sign up log in
Want to go ad-free? Find out how, here.

The opening of new retail credit accounts dropped 44% year-on-year in the first full month after CCCFA changes, the steepest fall since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic

Business / news
The opening of new retail credit accounts dropped 44% year-on-year in the first full month after CCCFA changes, the steepest fall since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic
Finance laptop
Image: gotcredit. Licence: CC BY 2.0

The first full month with Credit Contracts and Consumer Finance Act (CCCFA) changes in play saw a 44% year-on-year decline in new retail credit account openings, data from credit bureau Equifax New Zealand shows. 

“January was the first full month of account opening data since the new affordability assessment criteria was introduced through the CCCFA changes in December 2021.

Unsecured credit, including credit cards and personal loans, took the biggest hit, declining by 52% year on year (y-y).

"A drop of this magnitude represents a significant decline in credit activity be it for new credit, refinancing or consumers just trying to get a better deal on their finance," said Angus Luffman, managing director at Equifax.

The data, which compares this January with January 2021, and represents the biggest decline since Covid-19 first reached our shores in March 2020, covers new account openings or lines of retail credit on which the credit has been activated. 

Amendments to the ​​Credit Contracts and Consumer Finance Act which took affect from December, saw borrowers discretionary spending more highly scrutinised, a rise in declined applications and tough penalties for lenders not playing by the rules.

Home loan account openings declined by 35% and within the unsecured category, new credit cards were down 71% and new personal loans declined by 33%, something that had a direct lifestyle impact.

"Unsecured credit helps Kiwi consumers purchase everyday items like furniture and electronics, to make their lives better. In January we saw that borrowing activity decline significantly,” said Luffman.

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

21 Comments

Good. We're heading into a recession. People should be strongly discouraged from taking out credit. It'll save a lot of misery in the long run.

Up
14

There is a fine line, if you just stop everyone from borrowing it will kill the economy. We still need good debt and money being spent to businesses running and people employed. 

Up
0

No one has stopped everything. Just the riskier lending (comparatively). 

As per the above, this is good as it stops us digging the hole further. 

Up
0

This CCCFA thing seems bloody great. I'm impressed by just how well it's working. The idea of there being less debt seems so logical and a positive. I guess for those sectors making the most noise it doesn't look that way.

Up
15

Agreed.

Up
2

The new CCCFA regulations could be good news for property wealthy investors with less competition from FHBs who can no longer get a mortgage approval. 

Up
4

How do property investors push prices higher in auction rooms if you aren't outbidding a FHB?

Up
4

Perhaps. Specinvestor's now need real equity, income/yield, rising prices and the now deceased tax offset. All of this is now in short supply or going backwards. Is this a case of 3 of the 4 strikes and your out of the market as well?

Up
0

They could also be bad news for wealthy property investors looking to offload for massive capital gains, who can only receive a price that the market can bear based on FHB real incomes.

the idea that price drops are a bad thing for FHBs is just so insultingly stupid, but it always pops up…

Up
7

Exactly - if FHB can't afford to buy, then there is nobody for property investors to bid against when buying homes, pushing prices up.

If prices don't go up, property investors equity doesn't go up, which also reduces their ability to further influence the market buy purchasing further residential properties. Bidders across the market drops.

The removal of FHB from the market will be equally damaging to property investors as it ever would be for FHB themselves.

As has been mentioned before, what FHB should do is collectively get together and not bid on properties at all for the next 12-24 months. Don't buy any properties at all. A form of market manipulation. Is this illegal? Don't think many would care anymore if it resulted in buying a house for hundreds of thousands of dollars less in the future.

Up
5

FHBs aren't the only potential competition.  What about other property investors etc?

Up
0

Investors appear to be more affected - January mortgage lending is down by ~50% for investors year-on-year versus ~20% down for FHBs. 

https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/c31

Up
3

Where do investors generate the deposit for their next house if prices stop going up at 30% a year? (i.e. and don't generate equity).

Up
2

Maybe if they stop going out for fancy coffees and avocado on toast they can rustle up enough. Assuming the recent tax changes aren't biting into cash flow too much...

Up
4

Lol. 

The way supermarket prices are going, we will all need to stop avacados and fancy coffees... 

Up
0

Unsecured credit helps Kiwi consumers purchase everyday items [...] to make their lives better

So people should be allowed to keep borrowing money to maintain a lifestyle that's beyond their means. Right.

Up
5

Grant Robinson must be looking for his fiddle right about now

Up
5

The CCCFA is doing a lot of the heavy lifting, reducing the need for lots of OCR hikes.

Up
5

Yep. A real recession. That we should have had 2 years ago. We'd be out the other side by now. Orr will there be another.....

Up
4

Wow - interesting!

Thanks interest.co.nz - it's these analyses that bring me back time and time again.

Up
1

Perhaps the reason for the drop is to help consumers pass the new CCCFA affordability assessment - reduce discretionary expenses (i.e credit cards and personal loans), and thereby increase the chances of being able to obtain finance for a house - especially if you are a FHB.

Up
0