Labour and the Greens have enough support to form a government without the help of New Zealand First, according to the latest 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll.
Support for Labour is up 2% from the last poll in November to 45%, while support for National is down 4% to 42%.
With support for the Greens up 1% to 6%, Labour and the Greens could secure 65 seats in the House (58 for Labour, 7 for the Greens).
National, with the help of an ACT seat, could get 55. You need 61 seats to govern.
With support for New Zealand First down 1% to 3%, the party wouldn’t meet the 5% threshold to get into Parliament.
At 6%, National Party Leader Simon Bridges is neck-and-neck with National MP Judith Collins when it comes to preferred prime minister. Support for Bridges is down 1%.
Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has reached her highest ever level at 44%, up 5% from November.
Meanwhile New Zealand First Leader Winston Peters has slumped 3% to 3%.
These 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll results are similar to the Newshub Reid Research ones released last Monday.
24 Comments
Bit of a battle of the bunnies if you ask me. Unless there are some unexpected significant developments that alter all the dynamics, then without a meaningful coalition partner National won’t gain power next year. So unless Collins is a real bunny, she should be savvy enough to know that there is more harm for her than good, in leading National into that sort of a result. But heck, ambition is difficult to bridle. Just have a look at what Shakespeare had to say about Coriolanus for instance.
National is too busy getting bent over by China to do anything at the next election!
Just in case you didnt see it
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/2019/02/17/448674/nationals-craven-deference…
So NZ First hasn't kept any of their election promises. Especially around immigration.
But hey, who cares right? 6 months out from the next election Winston will start his old tricks again, baiting the media etc.
And all his nutty followers will say "You go Winston, you've got my vote!"
The 'miracle' will be the media holding them to account over their failure to deliver a single key policy that wasn't reversing tax cuts. Instead we get to talk about babies and look, Jacinda's at the Art Deco Fest! Look, now she's running a BBQ! Yass Queen Slay!!!!
The line between the fourth estate and the endless-sycophancy of Twitter has become permanently blurred.
Key policies already delivered, that actually matter to many kiwis:
- raising minimum wage
- Free tertiary education
- increased health spending
- closing property investor tax loopholes
- ending offshore drilling exploration (decreasing chances of an ecological catastrophe)
- investing in new regional rail connections
- stepping up on pike river
- not selling out to foreign powers any longer
- actually treating the housing crisis seriously after 9 years of National ignoring it
Those that would rather have had nationals $20 a week tax cut are welcome to their opinions, but when they start spouting nonsense and saying labour hasn’t delivered on anything - then they should be aware they sound like muppets.
No political Party is addressing what lies ahead - Climate Change is just the exhaust of the real problem.
But the Greens have the inside running as the truth manifests (the Limits to Growth, in essence) followed by Labour. National are away back in the space where you usurp democracy in favour of corporate agribusiness. Just a dinosaur.
True, but their biggest issue was mishandling of overseas owners shunting tax paying kiwis to the side in the race to sell NZ housing and real estate to the highest (overseas) bidder. In short they did jack to protect the sovereignty of NZ being controlled by people born here and choosing to spend their life working and paying tax here. Last I looked, that is actually the Governments job.
If they don't take this seriously they will be in opposition for another term, maybe two.
It's a bad result for National, though normal for incumbent govts to get a small boost through low-news summer break. Nice to see Winston down where he belongs. I'd be really interested to see what percent the undecideds make up. As that would reveal whether it is an actual shift from right to left, or just Nat voters becoming undecideds. And a lot of wavering undecideds could also boost Greens and NZF on an election day. Unfortunately that data seems to be no longer published - more dumbing down of tv news.
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