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NZ's largest home loan lender raises its floating rates by the full 25 basis points of the RBNZ OCR hike, raises some savings rates too

Personal Finance / news
NZ's largest home loan lender raises its floating rates by the full 25 basis points of the RBNZ OCR hike, raises some savings rates too
anz2-june-2020

ANZ is lifting mortgage rates following Wednesday's 25 basis points Official Cash Rate (OCR) hike by the Reserve Bank.

They are raising their floating rates by the full +25 basis points of the OCR increase.

That will take ANZ's Standard floating rate to 5.04%, up from 4.79% previously. Their revolving credit rate will rise to 5.15%.

Blueprint to Build is a discount off the floating rate

At the same time, they are raising some savings account interest rates by +25 bps as well. For example, ANZ's Serious Saver account rate will rise to a potential rate of 0.70%.

They are expecting more rises. A spokesperson said: "As the Reserve Bank moves to rein in inflation and bring some balance back to the economy they have signalled the OCR would continue to rise, potentially to around 3.4% by late 2024. If that happens, interest rates for lending and savings are likely to continue to rise too."

ANZ's new rates will be effective from the following dates:

Home lending Floating New Loans 1 March
  Existing Loans 15 March
'Blueprint to Build' (2.76% discount) New loans 1 March
  Existing loans 15 March
Home lending Flexible New Loans 15 March
  Existing Loans 15 March
Business floating New Loans 1 March
  Existing Loans 15 March
Business overdraft   15 March
Serious Saver   1 March

It is likely that all other banks will follow with similar increases, and soon.

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40 Comments

If serious savers can look forward to 0.7% I would hate to think what you can expect if you're only semi-committed. 

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16

Don't forget to subtract the tax from that 0.7%!

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7

So banks taking in at 5% and giving back at 0.7%.

So white collar thiefs and our governments allowing this to happen. Really..

What sort of craziness 

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13

they pay their customers 0.7 and pay RBNZ 1.0, no favours to their customers here. 

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2

Now that interest rates seem to be normalising, property prices will follow suit. Let's go back to pre-pandemic levels as our dear leader said (announced) end of last year.

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4

so 
loan 800000 per 30 years => house price 1000000
4.79% = 4,192 monthly

5.04 => 4,314 monthly

assuming the bank will preapprove on the same basis (you can afford 4,192 monthly)
then the total mortgage amount should be: 777,400

difference is 22600
=> down pressure total 2.8%

this is not taking in consideration the difference eventuate in the initial deposit

more to come?
 

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0

banks don't test afforability on the current rate at the time of approval.  Hence a change in the current rates does not affect affordability

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1

I am interested, honest question

On what they test affordability?

If that is on expected rates it is even worse than my maths

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lucenera

It is commonly referred to as a "stress test" rather than "affordability". 

They have a higher rate than the loan rate that they test your ability to service the loan if mortgage rates were to go that high. Recently it has been around the 7% but it fluctuates at their discretion - its them being prudent in the event that interest rates go higher. 

Note that it is a "stress" test - as with other stress tests, it is about your ability to withstand that level before breaking. With stress tests there will be considerable strain prior to reaching that point - for a mortgage holder that means really cutting back on expenditure. 

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1

gotcha, makes sense, thanks

I am expecting that 7%-ish to be a function of current rates/expected rates, am I wrong?

If that is the case  this move means anyways a noticeable down pressure (if not 2.8 as I calculated it will be a 2.1%)

right?

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1

lucenera

From what I am currently hearing is that banks are applying a considerable range of criteria to mortgage applications compared to this time last year. In addition to the main criteria last year (e.g. LVR, income, and “stress test”) banks have not only increased the thresholds, they are also considering a whole raft of other factors including spending patterns, greater attention to job security, discounting rental income, age etc. Anecdotally from a couple of very active investors I know, I’m hearing that applications that they could feel confident about last year are being outright rejected. 

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3

yup, I was expecting something like that.

My preference would be that banks make more "public" these criterias, like with a simulation app. I don't see it difficult (assuming they already have something like that internally).

f(age,salary/ies, status, etcs) => you can ask for XXX

What I saw so far are very far fetched mortgage calculators that state that you can afford 3 millions but in reality they can give you 300k
 

 

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1

These are called "test rates". ANZ was down at 5.8% last time I checked. A few years ago they were at 7%.

Last I heard, they were still at 5.8%, but might have increased lately.

They aren't fully public, but if you search hard enough you can usually find them.

