About
David Chaston is the publisher of interest.co.nz and is commited to ensuring readers get the latest information on interest rates, and the forces that move them.
David Chaston
Latest articles
US data wavers, sentiment drops sharply; Canada gets ready to vote; China winds up its consumption push, cancels some key ag orders in the US; UST 10yr at 4.24%; gold holds; oil up; NZ$1 = 59.7 USc; TWI-5 = 68
26th Apr 25, 9:00am
18
US data wavers, sentiment drops sharply; Canada gets ready to vote; China winds up its consumption push, cancels some key ag orders in the US; UST 10yr at 4.24%; gold holds; oil up; NZ$1 = 59.7 USc; TWI-5 = 68
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; realtor commission report, rising sentiment and inflation, more on welfare benefits, more bankruptcies, high NZGB demand, swaps & NZD stable, & more
24th Apr 25, 3:59pm
34
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; realtor commission report, rising sentiment and inflation, more on welfare benefits, more bankruptcies, high NZGB demand, swaps & NZD stable, & more
US data features higher prices and lower activity; Tariff u-turn suggested; global PMIs hold up; China floods liquidity for consumption shift; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold dips from high; oil down; NZ$1 = 60 USc; TWI-5 = 68
24th Apr 25, 7:22am
71
US data features higher prices and lower activity; Tariff u-turn suggested; global PMIs hold up; China floods liquidity for consumption shift; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold dips from high; oil down; NZ$1 = 60 USc; TWI-5 = 68
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; renters have the 'power', credit card growth lame, job ads weak, more DMO debt issuance, equities recover, swaps stable, NZD eases, & more
23rd Apr 25, 3:59pm
18
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; renters have the 'power', credit card growth lame, job ads weak, more DMO debt issuance, equities recover, swaps stable, NZD eases, & more
IMF sees the US hurt more than others; Bessent guesses move markets; US data weak; Taiwan export orders strong; EU consumer sentiment weaker; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold leaps to new high; oil down; NZ$1 = 60 USc; TWI-5 = 68
23rd Apr 25, 7:19am
10
IMF sees the US hurt more than others; Bessent guesses move markets; US data weak; Taiwan export orders strong; EU consumer sentiment weaker; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold leaps to new high; oil down; NZ$1 = 60 USc; TWI-5 = 68
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; lots of small retail rate changes, bumper exports, lower dependency on China, HD for insider trading, swaps stable, NZD firmer, & more
22nd Apr 25, 3:59pm
25
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; lots of small retail rate changes, bumper exports, lower dependency on China, HD for insider trading, swaps stable, NZD firmer, & more
Trump's attacks on Powell hurt US markets; China FDI shrinks; US in recession; ECB cuts; Aussie labour market expands; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold leaps to new high; oil down; NZ$1 = 60 USc; TWI-5 = 68
22nd Apr 25, 7:19am
46
Trump's attacks on Powell hurt US markets; China FDI shrinks; US in recession; ECB cuts; Aussie labour market expands; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold leaps to new high; oil down; NZ$1 = 60 USc; TWI-5 = 68
China is taking many hits from Trump. So why doesn't it hit back at Trump's weakness, the US Treasury bond market? It may well do so at some point, but China is playing a longer game, one focused on its own self-interest
21st Apr 25, 2:57pm
12
China is taking many hits from Trump. So why doesn't it hit back at Trump's weakness, the US Treasury bond market? It may well do so at some point, but China is playing a longer game, one focused on its own self-interest
Trump obsesses about Powell; US already in recession; Japanese inflation stays high; China FDI weak, fiscal stimulus rises; ECB cuts; Aussie jobs rise; UST 10yr at 4.33%; gold holds high and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 67.6
19th Apr 25, 8:17am
17
Trump obsesses about Powell; US already in recession; Japanese inflation stays high; China FDI weak, fiscal stimulus rises; ECB cuts; Aussie jobs rise; UST 10yr at 4.33%; gold holds high and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 67.6
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday: the flood of retail rate changes continues, CPI at 2.5%, job ad activity limp, Tourism Holdings hammered, swaps stable, gold rises further, NZD firmish, & more
17th Apr 25, 3:59pm
17
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday: the flood of retail rate changes continues, CPI at 2.5%, job ad activity limp, Tourism Holdings hammered, swaps stable, gold rises further, NZD firmish, & more
As term deposit offer rates sink, real after-tax, after-inflation yields are vanishing. Taxpayer guarantees reducing the risk premiums aren't helping. Savers are barely breaking even, making short term TD's a poor investment
17th Apr 25, 11:00am
38
As term deposit offer rates sink, real after-tax, after-inflation yields are vanishing. Taxpayer guarantees reducing the risk premiums aren't helping. Savers are barely breaking even, making short term TD's a poor investment
Tariffs start to affect US data; Fed in a tough spot; markets recoil; Canada stops cutting; China claims steady growth, but housing still a big issue; UST 10yr at 4.27%; gold leaps and oil firm; NZ$1 = 59.3 USc; TWI-5 = 67.6
17th Apr 25, 7:19am
65
Tariffs start to affect US data; Fed in a tough spot; markets recoil; Canada stops cutting; China claims steady growth, but housing still a big issue; UST 10yr at 4.27%; gold leaps and oil firm; NZ$1 = 59.3 USc; TWI-5 = 67.6
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; flood of retail rate cuts, tractor drought, earnings downgrades, dairy prices suffer from USD pricing, ANZ changes its tune, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
