Yen
US retail sales show a robust end to last year. Incoming US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives market-friendly comments. Japanese yen firms as market confident of a rate hike coming
17th Jan 25, 7:53am
US retail sales show a robust end to last year. Incoming US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives market-friendly comments. Japanese yen firms as market confident of a rate hike coming
US core CPI slightly weaker than markets expected. UK CPI data also softer than expected. BoJ hike next week remain live. NZ rates market continues cross-market underperformance, exacerbated by positioning; NZGB 10yr at a 7-month high
16th Jan 25, 7:46am
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US core CPI slightly weaker than markets expected. UK CPI data also softer than expected. BoJ hike next week remain live. NZ rates market continues cross-market underperformance, exacerbated by positioning; NZGB 10yr at a 7-month high
Limited market reaction to soft US PPI data as investors look ahead to the key CPI release this evening. Reports of a gradual approach to tariffs weighs on the US dollar.
15th Jan 25, 7:43am
Limited market reaction to soft US PPI data as investors look ahead to the key CPI release this evening. Reports of a gradual approach to tariffs weighs on the US dollar.
Global equities extend losses seen in the aftermath of the strong US labour market report. US treasury yields continued to move higher. Oil prices reached the highest level in five months
14th Jan 25, 7:35am
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Global equities extend losses seen in the aftermath of the strong US labour market report. US treasury yields continued to move higher. Oil prices reached the highest level in five months
Roger J Kerr says current financial market sentiment, positioning and commentary would not suggest that the US dollar is about to do an “about turn” and fall away over coming months
13th Jan 25, 8:27am
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Roger J Kerr says current financial market sentiment, positioning and commentary would not suggest that the US dollar is about to do an “about turn” and fall away over coming months
Roger J Kerr sees the US Fed continuing to change its dot-plots in 2025. He also thinks most local analysts are missing the importance of our much better terms of trade
6th Jan 25, 8:30am
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Roger J Kerr sees the US Fed continuing to change its dot-plots in 2025. He also thinks most local analysts are missing the importance of our much better terms of trade
Modest recovery in US equities after their slump following the Fed's hawkish rate cut. US 10-year rate rises to its highest level since the end of May; curve steepens
20th Dec 24, 7:59am
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Modest recovery in US equities after their slump following the Fed's hawkish rate cut. US 10-year rate rises to its highest level since the end of May; curve steepens
Global asset markets in a holding pattern ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision this morning. US dollar generally firm against G10 currencies
19th Dec 24, 7:24am
Global asset markets in a holding pattern ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision this morning. US dollar generally firm against G10 currencies
Commodity and Asia-pacific currencies underperform; NZD, AUD, CAD, Asia Dollar index fall to year, or multi-year, lows. US retail sales data conveying robust consumer spending
18th Dec 24, 7:47am
Commodity and Asia-pacific currencies underperform; NZD, AUD, CAD, Asia Dollar index fall to year, or multi-year, lows. US retail sales data conveying robust consumer spending
PMI data show rising momentum across the services sector in Europe, with the US continuing to outperform. US Treasury yields near session highs after the data; 10-year rate at 4.41%; US equities stronger
17th Dec 24, 7:55am
PMI data show rising momentum across the services sector in Europe, with the US continuing to outperform. US Treasury yields near session highs after the data; 10-year rate at 4.41%; US equities stronger
Roger J Kerr looks at the rollercoaster ride the New Zealand dollar has been on since it was unshackled after the 1984 election
16th Dec 24, 8:25am
Roger J Kerr looks at the rollercoaster ride the New Zealand dollar has been on since it was unshackled after the 1984 election
The selloff in US treasuries continued. US dollar stable overall. Soft tone for Asian equities after Chinese policy makers failed to offer details on fiscal stimulus. Chinese 10-year bonds reach a record low
16th Dec 24, 7:24am
The selloff in US treasuries continued. US dollar stable overall. Soft tone for Asian equities after Chinese policy makers failed to offer details on fiscal stimulus. Chinese 10-year bonds reach a record low
