By Chris Trotter*
The Greens remain a persistent political puzzle. In spite of espousing ideas and promoting policies that would keep any other party well below the 5% MMP threshold, recent polling places the party between 12% and 14%. If replicated in a real election, that level of support would earn the Greens 16-18 seats, making them an indispensable player in any putative government of the Left.
Clearly, the Green brand is doing almost all of the party’s heavy political lifting. What New Zealand’s own Green Party is actually committed to achieving matters much less than what Green parties, as generally understood by the world’s voters, are assumed to be committed to achieving – the salvation of the planet.
As a starter for 10% of the Party Vote, “saving the planet” is a very respectable objective. Young voters, in particular, raised on the dire (if unheeded) warnings of climate scientists, and the irrefutable evidence of devastating weather events linked to global warming, vote Green. After all, what sort of person votes against a liveable future?
Young voters are not, however, the Greens only source of electoral support. They can also rely upon a substantial number of older voters to tick the Greens’ box on the ballot paper. Some of these will be unreconstructed hippies, the New Zealanders who cut their political teeth on the Values Party back in the early-1970s, and who then fell into the Greens’ welcoming arms with huge relief in 1990, following six years of the apostate Labour Party’s “Rogernomics”.
No one grasped the power of the Green brand more firmly than Jim Anderton, whose uneasy coalition of free-market-unfriendly parties, the Alliance, would not have been electorally viable without the Greens’ participation, and did not long survive their departure. As a centre-left politician determined to bring Labour back to its social-democratic senses, Anderton was determined to provide the many thousands of disillusioned former-Labour-voters with a progressive alternative that was guaranteed to win seats and, thereby, to wield at least some measure of determinative power over policy.
The Alliance’s demise, in 2002, left only the Greens to supply this critical support to the Labour Party. Precisely how many Green voters were voting for the global Green movement’s core principles: Ecological Wisdom, Social Justice, Grassroots Democracy and Nonviolence; and how many were voting for the Greens to keep Labour honest; is difficult to calculate. Suffice to say, when Labour does well the Green vote tends to fall, only recovering when voter support for its progressive competitor declines.
Since breaking free of the Alliance in 1999 the Greens have never failed to crest the 5% MMP threshold. (Although, they have come perilously close to falling below it on a number of occasions). A reasonable working assumption would be that; in a good election for the Greens the ratio of strategic left-wing voters to ideologically-committed Greens will be roughly 50/50; and, in a bad election, that ratio will skew sharply in favour of the true-believers.
What the Greens’ true-believers believe, however, has changed.
Like the Values Party which preceded it, the Green Party that entered Parliament in 1999, under the co-leadership of Jeanette Fitzsimons and Rod Donald, took pride in affirming its allegiance to empirical science. In conformity with the political practice of Green parties around the world, the New Zealand party drew a sharp distinction between the bought-and-paid-for “science” of the big corporations, and the findings of hero scientists who presented their findings to the world fearlessly and without regard to how many corporate toes were trampled on in the process.
This science-driven Green Party reached its apogee under Rod Donald’s successor, Russel Norman – now the Executive-Director of Greenpeace Aotearoa. Working alongside freshwater ecologist Dr Mike Joy – the very epitome of a fearless hero-scientist – Norman and the Greens waged an unrelenting war against “dirty dairying” and the pollution of New Zealand’s waterways.
The success of this environmentally-focused Green Party was reflected in the 11.06% share of the Party Vote it received, along with 14 parliamentary seats, in the 2011 General Election. (In the 2023 General Election the Greens received 11.60% of the Party Vote and 15 seats.)
More than a decade has passed since the Greens campaigned as an unequivocally environmentalist party. Along with virtually every other element of the New Zealand Left, the Greens have embraced what their conservative opponents delight in castigating as the politics of “wokeness”.
In less pejorative terms, the Greens’ re-orientation involves the forefronting of issues that, while always present in the party’s policy mix, were hitherto given less emphasis. The Greens’ straightforward recognition and celebration of te Tiriti o Waitangi, for example, is now couched in the uncompromising vocabulary of decolonisation and indigenisation. Simple support for trans-gender New Zealanders has morphed into the aggressive assertion and enforcement of radical trans-gender ideology. Any external and/or internal criticism of these developments is condemned by the party as “hate speech”. Freedom of expression is no longer an unchallengeable aspect of “grassroots democracy”, or, as the New Zealand Greens have re-named it, “appropriate decision-making”.
A sense of this change of tone in the Greens is readily apparent in the most recent Green Party policy document. Ostensibly a presentation of the party’s latest thinking on how best to reduce greenhouse emissions, He Ara Anamata, contains a great deal more than the promptings of environmental science.
