Bonds
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Kiwi Bond rates cut, migration & tourism updates, successful NZGB tender, Crown a/cs show taxpayer stress, record high benefit levels, swaps stable NZD firmish, & more
23rd Jan 25, 3:58pm
77
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Kiwi Bond rates cut, migration & tourism updates, successful NZGB tender, Crown a/cs show taxpayer stress, record high benefit levels, swaps stable NZD firmish, & more
US equities continue to power up towards a fresh record high, albeit led by the IT sector, with narrow gains and most sectors weaker. Trump continues to threaten import tariffs, but the actual path remains unclear
23rd Jan 25, 7:42am
US equities continue to power up towards a fresh record high, albeit led by the IT sector, with narrow gains and most sectors weaker. Trump continues to threaten import tariffs, but the actual path remains unclear
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; significant mortgage rate changes, dairy prices firm, real estate market quiet, inflation as expected, NZX50 little-changed, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
22nd Jan 25, 4:00pm
42
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; significant mortgage rate changes, dairy prices firm, real estate market quiet, inflation as expected, NZX50 little-changed, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
Trump "thinking" about a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico from 1 Feb; market "thinking" it probably won't happen as market jolt fades; CAD fully recovers from a 5-year low "Massive" announcement on infrastructure coming today
22nd Jan 25, 7:50am
1
Trump "thinking" about a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico from 1 Feb; market "thinking" it probably won't happen as market jolt fades; CAD fully recovers from a 5-year low "Massive" announcement on infrastructure coming today
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; service sector shrinks too, end of year puff for retail, job ads weak, milk flows up, REINZ says 'tomorrow', swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
21st Jan 25, 4:00pm
113
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; service sector shrinks too, end of year puff for retail, job ads weak, milk flows up, REINZ says 'tomorrow', swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
Trump inaugurated; his address outlined priorities. USD broadly weaker down around 1%; NZD up 1.3%. US markets closed for holiday, but equity and Treasury futures nudge higher
21st Jan 25, 7:37am
1
Trump inaugurated; his address outlined priorities. USD broadly weaker down around 1%; NZD up 1.3%. US markets closed for holiday, but equity and Treasury futures nudge higher
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Wellington on holiday, meat exporters shift focus, REINZ data late, NZX50 slips, swaps on hold, NZD up slightly, & more
20th Jan 25, 3:59pm
33
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Wellington on holiday, meat exporters shift focus, REINZ data late, NZX50 slips, swaps on hold, NZD up slightly, & more
Trump and President Xi talked on Friday night and "the call was a very good one". US equities ended last week on a strong note. Focus this week will be on Trump's executive orders post inauguration
20th Jan 25, 7:21am
Trump and President Xi talked on Friday night and "the call was a very good one". US equities ended last week on a strong note. Focus this week will be on Trump's executive orders post inauguration
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; both home loan rates and term deposit rates are cut by majors, PMI still contracting, rents stable, swaps hesitate, NZD little-changed, & more
17th Jan 25, 3:59pm
24
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; both home loan rates and term deposit rates are cut by majors, PMI still contracting, rents stable, swaps hesitate, NZD little-changed, & more
US retail sales show a robust end to last year. Incoming US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives market-friendly comments. Japanese yen firms as market confident of a rate hike coming
17th Jan 25, 7:53am
US retail sales show a robust end to last year. Incoming US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives market-friendly comments. Japanese yen firms as market confident of a rate hike coming
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Westpac matched BNZ at 5.99%, food prices show little inflation, TM sees very soft house buyer interest, swaps settle back, NZD holds, & more
16th Jan 25, 3:59pm
38
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Westpac matched BNZ at 5.99%, food prices show little inflation, TM sees very soft house buyer interest, swaps settle back, NZD holds, & more
US core CPI slightly weaker than markets expected. UK CPI data also softer than expected. BoJ hike next week remain live. NZ rates market continues cross-market underperformance, exacerbated by positioning; NZGB 10yr at a 7-month high
16th Jan 25, 7:46am
1
US core CPI slightly weaker than markets expected. UK CPI data also softer than expected. BoJ hike next week remain live. NZ rates market continues cross-market underperformance, exacerbated by positioning; NZGB 10yr at a 7-month high
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; employment confidence rises, milk powder prices hold, overseas workers & students back at pre-pandemic levels, eyes on swap rate, NZD stable, & more
15th Jan 25, 3:59pm
79
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; employment confidence rises, milk powder prices hold, overseas workers & students back at pre-pandemic levels, eyes on swap rate, NZD stable, & more
Economists see latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion as clearing the way for a further substantial cut to the Official Cash Rate next month
15th Jan 25, 9:34am
132
Economists see latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion as clearing the way for a further substantial cut to the Official Cash Rate next month
Limited market reaction to soft US PPI data as investors look ahead to the key CPI release this evening. Reports of a gradual approach to tariffs weighs on the US dollar.
