consultancy and forecaster Infometrics says NZ's net migration may actually be more like 80,000 per year; says ideal should be between 10,500 and 16,600 - but that could take seven years to achieve
16th Aug 17, 10:23am
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Economics consultancy and forecaster Infometrics says NZ's net migration may actually be more like 80,000 per year; says ideal should be between 10,500 and 16,600 - but that could take seven years to achieve
A property market slowdown mixed with rising interest rates is a cocktail that'll become lethal if the next government clamps down on migration, says Infometrics
14th Jul 17, 8:19am
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A property market slowdown mixed with rising interest rates is a cocktail that'll become lethal if the next government clamps down on migration, says Infometrics
Benje Patterson examines the personal finance ramifications of tying up money in housing
7th Jul 17, 10:02am
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Benje Patterson examines the personal finance ramifications of tying up money in housing
Infometrics says we've forgotten the lessons of the GFC and homeowners will struggle with mortgage debt as interest rates rise and house prices fall
13th Apr 17, 10:02am
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Infometrics says we've forgotten the lessons of the GFC and homeowners will struggle with mortgage debt as interest rates rise and house prices fall
Auckland to lead NZ jobs growth over next four years as Christchurch falls below national average, Infometrics says
15th Mar 17, 12:44pm
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Auckland to lead NZ jobs growth over next four years as Christchurch falls below national average, Infometrics says
NZ house prices look set to fall 12% by 2020 as rates rise and population growth eases, Infometrics says
23rd Feb 17, 1:30pm
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NZ house prices look set to fall 12% by 2020 as rates rise and population growth eases, Infometrics says
Infometrics' Gareth Kiernan sees rising mortgage interest rates along with political uncertainty to "derail New Zealand's growth train"
4th Feb 17, 11:11am
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Infometrics' Gareth Kiernan sees rising mortgage interest rates along with political uncertainty to "derail New Zealand's growth train"