“For generations,” writes Green Co-leader Chloe Swarbrick in her introduction, “extractive systems have treated the natural world as a resource to exploit, without regard for its limits or the intricate relationships that sustain life.”
Similar sentiments were expressed 25 years ago. It is, however, doubtful whether Swarbrick’s subsidiary claims would have been advanced so forcefully:
“Colonisation has done the same to people and cultures. It has severed connections between tangata whenua and their whenua, prioritising profit over protection, and imposing systems that strip away self-determination and reciprocity. The impacts of this legacy persist, deepening inequalities and undermining resilience.”
Certainly, the expression of unabashed hostility towards capitalism is a more recent rhetorical trend:
“These inequalities have their deep roots in violent land and resource theft of iwi Māori. Capitalism – this current insatiable, unsustainable economic system – requires colonisation and the constant assimilation of new frontiers to exploit and extract from.”
That the above is not simply the ideology of the Greens’ firebrand leader is made clear in the body of the policy document. Te Tiriti’s role in reducing greenhouse emissions will, if the Greens have their way, involve: “An equitable transition, developed by Māori and the Crown [which] will actively prioritise te iwi Māori and the Māori economy.”
Would any other political party (apart from Te Pāti Māori) that so openly attacked capitalism, promised to advance the interests of indigenous citizens ahead of later arrivals, and announced its intention to advance the entire population, whether it likes it or not, towards “[a]n economy based on climate justice [with] policies that are underpinned by Te Tiriti, [and supported by] circular systems, renewable energies, and just transitions for workers” be given such a free pass?
Another expression which encompasses the notion of “circular systems” is “autarky”. That history records a strong association between authoritarian regimes and autarky is probably worth remembering. So, too, the enormous difference between “just transitions” arranged for workers, and the securing of economic and social justice by workers.
But that’s the great advantage of having a brand as immune to critical examination as that of the Greens. Try calling anti-capitalism, ethno-nationalism, statist imposition of societal priorities, and a barely disguised disdain for the principles of democracy, by any other name – and see if it smells as sweet.
*Chris Trotter has been writing and commenting professionally about New Zealand politics for more than 30 years. He writes a weekly column for interest.co.nz. His work may also be found at http://bowalleyroad.blogspot.com.
51 Comments
Anyone who is not afraid to think will quickly realise that a Green government in NZ would create a race based divisive society that would destroy any economy. And in that alone CT is correct in saying it is a puzzle as to why they get so much traction.
It is correct that the effect of global warming cannot be denied, but what the Greens never mention is that if we went carbon negative tomorrow the effect on the world would be so small as to be impossible to measure. The effect on NZ would be disastrous.
Chloe is cited talking about the effects of colonisation, with no mention of the equally disastrous effects of capitalist policies on non-Maori middle and lower class people.
Overall though, it is my view that the Greens view of the current world is myopic, drinking straw based with little to no coherent view of the existential realities we face today, to the point that the only way they can achieve their stated goals is driving us all back to the stone age.
It's relative; between a gradual slide to free fall.
How many new 'green' jobs can they create? Are they going back to building roads by hand?
Even skimming through their report kindly linked to by other commenters, I see little that gives me hope. True Chloe starts out by making sense on some things but quickly loses the plot.
As a farmer I have not always agreed with the 'old' Greens but I did respect their views and become more aware of my impact on the environment. I also accepted that in order to achieve genuine change you often need radical action to raise awareness. I even believed in what they were looking to achieve, a better, safer place for future generations
However this "new" Green that has moved their focus into totally different areas unrelated to the environment, in many ways fashionable at the moment with a twist of wacky economics has lost any support. Their leaders' efforts to gather every strand of discontent in NZ into one party to gain more followers/voters is a sad postscript to all the Green Party's previous positive achievements.
As Chris points out, looking after our planet is a very respectable objective; one which we should all aspire to regardless of who we vote for. Despite what Elon Musk says, this is likely to be the only planet we get.
Unfortunately, politicians are very good at taking a genuine cause for concern, turning the fear dial up to 11, and then using that fear to their own advantage. Terrorism, pandemics, climate change, Russians, the playbook is always the same.
The Green Party's product is climate-based fear, and how well they do in the next election depends entirely on how effective they are at selling it. Real solutions to the climate issue will only ever come from the bottom up, not the top down, from real people making a genuine effort to live more sustainable lives. I wonder how many of the Green voters count themselves among this number.
Ahhhhh, the Greens! I agree with Wilco that they used to have some integrity when they focused on their environmental credentials, but that's long gone.
