As a nation, we have to develop a different approach to education, knowledge, and research. It is also increasingly important that we place facts – scientifically authenticated – above the increasing cacophony of assertions, including the incorrect parts of our current societal narrative.
In recent decades, education - tertiary education in particular - has been commodified. Along with other social ‘goods’ like health, universities and polytechnics were urged to compete and to have ‘business plans’; a short-term ideology overrode learning, as it did all else.
Big-picture, that trend towards commodification was inevitably going to run into planetary limits; resource limits, energy limits, and biocapacity limits. Forward bets laid without those limits factored-in were going to be increasingly irredeemable, and debt – whether student, faculty or government – is merely a forward bet.
Three societal upwellings have broken over that tableau, arguably as a result of the growth narrative hitting the ceiling. They are: a guilt-assuaging re the most recent local human/human overtaking-event; a resentment from descendants of those most recently locally-overtaken; and a rainbow-hued reaction to overpopulation.
They deserve a separate treatise each, but they are all clouding academia – clouding knowledge – with unprecedented intensity, just when clarity is needed most. Suffice it to point out here, that Maori are not indigenous; they arrived five minutes before Europeans. They were not of one mind any more than any other culture is; there were rise-to-the-top psychopaths at one end, empathetic others at the other. They lived with a marginal energy surplus – hence post-battle cannibalism.
Human history is nothing more than myriad overtaking’s; European vs Maori being just the latest (and an orders-of-magnitude minor issue compared to the present generation vs all future ones).
Lastly, rainbow-hues have one thing in common: a lesser emphasis on species reproduction.
All three have pervaded education (and politics, public service and the media) with interesting rapidity. The unasked question is: Why?
That the education crisis is part of the polycrisis, is undeniable. Thus, just at the time that essential-to-life items are getting ‘more expensive’, educators used to a certain amount of ‘income’ feel increasingly hard-pressed. That is understandable but needs to be looked-through; the issue is systemic and outweighs individual aggrievement.
Put bluntly; retention of knowledge is more important than academic income. Some far-sighted academics have offered to reduce their incomes and some have taken early leave to give others a chance; this is commendable, but inadequate in terms of total response.
To cut financial cloth to traverse a temporarily tight era, is one thing. Quite another is the urgent need to address the permanent global era beyond peak growth – inevitably some form of coming degrowth – along with its implications; ever-reducing incomes, ever- depleting and increasingly contented resource-stocks.
There are obvious implications for institutions such as universities.
Universities could have – and should have - warned that this impasse was coming. They could have – and should have – pointed out that the model used in economics was flawed (it counts flows but not stocks; the latter tend to be finite, curtailed and sometimes irreplaceable).
They could have - and should have – been tracking the Limits to Growth and humanity’s unsustainable rates of extraction, consumption and excretion. With few exceptions, they emphatically haven’t.
If we trace that failure, inter-disciplinary genuflection emerges as the front-runner (see textbook, below). The trend from free tuition to fees (1989) then loans (1992), then the moves to increase restrictions (2012) and arrest defaulters at the border (2013), has been paralleled by an increase in the need for international fee-paying students; all should have been warning signs.
There is only one way that trend has been going, the obvious question is (and should always should have been): Why?
The truth is that front-end-of-First-World incomes have been part of the planetary over-consumption problem; worsened by the increased expectation – via debt - that the future will pick up the tab. Increasingly, inevitably, the future will default.
It can even be argued that as the present has been living at the expense of the future; payments should really be from teacher to pupil. If we ask who should be leading the discussion; what to do; what to triage; how to deal with debt – the part-answer is: the universities. But the other part is? Us.
We – jointly and severally - have been increasingly ducking the real costs of things. We need a mature discussion about what a future society would look like if reduction threatens us with degenerating hospitals, libraries and universities – and if we actually want those outcomes. We also need a societal discussion about debt; its issuance and its future consequences.
