Migration surge of New Zealanders to Australia continues apace in July; More Indians, Chinese arriving than Brits
Net emigration of New Zealand citizens to Australia jumped 54% to 1,469 in July from July a year ago as wage growth surges across the Tasman and unemployment rises here.
The turnaround in recent months to a rise in emigration by New Zealand citizens to Australia has coincided with a renewed debate about closing the wages gap with Australia and with a slowdown in the housing market. Housing sales volumes and prices fell in July as the average wage gap between Australia and New Zealan blew out by almost NZ$100 a week to NZ$643 in the last two years.
Statistics NZ reported that 2,291 New Zealand citizens left to live permanently in Australia in July, while 369 non-New Zealand citizens left to live in Australia. Total net emigration to Australia jumped 62% to 1,438 in July from the same month a year ago.
Meanwhile, total net migration to New Zealand in July almost halved to 1,386 in July from July a year ago. Migration in the year to July was 15,221, up from 14,488 in the previous year.
Most of the net migration to New Zealand in July came from India (929), China (420), Germany (247) and the Philippines (159), while the traditional migration source of Britain saw net emigration of 52 in the month, which was well down on net immigration of 262 in the same month a year earlier.
However, seasonally adjusted net migration was 1,000 in July 2010, up from 100 in June 2010, Statistics NZ said. Most of the growth appears to have come from India, while the outflow to Australia continues to accelerate.
"Although seasonally adjusted net PLT migration increased from June 2010, it was still lower than the monthly average of 1,900 recorded between February 2009 and January 2010," Statistics NZ said.
"Before July 2010, the monthly seasonally adjusted series had been steadily decreasing from 1,800 in January 2010, because of falling arrivals and increasing departures. The latest increase in seasonally adjusted net PLT migration was due to a rebound in PLT arrivals, as well as a levelling off of PLT departures. It is too early to say whether the rebound in arrivals is temporary, or will be sustained."
On an unadjusted basis, PLT arrivals outnumbered departures by 1,400 in July 2010, down from 2,700 in July 2009. The decrease in net migration in July 2010, compared with July 2009, was due to 400 fewer arrivals and 900 more departures.
Net long term migration
Select chart tabs
43 Comments
"Immigration NZ operate a quota system, meaning that they have the capacity to loosen their standards"
Well that's just great APE, more taxi drivers with "PHDs".
Is this just a numbers game? Filling the country up with whatever trash can scratch together the ticket price is scarcely the path to a prosperous future I would have thought. But then I'm not an "actual professional economist".
"Between mid 2006 and mid 2009, the average monthly net inflow of foreigners was around 3,300. For the past 3 months it has been about 2,000 per month (seasonally adjusted). Immigration NZ operate a quota system, meaning that they have the capacity to loosen their standards and allow more immigrants in, to meet their quota in need. " - That assumes there are people who actually want to come to NZ. Otherwise, lower standards won't help. Why did the net inflow of foreigners drop by 40% in the first place? Had Immigration NZ temporarily made their criteria stricter?
Stronger productivity in high wages industries must be urgently supported by the government to avoid a further exodus of brain power.
http://www.henderson.com/sites/henderson/sri/approach/topdowntheme/overview.asx
…in addition to above:
http://www.henderson.com/content/research/gsnapshot/pdfs/generic/globalsnapshot.pdf
And where are the jobs ?
The neo feudalists around at the business round table will be creaming themselves.
Gotta keep the cheap/desperate third world labour coming in, chuck more kiwi kids on the dole lines.Gotta keep the lower orders in their place don'tcha know.
Only problem, some of the little blighters are escaping across the ditch. Best have a word to our friends in Canberra, see if we can't shut that little loophole down.
it's very interesting to note the rage in the posts of some of the earlier posters above!
They're slagging off the Hickster as a lowlife who is spinning the facts.. when in fact his is the only one of the various stories i've read on todays migration figures that has the journalistic nous to see that most of the last months immigrants were invariably lower socio immigrants here to work, but not in high disposable income positions....
