The Financial Markets Authority is warning investors that FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) is not a valid investing strategy.
So that raises the question, what is?
And the broader question of how do you work one out? And how do you actually build a proper investment portfolio?
You can pass all those questions over to a qualified investment adviser. Or you can just passively invest in some general funds and let the ‘experts’ worry about all of that. In a sense, that is what KiwiSaver is all about.
But for many that isn’t a good idea. Building an investment portfolio is one of the things you do over a lifetime. In fact, it will probably involve more of your income than buying a house – yes, planning and working to have a satisfactory retirement fund is a bigger personal financial project that buying a house.
And you should be involved in how you do that. After all, it is for you – your savings and investments are not really just a vehicle for fund managers to clip the ticket on for their lifestyles. Unless you learn and get involved, that is what your investment portfolio could become, and the end result may not be quite what you had in mind.
So we are setting out to answer that fundamental question. How do you go about it?
If you are in Sharesies, (or Hatch, or Stake, or InvestNow, or Kernel), for the trading adrenalin rush, the excitement of the Reddit threads, you are probably only just gambling. That is not investing. You really do need to ask yourself much more sensible questions than that.
To help, we have asked Tony Morgan to kick us off with a starter series on the topic.
This first one is a scene setter – getting your head in the right space to start a long journey, one he says will probably involve you in more than just the technical bits.
By Tony Morgan*
Setting out to build an investment portfolio is a massive undertaking. It is a lifetime project and needs to be part of your lifetime goals and perspectives.
The sensible aspect to this challenge is taking a logical, proactive approach and being committed to learning.
The size of your portfolio isn’t the point. The journey is, and it will be character enhancing. The sooner you start, the sooner you will become a genuinely capable investor. And the sooner you will acquire the skills you need, and judgements to back them up; all developing parts of you in ways that will surprise and delight (so long as you can look past the bumps along the way).
Yes you need a few dollars saved at the bank to start, but the amounts can be small and this game of DIY is for everyone.
Investing is about being curious, using your worldly intelligence, developing patience and humility in mitigating the ups and downs. You will build belief in yourself to be courageous at times, cautious at others. In this way, you own character and personality become the foundation of your portfolio.
I genuinely believe all Kiwis have the above attributes tucked away under their skins. Despite the special language the ‘professionals’ use, this is not rocket science. .
Curiosity
Your first stock in your portfolio will be one to remember for a lifetime. I put about $500 in the early 80s into a horse breeding stud nearby, ultimately a dog, but it hasn't mattered financially. I could go past the operation at the tender age of 18 and think I owned a bit of the land, the operations, and literally see what happened with the horses. I was hooked and excited about this new avenue for investment beyond the boring (but the then high yield) UDC bonds.
But you can do better than me.
The start is finding a suitable investment candidate.
If you closely monitor your daily activities you'll be amazed at how many listed companies you actually
deal with in your daily life. There will be your phone company, your electricity provider, that merchant where you buy goods and services regularly, right through to all the online companies you are dealing with at a personal and or business level.
The key thing is that the first splash you commit from dollars into shares is following where your curiosity and passions intermingle.
Here you'll be excited about the opportunity to invest because your mind will be focused. You'll have some clarity, some reason that really jumps out at you that will make you want to follow the road of this company wherever it takes you.
No one really knows the future with any accuracy (and those that say they do are probably charlatans), but being happy with the company you start with and deal directly in your daily life is a good, simple, no-frills way to get started.
But remember start slowly, dip the toes in, take baby steps with those hard earned funds, because the next aspect to getting started needs a decent understanding.
Patience and Humility
As you'll be well aware everything doesn't always go to plan.
Same with investing, up one day down the next. So to withstand this yoyo effect (given shares are traded day-to-day, and at most times just reflects trivia, or like the tides of the sea), you have just got to get used to the fact. The easiest way to approach this daily ebb and flow is to understand the parameters of time. For most investment decisions you'll unlikely get the cheapest entry point in any period.
Don't be distracted too much, but you can help yourself in executing your first investment decision.
