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Chinese President Xi is set to extend his 10-year rule in 2022. This is how China has been transformed under his reign

Public Policy / analysis
Chinese President Xi is set to extend his 10-year rule in 2022. This is how China has been transformed under his reign
President Xi Jinping of China
Chinese President Xi Jinping

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By Annika Burgess and Jason Fang*

Last year, there was rarely a week when international attention wasn't on China.

Disappearing celebrities, billionaire crackdowns, the Evergrande fiasco, hypersonic missile tests, Hong Kong activist arrests, trade wars, climate goals, COVID.

This was hardly a coincidence.

When President Xi Jinping came into power in 2012, he set out to make his agenda widely known — both domestically and internationally.

Unlike his predecessor Hu Jintao — a man of mystery who carried the stereotype of being dull and wooden — Mr Xi has fiercely asserted himself on the world stage.

While at home, he has strategically consolidated power, and enforced sweeping structural reforms in Chinese economy and society that have transformed the country at warp speed.

In the last few years, the high-profile leader has been ramping up his bold diplomatic rhetoricstamping out opponents, and spreading the country's tentacles of influence across the Pacific, the South China Sea, Africa and beyond.

And after abolishing presidential term limits in 2018, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in November last year passed a "historic resolution" elevating Mr Xi's authority to the same pedestal as era-defining leaders Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping.

It seems unlikely the President will be shrinking away anytime soon.

He currently heads all branches of the CCP, government and military, and the 68-year-old's sights are set to inevitably extend his rule into a third five-year term this year.

Let's look back at some of his signature moves over the past nine years, and what the future holds for China and the world under his leadership.

China's biggest anti-corruption crackdown

Introduced soon after becoming Chairman of the CCP, Mr Xi's pledge to crackdown on "tigers and flies" – high- and low-level officials – has become China's most sweeping anti-corruption campaign.

It has been both his greatest challenge and strongest political weapon.

"He inherited a communist regime, and the Chinese Communist Party was facing a lot of challenges," Dr Ming Xia, a professor of political science at the City University of New York, told the ABC. "It was divided among itself, and the corruption was out of control."

Mr Xi arrived when China was basking in the glow of its economic golden years. For two decades, China had the fastest-growing economy in the world and entrepreneurs were becoming billionaires seemingly overnight.

Leading with the catchcry, "to get rich is glorious", the reforms of supreme leader Deng in the 70s and 80s helped pave the way for the country's rapid accumulation of wealth. This surged to new heights in the succeeding decades, but with little regulation a culture of corruption was allowed to spread throughout the business world and into the CCP ranks.

Well-connected Chinese business tycoon Desmond Shum detailed the extent of the political palm-greasing in his memoir Red Roulette. On any given night, he said entrepreneurs would host members of the communist party elite in private hotel dining rooms, buying favours to seal lucrative business deals.

Wooing government officials with $1,000 bowls of maw fish soup, $25,000 watches and so many deal-brokering trips to the bathhouse that one employee's skin started peeling off was "just the cost of doing business in China in the 2000s," Mr Shum told the ABC.

4 million snared in the great party purge

Focusing much of his attention within the CCP itself, in 2014 Mr Xi set an example when ex-security chief Zhou Yongkang became the most senior Chinese official to be arrested and expelled from the Communist Party for corruption.

There were many more to come.

By 2018, the campaign had reportedly snared more than 2 million party, government, military, and state-owned company officials.

According to Professor Xia, that number now stands at around 4 million. "This purge has been a chance for him to be regarded as a meat grinder. As this meat grinder he is working very fast and hurting the Chinese elite," he said.

Singaporean former diplomat and political commentator Kishore Mahbubani sees the crackdown as one of Mr Xi's great achievements, saying he has so far successfully overcome "many big challenges like growing corruption and factionalism in the party".

"He's been riding a very wild horse over the last nine years, and kept going at a steady pace," he told the ABC.

While the anti-corruption drive has instilled more trust among some parts of society, the President has been accused of using the campaign to neutralise political opponents.

Mr Shum claims that many corrupt officials are still within the top echelons of the political party today, and they were being protected through Mr Xi's "selective" campaign.

Celebrities and moguls caught in the disappearing act

Mr Xi has positioned himself as a dictator who has no room for dissent or disobedience at any level. Recently, a wave of high-profile figures have gone missing from the public eye after making public statements against the government.

Movie star Fan Bingbing, gene-editing scientist He Jiankui, and most recently tennis star Peng Shuai are among the many who seemingly vanished for several weeks. 