16th Apr 25, 3:59pm
12
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; flood of retail rate cuts, tractor drought, earnings downgrades, dairy prices suffer from USD pricing, ANZ changes its tune, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
[updated]
Home loan rates are being inched lower in response to competitive pressures and uncertain loan demand. BNZ's latest reductions match other rivals who moved recently, with a little extra cut for an 18 month term
16th Apr 25, 9:50am
6
Home loan rates are being inched lower in response to competitive pressures and uncertain loan demand. BNZ's latest reductions match other rivals who moved recently, with a little extra cut for an 18 month term
Dairy price gains undone by sinking USD; US sees more inflation less activity; Canadian inflation eases; Indian inflation falls; China targets Boeing; UST 10yr at 4.33%; gold and oil firm; NZ$1 = 59.1 USc; TWI-5 = 67.6
16th Apr 25, 7:27am
39
Dairy price gains undone by sinking USD; US sees more inflation less activity; Canadian inflation eases; Indian inflation falls; China targets Boeing; UST 10yr at 4.33%; gold and oil firm; NZ$1 = 59.1 USc; TWI-5 = 67.6
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; not seeing housing market upturn yet, food prices rise, real-time GDP tool launched, holidays more expensive, swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
15th Apr 25, 3:59pm
22
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; not seeing housing market upturn yet, food prices rise, real-time GDP tool launched, holidays more expensive, swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
[updated]
ANZ pushes down term deposit rates, seemingly confident rivals will follow even though the gap with those rivals is unusually wide. Kiwibank follows with comprehensive cuts. Low loan demand bolsters their shift
15th Apr 25, 8:30am
1
ANZ pushes down term deposit rates, seemingly confident rivals will follow even though the gap with those rivals is unusually wide. Kiwibank follows with comprehensive cuts. Low loan demand bolsters their shift
US consumers see higher prices, fewer jobs; Washington becomes a crime center; Canada rethinks rate cut track; China reaps huge trade benefit from tariff threats; UST 10yr at 4.37%; gold and oil dip; NZ$1 = 58.8 USc; TWI-5 = 67.3
15th Apr 25, 7:19am
14
US consumers see higher prices, fewer jobs; Washington becomes a crime center; Canada rethinks rate cut track; China reaps huge trade benefit from tariff threats; UST 10yr at 4.37%; gold and oil dip; NZ$1 = 58.8 USc; TWI-5 = 67.3
[updated]
New round of retail interest rate cuts starts, and it is savers who will be paying for the reductions in home loan rates. All the influences on wholesale rates are negative
14th Apr 25, 5:30pm
8
New round of retail interest rate cuts starts, and it is savers who will be paying for the reductions in home loan rates. All the influences on wholesale rates are negative
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; more retail rate tweaks, migration turns up, retail & services softer than expected; no grocery cost pressure, eyes on fertiliser costs, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
14th Apr 25, 3:59pm
36
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; more retail rate tweaks, migration turns up, retail & services softer than expected; no grocery cost pressure, eyes on fertiliser costs, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
[updated]
China retaliates for extra US tariffs; Trump in tariff u-turn; US consumer mood darkens; credit crunch watch; north China battles unusual cold; India slows; UST 10yr at 4.50%; gold and oil unchanged; NZ$1 = 58.3 USc; TWI = 66.9
14th Apr 25, 7:19am
12
China retaliates for extra US tariffs; Trump in tariff u-turn; US consumer mood darkens; credit crunch watch; north China battles unusual cold; India slows; UST 10yr at 4.50%; gold and oil unchanged; NZ$1 = 58.3 USc; TWI = 66.9
China hits back as US-China trade now pointless; US consumers turn very glum; credit crunch coming for non-prime US business; China faces its own debt stress; UST 10yr at 4.49%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 58.2 USc; TWI = 66.9
12th Apr 25, 8:21am
41
China hits back as US-China trade now pointless; US consumers turn very glum; credit crunch coming for non-prime US business; China faces its own debt stress; UST 10yr at 4.49%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 58.2 USc; TWI = 66.9
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Some savings rates move down, rents stable, factories expanding, FMA files charges against ex-broker, oil falls, gold jumps, swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
11th Apr 25, 4:00pm
20
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Some savings rates move down, rents stable, factories expanding, FMA files charges against ex-broker, oil falls, gold jumps, swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
US inflation falls on big oil price drop; US federal deficit back to Trump-I depths; Taiwanese exports surge; China in deflation again; Aussies face higher inflation; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 57.4 USc; TWI = 66.5
11th Apr 25, 7:22am
54
US inflation falls on big oil price drop; US federal deficit back to Trump-I depths; Taiwanese exports surge; China in deflation again; Aussies face higher inflation; UST 10yr at 4.40%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 57.4 USc; TWI = 66.5
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no fixed rate mortgage changes, slightly smaller households, trucks busy, pyramid scam alert, China in deflation, swaps waver, NZD jumps, & more
10th Apr 25, 3:59pm
32
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no fixed rate mortgage changes, slightly smaller households, trucks busy, pyramid scam alert, China in deflation, swaps waver, NZD jumps, & more