Be patient with you first investment idea. Your cash has sat round long enough, so just take your time in the first dabble. That company or companies you have your eye on will have an investment history, so the easiest gem of insight is to look at the share price say over a 2 to 5 year period and ask yourself bluntly, what do I think? Are you buying high or at a low point on this horizon? Go on make a judgment call, do I buy now or wait a bit? Just take a stab at that understanding.
In any event, by being humble, understanding the concept of fallibility and recognising you are not an investment guru yet (by any stretch of the imagination – and this includes almost all of us. I’m still learning!) Your dart throw at this stage is going to be a learning curve. Just like your life, investing is an ongoing deliberation and challenge. Which leads us to the next concepts to be formalised in your vocabulary.
Courage and Belief
We are all human. You have to understand the ability to get back up again from whatever fall might come your way.
The same at the opposite end is luck, identify it!
The game of investing will challenge your will.
Difficulties with individual investments happen to everyone from time to time.
Nurturing courage and belief are long term virtues always developing as we face unforeseen obstacles where one has to dig in and bear the short term pain be it financial or other, say a health issue. Just make sure you believe in the Company, its people, its future. Oh, so very important.
And keep your expectations modest at the start.
Only by investing a small amount at this stage will you'll be more easily able to see the wood from the trees. The World keeps on going. Don't be phased, keep your head up.
And remember, financial investment is only one form of wealth. Keeping your attitude and health in tune will help you negotiate that first out of the box investment.
Enjoy and get on with it. Be creative and start small today - in the World’s newest portfolio, yours!
Our first introduction to the specifics of investing will be about dividends. Watch out for it.
Tony Morgan has run a portfolio management business and an equity brokerage, both of which were purchased by Craig Investment Partners. He now runs a small family office that invests globally.
49 Comments
Looking forward to this even though I'm an old fart. But one thing I learnt very early on - investment advisers and those who like to claim they know what they are talking about will talk a lot about "fundamentals" and while these are important, i have learnt the hard way that the overriding 'fundamental' at play in the stock exchange is emotions. It is easy to find companies with good balance sheets, good products, good business strategies but low share prices, just as it is easy to find companies with poor everything but huge share prices. So a strong dose of patience is required when researching as well as while waiting for the returns. Balance too - don't wait too long.
yep agree. I was with one big investment company a few years back had under 100k with them in a ETF, asked if I could buy some shares direct in sharemarket in a few companies direct (As have KS so had all my $ in unit funds), he said they don't really deal with people like me who have under 100k. So I withdrew all my funds and went to Sharesies...easy to set up, simple, and I invested in those companies I wanted too. I can see why these investment platforms are growing.
If you are in Sharesies, (or Hatch, or Stake, or InvestNow, or Kernel), for the trading adrenalin rush, the excitement of the Reddit threads, you are probably only just gambling.
What an awful, defensive, arrogant, and uninformed statement. These platforms are equally as about gambling as they are about well-considered investment strategies. Just because a financial advisor is not clipping the ticket doesn't mean that the author should be writing off tech that benefits users.
Personally I am amazed at the development in the share investing, trading platforms.
Overall should be highly beneficial in bringing mostly younger community with lessor dollars at any one time to invest, but at similar relative brokerage rates than those of wealthier investors. Feedback from my son and his mates investing small dollops is wonderful. And they are learning the ropes in baby steps.. Great.
Or his Stock Series (https://jlcollinsnh.com/stock-series/) which are the basis for the book. It's great to read the comments as well as there is a lot of additional relevant information.
Lower interest rates benefit shares as well as housing. If you can set your bitterness aside for one moment, there are reasons that housing has performed so well as an investment beyond the obvious (leverage). There is the lack of annual fee's, the compounding/reinvestment effect and the tax treatment. I personally lack the discipline to buy and hold shares over the long term and reinvest dividends, I take profit too early or get bored. Housing keeps me locked in, if houses were more liquid, I would have taken profit long ago and missed the big rally.
Try posting about anything that isn't related to housing - 90% of the time...no discussion. And if by pointing out the damage that has been done by asset appreciation over the past few decades, you consider a person to be bitter, well all I can say to that is that upon further self reflection you might gain greater insight into one's own dark side personality traits.
