ECB
More positive mood music around trade and tariffs, with "significant progress" on a US-India trade deal and Bessent expecting de-escalating US-China trade tension. IMF slashes growth forecasts on the trade war
23rd Apr 25, 7:44am
More positive mood music around trade and tariffs, with "significant progress" on a US-India trade deal and Bessent expecting de-escalating US-China trade tension. IMF slashes growth forecasts on the trade war
Trump renews attack on Fed Chair Powell, reinvigorating the "Sell America" trade. US-Japan trade negotiations not going well. US assets trading more like a Banana republic. US longer-term rates increase and USD falls to fresh multi-year lows
22nd Apr 25, 7:28am
Trump renews attack on Fed Chair Powell, reinvigorating the "Sell America" trade. US-Japan trade negotiations not going well. US assets trading more like a Banana republic. US longer-term rates increase and USD falls to fresh multi-year lows
US equities under pressure again. US pressuring trading partners to limit their dealings with China; China open to trade talks under certain conditions. Bank of Canada on hold and ditches forecasts and guidance
17th Apr 25, 7:49am
US equities under pressure again. US pressuring trading partners to limit their dealings with China; China open to trade talks under certain conditions. Bank of Canada on hold and ditches forecasts and guidance
China stops ordering new Boeing aircraft and halt purchases of aircraft and parts from US companies. No progress on EU-US trade negotiations. But financial markets calmer
16th Apr 25, 7:56am
China stops ordering new Boeing aircraft and halt purchases of aircraft and parts from US companies. No progress on EU-US trade negotiations. But financial markets calmer
Trump considers windback of tariffs to help the auto sector, following the carve-out for some electronic goods from China. Calmer markets. US Treasuries reverse some of last week's movement. Global equities recover
15th Apr 25, 7:47am
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Trump considers windback of tariffs to help the auto sector, following the carve-out for some electronic goods from China. Calmer markets. US Treasuries reverse some of last week's movement. Global equities recover
US dollar under pressure with higher UST yields not providing support. The USD index fell to a three year low. The Michigan consumer sentiment survey expectations index slumped to the lowest level since 1980 while inflation expectations continued to rise
14th Apr 25, 7:28am
US dollar under pressure with higher UST yields not providing support. The USD index fell to a three year low. The Michigan consumer sentiment survey expectations index slumped to the lowest level since 1980 while inflation expectations continued to rise
Further large swings in asset markets. US equities fall sharply. US CPI softer than expected though the data predates the impact of tariffs. Gold prices reach another record high
11th Apr 25, 7:59am
Further large swings in asset markets. US equities fall sharply. US CPI softer than expected though the data predates the impact of tariffs. Gold prices reach another record high
Equity indices surge higher after Trump announced a 90 day pause on the implementation of tariffs on non-retaliating countries. The S&P gained more than 7%. Huge bond market volatility
10th Apr 25, 7:45am
Equity indices surge higher after Trump announced a 90 day pause on the implementation of tariffs on non-retaliating countries. The S&P gained more than 7%. Huge bond market volatility
Market focus on tariff negotiations with countries lined up; China is a notable exception and China said it will "fight to end". Markets remain choppy; Big early gain in US equities eroded
9th Apr 25, 7:51am
Market focus on tariff negotiations with countries lined up; China is a notable exception and China said it will "fight to end". Markets remain choppy; Big early gain in US equities eroded
Some wild market movements overnight; S&P500 trades a high/low range of 8.5%; EU working out how to retaliate. Bond markets sell off; UST 10-year rate trades above 4.2% overnight, curve steepens
8th Apr 25, 7:46am
Some wild market movements overnight; S&P500 trades a high/low range of 8.5%; EU working out how to retaliate. Bond markets sell off; UST 10-year rate trades above 4.2% overnight, curve steepens
Extreme volatility across global markets after China escalated the trade war by hitting an extra 34% tariff on US goods. S&P closed 6% lower as growth assets slumped. Powell focused on inflation suggesting limited scope for a near-term policy pivot
7th Apr 25, 7:20am
Extreme volatility across global markets after China escalated the trade war by hitting an extra 34% tariff on US goods. S&P closed 6% lower as growth assets slumped. Powell focused on inflation suggesting limited scope for a near-term policy pivot
Trump's reciprocal tariff policy was much worse than expected, rocking financial markets. Flight to quality as global equities plunge. Bonds well supported. Oil prices plunge on global growth concerns and OPEC+ production upscale
4th Apr 25, 7:57am
Trump's reciprocal tariff policy was much worse than expected, rocking financial markets. Flight to quality as global equities plunge. Bonds well supported. Oil prices plunge on global growth concerns and OPEC+ production upscale
Reports the US 'reciprocal tariffs' will come in three bands, differing by country and industry. Wall Street rises. US Treasury yields rise
3rd Apr 25, 7:47am
Reports the US 'reciprocal tariffs' will come in three bands, differing by country and industry. Wall Street rises. US Treasury yields rise
US economic data reflects economic uncertainty ahead of tariffs. ISM manufacturing index below expectations. Details point to weak activity and increasing inflation pressures. UST 10-year yield at lowest level since early March
2nd Apr 25, 7:45am
US economic data reflects economic uncertainty ahead of tariffs. ISM manufacturing index below expectations. Details point to weak activity and increasing inflation pressures. UST 10-year yield at lowest level since early March
US tariff uncertainty weighs on global equity markets; some chunky falls across the world and US equities on track for their worst quarter in nearly three years. Oil prices higher after Trump mulls secondary tariffs for buyers of Russian crude
1st Apr 25, 7:49am
US tariff uncertainty weighs on global equity markets; some chunky falls across the world and US equities on track for their worst quarter in nearly three years. Oil prices higher after Trump mulls secondary tariffs for buyers of Russian crude