This article from a while ago notes that it decreased to 5.8%.

https://www.goodreturns.co.nz/article/976517265/anz-eases-servicing-tes…

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2

uhm.. if that's true it means that they are considering only a 1%-ish more than their current rate.

That doesn't look reassuring, and even more subject of quick changes based on evolving OCR.

I guess my expectations are correct then?

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3

I think we will find that house prices will be pretty sticky on the way down. There are so many variables in play now its hard to make a call so I moved the goalposts to just Tauranga having single digit gains this year. LOL

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2

Yes 'very sticky' as people 'want' to be paying the ludicrous prices :P

Free falling... Look at the Tesla chart. Very much reminds me of last housing boom 5 years ago and the current one (zoom out to 5 years and look at the past 2-3 years): https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NASDAQ-TSLA/ 

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2

P/E still 170 long way down to match Toyotas P/E of 10

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4

Tesla does a lot more than just make cars though.  They are developing technologies most people haven't even dreamt of yet.

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Like what? Full self driving cars by 2018, 1 million driverless taxis by 2020, the electric semi truck by 2019, the cyber truck by 2021, all products which you still can't buy. Musk simply makes wild promises like the monorail guy in the simpsons, tricking investors out of their money. He seems to tell lies as big as Elizabeth Holmes, yet somehow gets away with it.

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2

Agree, except with your Elizabeth Holmes comparison. He does occasionally deliver a promise or two, enough to keep investors happy and keep the company out of bankruptcy. Like the model 3/Y, if he hadn't delivered that (even late and at higher cost) then they would have been bankrupt a few months later.

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0

Sticky in nominal or real terms? 😜

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1

Good lad.

So who does that leave, CWBW and Ashley C. (Maybe they are one and the same?)

Oh, and Luke83 just  below 

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1

It seems to be like a dutch auction at the moment on many properties that failed to sell at tender and now have an asking price. Every few weeks the asking price is dropped 20-30k

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3

I agree.  I have watched 5 propeties now and 2 were being sold by auction (they didn't sell, so are now by negotiation).  The other 3 were being sold by negotiation and have since been priced.  It is time realtors stopped playing games and simply priced properties.

 

 

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2

It's been amazing to see how antsy they got at the fact people could use tools to see their prices on TradeMe, while all the time some had been off on Homes trying to push up perceived values of houses willy-nilly. Some seem very allergic to any transparency.

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2

All you need to do is order properties by price on trademe, and you can get an idea of what the agent has entered into the 'expected sale price' field by looking at the property above and below that has a price on it. So no special tools are needed, as trademe allows people to see this already. I think other property websites allow the same thing.  However some agents seem to list lower amounts in that field to get a listing to people in searches for lessor amounts. IMO agents should be entering their true expected sale price.

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1

Yeah, it's really just added convenience to get their exact prices entered. So they shouldn't be objecting so much.

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0

Should be some good buys in there for me. Going to be a good 2022, still think 5/10% increase by years end once everyone settles down. If I'm wrong then 2 years time I'll be right haha

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2

[Narrator] Two years later... he still wasn't right...

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6

I wonder if old mate will look back on his comments in a couple of years and realise what a parasitic douche bag he was. 

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13

You're not going to be betting money on that emergence of self-awareness, I hope.

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2

Even if their Serious Saver account rises to to 0.70%, savers are still in deep negative interest rates.

May be better to invest the money elsewhere.

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7

Serious saver better than serious shit via excess mortgage debt debt coupled to rising rates. 

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4

Bigger hole in someone's pocket...

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0

ANZ's Standard floating rate will go from 5.04% to around 7% by mid next year.

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1

I can't see the full table with rates. Is it only me or others have the same issue? 

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These are called "test rates". ANZ was down at 5.8% last time I checked. A few years ago they were at 7%.

Last I heard, they were still at 5.8%, but might have increased lately.

They aren't fully public, but if you search hard enough you can usually find them.

This article from a while ago notes that it decreased to 5.8%.

https://www.goodreturns.co.nz/article/976517265/anz-eases-servicing-tes…

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1

5.8 seems very low. Then we have to factor in very high inflation on borrowers expenses

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RBNZ released a statement on test rates in November last year.   

They said:  "The weighted average test rate across the industry is just over 6 percent."

Which means there are a lot of mortgages that have been tested at under 6 percent.     If inflation keeps up, it won't be long until we get to see just how robust the "tests" were.     

I know a few people who took advice from their mortgage brokers and told the bank that they had a boarder when they didn't.    Might be a real boarder shortage soon.      Bet that liar loans are very very common.

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There is still room for upward rate valuation.

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