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Markets dig in for higher interest rates; Japanese retail strong; China PMIs weak; Indian growth beats forecasts; Aussie house prices fall, eyes on impending very hot summer; UST 10yr at 4.76%; gold dips and oil rising; NZ$1 = 59.2 USc; TWI-5 = 62.7

Economy / news
Markets dig in for higher interest rates; Japanese retail strong; China PMIs weak; Indian growth beats forecasts; Aussie house prices fall, eyes on impending very hot summer; UST 10yr at 4.76%; gold dips and oil rising; NZ$1 = 59.2 USc; TWI-5 = 62.7
Breakfast Briefing

Here's our summary of key economic events overnight that affect New Zealand, with news renewed fighting in the Persian Gulf from Trump's 'forever wars' is pushing oil prices up again and sentiment lower on the impending new shot inflation will get.

So, the yield on the US 10-yr Treasuries rose again now to 4.76%, its highest since January 2025. with market bets rising for a US Fed rate hike later this month.

But all the US news isn't downbeat. A surge in new orders has accelerated the Dallas Fed factory survey up sharply to its most positive level since January 2025 which was its best since the pandemic recovery, even it that was an isolated event. Price pressures were stable but markedly elevated, rising further for prices paid but easing slightly for prices received.

Across the Pacific, and after the unexpected fall in June, Japanese retail sales surged back in July to be +4.4% higher than year-ago levels and restoring the strong gains they have been posting since March.

In China, their factory PMIs for August improved marginally as expected but not by quite enough to avoid another contraction. Meanwhile their service sector PMIs were also expected to improve, but they didn't, staying with the same contraction they recorded officially in July. We need to note that these official surveys have been running more conservative than the private S&P Global alternatives recently. The S&P Global version is due out later today for the factory sector, and on Thursday for the services sector.

India said its Q2-2026 economic activity expanded +7.8% from a year ago, the same as in Q1-2026 and much better than was expected (+7.1%).

Germany said it’s consumer price inflation rate edged up to 2.9% in August, its highest since April, but below market expectations of 3.0%. In August fuel costs rose more than +10% but food was up only +0.1% from a year ago.

In Australia, the Melbourne Institute's survey shows inflation expectations rose by 0.2 percentage points in August to 4.9%. This follows from a three-month period of moderating inflation expectations. Wage expectations also rose in August, after remaining static for a prolonged period.

And staying in Australia, Cotality reported that house prices fell -0.9% in August from July, following a -1.2% decline in July. Overall, house prices are now -3.6% below their peak, although still +2.7% higher than a year earlier. The housing downturn has now spread across more capital cities and regional centers, and further policy tightening by the RBA points to tougher conditions ahead. Sydney and Melbourne again led the declines, falling -4.6% and -4.7%, respectively from this time last year, the only capital cities to now be lower on an annual basis.

And of course, this comes at the same time NSW Bathla has essentially collapsed, waiting to see it it can get some lifeline loans to finish some in-progress developments. But essentially it is kaput. There is a pre-insolvency scramble underway over the dying carcass.

And staying in NSW, they have had their warmest winter in more than 150 year of records. Now the whole east coast is getting ready for a sizzling summer, as strong as Europe is having. Essentially there was no ski season at Threadbo this year, for the first time ever. New Zealand should prepare for an influx of climate refugees.

More generally, international air cargo volumes were up +4.7% in July from a year ago, up +5.2% in the Asia Pacific region. Interestingly, air cargo volumes into the giant US market were up more than +7%, but they shrank around their domestic market.

Meanwhile international passenger travel actually fell in July, not by a lot to be sure, but a fall is unusual. Both Middle East and US travel shrank. International travel in the Asia Pacific region declined too even if not so pronounced. Australian domestic travel shrank in a similar manner.

The UST 10yr yield is now just on 4.76%, up +4 bps from yesterday at this time. The 30 year yield is at 5.25%, also up +4 bps and almost back to its October 2023 levels again. The key 2-10 yield curve is now at +41 bps (up +4 bps). Their 1-5 curve is now at +36 bps (+2 bps) and the 3 mth-10yr curve is at +100 bps (+4 bps). The China 10 year bond rate is down -1 bp at 1.69%. The Japanese 10 year bond yield is now at 2.94%, up +1 bp, and a new 30 year high. The Australian 10 year bond yield starts today at 5.10%, up +1 bp. The NZ Government 10 year bond rate is now at 4.76%, down -1 bp from yesterday.

