The leaders of the National, Act, and NZ First parties have signed on the dotted line, agreeing to form the first three-party coalition in New Zealand’s MMP era.
Detailed coalition agreements struck between National and each of the other parties outline policy commitments and compromises that will be supported by all three partners.
Prime Minister-designate Christopher Luxon made it clear during the election campaign that his preference was for a two-party coalition with the Act Party.
Differences between the twin coalition agreements shows why. The three parties share many policy goals but have different worldviews underlying them.
It looks somewhat like The Triple Entente military alliance formed between France, Russia, and the United Kingdom in the build up to the First World War.
These three nations did not have a long history of cooperation or shared ideologies but were drawn together to counterbalance the growing power of Germany, Austria-Hungary, and Italy.
Similarly, National, Act, and NZ First have formed an alliance to push back on, what they see as, high levels of government spending, heavy-handed regulation, and eroding social values.
Agree to disagree
But the agreement leaves room for these parties to push forward these shared priorities, while still showcasing some differences.
“The Parties will do this whilst recognising the importance in a democracy of maintaining independent political identities arising from the voting public’s choice,” the agreements said.
It includes a process for dealing with disputes, names particular policies as belonging to particular parties, and even leaves room for Cabinet members to “agree to disagree”.
The tension and compromises inherent in the agreement are personified by splitting the role of deputy-Prime Minister between Winston Peters and David Seymour.
Be careful not to call them “co-deputy Prime Ministers” as it appears to be a touchy subject, as one Newshub reporter sensed and used to elicit a reaction from Peters.
The political veteran may prove to be a challenge. Luxon had to once intervene in the press conference when he started an argument with a journalist.
Peters also refused to say whether he trusted the other two leaders, instead labelling it a “stupid question” and leaving the answer up to the public’s imagination.
Compromise first
National and Act promised to be a pro-business government that would rebuild the economy, which it considered to have been held back by the Labour government.
On Thursday, one business figure told Interest.co.nz the initial excitement about the change in government had disappeared during the drawn out coalition negotiations.
Some key policies have also disappeared. Foreign buyers will not be allowed back into the housing market and therefore the tax cut plan will need to find a new source of revenue.
Plus the retirement age will stay at 65, instead of being gradually lifted to 70, in another win for NZ First.
The party also negotiated some extra scrutiny on businesses that provide utilities and essential services.
There will be a select committee inquiry into banking competition, more power for the Grocery Commissioner, and review of some energy sector settings.
Plus, more funding will be provided to Inland Revenue to chase tax avoidance.
NZ First also negotiated wins for its key constituents in Northland and on the fringe of society.
It wants to investigate the reopening of Marsden Point Refinery and the possibility of building a drydock and a rail line to service it.
A $1.2 billion Regional Infrastructure Fund will be established and overseen by Shane Jones.
Act like it
While obvious concessions were made to NZ First during the negotiations, the Act Party also secured a number of its key priorities.
Top of the list was a new Minister for Regulations that will have sweeping power to review settings across all of government and crack down on unwanted rules.
The Reserve Bank’s monetary policy remit will be refocused on price stability and the second mandate, supporting maximum sustainable employment, will be removed. Further advice will be sought on whether to get rid of the monetary policy committee, making the Governor the sole decision maker, and setting a specific time limit for achieving the inflation target.
There will be deeper cuts to the public service, with a goal to get the number of staff in government agencies back towards 2017 levels.
Act’s flat tax principles will be considered as one way to achieve National’s proposed tax cuts, and 90-day work trials will be available to all businesses regardless of their size.
The coalition government will also support the Treaty Principles Bill through a first reading, and into a Select Committee review, but no further.
Whether it goes to a referendum or passes further readings will be decided at a later date and is not agreed in the coalition deal.
Contradictions
There are policy areas in the two agreements that seemingly pull in different directions and could cause tension in the future.
For example, Act’s agreement promises to liberalise immigration settings and allow more into the country.
It would increase the cap on the Recognised Seasonal Employer scheme, remove median wage requirements from Skilled Migrant Category visas, and make it easier for family members of visa holders to work.