China's richest man, Alibaba founder Jack Ma, disappeared for three months after giving a controversial speech in October 2020 blasting China's regulatory system. Since reappearing, Alibaba has been fined $3.8 billion for anti-competitive behaviour, and the flamboyant billionaire's net wealth has been plummeting.

Another well-known businessman, real estate tycoon Ren Zhiqiang, reportedly disappeared in 2020 after he called Mr Xi a "clown" for his handling of the coronavirus crisis in China. He was later sentenced to 18 years in prison for corruption.

Mr Shum, whose business deals came very close to the core of power, has also felt the force of party pressure. His ex-wife and business partner Duan (Whitney) Weihong — who at the time was one of the richest women in China — disappeared in Beijing in 2017. She re-emerged after four years shortly before Mr Shum's memoir was due to be released in September 2021, calling him with a warning not to release the book.

The government has never acknowledged taking Ms Duan, but Mr Shum, who has lived in Britain since 2015, says there's "no question" they are responsible for her disappearance.

China's 'darkest period' for human rights abuses

In 2013, Mr Xi introduced new laws that essentially made arbitrary and secret detentions legal under Chinese law. Regardless of citizenship, these complex laws can be used to strip detainees of their rights on the grounds of "national security".

It also allows for suspects to be held in custody for up to six months under the "residential surveillance at a designated location" (RDSL) scheme, which cuts suspects off from the outside world.

Australian television anchor Cheng Lei, who has worked for the Chinese government's English news channel, was held in custody under the RDSL scheme in 2020.  Australian writer Yang Hengjun is also among those who has been placed under residential surveillance.

China has also been accused of human rights abuses over its treatment of Uyghurs in the north-west region of Xinjiang. The United Nations and rights groups allege that 1 million Uyghurs and other ethnic minorities have been disappeared or are being held in internment camps in Xinjiang. Chinese authorities insist the camps are vocational centres, dismissing ongoing claims of atrocities against minorities in the region as "the biggest lie of the century".

The US government has declared that Beijing's policies against the Uyghurs amount to genocide and crimes against humanity. Legislatures in Britain, Belgium, the Netherlands and Canada have done the same. The US House of Representatives recently passed a bill banning imports from Xinjiang, over forced labour concerns.

China's Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin hit back saying that "the so-called forced labour and genocide in Xinjiang are entirely vicious rumours".

China's crackdown on freedoms in Hong Kong has also triggered widespread global condemnation. China introduced a sweeping national security law in the city in wake of mass anti-government protests in 2019. Since coming into force in June 2020, dozens of activists and democratic politicians have been jailed, or are in self-exile, and some international rights groups have left the city.

Human Rights Watch says under President Xi, China is facing its "darkest period for human rights since the 1989 massacre that ended the Tiananmen Square democracy movement". 

Push for common prosperity

In preparing for a third term, Mr Xi has been turning towards inequality, seeking to narrow the gap between rich and poor with a push for "common prosperity".

Last year, he has used the term "common prosperity" more than 65 times in his speeches, calling it the "original quintessence" of socialism. The President has called for "excessive incomes" to be "reasonably adjusted", saying that it was necessary to "encourage high-income earners and enterprises to give back more to society".

This has involved asking big companies to put money into philanthropywith tech giants, including Alibaba and Tencent, pledging billions of dollars to support the campaign.

While experts say low-income households may welcome the move, political pressure on companies could ultimately harm both the rich and poor, and stifle economic growth.

"The economy is not doing well, and the stock market and housing market are signs of that … many big companies are going bankrupt, and many people are losing money," Professor Xia said.

The plight of debt-stricken real estate company Evergrande has already exposed the risks of the government's regulatory crackdown. In an attempt to rein in house prices and reduce debt levels, regulators tightened limits on borrowing by China's real estate industry. This led to the near collapse of the country's largest property developer which has been struggling to make bond payments.

It prompted fear and speculation that the world was facing its next "Lehman Brothers moment".

Society suppressed under Xi 'Thoughts'

With Mr Xi's reign came a new ideology and brand of Chinese nationalism, which in 2017 was enshrined into the Party Constitution. He is the only leader, other than Mao, to have an eponymous ideology included in the document while in office.

Central to what's been called "Xi Jinping Thought" is China's continued rise as a global power, promoting the party and Mr Xi on top as the guiding force.

The President's philosophies have been introduced into the national curriculum, splashed across the internet and billboards, and exist as an app for party members to read and be quizzed on daily.

The doctrine has inevitably led to a tightening of party discipline and further squeezed social freedoms.

In 2021, the government placed a three-hour gaming limit per week on minors, and cracked down on "effeminate" men and celebrity fandom in a bid to steer China's culture industry in a "healthier" direction.