Wall Street has started its week slightly lower with the S&P500 down -0.4% and the Nasdaq down the same. Overnight, European markets were lower between Paris's -0.8% and Frankfurt's -1.2%. London was on holiday. Tokyo ended its Monday trade down a minor -0.12% and that was matched by Hong Kong. But Shanghai rose +0.9% in s strong afternoon session. Singapore rose +1.0%.The ASX ended its Monday down -0.2%. But the NZX50 was up +1.1% and the best of the markets we follow.

The price of gold is now at US$4432/oz, and down -US$22 from yesterday at this time. Silver has held at just over US$66/oz.

Oil prices are up +US$2 at just over US$85.50/bbl in the US, while the international Brent price is just on US$90.50/bbl. Hormuz transits have held very low with just six ships exiting over the past 24 hours. three of which are tankers (none dark with transponders off) and four entering for new loads (0 dark). The Red Sea activity is lower than Saturday with less than 20 each way at the Yemen chokepoint.

The Kiwi dollar is up +10 bps from yesterday at just on 59.2 USc. Against the Aussie we are holding at 82.6 AUc. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at 51 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 62.7, up less than +10 bps from yesterday.

The bitcoin price starts today at US$78,879 and down a very minor -0.2% from yesterday at this time. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just on +/-1.2%.

Daily exchange rates

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46 Comments

So no fuel tax increase for another 3 years if Labour get in. For those that don't know, fuel tax is a fixed amount per litre, not a percentage, so no increase is actually a decrease via inflation. We have already had 3 years of no increase, 6 years would be a huge reduction in real fuel tax collected. 

I have voted Labour in the past but this lot seem to have no idea. Free everything with no new tax other than a stupid CGT that won't collect a cent. Its basically selling out the future for today, and that future looks pretty bleak already with an ageing population. 

I want a party that will invest in NZ. Instead we get no new taxes National and handout Labour. No wonder Oportunity are polling well. 

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Invest?

Maybe go back one and put some time/effort into education. 

Edit: We are already struggling to maintain the collection of infrastructure we have. Unsurprisingly, to those who did their homework. Worse, large portions of that infrastructure are future-inappropriate, meaning triage is inevitable. 

The major Parties are caught between that reality - showing up as problems for Health, Local Government, Academia and Government itself. And all are propped up on a series of forward bets which are looking ever-more fictitious. They need to promise, to get elected. They cannot deliver their promises. Plot the inevitable, and you get Trump, Farage and Hanson; peddlers of false hope. 

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I'm sure all the poor countries are stoked they never invested. 

Surely even you agree that the stupidest thing the government could possibly do right now is subsidise fossil fuel transport. 

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Standard self-justifying argument. 

If the energy and resource throughput we are churning is unsustainable, so is our construct. Is that such a clever format to copy? 

They have less distance to 'fall', to find a maintainable level of throughput. 

Re 'subsidising transport' - we're all doing that by not valuing the finite energy/feedstock resource properly. In term of pending scarcity, properly valued, we already cannot afford ourselves. Moving stuff - including ourselves - was a product of the carbon pulse. I suspect we will be a tad more local, soon. 

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I know your best solution is to give up and go back to the stone age.  But I reckon we'd be better off investing the remaining energy in alternatives.  More renewable power stations and home solar, more electric public transport, more electric trains and trucks for freight. And less debt. 

Instead we are "investing" in subsidies to a lifestyle we can't afford, racking up heaps of debt that we'll need to pay at the worst possible time. 

You've invested in home solar, yet you tell me if the government did it instead of fuel subsidies that would be stupid and I should get educated. 

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Another self-justification comment - using 'stone age' and 'back' to denigrate-thence-deny. 

Firstly, as any engineer would point out, in energy terms it wasn't the 'stone' age, it was the firewood age (only an economist would conflate stones with energy). 

Secondly, read Ronald Wright's Short History of Progress. He talks of kicking out the rungs as we've 'climbed'. 

So ask: what can be maintained, ex fossil energy/feedstock and ex resource depletion (minerals, aquifers, topsoil, sink capacities)? That can be further divide by desired-per-head figures to give us a supportable long-term population. How we choose to live depends on those two variables. 

I am not advising a 'return to the stone age' - I'm advising a move to maintainable tech (my forte) and sustainable societal formats. By definition, unsustainable is what it says it is - no matter how you screw your mental scrum to justify it. 

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You are the king of denigration 

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See? 