Meanwhile, NZ First has historically been uncomfortable with high levels of inward migration and its coalition agreement strikes a much more cautious tone.
It calls for the Accredited Employer Work Visa to be “improved” and for Immigration New Zealand to work harder to “ensure migrants are filling genuine workforce needs”.
Also, it requires the incoming-government to “address and provide solutions for the long-expressed concern of the OECD into the lack of focus in NZ Immigration Policy”.
Another difference is that Act explicitly withholds support for future tax changes (such as further indexation in 2026) while NZ First specifically requires an assessment of how inflation has impacted the brackets that year.
National-led coalition, for now
These are some of the key compromises that National has had to swallow in order to get into government and occupying 70% of the seats in Cabinet.
It gets support for the rest of its policy suite in return and achieves its goal of booting Labour out of the Beehive.
Christopher Luxon will have his hands on most levers of power and will be thinking not just about the next three years but the possibility of further terms that could follow.
Those future terms may not be so reliant on both support partners.
117 Comments
Winston was the Foreign Minister yet spent most of his time stuck in NZ being Deputy PM while Jacinda was overseas on all her junkets. Anyway, anyone will be better than Mahuta who turned up to meet with the US Secretary of State wearing jeans, tshirt and sneakers and looking like she had been rudely interrupted on her way to the local Pak n Save.
Oh god I couldn't believe it when I saw that photo. Complete with khaki green jacket and lapel pin, for a moment I thought her pounamu necklace were dog tags, a bit early for a Veteran's Day free meal at Applebys.
Remember when she went to China in March? I wonder why Chris Hipkins had to fly there 3 months later? Oh, because she "copped an epic haranguing".
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/nanaia-mahuta-received-dressing-…
Its not that difficult to dress professionally. Google Julie Bishop, Australia's Foreign MInister. They get this https://content.api.news/v3/images/bin/9c13df47663f915c312873a057176a87
We get this rubbish https://www.odt.co.nz/sites/default/files/styles/odt_landscape_extra_la…
A complete and utter embarrassment to this country.
In 2008 Bill English carefully and quietly said across the house to Michael Cullen “ you lost.” Mind you he has been on the receiving end of that for nine years himself. In either case each identity took it on the chin and stayed upright. Good examples I would suggest to those on the losing side this election, that is - accept the reality, “you lost.”
How is that so? They don’t seem to have any way to pay for all their promises. After saying that labour caused inflation, they are now handing out tax cuts and regional growth funds and 500 new police etc with no real way to pay for it other than to borrow. How can that not be inflationary? I think Hipkins was correct when he said we’d end up paying more through inflation than we get back in tax cuts.
So far they are transparent in their policies but not their economics. And their policies mostly come from lobby groups; more smoking, guns, property tax perks, etc. nothing that I can see to make NZ a better place. I don’t get why NZers are excited by these three stooges.
What a bloody fantastic coalition agreement. So good to see so much of the rubbish imposed by the last lot of losers unwind at last. A great compromise on DP too. Both ACT and NZF are holding the reins and future proposed legislation to the light of day after such cloak and dagger work, much under urgency and with out debate by the previous mongrels! Praise the Lord !!
Yep, remembering that Labour refused to release their 2017 Coalition agreement - aka "most transparent government ever (TM)"
Ardern doesn't have to reveal what's inside the 'secret document' | RNZ News
Better shape than other countries? What are you smoking? NZ is bottom of the heap.
"The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is predicting the New Zealand economy will grow 1.0% in 2024, and one expert said that puts NZ near the bottom of the heap.
https://businessdesk.co.nz/article/economy/nzs-2024-gdp-growth-forecast…
I suppose our low death rate from Covid doesn't rate a mention in your book and I wouldn't place much emphasis on anything the IMF has to say. The worldwide supply chain issues affected us more due to our distance from world markets and also our reliance on China. Lets see how the new lot do, I won't be holding my breath anyway, Willis has zero grasp of government finances.