15th Jan 25, 7:43am
Limited market reaction to soft US PPI data as investors look ahead to the key CPI release this evening. Reports of a gradual approach to tariffs weighs on the US dollar.
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; BNZ trims TD rates, business sentiment jumps, fewer Auckland dwelling built, home ownership better, grocery price rises tamer, swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
14th Jan 25, 3:59pm
80
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; BNZ trims TD rates, business sentiment jumps, fewer Auckland dwelling built, home ownership better, grocery price rises tamer, swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
Global equities extend losses seen in the aftermath of the strong US labour market report. US treasury yields continued to move higher. Oil prices reached the highest level in five months
14th Jan 25, 7:35am
15
Global equities extend losses seen in the aftermath of the strong US labour market report. US treasury yields continued to move higher. Oil prices reached the highest level in five months
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Heartland trims TD rates, building consents not recovering, but filled jobs rise, swaps stable but long bond rates jump, oil up sharply, NZD holds, & more
13th Jan 25, 3:59pm
52
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Heartland trims TD rates, building consents not recovering, but filled jobs rise, swaps stable but long bond rates jump, oil up sharply, NZD holds, & more
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; consumer sentiment rises, Willis talks deregulation & competition, trade deficit shrinks, no credit card stress signs yet, swaps lower, NZD holds low, & more
20th Dec 24, 3:58pm
9
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; consumer sentiment rises, Willis talks deregulation & competition, trade deficit shrinks, no credit card stress signs yet, swaps lower, NZD holds low, & more
Modest recovery in US equities after their slump following the Fed's hawkish rate cut. US 10-year rate rises to its highest level since the end of May; curve steepens
20th Dec 24, 7:59am
1
Modest recovery in US equities after their slump following the Fed's hawkish rate cut. US 10-year rate rises to its highest level since the end of May; curve steepens
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; just a whimper of retail rate changes, GDP dives, rental sector under stress, business sentiment high, Fed's hawkish cut echoes, swaps stable, NZD dumped, & more
19th Dec 24, 3:59pm
61
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; just a whimper of retail rate changes, GDP dives, rental sector under stress, business sentiment high, Fed's hawkish cut echoes, swaps stable, NZD dumped, & more
Global asset markets in a holding pattern ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision this morning. US dollar generally firm against G10 currencies
19th Dec 24, 7:24am
Global asset markets in a holding pattern ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision this morning. US dollar generally firm against G10 currencies
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; unsold properties choke housing market, current account and IIP stay poor, consumer sentiment firm, job ads stay weak, swaps and NZD stable, & much more
18th Dec 24, 4:00pm
75
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; unsold properties choke housing market, current account and IIP stay poor, consumer sentiment firm, job ads stay weak, swaps and NZD stable, & much more
Commodity and Asia-pacific currencies underperform; NZD, AUD, CAD, Asia Dollar index fall to year, or multi-year, lows. US retail sales data conveying robust consumer spending
18th Dec 24, 7:47am
Commodity and Asia-pacific currencies underperform; NZD, AUD, CAD, Asia Dollar index fall to year, or multi-year, lows. US retail sales data conveying robust consumer spending
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; EOY rate changes, housing market mixed; Govt. can't deliver a surplus but does deliver for business, dairy farms back in profit, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
17th Dec 24, 4:00pm
92
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; EOY rate changes, housing market mixed; Govt. can't deliver a surplus but does deliver for business, dairy farms back in profit, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more