Stuart Ritson
US dollar under pressure with higher UST yields not providing support. The USD index fell to a three year low. The Michigan consumer sentiment survey expectations index slumped to the lowest level since 1980 while inflation expectations continued to rise
14th Apr 25, 7:28am
US dollar under pressure with higher UST yields not providing support. The USD index fell to a three year low. The Michigan consumer sentiment survey expectations index slumped to the lowest level since 1980 while inflation expectations continued to rise
Further large swings in asset markets. US equities fall sharply. US CPI softer than expected though the data predates the impact of tariffs. Gold prices reach another record high
11th Apr 25, 7:59am
Further large swings in asset markets. US equities fall sharply. US CPI softer than expected though the data predates the impact of tariffs. Gold prices reach another record high
Equity indices surge higher after Trump announced a 90 day pause on the implementation of tariffs on non-retaliating countries. The S&P gained more than 7%. Huge bond market volatility
10th Apr 25, 7:45am
Equity indices surge higher after Trump announced a 90 day pause on the implementation of tariffs on non-retaliating countries. The S&P gained more than 7%. Huge bond market volatility
Extreme volatility across global markets after China escalated the trade war by hitting an extra 34% tariff on US goods. S&P closed 6% lower as growth assets slumped. Powell focused on inflation suggesting limited scope for a near-term policy pivot
7th Apr 25, 7:20am
Extreme volatility across global markets after China escalated the trade war by hitting an extra 34% tariff on US goods. S&P closed 6% lower as growth assets slumped. Powell focused on inflation suggesting limited scope for a near-term policy pivot
US economic data reflects economic uncertainty ahead of tariffs. ISM manufacturing index below expectations. Details point to weak activity and increasing inflation pressures. UST 10-year yield at lowest level since early March
2nd Apr 25, 7:45am
US economic data reflects economic uncertainty ahead of tariffs. ISM manufacturing index below expectations. Details point to weak activity and increasing inflation pressures. UST 10-year yield at lowest level since early March
Concerns about the widening trade war and stagflationary US economic data weighed on risk sensitive assets. US real consumption undershot expectations while core PCE moved higher. The S&P500 fell contributing to a rally in US treasuries and gold
31st Mar 25, 7:20am
Concerns about the widening trade war and stagflationary US economic data weighed on risk sensitive assets. US real consumption undershot expectations while core PCE moved higher. The S&P500 fell contributing to a rally in US treasuries and gold
Soft risk tone overnight as uncertainty about US trade policy weighs on investor sentiment. US traded copper futures reach a record high after a 25% plus gain since the start of the year
27th Mar 25, 7:46am
Soft risk tone overnight as uncertainty about US trade policy weighs on investor sentiment. US traded copper futures reach a record high after a 25% plus gain since the start of the year
Strong rebound for US equities. But US consumers' long term inflation expectations reached the highest level since 1993 while sentiment slumped. Euro gains after after a deal for massive German fiscal expansion
17th Mar 25, 7:29am
Strong rebound for US equities. But US consumers' long term inflation expectations reached the highest level since 1993 while sentiment slumped. Euro gains after after a deal for massive German fiscal expansion
US 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium take effect prompting retaliatory actions from the EU. US CPI weaker than expected though tariffs create uncertainty looking forward. Bank of Canada cuts rates by 25bp to 2.75% as expected
13th Mar 25, 7:42am
US 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium take effect prompting retaliatory actions from the EU. US CPI weaker than expected though tariffs create uncertainty looking forward. Bank of Canada cuts rates by 25bp to 2.75% as expected
US labour market data in line with consensus expectations. The S&P rebounded from earlier losses to close higher. Fed chair Powell reiterated the central bank doesn’t need to hurry to cut rates
10th Mar 25, 7:37am
US labour market data in line with consensus expectations. The S&P rebounded from earlier losses to close higher. Fed chair Powell reiterated the central bank doesn’t need to hurry to cut rates
Large moves across European markets after Germany revealed plans to allow for more defense and infrastructure spending. US services ISM beats consensus expectations breaking the run of weak US activity data
6th Mar 25, 7:45am
Large moves across European markets after Germany revealed plans to allow for more defense and infrastructure spending. US services ISM beats consensus expectations breaking the run of weak US activity data
The financial market has increased expectations for a US Fed easing. The 2-year treasury yields dipped below 4% for the first time since October, declining after soft consumption data
3rd Mar 25, 7:24am
The financial market has increased expectations for a US Fed easing. The 2-year treasury yields dipped below 4% for the first time since October, declining after soft consumption data
Initial gains for US equities fade after the Dallas Fed manufacturing index undershot expectations. 10-year treasury yields return to the bottom of the 2025 range at 4.39%
25th Feb 25, 7:38am
Initial gains for US equities fade after the Dallas Fed manufacturing index undershot expectations. 10-year treasury yields return to the bottom of the 2025 range at 4.39%
Weak US services PMI contributed to a rise in risk aversion and a sharp fall in US equities. US treasury yields tumble. Brent crude prices drop 3% to near US$74 per barrel
24th Feb 25, 7:30am
Weak US services PMI contributed to a rise in risk aversion and a sharp fall in US equities. US treasury yields tumble. Brent crude prices drop 3% to near US$74 per barrel
European equities retraced from record high after hawkish comments by an ECB official. European bond yields move higher. Trade tensions stay in focus. Trump said he would impose tariffs on cars, semi-conductors and pharmaceutical imports
20th Feb 25, 7:46am
European equities retraced from record high after hawkish comments by an ECB official. European bond yields move higher. Trade tensions stay in focus. Trump said he would impose tariffs on cars, semi-conductors and pharmaceutical imports