All the elderly and severely unwell people that were "saved" from Covid still died anyway - from their extreme old age and severe comorbidities. So what was it all for? To give a bunch of really old people a few more months of living in their $1350 a week rest home bed? Most countries now show that the Covid deaths was merely a slight pull forward, and over the 3 years averaged out to normal rates. See Sweden - https://www.statista.com/statistics/525530/sweden-death-rate/
Meanwhile, an entire generation of children have had their educational outcomes ruined, probably permanently.
Well said… I hold the same view.
these plonkers that think we did well have little thought to the down stream effects from postponement of medical treatment, poor education, artificial support of poor business, printing money to the moon and boom in real estate… I propose the damage and deaths from the treatment will far exceed anything that Covid would have done
I kind of agree but then again no country did nothing about Covid. Sweden kind of tried but failed. Given the choice of elimination or constant lockdowns like the UK had, I preferred our strategy. Once it was Omicron though they should have given in quicker.
Also remember that Labour got 50% at next election based on their Covid response, so obviously at the time most NZers liked what they did.
They voted that way because Jacinda Ardern was on TV EVERY. SINGLE. DAY. telling us that we were all going to die from Covid unless we obeyed the ALERTS. LEVELS. TRAFFIC LIGHTS. blah blah blah. When such propaganda and lies are disseminated to the masses, and the truth prevented from being outed by mass Govt censorship, its no surprise the Govt gets exactly what it wants. Whilst this was mainly driven by the USA who deliberately used the Covid pandemic to get rid of Trump, other Govts did not question it (with the exception of Sweden) but simply followed suit without any independent thought. We do not elect a Govt to simply parrot USA policies.
Well you have zero grasp of the pandemic as you seem to think the only thing that mattered was the death rate in 2020/2021.
Go look at it now. We are not so special.
Now factor in all of the other negative effects of the response. Like mandating kids be jabbed with a vaccine they did not need and that was hazardous to them - despite having such advice from their own science adviser.
Thought when John Key became PM it was a bit of fresh air and daylight from the dour and sour lot the Clark/Cullen had become. And that lasted for a while too, but not forever as revealed particularly post 2017. This time there is again a sense of a fresh start and better direction certainly more convincing than the bunch of startled rabbits minus any substance that Winston empowered in 2017. Initially personally gave Ardern the benefit of the doubt but didn’t take all that long to doubt the benefit of that. Still this time, a lot of water to come to the bridge, or perhaps three bridges. Interesting times, interesting challenges.
National did not release the full agreement, all they released was a list of policies they were happy to say publicly they were going to implement. What they haven't told us is everything else they're going to do. There's nothing about how they're going to pay for the tax cuts for a start, but that must have been discussed as part of the negotiations.
Kids wont take up smoking, they are already hooked on vaping. Cant shut that door, vapes are super trendy, cigarettes are not. The vapes actually deliver much more nicotine than a cigarette, so they'll be even harder to quit. Smoking legislation mainly affects older New Zealanders, predominantly Maori, and of low socioeconomic status so the least able to afford $40 a packet. Best thing to do is tax vaping like cigarettes, based on nicotine content, with an exception for those who get a doctor's prescription as a quitting device.
Next time they will have to announce their policies before the election & achieve a mandate, not keep them secret & then ram them down NZdrs throats.
Also likely to include wealth/death/inheritance taxes aligned with current Greens TPM policies, because Labour won't be elected on it's own. The problem with socialists is that they eventually run out of other peoples money.
Will be interesting to see if the government repeals the legislation that Minister Parker sneaked through at the eleventh hour before one Xmas empowering the IRD to acquire details of finances and assets held by individual NZ citizens. And in so doing overturned 800 years or so of our law preventing the crown from intervention in the legitimately owned property of citizens. He declared it was no more than an enquiry into certain of the wealthy but the legislation remained and of course provided the legal mechanism for a wealth tax and when Hipkins ruled that out, Minister Parker threw his toys out the window and jumped after them. In my opinion, that alongside the three waters entrenchment, is one of the most cunning, duplicitous contrivances parliament has ever witnessed.