Two towering examples of academic empirical case-building, are Professor Tom Murphy (astrophysicist, UCAL) and Adjunct Professor Nate Hagens (Minnesota). I commend their websites to readers, particularly Murphy’s free textbook. (Referencing both saves this op/ed from becoming a book itself).
That an astrophysicist ventures ex-silo into the divergence of cognitive approaches, is a takeaway requiring urgent academic discussion; his cognitive cogitations have ramifications for a much wider audience. If those gentlemen have it right – and only a very silo-blinkered academic would/could challenge the Murphy textbook – then academic leadership has some serious introspection ahead of it.
Paralleling tertiary issues, primary and secondary curriculums are being re-written and some folk are lamenting the abandonment of things like ‘times tables’ and the Periodic Table. Nobody is appraising the link – as usual - but that trend from hard building-blocks towards emotionally-held concepts parallels our offshoring of manufacturing.
Mindless consuming doesn’t require understanding of molecules or mass – Amazon’s delivery system takes care of all that; unlimited stuff appears at a swipe, by magic. On the other hand, we have to acknowledge that teaching, thus far, has contributed to our species getting into the hole it is in now, and teaching thus far, has been well short of addressing the matters raised in that Murphy textbook.
Worse, in my opinion that ‘well short’ label goes all the way up to the Chief Science Advisor to the Prime Minister; to the top (gangs? This is a polycrisis; where’s the relativity? – and she has been asked the Limits to Growth question; she cannot plead that which she is demonstrating).
In terms of the recently-leaked school Curriculum, all may not be lost; Earth systems and energy concepts are indeed key to getting humanity out of the impasse it has gotten itself into, and any trend away from siloing towards holistic (systems) thinking, has to be a good thing.
As long as we stick to fact-based science, who cares what the headings are? (Keeping in mind that while folklore can be verified by fact-based science, the reverse is not guaranteed).
Humanity is headed for a bottleneck, beyond which most prior assumptions will not hold. Just how things play out is yet to be determined, but the writer regards anyone who thinks that electronic retention of knowledge is permanent, as deluded. Yet universities, like libraries and hospitals, are busy hurrying their data into grid-dependent server-farms somewhere. The written page has more chance of surviving the coming event(s), a concept which should be understood by all who like to teach using reference material.
The recent government ‘bailout’ is just another in a lengthening list of can-kicks; attempts to nurse an obsolete system down the road a little further; past the next election, past the one after. ‘Carbon neutral but not now’. ‘Off fossil energy but not now’. ‘Economic growth will solve all problems’. And ironically: ‘Green growth is sustainable growth’; since Bernays the increasing trend to distort/discredit inconvenient truths has infiltrated even environmental thinking.
There has also been a trend to ‘silencing on behalf of the lambs’; the removal of inconvenient science via funding-removal, and the lauding/funding of whatever validates desired outcomes; predictable, but societally we need to be well beyond the point where the tenure of a Mike Joy depends on private philanthropy.
So – Quo Vadis?
Education parallels greater society; those of us alive have experienced nothing but growth offsetting debt. Within that system, we told ourselves that growth was forever, and built our systems and lives on that basis. Uncomfortable thoughts about what/who that growth was built on, horizontally or vertically, we largely ignored; we were also incredibly energy-blind.
We can – and should – celebrate the growth of knowledge, with the proviso that we cannot re-write the Laws of Thermodynamics (whichever way they are taught). With an increasing number of bets being ‘off’, vast collections of traditional assumptions are no longer fit for purpose.
Students cannot expect to repay debt as easily as in the past, and perhaps not at all. The same goes for educators with mortgages; governments too; the future is increasingly tapped-out.
Yet the passing-on of knowledge is perhaps the most valuable gift we can give future generations, and it can be done for free. As can everything else; capitalism is merely a human construct which fitted the growth epoch.
It may be that society recreates the ethos of the WEAs of an earlier era, and that existing infrastructure – lecture theatres and laboratories – becomes not superfluous, but over-booked.