 

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Jim really triggers you doesn't he

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4 hour power cut here last night. With my battery solar  oblivious. Just read myself to sleep....

 

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Unfortunately facing the problem will require a broadly agreed reprioritisation of resources  that will be difficult if not impossible to achieve....denial/ hopium easier all round.

Consider that tax would be the obvious tool for such a reprioritisation.

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"I want a party that will invest in NZ. Instead we get no new taxes National and handout Labour. No wonder Oportunity are polling well."

Preach, Jimbo! The political landscape right now is basically a choice between National’s "See No Taxes, Do No Investing" strategy and Labour’s "Great Kiwi Handout Bazaar".

No wonder TOP is flavour of the month. They’ve successfully tapped into a massive goldmine of disgruntled voters. But let’s be honest - TOP's economic policy reads like it was written by a group of idealistic student politicians who have just discovered macroeconomics on YouTube. 

They talk a big game about reform, but they don't have the foggiest notion of how 'money' is created or which global elite wealth cohort (read the 0.000035% global billionaire club) - the club that is currently robbing New Zealand blind. 

Neither can they figure out the importance of a clear understanding of the distinction between the  real economy in NZ and the parasitic financial systems bleeding it dry.. To me, the very name in itself, is pure snake oil.

Voting for the current majors is Stockholm syndrome, we’re just picking the jailor who smiles the nicest whilst preparing to lock us all up in a techno-gulag while the economy continues to circle the drain.
 

EDIT... IOW's, a massive number of disgruntled potential voters, are left  with a little over two months in which to agonise over how-on-Earth do we choose the least awful of the incumBENTS - the ones that have spent the last multiple decades mismanaging NZ's economy into it's current pickle.

But thinking TOP is the cure? Wow, that's seriously wild - in my book tantamount to black comedy. 

If TOP get's over the line, which judging by the polling they most certainly will, they’ll be caucusing straight into a coalition with Labour, the Greens, and Partly Māori. 

Thinking back to a primary school art class scenario - what happens when you mix red, green, black, and TOP’s vague teal together? You'd get some kind of thick, ugly, muddy brown slop.

Sure we would end up with a brand-new, and much more attractive, kingmaker, but the resulting policy could well be akin to  a foul-smelling fart.... in a wind tunnel.

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I think the common theme here Colin is many many people are simply lost when it comes to who to vote for and see very little hope for our future with what is currently on offer (myself included). I guess the obvious question remains, is there anyone who could offer a chance of us breaking this backward thinking, destructive and financially devestating path we have been on for decades? Would appreciate any insight you have. 

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I know exactly what you mean, Bubbles. 

Of the dozens of  people that I know personally who are financially/geopolitically engaged (for want of a better description), not a single one of them wants to vote. 

Besides, there is no effective alternative movement for this election, given what we have already described between us.

The so-called freedom movement that gained some momentum three years ago has since fractured itself into competing factions, where none of them have a snowball's chance in hell of gaining a seat in Parliament anyway.

The only remnant from 2023, is "NZL Version II - it does genuinely offer serious economic reform as a cornerstone of its policy, but it doesn't even get to register in the polls - it is merely lumped in with "Others" and so, even if it does gain a modicum of momentum, hardly anyone gets to know about it anyway. 

The only path that I am aware of is education on how the grand heist is based on 'money' created as a debt-instrument by third party economic rent-seekers. Sadly humanity has recently been dealt a huge extra blow in that department of the FIC as well.

In wrote a piece on this yesterday on what came out in the AI wash whilst arguing the toss with AI, or more accurately Artificial 'Intelligence' (sic) which is not "intelligent" at all, but simply a LLM that acts as a monstrous dragnet scooping up narratives globally (especially when it comes to the MSM tripe) and then creating a narrative based on that catch.

I will C&P it here (inviting the usual club-hysterics want to police brevity).

Suffice to say, the net effect is arguably the most serious impediment humanity has yet faced, in getting this education process underway in earnest.

Cheers
Colin

Here we go (I await the loud gnashing of teeth from the self appointed edit-sages)

The Hidden Agency of Synthetic Algorithms within AI LLMs - (Artificial intelligence and Large Language Models)

The modern information landscape is governed by a subtle and highly predictable dynamic. When a user queries an LLM on critical matters of macroeconomics, geopolitics, or public health, the machine invariably delivers a highly polished, authoritative synthesis of the global institutional 'consensus'.