Aye and to me that really epitomises the dark hypocrisy, the furtive nature of the 6th Labour government, to resort to manipulation of parliament to upend good law and defeat democracy itself. Open and transparent? In reality, covert and clandestine. Obviously when WP/NZF were on board that side was largely contained but flourished on their departure. The 6th Labour government had to go and thank god they have and if there is a 7th let’s just hope the personnel does not include many of that lot.
It's introduction was miles out anyway - past the biggest demographic bulge, ( and probably a declining life span by then).
Can't see it happening but introducing a income tested would be best. A claw back system- just not as harsh as the hated surcharge from yesteryear. - could possibly even enable a reduced age so as to care for those who find it difficult to work full time in their 60's.
Fantastic news! Interesting how this has never been part of a winning party's policy for so many elections.
I think its fantastic because with the baby boomer bulge deliberately not included, it would have been really quite spiteful to say that those born after that would be faced with the requirement to work longer.
Gotta laugh - I can't get their 2014 ad - with the row boat of "multi-coloured" characters out of my mind;
https://www.row2k.com/video/NZ---National-Party-2014-Election-Ad/23808/
You know, the one that was "almost legal".
Economy freezing up around their heads and the fools want to turn the temperature down.
The key determinant of how bad this is going to be is how quickly Govt can turn on the (ridiculously expensive) finance that National want to channel into infrastructure projects. If this credit tap can be turned on quickly, then maybe we will avoid a repeat of 2008.
Stuff being kind. That ain't the NZ I want to be a part of.
I want more smoking and lung cancer. More inequality with house ownership being increasingly for landlords and the super rich only. New doctors, not for healing people but specially for kicking people off the sickness benefit.
That is how we get (nasty) things done.
They will get 3 the challenge will be 6 if they get 9 then 12 is on the cards... Labour will eat itself as the greens and TPM eat them...... Labour are going to have to focus group big time to work out why they failed as they are so stupid they cannot see it themselves.....
Labours overwhelming blindspot is it's own reflection in the mirror:
"This is definitely going to be a government that drives people apart and lead to more polarisation of the nation than we have seen to date."
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/503175/labour-leader-chris-hipkins…
Wow! 6% of the national vote in general election and Peters is the second most powerful person in our political landscape.
Ok it's Winnie we know him, but what about the person/party to take his place in MMPs future.
So, Brain Tamaki is got to be wanting to be the next guy to wag the dog.
And look at the Greens with 15% and nothing to show for it. They were celebrating wildly on election night, but are now apoplectic with the policies that ACT have managed to secure in the coalition deal. For sure, they will be very vocal in parliament and on TV, but they now have no influence whatsoever. If they were a centrist party, rather than left wing, they could be in government now.
I would, if only there were some positive changes.
Almost all the policy changes are destructive rather than constructive, big emphasis on repealing the previous administrations changes good or bad.
Particularly going to miss the use of te reo. Just petty and small minded.
To me it feels like the worst policies from all parties. I was hoping for Nationals PAYE tax cuts, ACTs super age, and Winnie to stop the property investor cuts etc. Instead we got ACTs nutter policies (guns, referendum, smoking), Nationals property investor tax perks, and Winnie’s handouts to old people and the regions, and no way to pay for it all. But I guess we will see what happens, a change was probably needed, NZ did seem to be heading in the wrong direction under Labour.
A common theme throughout many comments is how will the tax cuts, regional spend up and infrastructure expansion be paid for? From the 15,000 “back room staff” at various Government Departments. Not enough. Reduction in budgets for Government Departments? That will help but still short. Cancelling several projects. Again that will help. Dipping into the ETS coffers. That will help. I suspect still a massive shortfall. That leaves borrowing unless I have missed something. Will be an interesting ride for the next 6 months. The mini budget will be revealing.
A fair question, that others are asking in some detail.
It's just more of the John key years, (property, immigration and bene bashing) with nastiness added. It seems that all the policies that NZ first and ACt got across the line add nothing of substance. COVID review, what a waste of money. Treaty principles to select committee, what a waste of money. ACT was easily bought off with a few baubles. Where are their principles of small government. This government will achieve nothing of substance except driving us more into debt while overloading infrastructure with immigration. Any extra infrastructure we do get will be excessively expensive PPP.
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