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Opinion: Reactions of construction industry participants demonstrate the long road ahead in producing cheap houses

Opinion: Reactions of construction industry participants demonstrate the long road ahead in producing cheap houses
<a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/">Image sourced from Shutterstock.com</a>

By David Hargreaves

Affordable housing. Everybody professes to want it. But who wants to build it?

While politicians glibly talk about housing the people of New Zealand in new, cheap and cheerful residences that won't tear bank accounts to shreds, the key thing that's easy to overlook is the attitude of the construction industry itself.

Therefore the latest Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) report on the construction sector provides some thought-provoking reading. 

Tucked among 148 pages of factoids, graphs, charts and dense information, are direct, anonymous, comments from industry participants.

And the remarks about affordable housing (on page 105) are illuminating, to say the least.

Take this comment from "an architect", who said they didn't know of any architects seriously involved in low cost housing "and the reason is simply economics".

"There was a road show on housing affordability about two years ago…It was unmistakable that there was not just a lack of interest but a rudely sort of negative vibe in the whole place," the architect said.

"...First of all they denied there was a problem…and the second main thing was ‘You academics don’t understand. We run a business and I employ five people and I’ve got to keep them busy and I’ve got to pay their wages and if I do an affordable house it will take me the exact amount of time and effort on a low cost house and since we get paid by a percentage, if the house is $300K we get the same percentage if (it is) $600K.

"Twice as much income for the same amount of work’. In fact one said ‘I never accept any commission for a house under a million dollars."

Then there is the "chief executive of a building firm" who said that their main driver was providing return for shareholders "and we don’t build low cost, affordable homes because they are unprofitable".

Then there's another architect: "Why would a builder who does three houses a year build a couple of low cost houses? Spend equal amount of time at it...There could be a profit, a modest profit. But it’s too modest and too risky."

And finally, an "industry leader": "The thing that constantly surprises me is the small margins that builders work on. If you take the residential sector…the small builder sometimes takes no margin on his sub-trades and in addition can grossly underestimate the time required…they don’t add a lot of risk margin, so if anything goes wrong the profit they’ve got on the job is gone almost in an instant."

There is no conclusion drawn from these comments. But the fact they are included is clearly seen as significant by those who pulled the report together. The big unanswered question in the report, therefore appears to be: how do you produce affordable houses if there is marked reluctance on the part of the construction industry itself to build them?

Maybe we can have another report later.

As for the rest of the report, the MBIE's construction report is part of a series, "The New Zealand Sectors Reports" and one of seven publications that provide a "factual source of information in an accessible format" on the key sectors making up the New Zealand economy. 

The objective section of the report says that it is not intended for the report to draw policy conclusions.

"Its aim is to provide a comprehensive report card on the state of New Zealand’s construction sector for business people, exporters, policy makers, media commentators, economists, academics, students and anyone with an interest in New Zealand’s economic development," the report says. 

Here are some of the interesting facts and figures as highlighted in the report:

  • The construction sector is the fifth largest sector in the New Zealand economy. It employs over 170,000 people, 7.6% of the workforce. In 2010 it generated 6.3% of GDP (nominal).
  • Despite the GFC and the associated downturn in construction activity, the sector employs 36,000 more workers today than in 2002, a 30% increase.
  • The sector is a key driver of economic growth. Production from the sector accounts for around 45–50% of gross fixed capital formation in the economy annually, providing basic infrastructure, housing and commercial, industrial and public buildings.
  • Inputs to the sector come from a wide range of other industries and professions, including mining, wood processing, manufacture of materials and fittings, banking and finance, lawyers, accountants, engineers and architects. - The construction workforce itself covers a wide range of skill levels, from labourers and tradespeople to project managers and engineers.
  • Construction is a highly diverse sector. The sub-sectors that make up construction have very different characteristics.
  • Residential and non-residential building together employ 44,000 workers, close to half of whom are self-employed.
  • Residential building is mainly made-up of self-employed builders or small building firms that typically build two to three houses a year, as well as a range of alteration and repair work.
  • Non-residential building firms tend to be larger in size to accommodate scale projects such as offices and industrial buildings.

As for "challenges" facing the construction sector, the report says there are some "well-documented" ones, which are "the subject of a significant amount of work by both the sector and government, such as the work of the Building and Construction Productivity Partnership". The challenges include:

  • Productivity growth has generally been below that for the economy as a whole. For every hour worked in the sector, $34 of GDP is generated (2010). This is significantly below the all-sector labour productivity average of $48 per hour worked.
  • The sector experiences the highs and lows of the business cycle more acutely than the economy as a whole. In times of high demand there are bottlenecks with the supply of trained and skilled labour, with immigration often filling the gaps.
  • During a downturn, experienced and skilled labour is often lost to the industry. In addition, the high volatility appears to be a disincentive to firms investing in training and in capital equipment.
  • The greatest challenge is the unprecedented workload that will be placed on the industry in the next few years, driven by the Canterbury rebuild, the demand in Auckland for housing and infrastructure investment, and the weather-tightness remedial work. Industry identified concerns both over its capacity to meet the demand and maintain quality during the peak, and the risk to the viability of firms once the peak has passed.

