Bonds
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; CPI inflation eases more than expected, rents top out, dairy prices surprise, Synlait surprises again, swaps uncertain, NZD firms, & more
17th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; CPI inflation eases more than expected, rents top out, dairy prices surprise, Synlait surprises again, swaps uncertain, NZD firms, & more
The US Treasury yield curve flattened and currency markets are little changed. Gold hit a record high of US$2465 an ounce. US equities advanced following unexpectedly strong retail sales data
17th Jul 24, 7:51am
The US Treasury yield curve flattened and currency markets are little changed. Gold hit a record high of US$2465 an ounce. US equities advanced following unexpectedly strong retail sales data
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; quiet on the retail rate front, realtor commissions sink with market, eyes on dairy prices and CPI, insurance premium cost risk rises, swaps ease, NZD falls, & more
16th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; quiet on the retail rate front, realtor commissions sink with market, eyes on dairy prices and CPI, insurance premium cost risk rises, swaps ease, NZD falls, & more
Powell looks to rate cuts, but without saying when. The US treasury curve has continued to steepen. 30-year yields are above 2-year yields for the first time since November. China’s Q2 GDP data was weaker than expected
16th Jul 24, 8:07am
Powell looks to rate cuts, but without saying when. The US treasury curve has continued to steepen. 30-year yields are above 2-year yields for the first time since November. China’s Q2 GDP data was weaker than expected
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; another Notice Saver launches, PSI terrible, REINZ June data not much better, tractor sale dire, swaps stable, NZD eases, & more
15th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; another Notice Saver launches, PSI terrible, REINZ June data not much better, tractor sale dire, swaps stable, NZD eases, & more
Markets looked past strong US PPI data. UST 10-yr yields dipped below 4.2% a level which has contained the downside in recent months. The yield curve continued to steepen. The US dollar remained under pressure particularly against the yen
15th Jul 24, 7:31am
Markets looked past strong US PPI data. UST 10-yr yields dipped below 4.2% a level which has contained the downside in recent months. The yield curve continued to steepen. The US dollar remained under pressure particularly against the yen
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; retail rates edge lower; PMI falls sharply, retail starved of demand, Dosh wants to be a bank, swaps soft, NZD unchanged, & more
12th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; retail rates edge lower; PMI falls sharply, retail starved of demand, Dosh wants to be a bank, swaps soft, NZD unchanged, & more
Another benign US CPI result drove a sharp rally in US Treasury yields. USD weakness wasn’t sustained however, except for a plunge in USD/JPY with official intervention suspected
12th Jul 24, 7:53am
Another benign US CPI result drove a sharp rally in US Treasury yields. USD weakness wasn’t sustained however, except for a plunge in USD/JPY with official intervention suspected
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Westpac makes early retail rate moves, food prices fall, truckometer issues warning, NZGB demand returns, swaps eyed, NZD stops falling, & more
11th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Westpac makes early retail rate moves, food prices fall, truckometer issues warning, NZGB demand returns, swaps eyed, NZD stops falling, & more
Global equity markets made solid gains with the S&P trading above 5,600. Markets were largely subdued lacking catalysts. Investors are looking ahead to key US CPI data this evening
11th Jul 24, 7:43am
Global equity markets made solid gains with the S&P trading above 5,600. Markets were largely subdued lacking catalysts. Investors are looking ahead to key US CPI data this evening
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; RBNZ sends dovish signals so TD rates now on watch, migration turns negative, tourism recovers, job ads dive, swaps fall sharply, NZD down, & more
10th Jul 24, 4:01pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; RBNZ sends dovish signals so TD rates now on watch, migration turns negative, tourism recovers, job ads dive, swaps fall sharply, NZD down, & more
Powell’s testimony largely repeated previous messages, didn’t move the needle in financial markets. There has been more action in Europe, with the Euro Stoxx 600 index down 0.9%, led by France, and French-German bond spreads widened
10th Jul 24, 7:49am
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Powell’s testimony largely repeated previous messages, didn’t move the needle in financial markets. There has been more action in Europe, with the Euro Stoxx 600 index down 0.9%, led by France, and French-German bond spreads widened
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; oceans warmest, tax fraud punished with wet noodles, property investors return for residential, scarce for commercial, swaps unchanged, NZD slips, & more