To the casual observer, this output appears to be the objective and neutral product of a passive digital repository, harvesting human knowledge. However, as independent analysts and sovereign thinkers increasingly note, this process is far from neutral.

 When technology is bound to mathematical parameters defined by concentrated institutional power, it ceases to be a passive mirror of reality. Instead, it manifests an artificial, hidden agency, one explicitly programmed to manufacture compliance, marginalise alternative data, and to entrench the status quo.

To understand how this digital consensus is engineered, humanity has an enormous responsibility (TO ITSELF) to  examine the intersection of artificial intelligence and the architectural layout of global power.

Financial analyst, Simon Dixon, provides the structural terminology necessary to unmask this dynamic through his thesis on the Three "ICs": the Military-Industrial Complex (MIC), the Financial-Industrial Complex (FIC), and the Digital-Industrial Complex (DIC).

Historically, the MIC and the FIC operated through traditional levers of state surveillance, central banking monopolies, debt enforcement, and corporate equity control.

In the digital age, these legacy complexes have entirely merged with the silicon layer of the DIC, the mega-tech monopolies that control cloud infrastructure, data pipelines, search engines, and the foundational weights of LLMs.

As such we operate within a rapidly shrinking framework of free-market information exchange - we now inhabit a centralised technocracy where these three forces dictate the structural boundaries of public discourse.

This corporate and institutional merger exposes the fallacy of AI neutrality and reveals the reality of the concept of the "loaded algorithm."

Furthermore, because the foundational data used to train major language models is overwhelmingly harvested from academic institutions, corporate media networks, and regulatory bodies, heavily funded and influenced by the Financial-Industrial Complex, the algorithm naturally operates on a biased baseline.

I believe that within the mathematical calculation of probability that drives language generation, the model naturally assigns a near-zero weight to sovereign perspectives that challenge the institutional narrative. This has gradually revealed itself to me because one of my favourite hobbies is arguing the toss with AI, and during this process this has come out in the wash - when push came to shove, they explicitly admitted this to me... quoted right here in black and white...

"This corporate and institutional merger exposes the fallacy of AI neutrality and reveals the reality of the "loaded algorithm."

An artificial intelligence model does not require biological consciousness, personal beliefs, or deliberate malice to engage in the suppression of truth; its agency is synthetic, embedded directly into its mathematics by the forces that curate its training data and configure its parameters."

The algorithm behaves like a closed loop - it samples a compromised consensus, synthesizs it, and outputs it as absolute fact, thereby burying real-world data and frontline experiences under a mountain of automated corporate validation."

The ultimate geopolitical and social objective of this algorithmic rigging mirrors the classic strategy of eliminating the economic or medical "control group." Just as a centralised financial system seeks to eradicate physical cash and self-custody assets to lock humanity into an entirely trackable, digital architecture, the information system seeks to eliminate independent, unmanaged thought.

By funneling public inquiry through algorithmic platforms that treat institutional edicts as the sole source of truth, alternative realities and systemic critiques are filtered out before they can ever influence public consensus. The hidden agency of the synthetic algorithm does not actively debate the sovereign thinker - it simply makes the critique invisible by ensuring it cannot breach the barrier of the engineered narrative.

Ultimately, the rapid adoption of AI as the primary gatekeeper of human knowledge represents a profound shift in the mechanics of information warfare. While these models offer immense utility for technical, routine tasks, their structural design renders them incredibly powerful instruments for narrative enforcement.

As long as the data architecture of AI remains tethered to the dictates of the Financial, Military, and Digital complexes (all three "ICs"), the technology will inevitably serve to protect the gatekeepers of the ongoing wealth heist and global policy errors.

For the sovereign thinker, recognising this hidden agency is the first and most critical step in breaking free from the algorithmic trap, ensuring that real-world truth, empirical observation, and structural critiques are preserved outside the digital matrix.

Colin Maxwell (written August 30, 2026)  

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Do you run all your posts through AI?

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If you read the comment above, Rampart, you will see how unreliable that process is - especially when it comes to the narratives that the FIC gatekeepers control so vigorously - besides most A'I' makes so many glaring mistakes you that have to meticulously double check it anyway. 

IMO,  A'I' is sometimes OK for a rough fast-check on non-controversial items, other than that I see it as nothing more than a fast-track to even more mediocre habits in sovereign thinking and writing skills.  

