non-tradable inflation
Economists and bond traders expect the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates quickly despite critical core inflation measures remaining above 3%
17th Oct 24, 9:42am
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Economists and bond traders expect the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates quickly despite critical core inflation measures remaining above 3%
The return of inflation well and truly into the 1% to 3% target range is most welcome news, but what does it say for the immediate path of interest rates and how quickly the economy can recover?
16th Oct 24, 11:55am
53
The return of inflation well and truly into the 1% to 3% target range is most welcome news, but what does it say for the immediate path of interest rates and how quickly the economy can recover?
[updated]
Headline inflation lands on the Reserve Bank’s 2% target, despite the largest local government rate hikes since 1990
16th Oct 24, 10:47am
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Headline inflation lands on the Reserve Bank’s 2% target, despite the largest local government rate hikes since 1990
Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate agree the OCR will be cut this week, but are mixed over whether it should be a 25-point or 50-point cut
7th Oct 24, 11:04am
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Members of the 'Shadow Board' the NZIER assembles to state views on the Official Cash Rate agree the OCR will be cut this week, but are mixed over whether it should be a 25-point or 50-point cut
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming Official Cash Rate review in which all the discussion centres around whether the RBNZ will be looking to use a pistol or a bazooka to bring down rates
6th Oct 24, 6:00am
203
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming Official Cash Rate review in which all the discussion centres around whether the RBNZ will be looking to use a pistol or a bazooka to bring down rates
In a new Of Interest podcast episode, John Lyon explains why it's hard to judge insurers' finances on a year by year basis, and why NZ's risk profile is the most significant barrier to enter the local insurance market
1st Oct 24, 4:41pm
13
In a new Of Interest podcast episode, John Lyon explains why it's hard to judge insurers' finances on a year by year basis, and why NZ's risk profile is the most significant barrier to enter the local insurance market
David Hargreaves examines the apparently set path we are on to a series of interest rate reductions and wonders if there could yet be some potholes along the way
8th Sep 24, 6:30am
47
David Hargreaves examines the apparently set path we are on to a series of interest rate reductions and wonders if there could yet be some potholes along the way
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
3rd Sep 24, 1:15pm
43
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham is suggesting ways New Zealand could reclaim the former superstar status he bestowed upon us
28th Aug 24, 2:48pm
22
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham is suggesting ways New Zealand could reclaim the former superstar status he bestowed upon us
Reserve Bank starts long awaited interest rate cuts, and is forecasting further cuts before the end of the year. It also now sees annual inflation falling to just 2.3% by the end of this quarter
14th Aug 24, 2:11pm
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Reserve Bank starts long awaited interest rate cuts, and is forecasting further cuts before the end of the year. It also now sees annual inflation falling to just 2.3% by the end of this quarter
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
12th Aug 24, 2:20pm
33
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming OCR review in which all attention revolves around whether the Reserve Bank will stick to its own script - or acquiesce to the urgings of financial markets for cuts, not so much now, as YESTERDAY, please
11th Aug 24, 6:30am
138
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming OCR review in which all attention revolves around whether the Reserve Bank will stick to its own script - or acquiesce to the urgings of financial markets for cuts, not so much now, as YESTERDAY, please
The RBNZ hasn't reduced interest rates with domestic inflation this high in the past 20 years and is likely to delay until November, according to UBS analysis
24th Jul 24, 3:48pm
15
The RBNZ hasn't reduced interest rates with domestic inflation this high in the past 20 years and is likely to delay until November, according to UBS analysis
Three quarters of annual inflation was due to cost pressures outside the control of the RBNZ’s monetary policy
18th Jul 24, 12:47pm
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Three quarters of annual inflation was due to cost pressures outside the control of the RBNZ’s monetary policy
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
8th Jul 24, 1:45pm
23
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
The Reserve Bank's likely to cheerfully ignore the growing clamour for some public indication of when the Official Cash Rate will be cut when it has its next review of the OCR in the coming week
7th Jul 24, 6:30am
100
The Reserve Bank's likely to cheerfully ignore the growing clamour for some public indication of when the Official Cash Rate will be cut when it has its next review of the OCR in the coming week
With the economy in a tailspin and the RBNZ stubbornly holding the OCR, Gareth Vaughan takes a look at the non-tradable inflation dilemma
6th Jul 24, 9:10am
38
With the economy in a tailspin and the RBNZ stubbornly holding the OCR, Gareth Vaughan takes a look at the non-tradable inflation dilemma
BNZ economists say they hope the Reserve Bank will 'eventually accept' there are a number of relative price increases such as insurance and rates that can be 'looked through'
2nd Jul 24, 10:55am
28
BNZ economists say they hope the Reserve Bank will 'eventually accept' there are a number of relative price increases such as insurance and rates that can be 'looked through'
[updated]
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the country is in a 'slow-to-no-to-negative' growth environment, but the outlook is slightly more positive for the future and the outlook is also for continued declines in inflation
19th Jun 24, 9:49am
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the country is in a 'slow-to-no-to-negative' growth environment, but the outlook is slightly more positive for the future and the outlook is also for continued declines in inflation
[updated]
ANZ economists say 'meaningful progress' in inflation war around the corner, meaning the OCR could be cut earlier than they previously forecast
7th Jun 24, 11:17am
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ANZ economists say 'meaningful progress' in inflation war around the corner, meaning the OCR could be cut earlier than they previously forecast
Headline inflation should still hit the target band this year as the RBNZ has brought balance back to most parts of the economy, chief economist Paul Conway says
26th May 24, 6:00am
73
Headline inflation should still hit the target band this year as the RBNZ has brought balance back to most parts of the economy, chief economist Paul Conway says
[updated]
RBNZ leaves Official Cash Rate at 5.5%, but says domestic inflation is slow to fall and now puts a 60% chance of a further OCR hike by the end of this year; now doesn't see inflation getting back under 3% till the fourth quarter of the year
22nd May 24, 2:20pm
280
RBNZ leaves Official Cash Rate at 5.5%, but says domestic inflation is slow to fall and now puts a 60% chance of a further OCR hike by the end of this year; now doesn't see inflation getting back under 3% till the fourth quarter of the year
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
8th Feb 24, 5:00am
47
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
BNZ's Stephen Toplis suggests rather than being 'fixated' on non-tradeable inflation, the RBNZ may need to be be 'less dogmatic' about getting inflation down to the 2% midpoint of its target band
30th Jan 24, 12:53pm
55
BNZ's Stephen Toplis suggests rather than being 'fixated' on non-tradeable inflation, the RBNZ may need to be be 'less dogmatic' about getting inflation down to the 2% midpoint of its target band
Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates
30th Jan 24, 10:55am
50
Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates