Bonds
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; rates market awaits the RBNZ, economic recovery subdued, QV sees housing values becalmed, Hawkesby gets a 6 month term, swaps hold, NZD little-changed, & more
8th Apr 25, 4:00pm
26
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; rates market awaits the RBNZ, economic recovery subdued, QV sees housing values becalmed, Hawkesby gets a 6 month term, swaps hold, NZD little-changed, & more
Kelly Eckhold says a lot has changed in the past week and he expects the RBNZ this week to indicate 'a firm intention to get the Official Cash Rate to 3% soon'
8th Apr 25, 1:54pm
11
Kelly Eckhold says a lot has changed in the past week and he expects the RBNZ this week to indicate 'a firm intention to get the Official Cash Rate to 3% soon'
Some wild market movements overnight; S&P500 trades a high/low range of 8.5%; EU working out how to retaliate. Bond markets sell off; UST 10-year rate trades above 4.2% overnight, curve steepens
8th Apr 25, 7:46am
Some wild market movements overnight; S&P500 trades a high/low range of 8.5%; EU working out how to retaliate. Bond markets sell off; UST 10-year rate trades above 4.2% overnight, curve steepens
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Kiwibank joins the others at 4.99%, IRD intensifies it audit activity, more dwellings for renters; markets fall further, swaps drop, NZD weak, & more
7th Apr 25, 3:59pm
36
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Kiwibank joins the others at 4.99%, IRD intensifies it audit activity, more dwellings for renters; markets fall further, swaps drop, NZD weak, & more
BNZ economists reiterate their longstanding prediction that the RBNZ will ultimately take the Official Cash Rate down to 2.75%
7th Apr 25, 11:25am
BNZ economists reiterate their longstanding prediction that the RBNZ will ultimately take the Official Cash Rate down to 2.75%
Extreme volatility across global markets after China escalated the trade war by hitting an extra 34% tariff on US goods. S&P closed 6% lower as growth assets slumped. Powell focused on inflation suggesting limited scope for a near-term policy pivot
7th Apr 25, 7:20am
Extreme volatility across global markets after China escalated the trade war by hitting an extra 34% tariff on US goods. S&P closed 6% lower as growth assets slumped. Powell focused on inflation suggesting limited scope for a near-term policy pivot
There's upheaval inside the Reserve Bank, there's upheaval outside of the Reserve Bank, but we'll still get our promised 25 point Official Cash Rate cut
6th Apr 25, 6:31am
3
There's upheaval inside the Reserve Bank, there's upheaval outside of the Reserve Bank, but we'll still get our promised 25 point Official Cash Rate cut
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; buckle in as financial markets react to an Orange Swan (or goose?), swaps fall hard, NZD rises, housing completions rise in Auckland, IAG in court, & more
4th Apr 25, 3:59pm
20
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; buckle in as financial markets react to an Orange Swan (or goose?), swaps fall hard, NZD rises, housing completions rise in Auckland, IAG in court, & more
Trump's reciprocal tariff policy was much worse than expected, rocking financial markets. Flight to quality as global equities plunge. Bonds well supported. Oil prices plunge on global growth concerns and OPEC+ production upscale
4th Apr 25, 7:57am
Trump's reciprocal tariff policy was much worse than expected, rocking financial markets. Flight to quality as global equities plunge. Bonds well supported. Oil prices plunge on global growth concerns and OPEC+ production upscale
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; markets hold their breath, early movers show fear, tax take eases, retail weak, 2degrees fined, commodity prices hold, swaps fall, NZD firms, & more
3rd Apr 25, 3:59pm
20
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; markets hold their breath, early movers show fear, tax take eases, retail weak, 2degrees fined, commodity prices hold, swaps fall, NZD firms, & more
Reports the US 'reciprocal tariffs' will come in three bands, differing by country and industry. Wall Street rises. US Treasury yields rise
3rd Apr 25, 7:47am
Reports the US 'reciprocal tariffs' will come in three bands, differing by country and industry. Wall Street rises. US Treasury yields rise
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; a test rate moves down, Barfoots says market is turning up, dairy prices hold, building consents fall, markets await American tariff changes; swaps hold, NZD firms, & more
2nd Apr 25, 3:59pm
15
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; a test rate moves down, Barfoots says market is turning up, dairy prices hold, building consents fall, markets await American tariff changes; swaps hold, NZD firms, & more
Kelly Eckhold says while the RBNZ appeared to promise an OCR cut next week almost unconditionally, decisions should always be based on the situation on the ground. 'No change with an easing bias would be the right thing to do'
2nd Apr 25, 11:09am
1
Kelly Eckhold says while the RBNZ appeared to promise an OCR cut next week almost unconditionally, decisions should always be based on the situation on the ground. 'No change with an easing bias would be the right thing to do'
US economic data reflects economic uncertainty ahead of tariffs. ISM manufacturing index below expectations. Details point to weak activity and increasing inflation pressures. UST 10-year yield at lowest level since early March
2nd Apr 25, 7:45am
US economic data reflects economic uncertainty ahead of tariffs. ISM manufacturing index below expectations. Details point to weak activity and increasing inflation pressures. UST 10-year yield at lowest level since early March
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Kiwibank & ANZ make retail rate changes, 'mountain' of houses for sale, a shift back to longer home loan fixed rates, new car sales weak, swaps hold, NZD drops, & more
1st Apr 25, 3:59pm
33
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Kiwibank & ANZ make retail rate changes, 'mountain' of houses for sale, a shift back to longer home loan fixed rates, new car sales weak, swaps hold, NZD drops, & more
US tariff uncertainty weighs on global equity markets; some chunky falls across the world and US equities on track for their worst quarter in nearly three years. Oil prices higher after Trump mulls secondary tariffs for buyers of Russian crude
1st Apr 25, 7:49am
US tariff uncertainty weighs on global equity markets; some chunky falls across the world and US equities on track for their worst quarter in nearly three years. Oil prices higher after Trump mulls secondary tariffs for buyers of Russian crude
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; new loan option for seniors, another power price spike, AIA shamed, RBNZ to have capital rules reviewed, ASB rated 'positive', swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
31st Mar 25, 3:59pm
23
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; new loan option for seniors, another power price spike, AIA shamed, RBNZ to have capital rules reviewed, ASB rated 'positive', swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
Concerns about the widening trade war and stagflationary US economic data weighed on risk sensitive assets. US real consumption undershot expectations while core PCE moved higher. The S&P500 fell contributing to a rally in US treasuries and gold
31st Mar 25, 7:20am
Concerns about the widening trade war and stagflationary US economic data weighed on risk sensitive assets. US real consumption undershot expectations while core PCE moved higher. The S&P500 fell contributing to a rally in US treasuries and gold
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; little retail rate activity, FHBs restrained, consumers don't see recovery, neither does labour market, NZ mapped in 3D, gold at record high, swaps stable, NZD soft, & more
28th Mar 25, 3:59pm
17
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; little retail rate activity, FHBs restrained, consumers don't see recovery, neither does labour market, NZ mapped in 3D, gold at record high, swaps stable, NZD soft, & more
Trade war intensifies after Trump orders 25% tariffs on imports of foreign-made cars, bringing retaliation threats from the EU, Canada, Japan and South Korea
28th Mar 25, 8:34am
Trade war intensifies after Trump orders 25% tariffs on imports of foreign-made cars, bringing retaliation threats from the EU, Canada, Japan and South Korea
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; BNZ trims short TD rates, NZX dips, Ryman pays down debt, Aussie wealth rises, AGBs struggle for demand, US sets car tariffs, swaps hold, NZD holds, & more
27th Mar 25, 4:01pm
9
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; BNZ trims short TD rates, NZX dips, Ryman pays down debt, Aussie wealth rises, AGBs struggle for demand, US sets car tariffs, swaps hold, NZD holds, & more
Soft risk tone overnight as uncertainty about US trade policy weighs on investor sentiment. US traded copper futures reach a record high after a 25% plus gain since the start of the year
27th Mar 25, 7:46am
Soft risk tone overnight as uncertainty about US trade policy weighs on investor sentiment. US traded copper futures reach a record high after a 25% plus gain since the start of the year
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; Liberty drops mortgage rates, FHBs fade, eyes on broker churn, NZX50 rises above peers, Aussie inflation eases, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
26th Mar 25, 3:59pm
20
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; Liberty drops mortgage rates, FHBs fade, eyes on broker churn, NZX50 rises above peers, Aussie inflation eases, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
With the first quarter of the year nearly gone, and with GDP having returned to growth, David Hargreaves has a quick check on the economy's pulse
26th Mar 25, 1:08pm
6
With the first quarter of the year nearly gone, and with GDP having returned to growth, David Hargreaves has a quick check on the economy's pulse
Progress in Russia-Ukraine peace deal. White House conflict on tariff basis. US Conference Board consumer confidence plunges, as per the University of Michigan survey
26th Mar 25, 7:51am
Progress in Russia-Ukraine peace deal. White House conflict on tariff basis. US Conference Board consumer confidence plunges, as per the University of Michigan survey