"The Chinese Communist Party has tightened its control over the society and I think this is counterproductive," Professor Xia said, adding that "many ordinary people are angry".

Xi and the world

While leaders before him have opted to keep a low profile, under President Xi China has become more assertive with international diplomacy, ramping up military threats, inflammatory language and economic punishment.

To sustain the country's global rise, Mr Xi has been investing heavily in the $1 trillion international Belt and Road trade and infrastructure initiative, and modernising China's military.

This military presence has been on display with repeated aggressive actions in the contested South China Sea and several instances of planes being flown into Taiwan's Air Defence Identification Zone as Mr Xi vows to "reunify" the island.

This "Wolf-Warrior" approach to diplomacy has been ruffling international feathers, and increasingly straining China's relationships with the US and Australia.

Professor Mahbubani said that alienating the American business community was Mr Xi's "major mistake" during his leadership. "[It] used to be the number one supporter of close relations between US and China," he said.

However, when it comes to the trade war and spats between Beijing and Canberra, he said it's Australia who should learn to adapt. "Many of the people in South-East Asia share the same apprehensions of China that Australia has, but you learn how to live and adapt to a stronger and more powerful China," he said. "So for a start, you don't publicly insult China. But even if Australia chooses to publicly insult China, you have to accept that there will be consequences that flow as a result."

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36 Comments

Looking forward to another speech from cousin botherer about the taniwha and the genocide dragon.

Cosying up to these monsters is not a good look.

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Something about "Absolute Power"...

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This reads more like an opinion piece rather than an "analysis" - straight up "rah-rah" propaganda...

It didn't analyse, merely made excuses for an dictator.

The so-called "anti-corruption drive" was a disguised political purge.

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NZ Universities, Research agencies, Polytechnics, Political Parties, Corporate partnerships etc should be examining very closely all their MOUs and partnership deals with Chinese institutions (which are closely tied & controlled by the CCP/Xi) and ask whether they are ceding intellectual property and NZs’ ethics by partnering with such a malevolent leader/government.  
 

“Systematically, CCP is taking control of the narratives in the West: Universities, the mainstream media, big tech companies, Hollywood, the sports industry, and politicians … we have watched them bowing down, again and again, self-censoring their speech in favor of Beijing.”

Xi & the CCP are likely to be responsible for the global spread of the coronavirus by closing down initial information and denying the initial spread, while allowing outgoing overseas travel.     

 

 

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Introduced soon after becoming Chairman of the CCP, Mr Xi's pledge to crackdown on "tigers and flies" – high- and low-level officials – has become China's most sweeping anti-corruption campaign.

Corruption is Legal in America

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For example - There are a number of Chinese University Presidents in jail for ‘corruption’.  But it’s pretty tricky to avoid running an enterprise there without all kinds of inducements and oiling the transactions.  It’s more whether you are judged as too ‘corrupt’ or not following the Party line (given that CCP insiders are assigned to your institution and watching your every move).  

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Xi, in the next term, will firmly establish the foundation for achieving the second goal of The Two Centenaries 两个一百年目标 (the year 2021 when CCP is founded for 100 years, and the year 2049 when China is founded for 100 years). 

One of the key landmark events will be unification of Taiwan around 2030, among others.

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Taiwan is a sovereign, independent country and Mainland China has no legal rights to this democratic non-malevolent society.  
 

https://m.timesofindia.com/world/rest-of-world/taiwan-says-it-is-sovere…

 

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On 10 Oct each year, people who work in international relationship area in all New Zealand' government departments will receive an email telling them to NOT attend any celebration events held by Taipei Economic and Cultural Office.

 

And you tell me that Taiwan is sovereign? LOL

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Propaganda doesn’t change the truth.  

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Can't wait to see what new maps the CCP finds proving their ownership of various other territories in the future too, as they did to justify invading the Spratley Islands.

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Allegedly persuading some banana republic at the bottom of the Pacific to indulge in cuckery isn't a convincing argument.

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Mortgage belt,
Both Beijing and Taipei have said ever since 1949 that there is only 'one China'.  The argument has been about who should be the boss.   Accordingly, the authorities in Taipei have never (to date) declared Taiwan to be independent of China. 
Linked to this, no country that has an embassy in Beijing has an embassy in Taiwan.  It has always been a choice of one or the other.  
When it comes to sorting out the issues of Taiwan, nothing is simple.
KeithW

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Sure - however the current Taiwan administration is moving closer to declaring full separation.  
“Taiwan is a sovereign and independent country, and not part of mainland China”.  Their words.