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

22 Comments

Hobsonville Point has the right idea: solve the problem by forcing builders to build affordable houses to allow them to develop the remaining subdivision. 

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They aren't being forced to do anything. They can afford to sell some houses at a loss because the others can be more expensive to cover it. It certainly doesn't come out of their margin.

 

Trouble with this thinking (and it's in the APUP) is that providing some affordable houses makes all the other less affordable so overall they are just as unaffordable as they ever were (just that the lucky few get subsidised by everyone else). 

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The problem I have with that is why should someone be forced to work for a loss? They have to make a living and enough to retire on comfortably.  If they go bankrupt then what?

Otherwise they are building these cross-subsidised and I think that isnt right either.

regards

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Halving land prices would be a start to achieving affordable housing. That way there would be less pricing/margin pressure on the construction side.

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The only way we are ever going to provide affordable housing to lower income groups is if Kiwis get over their aversion to LEASEHOLD property ownership .This works in numerous countries in the world , and it really works .

It works broadly something like this

  • Local Govt ( Auckland Council ) uses vacant land it owns to create 300m2  to 400m2 sections
  • Auckland City has a Bond issue at 3% over 20 years to fund the streets and infrastructure
  • It leases the sections on 99 year transferrable leases to leasehold owners
  • Ground rents would be arond $150 per week to cover the Bond yield cost  
  • Only first home owners qualify
  • Limited to families with incomes under $70k per annum
  • Ground rents cannot ever increase more than CPI and are limited to a % of the median wages
  • Ground rents and rates are paid through the IRD as we do with student loans , etc 
  • Banks fund the houses over 30 years ( LOCKWOOD type moveable dwellings ) ,these dwellings can be purchased for $150,000  at 7%  would be about $200 per week .
  • For $350 a week you get security of tenure in a 3 bed house which you own on a piece of state land
  • Its called  SOCIAL HOUSING

 

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That $150 a week is a mortgage value of about 90k? which would seem to be about the difference in lease v freehold for land value?, so zilch acheived.

Limited to 70k per annum but you are stuffing them for $600 for land rent?

That is just nuts.

CPI on the ground rent? oh boy....

this sounds worse than just leaving be.

regards

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Okay you suggest that leasehold ownership  vs freehold ownership amounts to the same cost .

Can you show me where I can buy a ready- to- build flat section in Auckand for $100 to 120k ?

And in my calculations the $150 per week includes rates and municpal taxes on the leasehold land.  

The other objection you have is when you compare leasehold from Maori trusts to leasehold from the Government

Maori leashold owners are commercially driven to maximise their income , hence the mess when the reviews are undertaken .

With affordable or social housing on leasehold land , you eliminate the profit motive.

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You didnt say it included rates....which would I asume be in the $150~$200 a month range.

So really what we have not seen is your model in enough detail to understand it.

Now flat sections in Auckland, dunno, but again geographically go far enough out and you get that $100k. 

Though its not the same argument  What we are comparing is (say) a $200k section and on how its paid for.

Lets look at that,

So with our present model you pay that 7% ofn the 200k land section in your mortgage and retain that as a freehold, after 25years its yours.

In your model what I think you are saying is only pay $100k for a lease and then pay 7% on the $100k taken out as a bond.  However that looks worse, the intrinsic value of the land with a lease is less than freehold and as you are talking about ground rent increases as CPI, so it sounds like it actually costs more as there are "adjustments".

So the TCO (total cost of ownership) starts to look worse to me, if not an actual rip off.

 

regards

 

 

 

 

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I am  not trying to be a smart -arse here , but  we have a real problem and we need to look at all the options with regards to housing affordability

You have made a fair comment , the model is quite cumbersome to expand on in this forum , but from a lower quartile income  household AFFORDABILITY  point of view,  it works.

Firstly , Land is the most expensive portion of the sale price of a home at almost all price levels .

Make the land affordable and you are half way there .

I would suggest that those who would benefit from this concept  , and for  whom it would work are not likely readers or contributors on this site

Basically , the homeowner owns the improvements , the state ( local authority) owns the land, and mechanisms are in place to ensure its not exploited or rorted  .

The social benefits are enormous :

  • It will reduce the stress on Housing New Zealand
  • One  could end up a homeowner for  between $250 and $400 a week
  • Home ownership provides social stability
  • Provides community stability
  • Provides economic stability
  • Eliminates a culture of non-payment
  • and provides  a roof over your head
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But how is it more affordable to the house budget?  All you do is take the land cost out of the purchase price which reduces the mortgage charge and subsitute in an extra monthly charge instead, thats just robbing peter to paul.

You said earlier you didnt want a Govn owning power companies, but are perfectly OK with them owning land? how is that view consistant with not owning power companies?

Strategically I would not agree at all.

As some of the comments in the thread shows there is no profit in a builder building entry level housing, its simply too marginal, even if land is cheaper, which overall it isnt.

