Average residential property values continued to decline in September in spite of the arrival of spring, according to the latest figures from Quotable Value (QV)
According the QV House Price Index, the average value of New Zealand dwellings was $901,920 in September, down from $905,357 in August.
That's a decline of $3437 for the month, which means average property values were declining by the equivalent of almost $800 a week last month.
In the September quarter average values were down -1.6% nationally, with the biggest decline of -4.2% occurring in Napier.
In other main urban districts, Auckland's average value was down -1.7% for the quarter, Hamilton was down -1.2%, along with Tauranga -2.1%, Wellington -3,2% and Christchurch -0.8%.
The only major urban districts to post gains in average dwelling values in Q3 were Nelson City 0.6%, Queenstown-Lakes 1.0% and Invercargill 0.2% - see the table below for the full regional figures.
"Spring has sprung but green shoots of growth remain elusive," QV's latest housing value report said.
However, the rate at which values are declining has slowed, from -2.0% in the three months to August to -1.6% for the three months to September.
The rate of value decline also slowed in most main urban regions.
"There seems to be a spreading expectation that interest rates can only go one way, and so we're seeing more people at open homes, in auction rooms and browsing for property online," QV operations manager James Wilson said.
"And so it certainly seems like a general uplift in property values is now on the horizon.
"But despite growing confidence that we're through the worst of it, the conditions aren't yet conducive to growth," Wilson said.
"The cost of borrowing still remains relatively high, the cost of living is restrictive and there are significant worries about job security, especially in Wellington.
High levels of stock on the market were also having a dampening effect on prices, Wilson said.
"Generally speaking, those who are in a position to purchase still have a raft of different options to choose from right now, especially within the main centres.
"So there isn't so much pressure on prices currently, with more than enough houses for sale to meet the current level of demand."
21 Comments
Coatings see Dawn's and Bottoms at every twisting and downwards turn.........
- Much like a blind man reading the tea leafs, in a blackened closet.
Disappointed he is, with every utterance, being found to be false.
The facts that spruikers ignore, is that this market needs mortgage rates below 3% - TO JUST SUSTAIN CURRENT OVERVALAUATIONS!
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No market value valley, until 2026 to 2028. Another -15% to -25% to drop......
"Generally speaking, those who are in a position to purchase still have a raft of different options to choose from right now, especially within the main centres."
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What a tragedy. People actually having time to consider carefully their likely biggest purchase.
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The saddest part of this, is QV and the real estate industry see this as market failure.
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Oh well, looks like we've passed through another market bottom. Onwards to the next one... And the one after that.
"What a tragedy. People actually having time to consider carefully their likely biggest purchase."
That's your interpretation, the article simply states that "those who are in a position to buy have a raft of different options", it doesn't put a value of good or bad on this factual observation.
https://www.oneroof.co.nz/news/riverside-home-plagued-by-lowball-offers…
So this article supports my theory that build costs dont put a floor under house prices. Build cost of 1.3m, sold for just over 1m. This will become more and more common as banks are still testing at 9%... ouch for this particular vendor. A near 300k hair cut. It looks like the Waikato version of Riverhead too.Â
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