It may well be, that current-level Professorial salaries are untenable (as private-sector CEO salaries are increasingly untenable). Their getting ‘poorer’ will merely reflect a post-growth society all in the same basket; the span between survival and surplus tells us that those with surplus surplus, can contribute more than those – like indebted students – already close to the margin.
The problem comes when knowledge is lost, much like the current mass extinction although unlike extinct species, knowledge can – theoretically - be regained. Then there merely remain the means of distribution, and the increasingly difficult task of rebutting incorrect posits (not made easier by the fact that some are firmly held within academia).
There were already glaring faults in the university system – siloing being an obvious example – before we arrived at this impasse (this writer has been banging on for years about the need for cross-discipline systems linkages), and in many ways a re-jig was overdue.
Conflicts/pandemics/climate aside, young people today will need the knowledge – and skills – to deal with a post-growth world. Much of what qualifies, is currently being taught en passant, or extra-curricularly. This should not be.
Equally, we shouldn’t be throwing all the files out with the folders; that Murphy textbook - an as-good-as-it-gets example of knowledge-extrapolation - emanated from within the academic system. It also demonstrates something equally as important as knowledge; the ability to think critically and logically, indeed, that may be the most future-useful gift any teacher can give any student at any level.
*Murray Grimwood comments on interest.co.nz as powerdownkiwi.
27 Comments
Well done, Murray. Good piece.
As an ex-ICT professional, this resonated:
There were already glaring faults in the university system – siloing being an obvious example – before we arrived at this impasse (this writer has been banging on for years about the need for cross-discipline systems linkages), and in many ways a re-jig was overdue.
Every proposed ICT solution - from a $10k one to a $100m one - is heavily influenced by two things. Fashion is the first. And the designer's background in one technology over another is the other. Neither are good reasons for selecting a solution. But if the person that must make the choice knows nothing - money is wasted. This is why government is so bad at spending money on ICTs. (And for those that don't know - companies are pretty crap too. They just get to hide it better!)
In another country, I was asked to evaluate solution providers solutions for a specific problem. All solutions offered cost way north of 10s of millions of NZD. I asked a few question from a cross functional team of existing government employees ... and ... The solution was developed with no fuss, bother, nor cost blow outs for about 1/10 of the cheapest bid. It was so unspectacular the Minister (a tory) never even mentioned it.
100% agree that we need to look at things very differently when seeking solutions to every single problem. One of my favorite lines? "Evolution results in few dead bodies. Revolutions ignore them. Mother nature is no fool."
It may well be, that current-level Professorial salaries are untenable (as private-sector CEO salaries are increasingly untenable). Their getting ‘poorer’ will merely reflect a post-growth society all in the same basket; the span between survival and surplus tells us that those with surplus surplus, can contribute more than those – like indebted students – already close to the margin.
Great stuff Power and some unpacking needed here.
The monetary system is also linked to your post-growth / unsustainability thesis. How can you have an ever-expanding money supply / debt paradigm in a post-growth society? You can't. They're incompatible. Whether people accept Bitcoin or not is irrelevant, but this discussion is firmly within a certain sector of BTC thinkers, such as Jeff Booth.
I too was thinking Bitcoin Fixes This.
You will have a scarce future if the money is infinite.
The value of items trend towards its cost of production, and as fiat currency costs nothing to create, it will eventually be printed to infinity. The average lifespan of a fiat currency is 27 years, just something to think about.
Currencies that have a finite supply are inherently flawed because you will always have a party who is a surplus producer and one who is a surplus consumer. Eventually someone ends up with too much money and someone not enough.
That's partially why we don't have a gold standard anymore, and why something like Bitcoin can't replace the usage of existing fiat.
Always so thought-provoking.
But, how do we begin? I think you and I have had the discussion before about how we treat education in this regard at primary level. Do we paint a realistic picture about their future in an energy constrained world? Do we let them know that all the information stored on the internet and presently at their fingertips won't survive. Do we dash their hopes of ever personally experiencing an overseas environment or culture? How do we limit their expectations in a humane way? How do we de-consumerize them as future consumers?