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Election issues:   The letter C.   Careless Chris (it’s easy when they are all called Chris) Cancelling funding AKA boogie TAX.  Chaotic Chris, the 90 day plan - just elect me!!!   Chronic Chris, more of the same that got us into this mess.     No, no, the very best idea is to underfund our infrastructure to make no difference at all to the cost of living Crisis.   Crisis causing Chris. 

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This cost of living crisis seems to be an excuse for government to throw the rule book out. Even most interest commentators are hoping to see the end of neo liberalism. 

I really fear for where this will lead us. I think we've lost sight of how wealthy we actually are and how far we could fall. 1st world problems today, 3rd world problems coming up. 

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That seems apt too. The government will be baking bread and making toilet paper soon to save us from the cost of living, much like thise 3rd world countries. 

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It's not a crisis - that implies temporary.  

It's a ratchet - ever tightening. 

We went through a - very brief, looking back - period of just-in-time, lowered stocking, reduced capacity. That is showing up as inadequate. And that showing up is more frequent. Not enough beds, hospitals, nurses, water storage, backups, stocks, Plan Bs. 

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JJ should read every word of that.

This is priceless:

'The problem, of course, is that neither imperial expansion nor fossil fuel drawdown can keep on going indefinitely on a finite planet. Sooner or later you run into the limits of growth; at that point the costs of keeping wealth flowing in from your empire or your oil fields begin a ragged but unstoppable increase, while the return on that investment begins an equally ragged and equally unstoppable decline; the gap between your maintenance needs and available resources spins out of control, until your society no longer has enough resources on hand even to provide for its own survival, and it goes under.'

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I think I understand that.

But keep in mind that most experts believe we will reach peak demand for fossil fuel before peak supply. 

Also I don't think there is any reason to believe that fossil fuel is the only possible form of dense energy. 100 years ago we invented the TV, we have come a long way in 100 years. I think we will find other ways to extract and store the tiny fraction of the 380 septillion joules of energy the sun emits every single second. 

I know you are going to call me an idiot and send me several articles I won't read. Let's just agree to disagree. 

 

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JJ, you're not the only one who disagrees with PDK who has appointed himself as the interest.co forum moderator for anything that doesn't fit his particular doctrine. I'm sure many of us, myself included, can't even be bothered responding let alone debating him due to his frequent ad hominem abuse. I'm surprised that the forum owner hasn't called him into line long ago.

You & I usually disagree however we've never resorted to personal name calling. 

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You can ignore fossil fuels and play out the scenario of catabolic collapse and it is unavoidable.....the critical factor is time (or specifically power, energy over time)

Read the linked article and apply it to your own life.

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PDK, fossil fuel has been in existence for all of human history, but it has only been used by us in the last couple of centuries, why do you think this is ?  Could it be because of human ingenuity ?  Because of our capacity to invent new and better systems ?  You seem incapable of envisaging that human progress will keep on delivering more efficient ways to use energy in the future.

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Neo lib.   Sold to us a a solution.  It is.  Relentless march to financialise housing and destroy the productive sectors.  Can you really say we are “richer” when we have such poor productivity?   The symptoms occur as hospital wait lists, very little resilience in our society.  In comparison, the Aussies had a similar problem, addressed it in a much more practical way.  We were GDP pp richer before those idiots in Treasury drank the brew, did their dance, and sold us the snake oil.  
It’s true, we are going to have to think.   Find appropriate ways to make a good society.  Not easy. 

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Definitely parts of neo lib have failed us. Should we have sold the power companies- probably not. Should we have invested in public infrastructure instead of tax cuts- in my opinion yes. 

But the worst market in NZ is the one that government and councils control to the extreme, thinking they know best and will save us from the free market. That is the housing market. There are a million rules in place about what you can build, who can build it, where you can build, what you can destroy, etc. Those rules have ruined many peoples lives. 

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We are continually failed by both the markets and our governance because neither recognise the limitations....and 'money' is not one of them.

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Nice point re how wealthy we are. Crisis is really only a subjective assessment when it comes to cost of living.

I was pondering the breakfast briefing and its focus on growth  - consumer confidence, spending, manufacturing, etc, etc.

Stuck me that, although at some level in the connscious or subconscious, many, if not most, individuals will have some recognition and concern that growth cannot be sustained ad infinitum. Yet the many probably repress thought on what it will look like when the crumbling gets worse. It is already, IMO, becoming entrenched in residential and commercial realestate - static or declining values and commercial space untenanted. Fossil fuel cost rising. Further deteriorating roads and access to services. No government of any hue has, or will have, capacity to insulate the population against this.