Like.. i can see all those 929 indians that arrived here last month swarming all over the open homes and screaming excitedly "good gracious me..i think i'll bid another 100k just for fun" at remuera property auctions?!
i saw another story from the Landlords Assoc. on the figures, trumpeting " immigration figures show surprise bounce back giving boost to housing market!"
what a lot of bullshite spin when you actually analyse the demos in the figures.
here's another one with a headline that is closer to the mark from the ShareChat News site:
Migration figures up, just
Friday 20th August 2010
New Zealand’s permanent population increased by 1,000 people due to immigration in the month of July, while the nation experienced an overall increase of 15,200 for the year, according to Statistics New Zealand.
The department said the net permanent and long-term arrivals for the year was higher than the annual average of 11,900 for the years 1990-2009, though the figure masks outflows to Australia.
For the July 2010 year, a net 16,500 people crossed the Tasman permanently, made up of 32,300 departures and 15,800 arrivals, the majority of migrants in both directions being New Zealand citizens. In the July 2009 year, the net outflow was 26,900 people.
The slight increase in permanent arrivals in July lifted from June 2010’s 100 people gain.
“The trouble is people often default to the annual averages, and don’t look at the underlying month on month figures,” said BNZ senior economist Craig Ebert.
“The net monthly figure was very dangerously flirting with zero.”
Part of the trend over the past year has been an increase in permanent departures, which tended to freeze as people waited the outcome of the global financial crisis.
“What we may be seeing is a stabilising permanent arrival figure that stays at a low level, instead of going negative,” Ebert said.
Other highlights of the immigration figures for July were a net inflow of 900 migrants from India, 400 from China and 200 each from Germany and the Philippines. The net outflow of 1,400 permanent migrants to Australia was up from 900 in July 2009, but down on the net outflow of 2,700 in July 2008.
Visitor arrivals for July 2010 compared to July 2009 were up 4% at 182,900, with 3,900 more visitors from China, 2,800 extra from Japan, and 1,800 more from Australia.
“The visitor trends are patchy,” Ebert said.
“European, UK, Ireland and North American numbers are still weak to weakening. But we’re seeing a very aggressive bounce back in arrivals from Asia.”
Ebert said this demonstrates how much more New Zealand is part of a global economy, somewhat moving away from the old allies and creating greater exposure to Asian markets.
The figures may also help dispel negative commentary around New Zealand’s economic recovery, which Ebert said is still predicting to be patchy, slow and frustrating. Its overall direction is still positive Ebert said.
The good thing about these immig/property posts on here is the frenzied death dance of the badly-disguised property investors when their rage at losing their way in the market takes over there reason and seeps like toxic fog onto their posts!
Did anyone read the front page of our beloved NZ Herald yesterday, Saturday....from an article headlined - " Land of expensive milk and honey"
Quoted, as follows:
"Institute of Economic Research economist Shamubeel Eaqub said many everyday items did cost more in New Zealand, but not all prices were high.
The cost of going out to a restaurant or a movie was still much cheaper than in Britain. A cheap night out in New Zealand for $20 could easily cost £20 ($44) in London.
Mr Eaqub questioned whether it was realistic to compare our standard of living with Australia, Britain and the United States, as New Zealanders earned so much less than people in those countries.
He said it made more sense to compare our standard of living with countries with similar incomes, such as Greece, Israel and Slovenia."
WE NOW HAVE AN AGENCY OF THE GOVERNMENT TELLING US WE ARE HEADING TO A THIRD WORLD STATUS, WHILE WE SLOWLY SINK TO BEING DICTATED TO BY A FOREIGN ECONOMIST (HAVEN'T GOT TIME FOR ECONOMISTS ANYWAY) WHO IS JUST WAITING TO GET ENOUGH TIME ON HIS GLISTENING NEW NZ PASSPORT TO GET INTO AUSTRALIA HIMSELF !
NO WONDER I AM GOING CRAZY !!
