Gareth Kiernan
Latest articles
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan takes a look at where mortgage interest rates are headed in light of the recent changed signals from the RBNZ
78
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan takes a look at where mortgage interest rates are headed in light of the recent changed signals from the RBNZ
Infometrics says we should look to the 1930s for a solution to help the economy recover from a COVID-19 recession by building more state houses
67
Infometrics says we should look to the 1930s for a solution to help the economy recover from a COVID-19 recession by building more state houses
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan sees a massive hit to growth, then some sort of recovery and reasons for cautious optimism
66
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan sees a massive hit to growth, then some sort of recovery and reasons for cautious optimism
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan warns our public policy managers that Japan's malaise is the result of doing 'whatever is necessary' to keep economic pain away from voters, and shying away from essential reforms in the face of an ageing population
31
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan warns our public policy managers that Japan's malaise is the result of doing 'whatever is necessary' to keep economic pain away from voters, and shying away from essential reforms in the face of an ageing population
Gareth Kiernan says the housing market failure has caused a large undersupply in some regions, especially Auckland, but a surplus in others, especially Christchurch, and the surplus regions are vulnerable to a sharp price correction
130
Gareth Kiernan says the housing market failure has caused a large undersupply in some regions, especially Auckland, but a surplus in others, especially Christchurch, and the surplus regions are vulnerable to a sharp price correction
Gareth Kiernan says a strong services sector in Auckland helps the region grab the top growth spot. South Canterbury's Waimate suddenly jumps into contention too with a dairy boost
2
Gareth Kiernan says a strong services sector in Auckland helps the region grab the top growth spot. South Canterbury's Waimate suddenly jumps into contention too with a dairy boost
Gareth Kiernan argues Labour’s KiwiBuild policy looks like less of a game-changer for the construction sector & housing affordability than the Govt has made it out to be
164
Gareth Kiernan argues Labour’s KiwiBuild policy looks like less of a game-changer for the construction sector & housing affordability than the Govt has made it out to be
Gareth Kiernan looks at what the New Year will bring for migration, education, foreign house buyers, KiwiBuild, the RBNZ, the minimum wage, and infrastructure
11
Gareth Kiernan looks at what the New Year will bring for migration, education, foreign house buyers, KiwiBuild, the RBNZ, the minimum wage, and infrastructure
Infometrics' Gareth Kiernan sees rising mortgage interest rates along with political uncertainty to "derail New Zealand's growth train"
17
Infometrics' Gareth Kiernan sees rising mortgage interest rates along with political uncertainty to "derail New Zealand's growth train"
Gareth Kiernan sees sharply higher construction activity generating booming employment and business growth across the country at a time an ageing workforce requires more young entrants
5
Gareth Kiernan sees sharply higher construction activity generating booming employment and business growth across the country at a time an ageing workforce requires more young entrants
Gareth Kiernan says the third attempt to restrain the housing market with LVR restrictions may slash house sales by at least 15%, but probably only temporarily in Auckland
38
Gareth Kiernan says the third attempt to restrain the housing market with LVR restrictions may slash house sales by at least 15%, but probably only temporarily in Auckland
Gareth Kiernan calls on the Government to treat tourism as a 'major industry' and invest in it actively to avoid future reputational issues
8
Gareth Kiernan calls on the Government to treat tourism as a 'major industry' and invest in it actively to avoid future reputational issues
Gareth Kiernan senses a 'whiff of megalomania emanating from Number 2 The Terrace', with 'an increasingly superior attitude' about its own understanding of the NZ economy
21
Gareth Kiernan senses a 'whiff of megalomania emanating from Number 2 The Terrace', with 'an increasingly superior attitude' about its own understanding of the NZ economy
Gareth Kiernan assesses the policy options available for the coming economic slowdown, and compares our options with other countries
3
Gareth Kiernan assesses the policy options available for the coming economic slowdown, and compares our options with other countries
Auckland house prices would still be unaffordable even if they fell by 20% says Infometrics
Gareth Kiernan wonders if wage growth is a lagging indicator of the economic cycle, are greater labour cost pressure's just around the corner?
Gareth Kiernan wonders if wage growth is a lagging indicator of the economic cycle, are greater labour cost pressure's just around the corner?
Gareth Kiernan has a World Cup Cricket-themed look at likely economic developments and concludes that NZ's big hitting is going to give way to more stolid accumulation
Gareth Kiernan has a World Cup Cricket-themed look at likely economic developments and concludes that NZ's big hitting is going to give way to more stolid accumulation
Gareth Kiernan looks at some key trends we will face this year, and suggests that the RBNZ will launch new housing loan restrictions
4
Gareth Kiernan looks at some key trends we will face this year, and suggests that the RBNZ will launch new housing loan restrictions
Gareth Kiernan looks into the murky world of public body cost-benefit analysis and finds it mingled with patch-protection and ego justifications
13
Gareth Kiernan looks into the murky world of public body cost-benefit analysis and finds it mingled with patch-protection and ego justifications
Infometrics is wondering if the economy has passed its use-by date. What challenges will the next few years bring?
14
Infometrics is wondering if the economy has passed its use-by date. What challenges will the next few years bring?
Any attempts to herd people, or investment funds, where they would not go by themselves are only likely to delay the inevitable says Gareth Kiernan
12
Any attempts to herd people, or investment funds, where they would not go by themselves are only likely to delay the inevitable says Gareth Kiernan
Gareth Kiernan critiques the reasoning behind the new Labour Party VSR policy - he has ten reasons why he is not a fan
15
Gareth Kiernan critiques the reasoning behind the new Labour Party VSR policy - he has ten reasons why he is not a fan
Gareth Kiernan says says Labour's Best Start policy is poorly thought through, poorly targeted, and unlikely to effectively solve the perceived problems
11
Gareth Kiernan says says Labour's Best Start policy is poorly thought through, poorly targeted, and unlikely to effectively solve the perceived problems
Gareth Kiernan says economic growth will continue to strengthen beyond the end of next year - without a debt-fueled binge
5
Gareth Kiernan says economic growth will continue to strengthen beyond the end of next year - without a debt-fueled binge
Gareth Kiernan warns about unintended consequences in regional diversification; policymakers are no better at picking winners than the private sector, and worse at letting poor performers go
4
Gareth Kiernan warns about unintended consequences in regional diversification; policymakers are no better at picking winners than the private sector, and worse at letting poor performers go