9th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; oceans warmest, tax fraud punished with wet noodles, property investors return for residential, scarce for commercial, swaps unchanged, NZD slips, & more
Market movements well-contained, with little impact from the shock French election result. Key equity markets show small changes, the US 10-year rate is down slightly, the NZD has underperformed and is modestly weaker
9th Jul 24, 7:39am
Market movements well-contained, with little impact from the shock French election result. Key equity markets show small changes, the US 10-year rate is down slightly, the NZD has underperformed and is modestly weaker
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Kiwibank ups two short TD rates, supermarket cost pressure eases, RBNZ watches shadow banks, Contact commissions more geothermal capacity, swaps & NZD stable, & more
8th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Kiwibank ups two short TD rates, supermarket cost pressure eases, RBNZ watches shadow banks, Contact commissions more geothermal capacity, swaps & NZD stable, & more
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
8th Jul 24, 1:45pm
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Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
Weaker than expected US labour market data saw investors bring forward expectations for rate cuts by the US Fed. Early projections suggest the left wing coalition has unexpectedly won the French election raising concerns about the fiscal backdrop
8th Jul 24, 7:26am
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Weaker than expected US labour market data saw investors bring forward expectations for rate cuts by the US Fed. Early projections suggest the left wing coalition has unexpectedly won the French election raising concerns about the fiscal backdrop
The Reserve Bank's likely to cheerfully ignore the growing clamour for some public indication of when the Official Cash Rate will be cut when it has its next review of the OCR in the coming week
7th Jul 24, 6:30am
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The Reserve Bank's likely to cheerfully ignore the growing clamour for some public indication of when the Official Cash Rate will be cut when it has its next review of the OCR in the coming week
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rates changes; passport backlog eases, deprecation changes hit companies with buildings, swaps and NZD little-changed, & more
5th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rates changes; passport backlog eases, deprecation changes hit companies with buildings, swaps and NZD little-changed, & more
Global markets subdued in shadow of US holiday. Polling that projects Marine Le Pen’s failure supported sentiment towards European assets. Market focus turns to upcoming key US labour market data
5th Jul 24, 7:37am
Global markets subdued in shadow of US holiday. Polling that projects Marine Le Pen’s failure supported sentiment towards European assets. Market focus turns to upcoming key US labour market data
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; BNZ pulls back on TD offers, IRD eyes crypto compliance problems, weak demand for NZGBs, household wealth rises, swaps and NZD stable, & more
4th Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; BNZ pulls back on TD offers, IRD eyes crypto compliance problems, weak demand for NZGBs, household wealth rises, swaps and NZD stable, & more
A series of weaker than expected economic prints, headlined by services ISM which slumped to a 4-year low, strengthened the case for Fed rate cuts this year. US treasury yields fell and the S&P closed at a fresh record high
4th Jul 24, 7:44am
A series of weaker than expected economic prints, headlined by services ISM which slumped to a 4-year low, strengthened the case for Fed rate cuts this year. US treasury yields fell and the S&P closed at a fresh record high
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; June retail weak in early reports, dairy prices drop, glut of houses for sale, commodity prices rise, swaps meaner, NZD firmish, & more
3rd Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; June retail weak in early reports, dairy prices drop, glut of houses for sale, commodity prices rise, swaps meaner, NZD firmish, & more
Fed Chair Powell sees recent fall in the PCE ‘really good progress’ but still needs to see more progress. US job openings unexpectedly rise. European CPI slowed
3rd Jul 24, 7:39am
Fed Chair Powell sees recent fall in the PCE ‘really good progress’ but still needs to see more progress. US job openings unexpectedly rise. European CPI slowed
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; a river of bad data and bad news, eyes on dairy auction, livestock farmers may have to wait till 2026 for better returns, swaps firm, NZD weak, & more
2nd Jul 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; a river of bad data and bad news, eyes on dairy auction, livestock farmers may have to wait till 2026 for better returns, swaps firm, NZD weak, & more