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Your source?
KeithW

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It would be if left to the people of Taiwan and the CCP acknowledging their choice and abiding by it. End. of. story.

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Added complexity: CCP's broken promises in its handling of Hong Kong.

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Would be really interested to hear your view, Xing, on how the CCP will achieve unification of Taiwan.  Do you think there will be a substantial start this year after the Olympics?

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I wonder what part of the Taiwanese don't want this, he doesn't understand?

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Well you have to give them credit for heading towards no.1 in the world. Look at the mess in the USA by comparison, and people get to vote these idiots into power. China is going from strength to strength while the USA goes down the toilet. The USA may have to start a foreign war just to get out of the hole, its either that or face a civil war at home.

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"Nationalism is an infantile disease. It is the measles of mankind." - Albert Einstein

Every country and its citizenry thinks that their system is more superior than others; NZ included.

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Its not the "System" that the problem its the people that aspire to be at the top. The USA has a population of 330 Million and Trump or Biden is the very best they can come up with ? Your better off with a Dictator if they were genuine and an absolute wizz at running the country, instead its a trail of corruption to get to the top.

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Yes and no.

Presidents come and go... They're only allowed two terms - not much they can do unless starting a war (Bush Sr) or continuing one (Bush Jr and Obama).

Trump affected some changes because he was an outsider that tried to change the system but the system pushed back. Same with Obama... Biden was an old cog in the system, but his mental stability now calls into question who's really running the show...

The real power is in the hands of the career politicians like Pelosi, Schumer, McConnell, Graham, etc. The Senate and Congress - that's where the den of snakes is...

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Here is my list of what General-secretary Xi has achieved during his first 10 years:

- a gradually declined GDP growth

- a continuous decline of the Chinese population 

- more effective suppression of the domestic civil rights movements and freedom of speech

- the beginning of the Covid19 pandemic 

- Death of the "one country, two systems" promise in Hong Kong

- Solidarity among the Taiwanese people against a possible Chinese invasion 

- A much more hostile international relationship allowing Russia to further exploit the Chinese nation. 

 

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Would you say the Chinese mainland population has become more or less patriotic over these 10 years?

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It depends on the definition of patriotism, I suppose 

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In the last 10 years more Chinese have seen the world - international tourism, learning English language, international TV and films.  They will remain patriotic - deeply loyal to their country and this being China with its 'socialism with Chinese characteristics' somewhat racist about it. And rationally and justifiably proud of their economic success.  However exposure to other countries failures will give the people of China serious doubts about the potential risks of any autocratic government. They either will move to more democracy and liberalisation or they will worship their leader as some kind of God - ref North Korea with Kim Il-sung or the Soviet Union Russia with Lenin's body still on public display in a Mausoleum on Red Square.

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You left out popularising Winnie The Pooh again.

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Some might say Xi is overrated and is leading China to premature demise rather than becoming the global superpower.

Great article: https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/what-if-xi-jinping-just-isnt-that

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Xi has a proven track record of looking after Xi.  I prefer Andrew Little -  a man who knows when to stand aside.

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Great link.  Essentially says that the Dictator's Flaw is that yer stuck with him, and as age can magnify, not mollify, the personality quirks, then good luck with a change in direction.....

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New Zealand has more in common with the Peoples Republic of China than most would care to admit:

For instance, both our populations are currently compelled to have one-party Governments:   China by force; New Zealand by default because of the complete absence of any remotely viable opposition now or in the foreseeable future.  I have never in my lifetime seen New Zealand in this de facto totalitarian position.  It is just as well we have an unprecedented and benevolent dictatorship...long may it last.  I'm sure it will because despite the unseemly baying emanating from the neo-liberals and the disaffected rabble Ardern's popularity has just risen in the latest poll.

  

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He's doing a pretty good job. 8.1% GDP just this year! 400m lifted out of poverty! The middle class has doubled in size!

Unofficially, China is the new Empire! Embrace them! You cant stop 'Growth!'

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Also Evergrande et al. Outdoing the West's debt-fueled wealth transfer game too!

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Prior to Xi, CCP seemed to have the best deal of any autocratic system by employing periodic changes of leadership.  They got the benefit of making quick decisions, but also had the ability to revise those decisions when the next leader arrived. 

But now Xi and his growing baggage is empowered forever.  

The problem with autocracies is they eventually function solely to keep the autocrat happy.  Any problem solved by the autocrat must remain so forever and nobody ever tells the supreme leader otherwise.  This makes autocracies inefficient, hidebound and exploitable - weak over the long term compared to other forms of government.  

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