A tourist town near where I have a place is a microcosm of the Greens. Anti- everything tourism related - against dredging, against new business setting up, against tourists, against any economic progress or development. Nek Minnit ambulance base moves away, banks leave, stores close, ferry stops running, a GP leaves, dentist leaves, kids have to move away to find work..... Do you think they see the irony? Not a chance, not nearly bright enough.
Yes, by dredging I meant a new marina and not for seafood. It seems to have pulled out of the spiral now and regenerating, but that place should be a thriving commercial hub as the gateway to all of the Coromandel. It's like Waiheke, great fishing and amazing beaches in all directions.
Instead it's been stuck in a cycle of economic gloom.
Stone age on it's way back there? No sweat, lots of bush tucker available. But then they'll soon realise the population pressures as all that gets stripped out too.
Ask any hunter. Too many hunting the same area and very quickly all the animals vanish. Add in that some hunters can't just take one animal, but they have to take every one they can see irrespective of whether they need them or not.
I think your dreaming TK if you think those services were ever going to stay under any circumstances. The nature of our systems, always looking for mythical maximum efficiency/productivity, meant small towns were always going to be hollowed out and will continue to be. And this despite the massive productive ability in the region's along with population growth.
While I am a bit bearish on our rural towns, I am specifically referring to Coromandel not realising it's potential due to green activism.
It's actually regenerating now, there are some quite interesting business setting up there the last time I went through and it was already heaving with tourists. I think the community finally realised that if they didn't start to encourage more commercial activity they were going to suffer. Also the Cathedral Cove track just re-opened. It looks to me like this will be a really busy season.
Now, you're making me nostalgic .
Your not taking into account the roads, it will always hold Coromandel town back. It's best suited to what it is.
Yes the ferry should be upgraded, but they are at the mercy of Fullers, unless it's subsidized it's not going to grow.
Actually here I disagree. The roads have never been better, aside from the Pauanui major rebuild - all the way up to Colville and over to Whangapoua there have been crews working for 2 years straight after the big storm. Not quick patches either, most of it required serious engineering and they haven't cut corners.
No but honestly it actually closes very rarely. Which is why a ferry is a no brainer. Traffic off the roads, redundancy for the Thames coast road.
We really lack vision, that's the point I'm making. They've put fibre to Colville, new 4G towers the whole way up. You could do a fast ferry from auckland in an hour.
That used to be a fun day trip, through Beachlands, Miranda, out to Coromandel and then the road around to Colville, then Little Bay and with a rest stop at Tuateawa. Back through town and Luke's for lunch or Tairua for fish and chips, depending on how we were doing for time.
I'm glad to see it's been looked after post-storms, it's too pretty an area to just accept as being unaccessible anymore.
We're seeing many of the Green initiatives playing out in Europe, it's not looking good.
Net Zero, loose borders, boundless welfarism, crippling levels of taxation and the denigration of the foundations of their civilisation are creating a dystopia. The centre cannot hold.
"Simple support for trans-gender New Zealanders has morphed into the aggressive assertion and enforcement of radical trans-gender ideology. Any external and/or internal criticism of these developments is condemned by the party as “hate speech”
Those are the policies that drove me away from support of the party. To me, they were useful as an environmental issues party, while now they are rapidly embracing Socialism.
The tangata whenua narrative is a myth. They have no more environmental skills or responsible management techniques than modern scientific techniques. There connections to the land are no more meaningful than other settlers. Maori deforested vast tracts of the country prior to European arrivals and would likely have created greater damage if they had the technology. https://teara.govt.nz/en/interactive/11674/deforestation-of-new-zealand
Their fishing companies and proxies are responsible for widespread over fishing, blocking of marine parks in the Kermadecs and Auckland Islands and destroying the seabed with bottom trawling.
What a sad list of comments to read.
Not one said what should have been said.
Come on, folks. This Party is named as if it if ecologically-aware. Well, ecologically we are an overshot species. Ecologically, we did that by levering the one-off bonanza of fossil energy.
There is no way but ecological descent (throughput, population numbers, or a combination thereof. That is what the Greens need to be tackling, head on, now. But look at the comments here! That is the voting populace? we're in trouble...
The Greens embrace of Mad Ideas is a real problem for them; its almost as if they want to alienate the people. They've set out to insult and denigrate farmers, motorists, business people, men, women and white western people; they've supported terrorists, neo tribalists, ethno nationalists and gender woo-woo. People suspect they're crazy and can't take them seriously. People don't tend to vote for politicians that clearly hate them; unless they're crazy as well perhaps.
Excellent Chris and so accurate - but also so obvious. I read about He Ara Anamata the other day and couldn’t believe that anyone would take it seriously - utter lunacy! How can anyone take this stuff seriously? So many would be emperors and so little clothing! Good on you for pointing it out.
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