The National Party has reiterated its view that the superannuation age should not rise before the year 2044.
This is seven years later then the 2037 date announced when the Bill English-led National sought re-election in 2017.
But party sources make clear this is not a real change of policy, since the time scale would be the same.
English’s planned changes were intended to start happening after 20 years, to give people time to adjust their financial planning.
If National wins the coming election, the implementation date would begin after the same time delay: 20 years.
The age of eligibility would then rise gradually from 65 to 67.
The 2044 date was first unveiled by the party’s finance spokesperson Nicola Willis in May.
Accusing Labour of irresponsibly ignoring future fiscal risks, she said National was committed to ensuring that universal access to superannuation is protected and is financially sustainable.
The National Party is not saying how much money its policy would save, because there are too many variabilities. A large-scale project by Treasury, He Tirohanga Mokopuna, makes a similar point. It says immigration, economic growth, interest rates, birth and death rates and other factors can change the financial impact of any change in the age of eligibility of superannuation.
But in a qualified comment, it said raising the age of eligibility from 65 to 67 by 2030 would save an expected 0.7% of GDP. As of June, New Zealand’s GDP was $385 billion, so the saving would be $2.7 billion annually to state budgets, at today’s prices.
According to Willis, New Zealanders are “healthier and are living longer than ever.”
But she has little support from other parties. Only ACT is equally committed to raising the age of eligibility to 67, and much earlier than National would consider. After reaching 67, eligibility would be indexed to life expectancy.
The Green Party insists on superannuation being available at 65 to everyone, with some people possibly able to get it sooner if they have special issues such as a medical condition or lower life expectancy such as Maori.
The Labour Party has ruled out raising the age, as has New Zealand First. Te Pati Maori has also vowed to fight any overall rise in the age of eligibility and has argued for lower levels for groups like Maori who live shorter lives.
The Opportunities Party (TOP) has pledged no changes in superannuation, though its impact will be diluted by a Universal Basic Income paid to everyone, at a level not far below NZ Super.
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