We are already teaching how to grow food; how to care for freshwater and ocean environments; how to build simple structures and use a hammer and a spade. But we aren't really explaining de-growth and it's implications by way of no more this and no more that in their tomorrows.
It would be easy enough for all my grandchildren (aged 8-18) to understand that their lives are unlikely to improve in the ways they imagine over time, but at what age do I start shattering their dreams? Or do I even have the right to, given no one can predict the future in any kind of statistically certain way?
Herein lie the education conundrum, but that's no reason not to start thinking seriously about it. We've got a first grandchild finishing secondary and considering university. His current preference is to study IT, but to be honest, I keep quiet because I'd sound a bit 'old' to say I don't think those skills will be needed in future. And, of course, I started in IT in 1981 and it led to all sorts of interesting, leading-edge experience and on-going learning. I had actually trained as a nurse at university - a much more practical skill!
Another grandson, a couple of years behind, wants to teach English in Japan. In that regard he's self-taught in both Hiragana and Katakana and now has started learning the language from an on-line provider. What chance might all this come to fruition in his future? I have my doubts but keep them to myself - instead encouraging him in these life goals.
It's all very hard knowing what's best.
I think you're right to be epistemically humble about it. Even if you agree with the outlines of PDK's article, the timeline and the details are uncertain. Better not to promise an apocalypse that may not arrive (or may take a different form to what you expect).
Seems to me the best approach is to subtly encourage youngsters to interact with the real world as much as possible and read as widely as possible. Encourage any interest in science, in agriculture, in genuine skills, in collective activities that build community. If this crisis arrives, the best prepared will be those who know how to live (at least somewhat) offline and who have some intuitive feeling for how the physical world works.
It's tricky to know what to teach kids these days. We have 3 grandies & I wouldn't wish for their world for all the tea in China. I think I'll try to teach mine how to work hard & to love their families.
Demographics point to a lesser population by the mid-century & who knows, perhaps even less again by century's end. Yes, it's nice to know, & knowledge is an important thing, but it's much better to love & be loved.
In fact, if we look hard at education, it's absent one very important ingredient...
I suspect there are times when self-discipline and strategic thinking out-performs working-hard (Seven Pillars of Wisdom is a great read, written by someone who absolutely understood when to strategise and when to slog).
But it has to be applied using logic. I pass on the way my old man taught me lateral thinking; told me to turn things inside-out, back-to-front and upside-down. The trouble with (all) incumbent leadership is that they got there during the status-quo and a paradigm-shift may mean they are no longer leaders, so they are always too slow to change.
First read that some time before Lean Hollywooded the epic adventure and story, “he was wise and old which meant he was tired and disappointed” struck me then as an adolescent and now, in senior years, the cynicism is a great deal more meaningful. Chandler too crafted that sort of realism expertly as his weary but dogged Marlowe charted the people and pavements of his day. As you get older undeniably the less you know you know, if you care to be honest about it.
The Western education model in it's totality is broken, because it's prime aim from Primary School to University is to create compliant, reliable workers. Parents can't even fill the void, we've now bred and raised generations of people indoctrinated into working a 40hr week, with little developed tools on how to navigate aspects of their emotional, cultural, and financial lives.
Personally I think rectifying this is an almost impossible task, because even to achieve the aims set out in PDK's article requires a level of institutional indoctrination around a set of core beliefs, when really you want people to make reasoned decisions based on current information. Good reasoning skills are a product of information meeting life experience, and these things historically were gleamed by children growing up alongside the elders and community.
My glimmer of hope is that Generation Alpha's children develop a post consumer society that manages to bring itself back from the hyper individuality pushed from the 70s onwards and now cemented by living digitally, into something more immediate and analogue. That's not to say I'm a luddite, but we've gone down a digital rabbit hole without thinking at all about the ramifications.