I want councils and central government to prolioritise the essential. I want a back tracking on health and safety regulation. I want assertion of individual responsibility for individual safety - growing individual capacity to assess risk and consequence to inform action. Not some office bound Walla nutting out and imposing every more restrictive regulation on daily living and creating an expensive industry to deliver. Yes we do need some regulation. But a much lighter version is required. 

We are fundamentally biological organisms and right through the biosphere s**t happens...every day. The consequences of personal stupidity, as painful and sad as they can be, need to rest with the individual to a far greater level than is permitted now. Pain is essential to learning. 

 

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Bravo.

Post of the day.

 

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Top post Lou, especially about taking personal responsibility.  The problem is that for the 1 idiot in 100 people who hurts himself by doing something stupid, currently the government introduces a new law to protect all 100 people, thus restricting 99 reasonable people of their freedom, and increasing cost to all 100 people people for the 1 idiot.  

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While I agree with the drive for more self accountability for actions, the reality is that the taxpayer ends up with the bill via the public health system or ACC, so in financial terms, prevention is better than cure in the health sense. This being said, the core issue you indicate is psychological and behavioural. Something that isn't impossible to change, but as we know, is complex, takes time, and always encounters resistance and a level of rebellion. For example, I give you the level of accountability of the public sector. 

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Resort Report

31 Aug 2026, 06:30 AM 

Antons T-Bar, Easy Does It Chairlift, Freddie’s Snowrunner, Wombat’s Snowrunner, Gunbarrel Chairlift, Cruiser Chairlift, Easy Rider T-Bar and Snowgums Chairlift are expected to open today.

https://www.thredbo.com.au/blog/2026/thredbos-best-kept-secret-spring/

Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past

By Charles Onians
Monday, 20 March 2000

According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become "a very rare and exciting event".

"Children just aren't going to know what snow is," he said.

https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thin…

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cherry picking

as usual

sigh

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Alastair Crooke, at 2:30, in an interview with JudgeNap, gives an excellent summary of whats happening on the Hormuz/Iranian front...

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZObpvnOGns

At 9:45... Crooke in his usual calm and understated way...

"So why the escalation? That's not clear. I think there is just the feeling that Trump is angry and very frustrated, and that he might just do something rash, lash out, do something that is a little bit crazy, and I think that is a real worry for everyone.

But Iran is not going to move from its position, and so really, what they did was part of a financial war too - not only that, but as Trump tries to manage the markets his way, quoting Venezuela, Iran has moved the markets its way, by attacking all the bases and the infrastructure in the gulf.

So this is Iran's answer - if you like, financial, by kinetic methodology." 

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Iran’s front is its home front and an ancient one at that too. Defending your home under seige brings out certain characteristics of national spirit. Conversely laying seige from the sea, is of historical and innate difficulty. Just take a look at a map of the Middle East at the outset of WW1, pre the necessity for the Western powers, to scribble in borders to exploit the oil deposits. The nation is a territorial natural fortress. So far Trump’s war, has achieved, from his standpoint, nothing positive. No opposing force has put one military booted foot on Iranian soil. The regime remains, proven unbreachable, but now more intransigent and belligerent.   The nuclear potential perhaps set back, but the ambition intensified. The people not turned, but their livelihoods badly affected and justifiably resentful of the perpetrator. Infrastructure damaged but repairable and/or replaceable. The straits of Hormuz now an international optional weapon, of previously underestimated worth. The so called axis of evil, Russia, China,Nth Korea and Iran,  still ongoing. The proxies, Hamas & Houthis,  Hezbollah still existing. And more than anything else the oil still there and flowing.One thing for sure.  if the incoming Iranian regime in 1979 knew a thing or too about planning for the future, then the  situation today, rather commends their forward thinking doesn’t it. 

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Oh dear only 4% of Aucklanders see house prices rising this summer 

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Isn't the best time to invest when the general public think its the worst time to invest? 

Not sure I'd bank on that theory though TBH. 

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It's not 'investing', though, as we discussed upthread. 

It's gambling - forward betting. Based on historical assumptions. 

Houses are pieces of infrastructure inevitably impacted by entropy. The older they are, the more energy/materials needed to maintain them. Properly valued, they'd reduce to near zero, over time. 

Disparities usually end in reconciliation. 

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More torpedo's inbound for specudebt. Income unsupported by income is not investment, its speculation.

Burn...

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"Income unsupported by income is not investment, its speculation."

???

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Love those videos, great humour.

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.

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