US PPI data higher than expected but friendly undertones. ECB cuts policy rate by 25bps, but not as dovish as expected. Stronger Australian employment report hoses down rate cut expectations
13th Dec 24, 7:53am
US PPI data higher than expected but friendly undertones. ECB cuts policy rate by 25bps, but not as dovish as expected. Stronger Australian employment report hoses down rate cut expectations
US CPI data matched expectations clearing the way for a 25bp rate cut by the Fed next week. Canada cut rates by -50 bps. NZD hit on talk about China yuan policy
12th Dec 24, 7:41am
US CPI data matched expectations clearing the way for a 25bp rate cut by the Fed next week. Canada cut rates by -50 bps. NZD hit on talk about China yuan policy
RBA makes a dovish pivot after recent softer data; market brings forward path of easier policy, driving down Australian rates and the AUD
11th Dec 24, 8:04am
RBA makes a dovish pivot after recent softer data; market brings forward path of easier policy, driving down Australian rates and the AUD
China's Politburo shifts from a "prudent" to a "moderately loose" monetary policy stance. The announcement triggered a turnaround in sentiment, with a stronger yuan seeing the NZD and AUD bounce-back
10th Dec 24, 7:48am
China's Politburo shifts from a "prudent" to a "moderately loose" monetary policy stance. The announcement triggered a turnaround in sentiment, with a stronger yuan seeing the NZD and AUD bounce-back
Roger J Kerr offers an 'alternative' view of how the New Zealand economy will fare over the coming year
9th Dec 24, 8:59am
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Roger J Kerr offers an 'alternative' view of how the New Zealand economy will fare over the coming year
US non-farm payrolls matched consensus but a rise in the jobless rate raised expectations for a 25bp Fed rate cut later this month. Treasury yields declined led by the front end while US equities edged higher
9th Dec 24, 7:34am
US non-farm payrolls matched consensus but a rise in the jobless rate raised expectations for a 25bp Fed rate cut later this month. Treasury yields declined led by the front end while US equities edged higher
Markets in holding pattern ahead of the US employment report. Bitcoin blasts up through USD100,000. No adverse reaction to French political crisis. OPEC+ pushes back plans to lift production
6th Dec 24, 7:49am
Markets in holding pattern ahead of the US employment report. Bitcoin blasts up through USD100,000. No adverse reaction to French political crisis. OPEC+ pushes back plans to lift production
US services ISM fell sharply contributing to lower treasury yields and a softer dollar. The Korean won recovered after martial law order lifted. Weaker than expected Australian GDP weighed on the AUD
5th Dec 24, 7:42am
US services ISM fell sharply contributing to lower treasury yields and a softer dollar. The Korean won recovered after martial law order lifted. Weaker than expected Australian GDP weighed on the AUD
Political crisis in Korea, but little spillover. Chinese yuan falls to a fresh low for the year. Fed speakers suggest December meeting live, but dependent on jobs report
4th Dec 24, 7:49am
Political crisis in Korea, but little spillover. Chinese yuan falls to a fresh low for the year. Fed speakers suggest December meeting live, but dependent on jobs report
US economic data continues to positively surprise, with gains in PMI indicators. French political crisis helps the USD, but JPY is the strongest of the majors
3rd Dec 24, 7:39am
US economic data continues to positively surprise, with gains in PMI indicators. French political crisis helps the USD, but JPY is the strongest of the majors
Roger J Kerr says the one-way hurtle up the hill for the US dollar on the Trump election euphoria is displaying distinct signs of spluttering and stalling
2nd Dec 24, 8:55am
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Roger J Kerr says the one-way hurtle up the hill for the US dollar on the Trump election euphoria is displaying distinct signs of spluttering and stalling
Global asset markets ended November on a positive note with the S&P reaching a fresh record high and US treasuries rallying. Investors have made record inflows to US equities over the past four weeks
2nd Dec 24, 7:20am
Global asset markets ended November on a positive note with the S&P reaching a fresh record high and US treasuries rallying. Investors have made record inflows to US equities over the past four weeks
AUD supported after RBA reiterates inflation still too high. NZD steady. RBNZ MPC members rolled out in post MPS interviews. Lower NZ rates follow global moves
29th Nov 24, 7:40am
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AUD supported after RBA reiterates inflation still too high. NZD steady. RBNZ MPC members rolled out in post MPS interviews. Lower NZ rates follow global moves