Nothing to do with the Government. "NZIER is an independent economic consulting
and forecasting organisation". Further, "Shamubeel holds a Bachelor of Commerce and Management with Honours in Economics from Lincoln University." It's unlikely he's waiting to go off to Aussie!
Supermarket shopping is definitely cheaper here in the UK, especially for fruits and veges. And if you can be bothered stopping off at one of the many road side vege stalls, even cheaper again.
Going out is generally on a par, if not cheaper. Booze is much much cheaper.
Correction The Man..'the pension is a benefit'...I aint dun gone reached 65 yet...and it is not a benefit because by agreement the working stiffs who paid taxes all their working lives will have paid for the bloody pension...got it!....it is only a benefit for those who never paid taxes or bugger all taxes.
Correction Wolly .... I did not say I wasn't working at all, as I have a fulltime, permanent job, however nothing to do with what I studied for my BCom.
There is something that you must learn Wolly, just because someone is not working, that does not mean they are on the benefit and bludging from the state. Before I had this job, as above, I was temping fulltime.
That's the problem, CH. We are going down the gurgler, and fast; helped by lashings of debt and sauced witha good dollop of political complacency. The NZIER just appears to be stating the obvious, to me. Just as the UK now sees that it's not on a par with the States; we aren't with Aussie etc. Weren't we No. 2, or something, in the OECD in 1959? Now look at us....
Yes SP agreed, while I too was going to mention the fact, that NZ at some point, had the 2nd highest standard of living in the OECD. Quite disgusting really that the governments over this time have just sat back and watched it all happen...........while gleefully lining their personal pockets and ambitions.
1st, 2nd or 3rd world?
See work referred to here:
http://www.interest.co.nz/comment/reply/50373/569272
Fron the section 'Size and Distanc, page 39:
"As a thought experiment, imagine a country that is remote, has become wealthy by harvesting the fruits of the land (and water) and shipping them off in bulk, has idyllic landscapes, and whose citizens enjoy an enviable climate and lifestyle. The people in such a country might be regarded by others as friendly but a little provincial and complacent. The inhabitants of such a country, when faced with gradual relative economic deterioration might be slow to recognise the emerging issue and less than vigorous in developing responses. They might also find it difficult to compete in a world where intense competition has raised performance standards. Add to the mix self-reliance plus a desire for independence, and layer on top strong reinforcement of the values of individualism and self-interest, and those people might find it difficult to recognise that they need to work together, giving up some short term individual benefits, to achieve better long term outcomes for all. They might also be less willing than people in some other countries to support changing from activities they have been traditionally good at, i.e. production of commodity exports where low cost and market access are sufficient, to new differentiated exports where different skills in management and marketing are needed. The country, of course, is BLANK BLANK."
Can you guess the blanks?
How can we get back to where we were, where we think we are?
Enjoy.
Cheers, Les
Mozart "What's going on?"
I think there is a huge number of Brits trying to get out of the country. Permanently.
I get to talk to quite a few, a lot are deeply discouraged with the future in the UK - too much immigration (?) overcrowding and high unemployment. The recently announced cull of civil servants,they're talking about 600,000, has probably helped raise the backlog as well.
Dear
Actual Professional Economist, steven-orig, Small Kev, Working Class Hero, Sam, Spidy Sense, trouble ahead, Winnie the Pooh, Matt in Auck, RJ, The real Ray, New Yoker, Andy M, Booger, Dean Left-us (broke), Khandallah Kev, Mozart
and a reminder to all
We are planning to turn off unregistered "anonymous" comments from September.
We encourage everyone who is unregistered to register. The box on the right under the comment stream is the one.
Here's more detail
http://www.interest.co.nz/opinion/heres-why-wed-you-register-be-commente...
cheers
Bernard
I hard working making hibs of money cocking for other people. I pay all my bills, rates and taxes at the right time and donate money to cherrity. I canot do “Hacka” but I still like Kiwiland. I’m not sure if I ideal Immigrant, when people talk here. I think I interigate good into New Zealand
We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.
Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.