The fixed home loan rate cuts keep on coming, from ASB and Westpac on Thursday morning.
ASB focused its move lower on the currently popular six month rate, taking it down to a market low 6.39%. That trumps the recent move lower by BNZ.
At the same time, ASB raised its four and five year fixed rates, indicating the inverted rate curve may be starting a shift back towards a positive slope. But there is a long way to go on that front.
And ASB made matching cuts for term deposit savers, for six months taking it down to matching ANZ's "very low" rate.
We have cleared the table below of these reader-reported mortgage rates, because they are so fluid. It is a practice we will probably adopt at the start of every week, but with fast changes we have done it early. We need to be reporting current rates from readers. Let us know what you are seeing.
Background international signals have long rates rising.
But markets still expect the next Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate cut will be another full 50 basis points on November 27, at a full Monetary Policy Statement review. But November 27 is still some way off yet so risks of 'being definite' now are high.
The recent September Real Estate Institute of New Zealand data shows the housing market is still in a full-blown funk. We don't see any evidence yet that the spring selling season has started at even an average level. It's below-average. And bank home loan targets are under real pressure when all they can rely on is refinance activity.
Real estate markets rely on momentum as part of their general market pitch.
So competition is pointed at present. And to avoid queering the pitch, a lot of home loan rate activity is going on 'off-card'.
Off-card rate offers are now where much of the action is.
Almost all banks will have some flexibility in their rate offers. So the carded rates are just the start. Negotiate. How flexible they may be will depend on the strength of your financials.
One useful way to make sense of the changed home loan rates is to use our full-function mortgage calculator which is below. Term deposit rates can be assessed using this calculator.
And if you already have a fixed term mortgage that is not up for renewal at this time, our break fee calculator may help you assess your options. Break fees will be minimal in a rising market. But they become important in a falling market, like now. Don't forget, when you sign up for a fixed rate you are signing a contract. You have been given the right to break it in legislation but the bank has the right to reclaim its costs when you do so. This is NOT evidence of banks making it hard to switch (as some borrowers, and sadly some journalists seem to think).
Here is the updated snapshot of the lowest advertised fixed-term mortgage rates on offer from the key retail banks at the moment. (Be aware that the reader-reported rates are unofficial and may be quite fuzzy themselves.)
Fixed, below 80% LVR | 6 mths | 1 yr | 18 mth | 2 yrs | 3 yrs | 4 yrs | 5 yrs |
as at October 17, 2024 | % | % | % | % | % | % | % |
ANZ | 6.50 | 5.99 | 5.79 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 6.19 | 6.19 |
current reader-reported rates | 6.34 | 5.59 | 5.75 | 5.65 | 5.65 | ||
6.39 -0.36 |
5.99 -0.20 |
5.79 -0.10 |
5.69 | 5.69 | 5.79 +0.10 |
5.79 +0.10 |
|
current reader-reported rates | 6.29 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 5.59 | 5.59 | ||
6.49 | 5.99 | 5.89 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.59 | 5.59 | |
current reader-reported rates | 6.29 | 5.59 | 5.69 | 5.65 | 5.59 | 5.55 | 5.55 |
6.65 | 5.99 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 | ||
current reader-reported rates | |||||||
6.45 -0.30 |
5.99 -0.20 |
5.89 | 5.65 -0.04 |
5.65 -0.04 |
5.59 | 5.59 | |
current reader-reported rates | 6.39 | 5.79 | 5.79 | ||||
Bank of China | 6.75 | 6.25 | 5.95 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.65 | 5.65 |
China Construction Bank | 6.89 | 6.45 | 5.99 | 5.99 | 5.89 | 6.40 | 6.40 |
Co-operative Bank | 6.75 | 6.19 | 5.99 | 5.75 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 |
Heartland Bank | 5.99 | 5.69 | 5.59 | 5.69 | |||
ICBC | 6.69 | 6.15 | 5.85 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 |
6.75 | 6.35 | 5.89 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 | |
6.75 | 5.99 | 5.99 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.69 |
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28 Comments
With ANZ it is showing up because my loan is coming off the fixed term on 11 November 2024 so it allows you to lock in a rate on the app. I am not going to lock in, instead stay on floating until after 27 November 2024 - I expect there will be a significant OCR cut come November - 0.75? Who knows?!
Theoretically this sounds right, and many were saying the similar ahead of the previous OCR cut. Yet, 1.5 weeks after the latest cut, there have been substantial fixed rate cuts from most, if not all banks. Nothing is guaranteed, but I wouldn't bet against further fixed rate cuts if the next RBNZ review results in another cut (even an anticipated cut).
@David, can you please keep the 5.59% 1 year rate from ASB & ANZ up on the reader submitted rates.
Westpac are confirming to customers they are coming down to 5.79, but not 5.59 as yet. Slow as always from them.
Kiwibank taking an early holiday before Xmas. Slow as ever
Which is what many, if not most, borrowers will do, and why any extra household liquidity won't get spent at the shops or used at the bank to get another mortgage, but paid to the landlord - also known as The Mortgagee Bank.
Oh. And those that are now getting less from the interest on their Term Deposits? They'll spend less at the shops as well.
The recent experience of 'fixing short - don't touch the longer rates with a bargepole!' and seeing rates rocket upwards beneath their feet has chastened borrowers, who now know, it's not as much about the rate of the Debt but protection from the unexpected. And 'keeping the payments the same' is part of that.
Sure, we have had some pain. But it’s not multi-year depression stuff that fundamentally changes who we are and how we behave. Mortgagee sales have been rare as hens teeth.
Secondly, many people don’t have good financial knowledge or access to good financial advice to know how to engineer their numbers. Interest.co.nz readers, let alone commentators, are very different to your everyday Kiwi.
After about 12 months, old habits will kick in, and the cycle will resume. Rich will get richer, poor will get poorer.
Was a few years ago since I had to refix, but with ANZ from memory the app will give you a suggested repayment amount based on remaining loan term and you can override that.
So if you were making considerably higher repayments, when you go to refix the app may suggest lower repayments, even if your interest rate were going up.
I guess it depends on how stretched households are at those higher rates.
If people are only just managing and ending up with ~$20 at the end of each week after all primary expenses then an extra $120 per week on a $500k mortgage would be a sigh of relief. Paying off a mortgage does not override the need to put aside some savings.
Kiwibank's offer to one of my vehicles from their website - identical to the above:
6 months fixed 6.65%
1 year fixed 5.99%
2 years fixed 5.69%
3 years fixed 5.69%
4 years fixed 5.69%
5 years fixed 5.69%
Variable (Currently 7.75%)
They usually claim they "put their best foot forward" so aren't that interested in negotiating - but they will if pushed hard enough but don't expect much.
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