On top of that why not let PIs provide housing?  Go back some decades are renting was considered no biggee. So these days I'd suggest there is this fantasy that ppl feel they just have to own ther own home....or maybe they see themselves missing out? so greed?  dunno.

I think you should show these benefits are really they are dubious at best.

eg roof over your head can be and is provided by PIs/landlords.

I have no idea where a culture of non-payment comes from at all.

So called stabilities, no dont see it.

Economic stability, well a council know owns huge sections of land at a value that in a housing price collapse will drop sending them potentially bankrupt or breaking their debt covenents. urther its unrealisable land, ie illiquid it cant be sold, at least not unless the council is bankrupt and then, oh dear.

regards

 

 

 

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Home ownership reduces economic growth and increases unemployment.  

What new zealand really needs is stronger tenancy rules to bring stability to the rental market.  At the moment if you want stability you have to own.  See Germany etc and the wonders low home-ownership does for their economy.

 

 

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There's an aversion because it works very very poorly.

It was done with Maori Land buildings around lake Taupo.  Works fine for 10yrs, poorly for the next 50, the not at all for the remaining 40.

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The aversion is very rational, because the experience in new zealand is not at all like

  • Ground rents cannot ever increase more than CPI and are limited to a % of the median wages
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Oh shutup with your bloody leasehold nonsense. It's a stupid idea designed primarily to make idiots like you richer.

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Or less poor.  By this I mean there is a desperation for investors to lend to a safe asset, land is one possibly.

So yes I'd see this as a way for an "investor" to use other ppls houses to protect their money.

regards

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"Twice as much income for the same amount of work’. In fact one said ‘I never accept any commission for a house under a million dollars."

 

Cripes, no wonder the country is drowning in debt - a nation unable to pay it's way internationally needs to build million dollar houses in order to keep those living in the manner in which they have become accustomed?

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Yep he's more or less right.  I think they charge 4% of final price. Based on the number of site visits, drawings, mettings etc it isnt 1/2 the cost for a 500k house as a 1m house. 

regards

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The key quote in the report, to me, is on P86:

 "Slow and unpredictable consenting procedures across BCAs introduce delays to construction and make it difficult to plan construction projects. This particularly affects larger builders looking to realise economies of scale through improved planning and management."

 

'Slow' increases the 'carry' - interest on capital employed (either paid directly or an opportunity cost).

 

'Unpredictable' speaks for itself.

 

My sources within MoBIE tell me that national consenting is on the front burner.  It would bust through the illogicality of having 80+ consenting authorities (or, in the case of Christchurch, ex-consenting-authorities) puddling away in their own little worlds, empire-building and enjoying typical public sector salaries, at the direct expense of industry stability, firm size, build cost and of course homeowner and in particlar FHB imposts.

 

The other leg of the way forward, is, quite simply, the shifting of construction away from individual sites, to factories.  No more insecure, unsafe sites.  Full QC possible. National type approvals.   Standardised modular designs.  Full drug/blood ratios known for all staff.  Training and certification available under shelter.  Site erection a matter of days not months.

 

I sense more than a spot of upcoming Creative Destruction in the sector.....

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Slow consents is an enormous issue...........you put your application for consents in and pay the up-front fees.........they start counting their 20 days from when they pick up your application not when you filed and paid for it...........when they get to day 19 or 20 of when they picked up your application for consents they use the delay card which is often nothing to do with building consents information that is legally required........but can be a range of issues and often you have already supplied this with your application........you then have to phone and email the Council........they will threaten you with the fines under the Building Act.........the issues that are raised can be anything from where the scaffold will be sited or other issues under the exemption section in the Building Act..........if they spent less time thinking up ways of delaying the process and focused their time on getting the application through it would increase everyone's productivity.

 

 

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You have my sympathy ZZ..........money and time ticks away........frustration levels rise.......too many people trying to suck a bit of your cherry.

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Councils are their own worst enemies. How do they stuff up such a straight forward process? Rule #1 as we know is Don't Be Wrong (DBW), the general unwritten rule that no-one can ever make a mistake. The lesser known Rule #2 is All Our Own Work (AOOW, pronounced "eeew") first-cousin to Not Invented Here. Combine rules #1 & #2 and what you get is the following:

 

  • you can't ever make anyone redundant (violates DBW cos it means you were wrong to hire them in the first place regardless of what is happening in the wider economy)
  • so, you slightly understaff
  • you can't outsource excess work cos that violates AOOW
  • so you exploit the loophole that allows you to "stop-the-clock"
  • you are now perfectly and completely incentivised to nitpick and to drip-feed "further information" requests one at a time to slow the process down to meet the resource available.

 

As I predicted previously one of the first things Mr Martin did at CCC was to outsource consent processing to anyone else who had available resources. Doh.

 

The gossip about national consenting is great news and only about ten years too late. Next stop food licensing.

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ZZ - you really must blog all this, together in one place,  as a living example of the craziness we have to live with.

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