Yes staying long and trying as hard as possible to lock yourself in without doubt is the juice of time at its best for investments. But also liquidity has its merits at times of need..trading vs long term investing can get muddled...an article in the future to explore this realm
So the easiest gem of insight is to look at the share price say over a 2 to 5 year period and ask yourself bluntly, what do I think? Are you buying high or at a low point on this horizon? Go on make a judgment call, do I buy now or wait a bit? Just take a stab at that understanding.
Tony, in your first article you're introducing a gambling mindset and planting the seeds of the wrong thought processes... You're teaching beginners to make decisions based on a chart of what a share price has done over the past few years which is completely irrelevant.
It is literally not going to help anyone at all. Actually that's wrong, it will help people who know more by holding back new participants. For example someone after reading this might not purchase Berkshire Hathaway, allowing myself to have less competition buying shares.
I agree observing charts are only one way and might not be the bees knees for all investors...I am one for seeing patterns if I can...any time period may be applicable. Yes many other concepts and views can added, but we are just starting here, charts are easy from a visualisation perspective. Stay cool, no race horsing here, take it easy..
Things you can control in investing (in order of magnitude effect on returns):
- Savings rate (the amount you invest)
- Asset allocation (the level of risk that meets your goals)
- Sticking to the plan
- Diversification
- Taxes
- Fees
Things you can't control:
- Prices
- Which companies will perform or not
- Actions of those companies
Focus on what you can control rather than trying to get lucky.
Like Murray, I too am an old fart. I have been around the stockmarket for a very long time, professionally in the UK, and personally. The NZ market has been very profitable for me since i came here in 2003.
I would recommend extreme caution in dealing with financial advisers. To my knowledge, almost all of them work on a commission basis and are therefore by definition, not professionals. I don't doubt that there are a small number of competent advisers who work only on a fee basis, but for the vast majority of individuals looking to gain exposure to the stockmarket, low-cost index funds are likely to be the best entry point.
I have long believed in the power of dividends and look forward to the article.
FOMO has rewarded NZX investors with a 33.9% price gains from trough to peak in just 10 months last year when cost averaging peddlers are still religiously trying to spread their costs.
FOMO has also benefitted those who shrugged off internet experts here to get onto the property ladder; thus, being rewarded with a 16.4% capital appreciation during the same period.
Your strategy will never beat the market- enjoy the narrowing exit door for what comes next.
Yes a country that is essentially bankrupt, a country whose debt to gdp ratio is so high that any country that has been in that situation before has defaulted on its debt, and a stock market like the S&P 500 who's market cap to gdp ratio is signalling time to crash.
If 45K was a small amount of your net wealth, sure, but I wouldn't be placing a large amount of your wealth in such a risky position, not right now at least.
I've owned the S&P 500 via IVV for 10 years and its provided a great return - but I wouldn't be buying in right now.
Agree it is good to read these investment articles. I myself only have the knowledge of reading these and the responses of many who have a lot more life experience in these matters than myself, and from that I learn. I do sharesies, but also have KS, and a company retirement scheme, and company shares, as well as a house nearly freehold, and 8 months living expenses as rainy day fund, so hopefully have a fairly balanced approach. Years ago i went to a financial adviser, I was young with three kids, told us to put all our money in South Canterbury finance, could'nt go wrong. A farmer friends of my parents said pull it out, two months before it went bust, at the time the adviser was telling me no leave it there. So I do find the comments section offers some of these real life experiences that people (like me) can learn off.
The simple investment option from NZ:
- Buy Vanguard Total World Fund (VT) via Hatch
- Repeat each month
- Keep going
- Ignore the news
Only gotchas are that you will need to learn how FIF tax works once you have bought more than $50k. Spoiler: it's actually quite simple.
All listed companies post their annual reports online and these are a good place to start. Have a look at what levels of debt they are carrying, what their cash flow is like and have a look at their asset backing. Checking out who their largest shareholders are gives an idea if they are sound and look at who are the directors and management.
It's better that people stop wasting their time on their stock market dreams and start making friends with company directors and ministers in the parliament instead.
Least we forget how Marsden Maritime Holdings (MMH) share prices got pumped a few months before an announcement on the intention to move Auckland port operations to Whangarei.
Make friends with real people, not reports.
We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.
Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.