Either that or we'll continue down our path of becoming cyborgs.
I think Montessori has the right philosophy. As I see it, I think our mainstream curriculum is trying to figure out how to move more toward this philosophy, but there is resistance in the general community that seeks to move backwards to an education model that they were raised (indoctrinated?) under;
Montessori education in Aotearoa, New Zealand, will emerge as a source of sanity and balance at a time when our state education system is fast becoming product orientated and market-driven, reflecting a machine and screen world where digital technology reigns. Our Montessori early learning centres and schools are places where time slows down, with strong connections to people and places that are protected and celebrated. Digital technology will be just one of the many resources we will use. The content of our lessons will promote mindful responses to human questions and enable children to make wise and creative choices about real life lived in the community.
Our Montessori communities will be guided by clear, simple human values that empower our children to become strong individuals who embrace diversity and interact with each other and the environment with respect and responsibility. The future of our planet needs children who garden, dream, and whose lives and learning are connected to our human reality. In a time of distraction and excess, Montessori education will provide us with a way back to what is essential and sufficient.
There's definitely that sort of jingoism coming through the public system now and for the past decade or two.
The issue with children is it's not really the words you say that leave the largest imprint, it's the examples you set. I don't really think the current school setup private or otherwise is good for much more than information and method.
Either that or we'll continue down our path of becoming cyborgs.
I think we will become extinct. Life exists by consuming energy. I don't think we can ever achieve an equilibrium state compatible with on going life. An interpretation of Darwin's theory of evolution is the survival of the fitest. It is what made us what we are. The best we can do is slow down the inevitable. Most people will want to protect what they have.
Enter the reason that many have pulled their kids out of school and are self-teaching them, or have moved away from mainstream centres where their children can still have free roam, more space, more nature, and learn through experience with less risk. One thing I know for absolute certain is that when I do have children, they won't have access to a smartphone until mid-late teens, we all know now the damage social media does to self-esteem, self-image, confidence etc. Many want to go backwards with the educational system, I'm more an advocate of good role models will make good kids. The trouble now is that it is hard to be a good role model as a teacher if you have to stay silent on a range of topics due to being muzzled from the current curriculum and ideological values having infiltrated the education sector so vehemently.
they won't have access to a smartphone until mid-late teens
That's so interesting. Our son had a rule - not until 14 years old, and then if the kids wanted one they had to buy it themselves via their own work. The 'rule' came in when grandparents on the other side of the family gifted them (the two eldest) an iPad each one Xmas - and those got promptly sent back to the grandies. The eldest got a paper run and worked for years such that he got one shortly on turning 14 - his sibling saved up Xmas and birthday money for years in order to get his. Before the three younger ones got to 14 years, the marriage broke up and the little ones (aged 10, 8 and 6) all got smartphones of their own from Mum and family within 6 months of the breakup.
As the parents were 50/50 shared caring, our son asked his ex-partner that the phones remained at hers when the kids were in his care. Big issues arose and one of the little ones started refusing to go to her Dad's. So, the question of custody ended up in Family Court for a resolution, and the Lawyer for Child assigned to the children said it wasn't in a position to provide an opinion, nor force such a rule on a child.
when I do have children, they won't have access to a smartphone until mid-late teens
When I had kids I told myself they wouldn't watch TV till they're 3.
The smartphones are definitely an issue, but they're also now ubiquitous in society, impacting both kids, and the quality of parenting they can get. I've seen kids living under those rules, and they're usually more left out from their peer group than if they had the phone.
I don't know much of a solution other than living in a commune environment and that seems to mostly result in weird sex cults.
I've seen kids living under those rules, and they're usually more left out from their peer group than if they had the phone.
Seems to me to depend on who the close group of peers (i.e., best friends) are. Lately there are more 'dumb phones' (no internet connection) coming on the market - and their prices aren't inflated (as they initially were). I suspect a lot of parents will go that way, but naturally, some kids just want access to social media - so that isn't the 'silver bullet'.
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